ASX / Media Release
29 March 2017
2016 FULL YEAR RESERVE REPORTFULL YEAR HIGHLIGHTS
- 1P Reserves of 6,689 mboe as at 2016 Year End;
- Net Present Value (NPV10) for 1P reserves of $32.24m;
- 10% Increase in NPV from previous reserves report; and
- Recent acquisitions deliver well above prices paid and create drill ready opportunities.
AusTex Oil Limited
A.C.N. 118 585 649 ASX: AOK
OTCQX: ATXDY
Corporate Snapshot
Market Cap: AU$18.0m
@ $0.032
p/share (undiluted)
Shares on issue
Ordinary: 562.5m
Preference: 220.1m
Options: 38.0m
Shareholders: 1,930
Directors
Michael Stone
(Non-Executive Chairman)
Richard Adrey
(Co-Managing Director)
Nick Stone
(Co-Managing Director)
Russell Krause
(Non-Executive Director)
Justin Clyne
(Non-Executive Director & Company Secretary)
Contact
Level 9, 2 Bligh Street,
Sydney NSW 2000 AUSTRALIA Tel +61 2 9238 2363
Fax +61 2 8088 7280
www.austexoil.com
https://twitter.com/AusTexAOK
AusTex Oil Limited (ASX: AOK, OTCQX: ATXDY, AusTex or the Company), is pleased to provide shareholders with a summary of its independent full-year reserves estimates. The independent reserves estimates were evaluated and prepared by Pinnacle Energy Services LLC in Oklahoma City in the United States.
The NPV10 for 1P Reserves is US$32.24m, based on the January 1st, 2017 NYMEX strip pricing, representing a 10% increase in net reserves since the Company's last reserves report (refer ASX announcement of 31 August, 2016). In addition to the increase in net reserves there are several positive factors to be taken out of the assessment which gives the Company reason to believe that a robust drilling campaign can continue to prove the underlying worth in the Company's growing asset base. Some of these factors include:
The Company's recent acquisition of Southwest Petroleum (refer ASX announcement
18 November, 2016) delivered reserves of $6.617m, more than double the acquisition price of $3.25m (which also included real estate and capital equipment independently appraised at $1m to our net ownership);
A significant increase in drill locations through recent acquisitions not accounted for in the reserves estimates;
Conservative drilling rates were used in the assessment of 12 new wells at Snake River beginning in June 2017 and 2 wells per year at Southwest whereas the board believes a more robust campaign is warranted at current prices and, subject to the success of these wells, should contribute to a higher assessment in the future;
The fact that only one new well was drilled in 2016 means that there is little new well data that could be used to support a more robust assessment of proved undeveloped reserve locations; and
No assessment of any 2P reserves due to current oil economics.
The Board believes that this is a conservative estimate of the Company's reserves position. The Company's recent acquisitions have delivered several drill ready locations not factored into the reserves assessments.
Executive CommentaryCo-Managing Director, Richard Adrey, commented:
"There are reasons to believe in a more positive outlook for the future with a relatively sustained period of stability in both the oil price and vender pricing.
"The Board reiterates its view expressed in previous reserves assessments that we do not believe prices for oil and gas can last at the depressed levels seen in recent years.
"As noted in previous announcements, we remain confident in the embedded value of our assets at Snake River and in our recent acquisitions and believe we are seeing an opportune time to commence a robust drilling campaign once again with the forward NYMEX curve appearing more attractive than in recent times."
Net Reserves and Net Present ValueTable 1 demonstrates the Net Reserves (after working interests and royalties are removed but before taxes) and Net Present Value as of December 31, 2016 for the combined prospect areas of the Snake River Project as well as the Sweet, Ceja and Southwest Prospect Areas in Oklahoma and the Company's acreage in Kansas:
Combined Prospect Areas:Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 118 | 1,555 | 8,073 | 2,901 | 0 | 62,826 | 24,456 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 1 | 8 | 53 | 17 | 805 | (483) | (459) |
Proved Undeveloped (PUD) | 33 | 732 | 3,601 | 1,332 | 12,175 | 22,932 | 8,243 |
Total Proved (1P) | 152 | 2,295 | 11,727 | 4,250 | 12,980 | 85,275 | 32,240 |
Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 43 | 900 | 7,830 | 2,205 | 0 | 42,426 | 16,936 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 1 | 8 | 53 | 17 | 150 | 171 | 69 |
Proved Undeveloped (PUD) | 23 | 638 | 3,255 | 1,180 | 10,925 | 20,213 | 7,090 |
Total Proved (1P) | 67 | 1,546 | 11,138 | 3,402 | 11,075 | 62,810 | 24,095 |
Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Proved (1P)* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 6 | 47 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 1,021 | 396 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Proved (1P) | 6 | 47 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 1,021 | 396 |
Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 6 | 115 | 0 | 115 | 0 | 2,971 | 1,133 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total Proved (1P) | 6 | 115 | 0 | 115 | 0 | 2,971 | 1,133 |
Reserve Class | Number of Properties | Net Reserves | Net Reserves | Net Capital | Net Cashflow | NPV Disc @ 10% | |
Oil MBL | Gas MMCF | MBOE (1:6) | M$ | M$ | M$ | ||
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 59 | 492 | 243 | 532 | 0 | 16,408 | 5,992 |
Proved Non-producing (PNP) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 655 | (655) | (528) |
Proved Undeveloped (PUD) | 16 | 94 | 346 | 152 | 1,250 | 2,719 | 1,153 |
Total Proved (1P) | 75 | 586 | 589 | 684 | 1,905 | 18,471 | 6,617 |
As stated above, the NYMEX strip pricing as of January 1, 2017 was used for this evaluation. The price forecast is as follows:
Year Oil Gas | ||
2017 | $56.19 | $3.63 |
2018 | $56.59 | $3.14 |
2019 | $56.10 | $2.87 |
2020 | $56.05 | $2.88 |
2021 | $56.21 | $2.90 |
2022 | $56.51 | $2.93 |
2023 | $57.23 | $3.02 |
2024 | $57.70 | $3.16 |
2025 | $58.03 | $3.31 |
2026 | $58.03 | $3.46 |
2027 | $58.03 | $3.61 |
2028 | $58.03 | $3.76 |
2029+ | $58.03 | $3.90 |
Based on an evaluation of actual oil prices received by the Company from January 2016 to December 2016, differentials to NYMEX prices were applied to each lease.
The calculated oil price differential for Snake River was $(1.15) per barrel and the calculated gas price differential was -14% per mcf. The Kansas Prospect area oil differential was $(2.43) per barrel and the Sweet Prospect area oil differential was $(1.30) per barrel and -14% per mcf for gas. The Ceja Prospect area oil differential was $(1.15) per barrel and the calculated gas price differential was
-14% per mcf for gas. The Southwest Prospect area oil differential was $(1.50) per barrel and the calculated gas price differential was -10% per mcf for gas.
TaxesOklahoma severance tax rate used for existing production wells is 7.095% for both oil and gas. All new wells drilled in Oklahoma have a severance tax of 2% for 36 months which increases to 7.095% thereafter. Kansas severance taxes used are 4.33% for both oil and gas. Any ad valorem tax is assumed to be included in lease operating expenses.
ExpensesFixed operating expenses of $594/well/month and variable expenses of $9.06/Bbl oil produced are being used for the Snake River and Ceja areas. For the Sweet Prospect area, fixed operating expenses being used are $494/well/month with variable expenses of
$37.12/Bbl oil produced. In the Kansas Prospect area, fixed operating expenses are $166/well/month and variable expenses are
$22.17/Bbl oil produced. For the Southwest Prospect area, operating expenses of $235.66/well/month and variable expenses of
$13.63/Bbl oil produced are being used.
Capital expenditures in the Snake River area for future wells is $475,000 per well which includes costs for drilling the required saltwater disposal wells and other infrastructure. Capital expenditure in the Southwest area for future wells is $250,000 per well.
Future Development TimelineFuture wells in the Snake River were assumed to be drilled one well per month starting in June 2017 with all Proven Undeveloped locations will be drilled by April 2019. Future wells in the Southwest area were assumed to be drilled at a pace of 2 per year beginning in March 2017 with all Proven Undeveloped locations being drilled by September 2021.
Methodology and AssumptionsInformation used in the report was provided by AusTex Oil Limited's US based subsidiary entities and supplemented by data gathered from public sources. The evaluation was performed using SEC reserve standards and the NYMEX strip pricing as of 1 January, 2017.
AusTex Oil Limited published this content on 29 March 2017 and is solely responsible for the information contained herein.
Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 28 March 2017 22:20:13 UTC.
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