August 14, 2020
Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd.
Notice of Medium-Term Management Direction "ACSL Accelerate 2020"
Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd. (ACSL) has decided to announce that it has developed a new mid-term management direction, "ACSL Accelerate 2020," covering the period from fiscal year ending March 31st, 2021 to fiscal year ending March 31st 2023.
With a mission of "Liberate Humanity through Technology" and a vision of "Revolutionizing social infrastructure by pursuing cutting-edge robotics technology," ACSL has solved a variety of onsite problems by creating systems that realizes operational efficiency and unmanned operations with autonomous control technology and by implementing industrial drones in society.
While the drone market shifts from a "Trial" phase to "Social Implementation" phase, new lifestyle and measures against infectious diseases and progression of Society 5.0 have brought great changes to our business environment.
In this environment, ACSL has developed a set of mid-term management directions, goals and key milestones to ensure that all stakeholders involved, both internal and external, focus on common value creation for our clients and continuous corporate value growth.
An overview of this medium-term management direction is shown in the Appendix.
Attention
This document is an unofficial translation of the timely disclosure on August 14, 2020 by ACSL and this is for reference purpose only. In case of a discrepancy between the
English and Japanese versions, the Japanese original shall prevail
1
ACSL Accelerate FY20
Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory 2020年8月14日
CONFIDENTIAL
This materials should not be used without prior consent from Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd.
Disclaimer
Copyright © 2020 Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical reviews and certain other noncommercial uses permitted by copyright law.
Information in this material is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd. (the "Company"). The Company makes no representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein.
In addition, the information contains projections and forward-looking statements that may reflect the Company's current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company's assumptions are correct. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on this presentation as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company's financial or trading position or prospects.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities or financial instruments or to provide any investment service or investment advice, and no part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract, commitment or investment decision in relation thereto.
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 1 |
Objective of the "ACSL Accelerate"
While the drone market shifts from a "Trial" phase to "Social Implementation" phase, new lifestyle and measures against infectious diseases and progression of Society 5.0 have brought great changes to our business environment.
ACSL has developed a set of mid-term management directions, goals and key milestones to ensure that all stakeholders involved, both internal and external, focus on common value creation for our clients and continuous corporate value growth:
・A Masterplan defining the "To-Be" State in 10 years, and
・A Mid-term Management Direction (FY20-22)to realize the masterplan
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 2 |
Highlights of ACSL Accelerate FY20
The market environment for industrial drones is likely to change significantly in three years, unlocking an unprecedented market
- Regulations enacted by 2022 to enable beyond-visual-line-of-sight flight over manned areas
- Drone security becoming more essential for both the public and private sectors
- Drones gain attention for new use cases to combat the spread of infectious diseases
In ten years, ACSL will shift its core business area to flight over populated areas, which will constitute the majority of the market, and aim to achieve 100 Bn JPY sales and 10 Bn JPY profit
Mid-term Management Direction aims for 5.5 Bn JPY sales and 0.75 Bn JPY profit
- Commercialization of application-specific drones, introduction of subscription models, full-scale entry into ASEAN region, and establishment of CVC for technology procurement
- Annual 2,500 drones shipped, 50% gross profit margin, 0.8 Bn JPY for R&D investment
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 3 |
Agenda
- Business environment
- Changes in the industrial drone market environment
- Masterplan
. Mid-term Management Direction
Confidential 4
1. Business environment
© 2019 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 5 |
Megatrend
With its declining birthrate and aging population, Japan is expected to be one of the first countries in the world to face a variety of social issues, and the imbalance between supply and demand of labor is fast approaching
Supply of labor force
Population | -26% |
decline rate*2 | |
(2020~2060) | |
Labor force*1 | -35% |
(2020~2060) |
Demand for labor force
50-yrs old | x 2.5 |
infrastructure*3 |
(2018~2023)
Logistics flow*4 | x 5 |
(1988~2018) |
*1: White Paper on Aging Society (Entire Version), Cabinet Office, Government of Japan
*2: White Paper on Aging Society 2019" by the Cabinet Office
*3: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, "Social Infrastructure Today and in the Future, Social Infrastructure Today and in the Future
*4: Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism, "Fiscal Year 2018 Delivery Service Performance Data" (Japanese only)
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 6 |
Robotics technology to solve social issues
The use of robotics technology to solve social problems is being addressed in many areas, and the push for labor-saving and unmanned systems is underway. Drones are also beginning to attract attention as a new potential solution
Robotics | RPA | Inspection robots | Auto-delivery | Care robots |
Technology | using 27%→51%*1) | market: 18 to 24.5 bn yen*2.) | market: 4,00 to 500 billion | 1.7 to 2.9 billion yen*4) |
(# of major companies | (Infrastructure image processing | (Next-gen logistics system | (Care robot market | |
(Example) | yen*3) | |||
Drones
Social Issues
Labor | Decreasing | ||
Aging | Increasing | birthrate and | |
population | |||
infrastructure | logistical flow | aging | |
decline | |||
population | |||
*1: MM Research Institute, "RPA Domestic Usage Trend Survey 2020" (June 2018 to November 2019)
*2: Fuji Research Institute, "2018 Edition of Next Generation Infrastructure Maintenance and Management Technology and System-Related Market Status and Future Prospects" (2015 to 2018)
*3: Fuji Research Institute, "Next Generation Logistics Business Systems and Future Prospects 2019," January 23, 2020 (transition from 2016 to 2019)
*4: Yano Research Institute, "The Potential and Future of Nursing Care Robots 2018" (transition from 2016 to 2019)
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 7 |
What Drones as next-gen social infrastructure can do
Drones can overcome the limitations of surface area, both indoors and outdoors, to achieve automation and labor savings. The potential fields of application of drones for labor-saving and unmanned systems are many
Movement in 3D space | + Remote Control/Automation | |
Outdoor | Remote control | |
Semi-Indoor | (4G, 5G / radio | |
"Void" | communication) | |
(e.g., Tunnels) | ||
Indoor | Autonomous Flight | |
Automated Controls | ||
(e.g., factories) |
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 8 |
2. Changes in the industrial drone
market environment
© 2019 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 9 |
Expanding market opportunities through legislation is advancing
Regulations for beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS) flight in populated areas (including urban areas) are expected to be in place soon, allowing drones to fly in environments where they could not be flown before, opening a huge market
Level 4 | Lifeline |
infrastructure |
City
patrol
Urban
Populated areas (including cities)
Aerial photography, Pesticide distribution, | |
bridge inspection, etc. | surveys, etc. |
BVLOS flight in populated areas |
(including cities) |
Safe and reliable drones will be able to fly over people, such as in cities, both remotely controlled and automated
Japan roadmap has regulations in place by 2022.
delivery
Security
Traffic
management
Level 1 | Level 2 | |
Unpopulated | ||
Visual flight | ||
areas (islands, | Visual flight | |
(manual | ||
mountains) | ||
control) | ||
Visual
Level 3
BVLOS flight in unpopulated areas
(islands, mountains)Remote islands, inter-mountain logistics, and Disaster response in mountainous areas, etc.
Beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS)
1: Roadmap for Small UAV Utilization and Technological Development (April 28, 2016, Public-Private Sector Council for the Improvement of the Environment for Small UAVs)
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 10 |
Increasing demand for drone security as an IoT device
Drones are being recognized as an IoT device and accordingly the demand for cyber security is increasing. Both public and private sectors are increasing awareness towards data security for image and operational location data.
Legislation to promote | Drone development | Chinese drone security risk |
intended for government | ||
drone security*1 | reports | |
procurement | ||
Government passed legislation to promote adoption of 5G and drones while ensuring cyber security
NEDO has allocated 1.61 billion yen*2 for development of a high-security,low-cost standard drone and a standard flight controller designed for government procurement.
The New York Times reports that personal information is being collected in Chinese drone Android applications
"Google's Android operating system that
powers drones made by China-based….
collects large amounts of personal information that could be exploited by the Beijing government"
(The New York Times; 2020年7月23日; Popular Chinese-Made Drone Is Found to Have Security Weakness)
*1: "Outline of the Draft Law on Promotion of Development, Supply and Introduction of Specified Advanced Information and Communications Technology Systems" February 19, 2020 Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry
*2: "Development of Basic Safety Drone Technology" June 25, 2020 New Energy and Industrial Technology Development Organization (NEDO)
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 11 |
New use cases emerging as world adapts to new lifestyle
The world is adapting to a "new normal" with measures against the spread of infectious diseases, demand for remote
work and reduced inter-personal contact. Recognition of benefits of drones is creating a tailwind for the drone industry.
Non-contact
Remote control
Monitoring
Reduced opportunities for contact through automated drone deliveries (e.g., transporting medical and daily commodities)
Business continuity through remote, automated drone control (e.g., infrastructure inspections)
Use of drones as a means of managing residents' health conditions, monitoring streets and disseminating information
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 12 |
3. Masterplan
© 2019 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 13 |
What ACSL will accomplish
MISSION
Liberate Humanity Through Technology
VISION
Revolutionizing social infrastructure by pursuing cutting-edge robotics technology
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 14 |
"To-Be" state in 10 years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Global pioneer in solving social infrastructure issues
More than 100 bn JPY sales, 10 bn JPY sales profit
Mass production manufacturer that produces 30,000 units/year
Supporting the country with de facto standards
Developing cutting-edge technologies for autonomous control (cerebellar and cerebral)
Nurturing the industry's most advanced and talented human resources Constantly working to improve its corporate value and financial KPIs
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 15 |
Core areas of the drone business in the next 10 years
Master plan for the drone business in 10 years' time is to shift our core business area from visual-line-of-sight flight (Levels 1 and 2), which generated 1.16 billion yen in FY19, to the huge growth potential of BVLOS flight (Levels 3 and 4)
Populated areas (including cities)
Level 1 | Level 2 | |||
Visual flight | ||||
Unpopulated | Visual flight | |||
(manual | ||||
areas (islands, | ||||
control) | ||||
mountains) | ||||
FY19: 1.16 bn JPY | ||||
Visual
Level 4
BVLOS flight in populated areas (including cities)
FY30 Core Business
Level 3
BVLOS flight in unpopulated areas (islands, mountains)
FY19: 0.1 bn JPY
Beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS)
Lifeline City infrastructure patrol
Urban
delivery
Security Traffic management
Build a solid drone business base in the huge Level 3 and Level 4 markets Potential market:
・Delivery shifts to the sky
- Post Office 24,000 offices
- Populated islands 416 islands
・Labor saving in inspection
- Smokestacks | 90k stacks in JPN |
- Water pipelines | 470k km |
・Risk saving for dangerous tasks
- Large disasters 67 cases(2011-18)
1: Roadmap for Small UAV Utilization and Technological Development (April 28, 2016, Public-Private Sector Council for the Improvement of the Environment for
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 16 |
4. Mid-term Management Direction
© 2019 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 17 |
Business strategy highlight
Evolve from "prototype factory" that focused on demonstration testing and custom development to promote the development, production, and sale of mass-produced,application-specific drones to achieve rapid business expansion
New business strategy
Development of application- specific drones
Introduction of subscription model
Full scale entry into
ASEAN region
Technology procurement through CVC
Commercialization of small aerial drones (for government procurement and the private sector), medium logistics drones (Level 4 compliant), smokestack inspection drones, and enclosed environment inspection drones
Subscription-based fixed income/recurring sales model to be introduced to meet various customer needs, in addition to one-off drone sales
Establish an office in Singapore, the core city in the ASEAN region, and hire local talents to conduct development and sales activities, and begin full-scale overseas expansion
Establish CVC (or equivalent function) and actively procure technologies with potential for technology synergies, such as AI, blockchain, security, image processing and sensors
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 18 |
Sales
Aiming for sales of approximately 5.5 billion yen in FY22 in conjunction with the commercialization of application-specific drones from FY20, and steadily build up a pipeline for future sales of application-specific drones after FY22.
Sales (base scenario) | Mass production and |
100 mn JPY | Aggressive Investment for | 55 | ||||||
Growth | 5 | Other | ||||||
Application-specific Drones Sales | ||||||||
Strengthening Product | ~35 | 20 | (incl. selling off and subscriptions) | |||||
- | Small Aerial drones | 1bn | ||||||
Capabilities and Market | ||||||||
- | Other drones | 1bn | ||||||
Opportunity Identification | ||||||||
12.7 | 14~17 | Development of application- | ||||||
8.0 | 30 | specific drones | ||||||
- PoC and development 2 bn | ||||||||
3.7 | ||||||||
- | Platform drone sales | 1 bn | ||||||
FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 |
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 19 |
Sales breakdown
Aiming for an annual shipment of more than 2,000 units by commercialization and mass production of application- specific drone toward FY22, with a significant increase in sales of drones, including subscription
FY20 | FY22 | |||||
Units | Value | Units | Value | |||
(100mn JPY) | (100mn JPY) | |||||
Sales of application-specific drones | 1300~ | 20 | ||||
Small aerial photo(low ASP) | - | - | 1,000~ | 10 | ||
Other (high ASP) | 300~ | 10 | ||||
Development of application-specific | ~200 | 12.5~15 | ~300 | 30 | ||
drones | ||||||
PoC and Development | - | 7.5~10 | - | 20 | ||
Sales of Platform/Evaluation drones | ~200 | ~5.0 | ~300 | 10 | ||
Other | - | ~1.5 | - | 5 | ||
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 20 |
KPI in the Mid-term Management Direction
Established new KPIs in the Mid-term Management Direction in order to accurately track the progress of new business models.
From
To
Summary KPI
Drone Sales | Sales of drones | Units |
in STEP 3~4 | ||
Sales of application -specific drones
Summary
- Sales of Development of application-specific drones (incl. selling off and subscriptions)
KPI
- Units
- Applications
Solution | PoC and custom | Projects |
development in | ||
Develop- | ||
STEP 1~2 | ||
ment | ||
Development of application -specific drones
▪ | PoC and custom | ▪ | Projects |
development using platform | ▪ | Units of | |
drones | platform | ||
▪ | Sales of platform/evaluation | drones | |
drones |
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 21 |
Numerical targets
By commercializing small aerial photo drones, ACSL aims to achieve a solid business foundation of 5.5 billion yen in sales and 750 million yen in operating income by FY22, despite a decline in profit margins due to the rapid increase in sales.
FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY22 | |
Revenue [JPY] | 370 mn | 800 mn | 1.2 bn | 1.4~1.7 bn | 5.5 bn |
Gross profit | 48% | 53% | 63% | 57% | 50% |
R&D | 320 mn | 360 mn | 270 mn | 410 mn | 800 mn |
Sales profit | ▲540 mn | ▲300 mn | 10 mn | ▲250~0 mn | 750 mn |
In FY22, the commercialization of small drones for public and private sector will help build a solid sales profit, despite a decline in gross margin.
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 22 |
R&D Expenditure Themes
ACSL will continue to spend on human resources, consigned development, equipment purchases, etc. on technologies that will increase the value of its products, including exploratory themes, with a focus on its core control technology.
- Visual SLAM
- Point cloud, 3D modelling
- Camera optimization
- Control AI
- Big data
- Tracability
- Collision avoidance
- Remote sensing
- Point cloud sensors
Image processing
AI / | Smart |
Block chain Control | devices |
technology |
SensorsCertification
Security
- Smartphones
- Applications
- Smart glasses
- Aircraft
- Environmental/ production
- Security
- Data security
- Anti-hijacking
- Control safety
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved. | Confidential | 23 |
Financial policy, governance and HR strategy
Maintain a certain level of cash while aggressively pursuing R&D and investment to capture new business growth opportunities. As the business expands, strengthen corporate governance, recruit talented people and increase diversity
Continue aggressive
investment
Maintain healthy
financials
Strengthen corporate
governance
Attract top talents
© 2020 ACSL Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
- Aggressive investment in the business to achieve ACSL Accelerate FY20
- Promote M&A and strategic investment to accelerate growth and establish CVCs for flexible investment
- Active use of external partners instead of making large investments to secure production facilities in-house
- Retain a certain level of cash and invest for growth in an agile manner
- Continuously strengthen our corporate governance, internal control and IT systems to withstand future market changes
- Retention and acquisition of top talent in line with the expansion of business scale, mainly in research and development
- Introduction of stock compensation-type stock options for executives and employees
- Strengthen diversity. Targeting to increase the number of nationalities of our employees
from 12 to 15 or more in three years. | Confidential 24 |
Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd.
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Autonomous Control Systems Laboratory Ltd. published this content on 14 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 August 2020 06:02:00 UTC