Projected Income Statement: Atmos Energy Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Atmos Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,214 8,096 6,867 7,555 8,792 10,640 12,577 13,437
Change - 12.23% -15.18% 10.02% 16.37% 21.02% 18.2% 6.84%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Atmos Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,970 2,444 2,806 2,900 3,561 4,200 4,702 5,212
Change - 24.11% 14.79% 3.35% 22.81% 17.93% 11.96% 10.84%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,054 -1,467 653.8 -1,203 -1,512 -2,063 -1,786 2,111
Change - 51.97% 144.57% -284.07% -25.64% -36.45% 13.43% 218.2%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/6/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Atmos Energy Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.59% 34.67% 39.1% 48.63% 48.8% 51.09% 51.4% 53.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.56% 21.92% 24.96% 32.54% 33.17% 35.48% 36.59% 38.1%
EBT Margin (%) 24.04% 20.28% 23.38% 29.67% 31.43% 33.66% 34.08% 35.28%
Net margin (%) 19.53% 18.43% 20.72% 24.01% 25.5% 26.95% 27.01% 27.85%
FCF margin (%) -89.62% -34.91% 15.29% -28.89% -32.15% -39.34% -30.82% 33.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) -458.83% -189.42% 73.8% -120.34% -126.1% -145.97% -114.13% 119.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.81% 3.7% 3.96% 4.37% 4.49% 4.46% 4.36% 4.45%
ROE 9.06% 8.94% 8.73% 9.06% 9.32% 9.65% 9.53% 9.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.22x 5.56x 4.11x 3.73x 3.83x 3.97x 4.22x 3.96x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.36x -5.52x 10.5x -6.28x -5.82x -5.16x -7.04x 6.37x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 57.8% 58.18% 65.63% 69.62% 75.73% 80.1% 81.15% 82.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 142.41% 167.81% 167.87% 143.19% 155.2% 156.79% 157.89% 153.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -64.49% -166.65% 429.2% -240.99% -235.55% -203.59% -263.28% 246.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -8.351 7.079 23.83 - 12.76 14.59 15.11 -
Change - 184.77% 236.67% - - 14.31% 3.53% -
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.72 2.96 3.22 3.48 4.029 4.329 4.661
Change - 8.8% 8.82% 8.78% 8.07% 15.77% 7.45% 7.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 59.71 66.85 74.88 78.31 83.92 90.91 98.09 105.5
Change - 11.96% 12.01% 4.58% 7.17% 8.33% 7.89% 7.57%
EPS 1 5.12 5.6 6.1 6.83 7.46 8.447 9.018 9.792
Change - 9.37% 8.93% 11.97% 9.22% 13.23% 6.76% 8.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 130,791 139,892 148,462 155,233 160,524 166,920 166,920 166,920
Announcement Date 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/6/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 20.1x 18.8x
PBR 1.87x 1.73x
EV / Sales 7.44x 7.07x
Yield 2.37% 2.55%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
169.96USD
Average target price
186.18USD
Spread / Average Target
+9.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ATO Stock
  4. Financials Atmos Energy Corporation
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