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BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION

(BAC)
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Investors bullish on financials ahead of bank earnings

07/13/2017 | 10:24pm EST
Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York City

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Over the last seven trading days, investors have more than doubled the amount of cash invested in a key financial sector fund, in a bet that second-quarter bank earnings will be robust.

Big U.S. banks start reporting quarterly results on Friday and according to data from State Street, the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (>> Financial Select Sector SPDR (ETF)), which tracks the S&P 500 Financials sector <.SPSY>, has pulled in a net $662 million of inflows, bringing the year-to-date inflows to nearly $1.5 billion.

Year-to-date, the Financial Select ETF is up 7.6 percent to $25.01.

"There is good reason for investors to be optimistic about the financial sector," said Randy Frederick, vice president of trading and derivatives for Charles Schwab in Austin, Texas.

"We just had two rounds of stress tests that every single bank passed with flying colors. In general, the banking industry is in very good shape right now," he said.

Shares in the biggest U.S. banks rose at the end of June after they unveiled buyback and dividend plans that topped analyst expectations after the U.S. Federal Reserve approved capital proposals in its annual stress test program.

Some of the fund's top holdings, JPMorgan Chase & Co (>> JP Morgan Chase & Company), Citigroup Inc (>> Citigroup) and Wells Fargo & Co (>> Wells Fargo), report results on Friday and others, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc (>> Goldman Sachs Group), Morgan Stanley (>> Morgan Stanley) and Bank of America Corp (>> Bank of America) will post results next week.

Analysts estimate second-quarter earnings for S&P 500 financial companies rose 7 percent, the third-best growth for a sector after energy and technology, according to Thomson Reuters data.

"The financial earnings are going to probably be better-than-expected because we have seen a tick up in the yield curve, and that is going to be better for net interest income," said Karyn Cavanaugh, senior market strategist at Voya Investment Management in Charleston, South Carolina.

Longer-dated Treasury yields have jumped so far this month while shorter-dated yields have either inched higher or fallen, resulting in a so-called "steepening" of the yield curve.

A steeper yield curve benefits bank profitability since it allows banks to borrow at lower short-term rates and lend at higher long-term rates.

"Financials have managed to make money no matter what gets thrown at them. Regulations, zero interest rates, they still come through. So I think that we're going to see a positive surprise," Cavanaugh said.

Traders in the options market appear to expect the fund's shares to rise in the near term.

For XLF options contracts expiring on July 21, which will cover results from the largest banks, there are 1.2 calls open for each open put. For contracts expiring after this date, the measure stands at 0.77 calls per open put, a significantly more defensive stance.

Calls convey the right to buy shares at a fixed price in the future and usually are used to place bets on shares rising, while put options give the right to sell shares at a certain price in the future.

Options on the SPDR S&P Bank ETF (>> SPDR KBW Bank (ETF)) and individual bank stocks including Bank of America Corp also show a similar bullish bias in near-term contracts.

On Thursday, trading in XLF's options leaned toward bullish bets, according to options analytics firm Trade Alert.

(Reporting by Saqib Iqbal Ahmed; additional reporting by Sam Forgione and; Trevor Hunnicutt; Editing by Daniel Bases and Lisa Shumaker)

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed


ę Reuters 2017
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION -1.42% 43.84 Delayed Quote.46.72%
BEST INC. -7.93% 0.9575 Delayed Quote.-49.02%
CITIGROUP INC. -1.85% 62.52 Delayed Quote.3.31%
DJ INDUSTRIAL -1.34% 34022.04 Delayed Quote.12.67%
LETS HOLDINGS GROUP CO., LTD. 0.30% 6.7 End-of-day quote.-13.88%
LOOK HOLDINGS INCORPORATED -1.40% 1272 End-of-day quote.32.92%
MORGAN STANLEY 0.46% 95.26 Delayed Quote.38.36%
NASDAQ 100 -1.60% 15877.71678 Real-time Quote.27.24%
NASDAQ COMP. -1.83% 15254.052094 Real-time Quote.22.46%
S&P 500 -1.18% 4513.04 Delayed Quote.21.59%
THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP, INC. -0.66% 376.48 Delayed Quote.44.47%
WELLS FARGO & COMPANY -1.19% 47.21 Delayed Quote.58.32%
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2021 89 282 M - -
Net income 2021 30 102 M - -
Net Debt 2021 - - -
P/E ratio 2021 12,6x
Yield 2021 1,75%
Capitalization 364 B 364 B -
Capi. / Sales 2021 4,08x
Capi. / Sales 2022 3,92x
Nbr of Employees 209 000
Free-Float 99,8%
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Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 26
Last Close Price 44,47 $
Average target price 47,57 $
Spread / Average Target 6,97%
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Managers and Directors
Brian T. Moynihan Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Alastair Borthwick Chief Financial Officer
Catherine P. Bessant Co-COO & Chief Technology Officer
Thomas Kell Montag Co-Chief Operating Officer
Andrea B. Smith Chief Administrative Officer
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