Projected Income Statement: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - -1,444 -2,769 -4,823 -3,052 -4,019 -5,700 -7,201
Change - - -91.76% -74.18% 36.72% -31.69% -41.83% -26.33%
Announcement Date 6/21/22 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/25/25 3/17/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39.23 41.72 56.24 85.78 91.61 79.98 83.31
Change - 6.36% 34.79% 52.52% 6.8% -12.69% 4.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 244.4 1,947 1,670 1,907 2,309 2,635 3,169
Change - 696.47% -14.24% 14.21% 21.05% 14.14% 20.27%
Announcement Date 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/25/25 3/17/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 18.75% 25.86% 24.44% 25.34% 24.12% 24.19% 24.08%
EBIT Margin (%) - 14.5% 19.8% 22.38% 23.56% 22.92% 23.24% 23.27%
EBT Margin (%) - - 21.05% 23.72% 24.14% 23.31% 23.52% 23.14%
Net margin (%) 6.75% 4.33% 15.8% 17.6% 16.56% 16.38% 16.59% 16.31%
FCF margin (%) - 10.8% 41.73% 23.04% 19.48% 18.45% 17.7% 18.13%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 249.18% 264.12% 130.92% 117.65% 112.59% 106.64% 111.18%

Profitability

        
ROA - 2.06% 15.91% 18.09% 20.56% 20.32% 20.99% 21.71%
ROE - 29.19% 55.31% 52.07% 53.51% 48.84% 46.35% 44.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 1.73% 0.89% 0.78% 0.88% 0.73% 0.54% 0.48%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 9.24% 3.46% 3.17% 3.46% 3.03% 2.22% 1.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 16.05% 2.14% 3.37% 4.5% 3.97% 3.04% 2.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 2.23 4.794 12.41 14.26 16.43 17.83 21.77
Change - - 114.96% 158.87% 14.89% 15.22% 8.52% 22.1%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 1.087 - - 7.211 8.428 10.18
Change - - - - - - 16.88% 20.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 9.131 15.3 21.44 25.94 33.5 42.13 51.09
Change - - 67.51% 40.16% 20.99% 29.14% 25.77% 21.25%
EPS 1 - 0.78 5.34 9.18 11.61 14.68 17.48 20.48
Change - - 584.62% 71.91% 26.47% 26.45% 19.09% 17.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 130,407 137,595 137,595 137,595 137,460 137,460 137,460
Announcement Date - 3/30/23 3/28/24 3/25/25 3/17/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.9x 12.5x
PBR 6.52x 5.19x
EV / Sales 2.08x 1.63x
Yield 3.3% 3.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
218.46CNY
Average target price
339.92CNY
Spread / Average Target
+55.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. ATAT Stock
  4. Financials Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited