Barclays PLC
Q3 2020 Results
23 October 2020
Jes Staley
Barclays Group Chief Executive
Diversification is a key strength of Barclays
Continued resilient performance, despite the severe global macroeconomic downturn
Strong CIB performance helping to offset recent income headwinds in the consumer businesses
12%
22%
Q320 YTD
Group income by customer1
15%36%
57%
Wholesale
Banking fees Markets Corporate Business Banking
Barclays is relatively well positioned in the current rate environment, given the Group's low reliance on net interest income compared to peers
Appropriate level of provisioning, while maintaining a strong capital position
Allowed Barclays to help our customers and clients through the crisis and play our part in supporting the economy
Barclays expects to be in a strong position
to support the recovery and generate attractive returns in the future
5%
9%
Q320 YTD | 37% |
NII as % of total | |
income |
63%
International Consumer & Payments
UK Consumer
37%
Net interest income
Net interest income
Other income
1 Excludes negative income from Head Office | Note: Charts may not sum due to rounding |
3 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Resilient performance in Q320 reflecting the Group's diversified business model
Resilient operating performance delivered Group PBT of £1.1bn
£5.2bn of income down 6% YoY, but CIB income up 11%, driven by a 29% increase in Markets income
Cost: income ratio of 67% reflecting short-term headwinds from spend on COVID-19 initiatives
Impairment of £0.6bn resulting in a loan loss rate of 69bps, materially lower than the H120 run-rate
CET1 ratio of 14.6%, 40bps higher in the quarter
Group Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) of 181% and liquidity pool of £327bn, representing 23% of the Group's balance sheet
Q320 Financial highlights
£5.2bn Income
67% Cost: income ratio
£0.6bn Impairment
£1.1bn PBT
14.6% CET1 ratio
275p TNAV/share
181% LCR
4 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
All businesses returned to profitability in Q320, with the benefit of the wholesale and consumer mix evident
- Group RoTE of 5.1% (5.5% excl. L&C) recovered from the Q220 low point of 0.7% (0.8% excl. L&C)
- Barclays UK (BUK) RoTE of 4.5% (5.2% excl. L&C) recovered from the loss experienced in Q220, but remains materially below the historical performance of the business
- Corporate and Investment Bank (CIB) has generated a consistently strong RoTE for the first three quarters of 2020. 9.5% (9.5% excl. L&C) RoTE in Q320 continues to support the Group RoTE, offsetting the consumer business weakness
- Consumer, Cards & Payment (CC&P) RoTE of 14.7% (16.5% excl. L&C) returned to pre-crisis levels after the losses experienced in the first half of 2020
1 RoTE charts exclude L&C | 2 Includes Head Office |
Group2
BUK
BI
CIB
CC&P
RoTE1
Q119 | Q219 | Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | |
9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | ||
0.8% | |||||||
16.4% | 21.2% | 18.7% | |||||
13.9% | |||||||
7.0% | 5.2% | ||||||
(4.6%) | |||||||
10.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 10.5% | |
9.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | ||
3.9% | |||||||
15.4% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 16.5% | |||
(23.5%) | (19.6%) | ||||||
5 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Consumer business activity recovered in Q320 from the April low point
Cards spending1 | Merchant acquiring turnover2 | Mortgages |
Cards spending in the UK and US
continued to recover in Q320 from the
April low point
YoY change in monthly spend,
2020 vs. 2019 (%)
UK credit | US credit | UK debit and | ||||||||||||||||
10% | cards | cards | credit cards | |||||||||||||||
2% | ||||||||||||||||||
0% | ||||||||||||||||||
(10%) | (13%) | |||||||||||||||||
(20%) | ||||||||||||||||||
(30%) | ||||||||||||||||||
(20%) | ||||||||||||||||||
(40%) | (36%) | |||||||||||||||||
(50%) | (44%) | |||||||||||||||||
(60%) | (55%) | |||||||||||||||||
Jan-20 | Feb-20 | Mar-20 | Apr-20 | May-20 | Jun-20 | Jul-20 | Aug-20 | Sep-20 | ||||||||||
Merchant acquiring turnover values continued to improve in Q320 from the April low point
YoY change in monthly turnover,
2020 vs. 2019 (%)
Corporate SME
30% | 12% |
20% | |
10% | |
0% | 4% |
(10%) | |
(20%)
(30%)(25%)
(40%)
(50%)
(60%)(57%)
(70%)
Jan-20 | Feb-20 | Mar-20 | Apr-20 | May-20 | Jun-20 | Jul-20 | Aug-20 | Sep-20 |
Mortgage application values recovered as
lockdown measures were eased, with
pricing at attractive margins
Mortgage application values (£bn)
4.3 | |||
4.0 | |||
3.3 | 3.2 | 3.0 | |
2.9 | 2.8 | ||
1.2
0.9
Jan-20 | Feb-20 | Mar-20 | Apr-20 | May-20 | Jun-20 | Jul-20 | Aug-20 | Sep-20 |
Certain headwinds to income in Barclays UK are expected to persist in 2021 including the low interest rate environment
The drivers of CC&P income are showing signs of recovery but the outlook remains uncertain
1 Data based on Barclays debit and credit card transactions, as per the monthly Barclays Spend Trends 2.0 report. UK credit cards spend excludes balance transfers | 2 Corporate includes turnover associated with Government savings products |
6 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Barclays has grown share in the Markets business since 2017, with a material outperformance versus peers in H120
Barclays share1
FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | H120 | |
Total Markets | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% |
FICC | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% |
Equities | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% |
- Since 2017, Barclays has materially increased share in both FICC and Equities
- Barclays' Total Markets share has increased from 3.6% at FY17 to 5.1% at H120, an increase of 41%
- FICC share has increased from 3.5% at FY17 to 4.9% at H120, an increase of 41%
- Equities share has increased from 3.8% at FY17 to 5.5% at H120, an increase of 45%
Total Markets share change (FY17 to H120)1
FICC share
change (FY17
to H120)1
Equities share change (FY17 to H120)1
Barclays | Average US banks | Average European banks | ||||||||||
US banks | European banks | |||||||||||
+16% | +2% +19% | +5% | +5% | +6% | ||||||||
(2%) | (4%) (20%) | |||||||||||
Barclays | Average US banks | Average European banks | ||||||||||
+13% | +5% +19% | +4% | +6% | +2% | ||||||||
(1%) | (2%) | (9%) | ||||||||||
Barclays | Average US banks | Average European banks | ||||||||||
+20% | +21% | +7% | +4% | +18% | ||||||||
(1%) | (6%) | (4%) | ||||||||||
(41%) | ||||||||||||
FY18 vs. FY17 | FY19 vs. FY18 | H120 vs. FY19 | ||||||||||
After a strong Q320 YTD CIB performance driven by Markets, the franchise is well positioned for the future
1 Source: Coalition, H120 Competitor Analysis. Share represents Barclays' proportion of the total Industry Revenue Pool. Analysis is based on Barclays' internal business structure and internal revenues. US banks comprised of JPM, Bank of America, Citi, GS and MS. European banks comprised of DB, CS, UBS, BNP, SocGen and HSBC |
7 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Remained open for business during the COVID-19 pandemic helping support the economy
Supporting | Supporting | Supporting | ||
our communities | ||||
customers | businesses | |||
and colleagues | ||||
Supported customers | Delivered UK Government | Used our reach to support communities | ||
in financial need with | support measures for small businesses, | and helped colleagues to serve | ||
payment holidays and fee waivers | large corporates and institutional clients | customers, clients, and their | ||
US cards | UK mortgages | communities safely | ||
Coronavirus Large Business | ||||
c.123k | Coronavirus | |||
c.234k | ||||
Interruption Loan Scheme | Business | |||
>640k | £100m | |||
(CLBILS) | Interruption | |||
payment holidays | c.£0.7bn | Loan Scheme | committed to | |
provided to | (CBILS) | the COVID-19 | ||
customers1 | c.£2.3bn | Community Aid | ||
UK personal | UK cards | c.£24.6bn | Package | |
loans and point | ||||
of sale finance | c.166k | of COVID-19 | ||
c.111k | support2 | |||
c.£100m | Covid | Government- | 65k | |
Corporate | ||||
of UK overdraft | Financing | backed Bounce | of 88k | |
interest and | Facility (CCFF) | Back Loans | colleagues | |
banking fees | c.£12.4bn | (BBLs) | working from | |
waived | c.£9.2bn | home | ||
1 Payment holidays granted as at 30 September 2020, total also includes German cards and loans, and Italian mortgages | 2 All business lending data as at 18 October 2020 and commercial paper issuance data as at 19 October 2020 | |
8 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Tushar Morzaria
Barclays Group Finance Director
Q320 YTD Group highlights
Group RoTE of 3.8% with 4% positive cost: income jaws1
Financial performance1
Income
£16.8bn Q319 YTD: £16.3bn
Costs
£10.0bn Q319 YTD: £10.1bn
Cost: income ratio
59% Q319 YTD: 62%
Impairment
£4.3bn Q319 YTD: £1.4bn
PBT
£2.5bn Q319 YTD: £4.9bn
RoTE
3.8% Q319 YTD: 9.7%
EPS
8.0p Q319 YTD: 19.7p
CET1 ratio
14.6% Dec-19: 13.8%
TNAV per share
275p Dec-19: 262p
Liquidity coverage ratio
181% Dec-19: 160%
Loan: deposit ratio
70% Dec-19: 82%
- Income increased 3%, reflecting a 24% increase in CIB income, driven by a standout performance in Markets, more than offsetting income headwinds in BUK and CC&P
- Costs decreased 1%, delivering positive cost: income jaws of 4% and improved cost: income ratio of 59%
- Impairment increased to £4.3bn, reflecting the impact from revised IFRS 9 scenarios and £0.7bn in respect of single name wholesale loan charges
- Impairment coverage ratios across portfolios have increased
- Net write-offs were c.£1.4bn
- Generated PBT of £2.5bn, RoTE of 3.8% and EPS of 8.0p2
- CET1 ratio increased to 14.6%, up 80bps from FY19 reflecting profits, regulatory measures, and cancellation of the full year 2019 dividend payment
- TNAV increased 13p to 275p reflecting profits and favourable reserve movements
- Liquidity position remained of high quality and prudently positioned following a significant increase in deposits, resulting in a liquidity pool of £327bn and Liquidity coverage ratio of 181%
- Loan: deposit ratio reduced to 70% reflecting material deposit growth, partially offset by increased lending through government loan schemes
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C | 2 Q320 YTD statutory PBT of £2.4bn, RoTE of 3.6% and EPS of 7.6p |
10 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Group highlights
Barclays continued to be profitable in the third quarter supported by a strong balance sheet
Financial performance1
Income
£5.2bn Q319: £5.5bn
Costs
£3.4bn Q319: £3.3bn
Cost: income ratio
65% Q319: 59%
Impairment
£608m Q319: £461m
PBT
£1.2bn Q319: £1.8bn
RoTE
5.5% Q319: 10.2%
EPS
3.9p Q319: 7.2p
CET1 ratio
14.6% Jun-20: 14.2%
TNAV per share
275p Jun-20: 284p
Liquidity coverage ratio
181% Jun-20: 186%
Loan: deposit ratio
70% Jun-20: 76%
- Income decreased 6% as continued strong performance in CIB, particularly in Markets, was offset by income headwinds in BUK and CC&P
- There was a gradual income improvement on Q220 in BUK and CC&P
- Costs increased slightly to £3.4bn, delivering a cost: income ratio of 65%
- Credit impairment charges increased £147m to £608m YoY, reflecting higher single name wholesale loan charges
- The Q320 charge is £1.0bn lower than Q220
- Net write offs were c.£0.5bn
- Generated PBT of £1.2bn, RoTE of 5.5% and EPS of 3.9p
- CET1 ratio of 14.6%, up 40bps from Q220 primarily driven by profits and lower RWAs
- RWAs reduced £8.3bn from Q220 to £310.7bn, as limited procyclical RWA inflation was offset by lower loan demand, regulatory tailwinds and FX
- TNAV reduced by 9p to 275p as profits were more than offset by lower reserves
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C |
11 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Gradual QoQ income improvement in consumer businesses and YoY growth in CIB
£6,283m | |||||||||||
£5,541m | £5,301m | £5,338m | |||||||||
£5,204m | |||||||||||
£2,617m | £3,617m | ||||||||||
£2,314m | Corporate and | ||||||||||
£3,316m | £2,905m | ||||||||||
Investment Bank | |||||||||||
£1,133m | £1,138m | ||||||||||
£1,027m | Consumer, Cards | ||||||||||
£876m | |||||||||||
£694m | and Payments | ||||||||||
£1,846m | £1,959m | £1,704m | £1,467m | £1,550m | Barclays UK | ||||||
Head Office | |||||||||||
(£55m) | (£110m) | (£65m) | (£139m) | (£127m) | |||||||
Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 |
Income +11% YoY
- Markets income +29%, driven by +23% in FICC and +40% in Equities
- Banking fees -11% as strong performance in debt and equity capital markets was more than offset by reduced fee income in advisory
- Corporate lending income +19% whilst transaction banking income - 12%, reflecting balance growth offset by deposit margin compression
Income -23% YoY due to lower balances in US co-branded cards and reduced payments income
Income -16% YoY
- Lower UK rates, lower unsecured lending balances and residual COVID-19 customer support actions
- Partial offsets from BBLs and CBILS, deposit balance growth and the transfer of the Barclays Partner Finance portfolio
BUK and CC&P income continued to be challenged in Q320, but recovered gradually from Q220
12 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Consumer businesses income still facing headwinds from the low rate environment
- Balances in UK and US cards began to stabilise in Q320, driven in part by recovery in spend volumes from the low point in April
- Balances remain below prior year levels due to credit card spend continuing to be down YoY
- UK cards balances also impacted by persistent debt regulation and actions taken to limit risk
- US cards no longer originating own brand cards
- Effect of lower rates less significant in Q320 vs. Q220 due to deposit re-pricing taking effect from Q320 onwards
- Expect continued lower structural hedge income across both product and equity structural hedges driven by maturing hedges being reinvested at lower rates
- FY20 BUK income headwinds, excluding the impact of lower Interest Earning Lending balances remain
- c.£250m from the lower rate environment (c.£55m in Q320, c.£180m Q320 YTD)
- c.£150m from the removal of certain fees and lower balances in overdrafts from High Cost of Credit Review (c.£50m in Q320, c.£100m in Q320 YTD)
- c.£100m impact of COVID-19 customer support actions excluding government loan schemes (c.£30m in Q320, c.£100m in Q320 YTD)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun | Jul | Aug Sep |
Lower UK cards | (8%) | (9%) | (10%) | (10%) | (14%) | (18%) | (21%) | (19%) | (19%) |
Interest Earning | 2% | 0% | |||||||
Lending | |||||||||
(13%) | (13%) | ||||||||
balances and | (24%) | (26%) (24%) | |||||||
net spend YoY1 | (49%) | ||||||||
(55%) | |||||||||
Lower US cards | (1%) | (1%) | (5%) | (14%) | (17%) | (18%) | (20%) | (20%) | (21%) |
End Net | 6% | 5% | |||||||
Receivables | |||||||||
(16%) | (22%) | (25%) (21%) (20%) | |||||||
(ENR) and net | |||||||||
(35%) | |||||||||
spend YoY | (44%) |
Balances | Net spend | |
Reduced rate environment in the UK and US
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | |
GBP base rate | Fed upper rate | 5Y GBP swap rate | 5Y USD swap rate | ||||||
Certain headwinds to income in Barclays UK are expected to persist in 2021 including the low interest rate environment
The drivers of CC&P income are showing signs of recovery but the outlook remains uncertain
1 UK credit cards spend excludes balance transfers |
13 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
FY20 costs expected to be broadly flat versus FY191, with the Group evaluating actions to structurally reduce the cost base
Bank Levy
Corporate and Investment Bank
Consumer, Cards and Payments
Barclays UK
Head Office
£3,534m | |
£3,293m | £226m |
£1,712m | £1,691m |
£570m | £549m |
£952m | £1,023m |
£59m | £45m |
Q319 | Q419 |
£3,253m | £3,310m | £3,391m | • Continued focus on cost discipline, but short-term |
headwinds remain from spend on COVID-19 | |||
initiatives | |||
− Q320 costs increased by £81m YoY to £3.4bn, | |||
driven by spend on initiatives to support | |||
£1,716m | customers, businesses, communities and | ||
£1,690m | £1,680m | colleagues | |
• FY20 costs will in part be predicated on Q420 | |||
income performance | |||
• UK bank levy will drive higher total operating | |||
£506m | £511m | expenses in Q420 vs. Q320 | |
£529m | • Evaluating cost opportunities from new ways of | ||
working and changes to customer and client | |||
engagement during the crisis | |||
£1,023m | £1,018m | £1,095m | |
£11m | £106m | £69m | |
Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | Q420 |
guidance |
The Group expects FY20 costs to be broadly flat versus FY191. However, the Group will be evaluating actions to reduce structural
costs, which could result in additional charges, the timing and size of which remain to be determined
1 Excluding L&C |
14 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 impairment charge reduced significantly from H120 quarterly run rate
2000
Group loan loss rate (bps)
£2,115m
223 |
£1,623m
£724m
179
Corporate and Investment Bank
Although reduced from the Q220 level, impairment increased £156m YoY primarily reflecting several single name wholesale loan charges
1500
1000
500
0
Consumer, Cards | Impairment decreased QoQ and YoY reflecting | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£596m | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
and Payments | lower US cards balances | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£885m | 69 | Impairment reduced from Q220, although was | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£414m | Barclays UK | above the historical run-rate of c.£200m per | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£608m | quarter due to the transfer of the Barclays Partner | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£523m | Finance portfolio and higher Business Banking | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£461m | impairment | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£30m | £187m | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£31m | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£299m | £583m | £183m | Head Office | Impairment related to Italian mortgages portfolio | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
£321m | £481m | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£101m | £190m | £233m | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£25m | £30m | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
£8m | £4m | £5m | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 |
Provided macroeconomic assumptions remain consistent with expectations, we expect the H220 impairment charge to be
materially below that of H120 and it is likely that the full year 2021 impairment charge will be below that of 2020
15 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 impairment was materially lower than the impairment build in Q120 and Q220
Components of impairment charge
2000
0
£2,115m | |||||||||||||
£370m | £1,623m | ||||||||||||
£424m | |||||||||||||
£523m | £1,340m | £608m | |||||||||||
£461m | £1,013m | ||||||||||||
£409m | £469m | £443m | |||||||||||
£405m | |||||||||||||
£52m | £54m | £186m | £155m | ||||||||||
Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 |
Q319-Q220
Single name wholesale loan charges
Impact of updated COVID-19 scenarios and weights, including benefit of support schemes
Other impairment
Q320
Single name wholesale loan charges
Impact of COVID-19 updates and other impairment
Baseline scenario macroeconomic variables (MEVs)
Jun-20 MEVs | Sep-20 MEVs | Expected | |||||||
worst | |||||||||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | point | |||
UK GDP1 | Annual | (8.7%) | 6.1% | 2.9% | (10.3%) | 6.2% | 3.3% | (59.8%) | |
growth | |||||||||
UK unemployment | Quarterly | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | |
average | |||||||||
US GDP1 | Annual | (4.2%) | 4.4% | (0.3%) | (4.4%) | 3.8% | 3.0% | (32.9%) | |
growth | |||||||||
US unemployment | Quarterly | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 13.0% | |
average | |||||||||
1 GDP based on Barclays Global Economic Forecasts; expected worst point based on seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) |
- Baseline UK and US macroeconomic variables have been revised
- The Sep-20 baseline scenario continues to assume a prolonged period of recovery in both economies
- The unemployment rate in the UK and US, which is the key economic variable for unsecured lending impairment, is expected to be heightened for a prolonged period, with a quarterly average peak at 8.1% and 13.0% respectively
16 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 impairment coverage ratios
Increased impairment coverage with the stage 2 unsecured coverage ratio of 23.8%
Wholesale loans
Credit cards, unsecured loans and other retail lending
Gross exposure (£m)
130,332 154,697 145,881
Impairment allowance (£m)
992 2,209 2,222
Coverage ratio
0.8% 1.4% 1.5%
Gross exposure (£m)
60,180 52,035 48,920
Impairment allowance (£m) | Coverage ratio | ||||
4,884 | 6,250 | 5,975 | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
3,386
2,359
3,282
3,409
10,432 43,635 35,707
117,541 107,676 106,892
Dec-19Jun-20 Sep-20
1,055 1,140
547 921 920
302
143 233 162
Dec-19Jun-20Sep-20
Home loans
23.2% 31.2% 34.7%
2.9% 2.1% 2.6%
0.1% 0.2% 0.2% Dec-19 Jun-20 Sep-20
3,463
10,7593,344
12,743 11,761
46,012
35,829 33,815
Dec-19Jun-20Sep-20
2,535 | 2,423 | 68.5% | 73.2% | 72.5% | |
2,335 | |||||
2,007 | 2,947 | 2,798 | 18.7% | 23.1% | 23.8% |
542 | 768 | 754 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 |
Total loans
154,911 157,141 158,303 | 432 | 502 | 497 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
2,155 2,258 2,234
17,043 20,271 20,074
135,713 | 134,612 | 135,995 | 346 | 397 | 392 | 16.1% | 17.6% | 17.5% | |||||||
64 | 83 | 85 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||||||||||
22 | 22 | 20 | |||||||||||||
Dec-19Jun-20Sep-20 | Dec-19Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | ||||||||||
Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | |||||||||||||
345,423 363,873 353,104 | 6,308 | 8,961 | 8,694 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | ||
7,923 | 9,107 | 8,860 | ||||||
38,234 | 76,649 | 67,542 | 3,986 | 3,955 | 40.7% | 43.8% | 44.6% | |
3,228 | ||||||||
299,266 | 278,117 | 276,702 | 3,951 | 3,803 | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | |
2,373 | ||||||||
707 | 1,024 | 936 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |||
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 |
17 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 impairment coverage ratios for credit cards, unsecured loans and other retail lending
UK and US cards coverage ratios of 16.4% and 14.2% respectively, with stage 2 coverage above 28%
UK cards
US cards
Gross exposure (£m)
16,457 13,639 12,821
796
899
5,059878
Impairment allowance (£m) | Coverage ratio | ||||
1,736 | 2,179 | 2,100 | 10.5% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
Gross exposure (£m)
22,516 19,887 18,135
1,480
1,557
2,7941,405
Impairment allowance (£m) | Coverage ratio | ||||
2,059 | 2,766 | 2,583 | 9.1% | 13.9% | 14.2% |
79.6% | 81.4% | 81.7% |
4,838 4,407
10,602
614 | 635 | 65.1% | 68.3% | 72.3% |
518
1,356 | 21.6% | 28.0% | 28.5% |
4,491
18,242
3,724
1,268 | 1,148 | ||
1,178 | 21.3% | 24.5% | 28.6% |
7,902 7,536
Dec-19Jun-20 Sep-20
1,095 | 1,258 | ||||
123 | 209 | 207 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 |
13,839 13,006
Dec-19Jun-20Sep-20
1,102 | 1,065 | ||||
594 | |||||
287 | 396 | 370 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 |
UK Personal loans and Partner finance
12,386 | 9,814 | 8,525 | 665 | 766 | 748 | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | ||
595 | ||||||||||
1,550 | 526 | 70.7% | 77.9% | 79.8% | ||||||
1,303 | 505 | |||||||||
1,478 | ||||||||||
10,241 | 10.5% | 19.3% | 16.2% | |||||||
410 | 403 | |||||||||
7,985 | 6,542 | 421 | ||||||||
162 | 251 | 240 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | |||||
105 | 105 | |||||||||
82 | ||||||||||
Dec-19Jun-20Sep-20 | Dec-19Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | |||||
Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | ||||||||
Germany and other unsecured lending
8,821 | 8,695 | 9,439 | 424 | 541 | 544 | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
538 | 481 | 556 | ||||||
40.6% | 50.3% | 42.6% | ||||||
2,152 | ||||||||
1,356 | 2,111 | |||||||
242 | 237 | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | ||||
6,927 | 6,103 | 6,731 | 218 | |||||
156 | 239 | 235 | ||||||
0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | ||||||
50 | 60 | 72 | ||||||
Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | Dec-19 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 |
18 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Payment holidays granted have reduced materially and balances outstanding are at low levels
UK mortgages1 | UK cards1 | |||||||||||||
Balances | 17,960 | 20,348 | 14,919 | 4,359 | Balances | 644 | 810 | 663 | 120 | |||||
outstanding (£m) | outstanding (£m) | |||||||||||||
Gross on | Payment holidays | 9,672 | 2,769 | 857 | 697 | Gross on | Payment holidays | 644 | 166 | 63 | 86 | |||
balance sheet | £4.4bn granted (£m) | balance sheet | £0.1bn granted (£m) | |||||||||||
exposure | 3% | exposure | 1% | |||||||||||
(210) | (629) | |||||||||||||
(15) | (381) | (11,257) | ||||||||||||
£145.9bn | Roll offs (£m)2 | (6,286) | £12.8bn | Roll offs (£m)2 | ||||||||||
Apr | May | Jun | Q3 | Apr | May | Jun | Q3 | |||||||
• The average current LTV of balances on active payment holidays is 63% | • Balances outstanding on payment holidays of £120m | |||||||||||||
• Balances outstanding on payment holidays of £4.4bn | • September balances outstanding are 85% lower than the peak in May | |||||||||||||
• September balances outstanding are 79% lower than the peak in May | • c.84% of payment holiday roll offs have returned to making regular payments | |||||||||||||
• c.99% of payment holiday roll offs have returned to making regular payments | (where a payment has been due)3 | |||||||||||||
(where a payment has been due)3 | ||||||||||||||
US cards1 | UK personal loans1 | |||||||||||||
Balances | 669 | 879 | 567 | 90 | Balances | 520 | 706 | 610 | 169 | |||||
outstanding (£m) | outstanding (£m) | |||||||||||||
Gross on | Payment holidays | 64 | 96 | Gross on | Payment holidays | 500 | 187 | 59 | 47 | |||||
balance sheet | £0.1bn granted (£m) | 465 | 219 | balance sheet | £0.2bn granted (£m) | |||||||||
exposure | <1% | (9) | (376) | (573) | exposure | 4% | (1) | (155) | (488) | |||||
£18.1bn | Roll offs (£m)2 | £4.7bn | Roll offs (£m)2 | |||||||||||
Apr | May | Jun | Q3 | Apr | May | Jun | Q3 | |||||||
• Balances outstanding on payment holidays of £90m | • Balances outstanding on payment holidays of £169m | |||||||||||||
• September balances outstanding are 90% lower than the peak in May | • September balances outstanding are 76% lower than the peak in May | |||||||||||||
• c.81% of payment holiday roll offs have returned to making regular payments | • c.77% of payment holiday roll offs have returned to making regular payments | |||||||||||||
(where a payment has been due)3 | (where a payment has been due)3 |
1 Q320 payment holidays data as at 30 September 2020 | 2 Roll offs represent accounts exiting the initial payment holiday where no further payment holiday has been applied prior to 30 September 2020. Customers returning to contracted monthly payments or requesting other forms of support are included in the roll off numbers. Roll offs include paydowns and exits | 3 Roll off month is the last month where no payment is due from the customer. September roll offs are required to make their first payment in October |
19 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Wholesale exposures are diversified and well covered, especially in selected vulnerable sectors
Wholesale exposure as at Sep-20 (1.5% coverage ratio)
Selected | Coverage ratio | ||||||||||
£18.6bn | 4.2% | ||||||||||
£145.9bn | sectors | ||||||||||
£48.9bn | Group | Wholesale | £67.1bn | Other | 1.9% | ||||||
on balance | corporates | ||||||||||
sheet | exposure | ||||||||||
exposure | £145.9bn | ||||||||||
£353.1bn | (41% of total | £15.9bn | ESHLA1 | 0.6% | |||||||
exposure) | |||||||||||
£22.5bn | Financial | 0.3% | |||||||||
Institutions | |||||||||||
£158.3bn | £21.8bn | Debt Securities | 0.1% | ||||||||
Wholesale lending | Home loans | Other retail lending | |||||||||
Selected vulnerable sector exposure as at Sep-20 (4.2% coverage ratio)
Air travel | 3.8% | ||||||||||||||
£1.3bn | |||||||||||||||
£127.3bn | £0.7bn | Shipping | 1.7% | ||||||||||||
£1.4bn | Transportation | 5.3% | |||||||||||||
Group | Selected | £3.3bn | Oil and gas | 7.8% | |||||||||||
£48.9bn | sectors | ||||||||||||||
on balance | |||||||||||||||
£18.6bn | |||||||||||||||
£4.9bn | |||||||||||||||
sheet | £18.6bn | (13% of total | Retail | 3.7% | |||||||||||
exposure | wholesale | ||||||||||||||
£353.1bn | exposure, | ||||||||||||||
5% of total | |||||||||||||||
exposure) | |||||||||||||||
£158.3bn | £7.0bn | Hospitality | 2.8% | ||||||||||||
Other wholesale lending | Selected sectors | Home loans | Other retail lending | ||||||||||||
1 Education, Social Housing and Local Authority |
- Well diversified portfolio across sector and geography
- Majority of exposure (>65%) is to clients internally rated as Investment Grade or have a Strong Default Grade classification. Non-Investment Grade exposure is typically senior and lightly drawn
- c.30% of the book is secured, increasing to >60% for the selected vulnerable sectors
-
c.25% synthetic protection provided by risk mitigation trades, increasing to >30% for some selected vulnerable sectors, resulting in a reduction in impairment of >£300m
YTD - Active identification and management of high risk sectors has been in place following the Brexit referendum with actions taken to enhance lending criteria and reduce risk profile
-
Covenants in place based on leverage, LTVs, and debt service ratios for clients in high risk sectors
Retail - top names are typically consumer staples, Investment Grade or secured against premises/subject to asset-backed loans
Air travel - tenor of lending typically with an average life of 2-4 years, senior secured for high yield counterparties and focused on top tier airlines in the UK and US
Oil & gas - exposure across a range of oil and gas sub- sectors globally, with majority to Investment Grade counterparties (including oil majors)
20 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays UK
RoTE of 5.2% reflects the impact of COVID-19 on the business1
Financial performance1 | • |
Income | |
£1.6bn Q319: £1.8bn | |
Costs | |
£1.1bn Q319: £1.0bn | |
Cost: income ratio | • |
71% Q319: 52% | |
Impairment | |
£233m Q319: £101m | • |
LLR | |
43bps Q319: 20bps |
PBT | • |
£221m Q319: £793m | |
RoTE | • |
5.2% Q319: 21.2% | |
Average equity2 |
Income decreased 16% in a challenging operating environment
- Impact of lower UK rates, lower unsecured lending balances and residual COVID-19 customer support actions
- Partially offset by income from BBLs and CBILS, deposit balance growth, and the transfer of the Barclays Partner Finance (BPF) portfolio
NIM increased 3bps QoQ to 2.51%
- Q420 NIM expected to be broadly stable on Q320
- Expect to be at top end of NIM guidance range of 2.50- 2.60% for FY20
Costs increased 15% YoY as efficiency savings were more than offset by higher servicing and financial assistance costs, as well as the transfer of the BPF portfolio and further investment
Impairment reduced from Q220, although was above the historical run-rate of c.£200m per quarter due to the transfer of the BPF portfolio and higher Business Banking impairment
Net L&A increased 5% YTD to £204bn predominantly through BBLs and CBILS lending, growth in mortgages and the transfer of the BPF portfolio, partially offset by lower
UK cards balances
Q319 Q419 Q120 Q220 Q320
1,846 | 1,959 | 1,704 | 1,467 | 1,550 | |
Total | 343 | 481 | 292 | 242 | 270 |
income | 1,503 | 1,478 | 1,412 | 1,225 | 1,280 |
(£m) | |||||
NII | Non-interest income |
Net | 3.10% | 3.03% | 2.91% | 2.48% | 2.51% |
interest | |||||
margin | |||||
(NIM) |
Impairment | 96 | 111 | 1000 | |||
20 | 38 | 43 | ||||
(£m) and | 500 | |||||
583 | ||||||
loan loss | 190 | 481 | ||||
101 | ||||||
rate (bps) | 233 | 0 | ||||
LLR | Impairment |
L&A to | 193 | 194 | 196 | 202 | 204 |
customers3 | |||||
(£bn) |
£10.1bn Q319: £10.4bn | • | |
RWAs | • | |
£76.2bn Jun-20: £77.9bn | ||
Customer deposits increased 13% YTD to £232bn reflecting lower spending levels and precautionary balance build
Loan: deposit ratio (LDR) of 91% reflects deposit growth and continued prudent approach to lending
Customer deposits4 (£bn)
226 | 232 | ||
203 | 206 | 208 |
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C | 2 Average allocated tangible equity | 3 Loans and advances at amortised cost | 4 Customer deposits at amortised cost |
21 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International
RoTE of 10.5% with stable income and impairment, and lower costs1
Financial performance1 |
Income |
£3.8bn Q319: £3.8bn |
• Income was stable at £3.8bn, reflecting strong |
performance in CIB, offset by lower income in |
CC&P |
− Income diversified by business and |
geography, with the US representing c.45% |
Income balanced across businesses and geographies
Costs |
£2.2bn Q319: £2.3bn |
Cost: income ratio |
59% Q319: 61% |
Impairment |
£0.4bn Q319: £0.4bn |
PBT |
£1.2bn Q319: £1.1bn |
RoTE |
10.5% Q319: 10.0% |
Average equity2 |
£30.6bn Q319: £32.2bn |
LLR |
112bps Q319: 99bps |
RWAs |
£224.7bn Jun-20: £231.2bn |
and the UK c.33% of income3 |
• Cost: income ratio decreased to 59% |
• Impairment charge of £0.4bn, reflecting single |
name wholesale loan charges in CIB and lower |
US cards balances in CC&P |
• RWAs decreased to £224.7bn due to reduced |
client activity in CIB and lower US cards |
balances, partially offset by a reduction in credit |
quality within CIB |
876
Business
diversity of
Q320 income
604 (£m)
610
8%
14%
Geographic diversity of H120 income3
(%)
33%
Markets
Banking fees
1,691 Corporate CC&P
Americas | |
45% | UK |
Europe | |
Other |
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C | 2 Average allocated tangible equity | 3 BBPLC H120 income, based on location of office where transactions were recorded |
22 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International: Corporate & Investment Bank
RoTE of 9.5% driven by strong income performance and positive jaws1
Financial performance1
Income
£2.9bn Q319: £2.6bn
Costs
£1.7bn Q319: £1.7bn
Cost: income ratio
- Overall CIB income increased 11% to £2.9bn
- Markets income increased 29%, resulting in the best ever Q3 on a comparable basis3
- FICC increased 23%, with particularly strong performance in credit, reflecting wider spreads
- Equities had its best ever quarter in GBP terms3, increasing 40% driven by equity derivatives, due to
higher levels of client activity and volatility | FICC |
• Banking fees decreased 11%, as strong performance in |
Income
GBP basis (£m)
Q319 Q320
YoY
+23%
816 1,000
USD basis5 ($m)
Q319 Q320
YoY
+31%
999 1,309
59% Q319: 65%
Impairment
£187m Q319: £31m
PBT
£1.0bn Q319: £0.9bn
RoTE
9.5% Q319: 9.2%
Average equity2
£26.4bn Q319: £26.9bn
Total assets
£1,043bn Jun-20: £1,010bn
RWAs
£193.3bn Jun-20: £198.3bn
debt and equity capital markets was more than offset |
by reduced fee income in advisory, which was impacted |
by a reduced fee pool4 and a strong Q319 comparator |
• Corporate lending income increased 19% reflecting Equities higher average drawn balances and fees on undrawn
balances
- Transaction banking income decreased 12% as deposit balance growth was more than offset by margin
compression | Markets |
- Cost: income ratio decreased to 59% reflecting higher income
- Impairment charge of £187m primarily reflecting single
name wholesale loan charges | Banking |
• Total assets increased to £1,043bn predominantly due | fees |
to an increase in secured lending, and cash at central | |
banks and securities within the liquidity pool | |
Corporate |
+50%
+40%
691 | 605 | 906 | ||
494 | ||||
+29% | +38% | ||||||||||
1,310 | 1,691 | 1,605 | 2,214 | ||||||||
(11)% | (5)% | ||||||||||
381 | 398 | 466 | 522 | ||||||||
86 | 122 | 105 | 160 | ||||||||
221 | 271 | ||||||||||
90 | 118 | ||||||||||
Advisory | ECM | DCM | |||||||||
Q319 | Q320 | Q219 | Q220 | ||||||||
424 | 372 | (12)% | |||||||||
195 | 232 | +19% | |||||||||
Corporate lending | Transaction banking | ||||||||||
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C | 2 Average allocated tangible equity | 3 Period covering Q114 - Q320. Pre 2014 financials not restated following re-segmentation in Q116 | 4 Data source: Dealogic for the period covering 1 July to 30 September 2020 | 5 USD basis is calculated by translating GBP revenues by month for Q320 and Q319 using the corresponding GBP/USD FX rates |
23 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International: Consumer, Cards & Payments
RoTE of 16.5%, with lower income offset by reduction in costs and impairment1
Financial performance1
Income
£0.9bn Q319: £1.1bn
Costs
£0.5bn Q319: £0.6bn
• Income decreased 23% YoY due to lower US | Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | |
co-branded card balances and reduced | 1,133 | 1,138 | 1,027 | (23)% | ||
payments income | 876 | |||||
413 | 421 | 694 | ||||
• Compared to Q220, income increased 26%3 | Total | 364 | ||||
358 | ||||||
Income | 181 | |||||
driven by spend recovery in the US and | ||||||
(£m) | 720 | 717 | 663 | |||
increased merchant acquiring turnover in | 513 | 518 | ||||
Payments, partially offset by lower US cards | ||||||
balances | NII | Non-interest income | ||||
Cost: income ratio
58% Q319: 50%
Impairment
£183m Q319: £321m
• | Total US cards net receivables were down 21% |
YoY and 5% down on Q220 | |
• | Costs decreased 10%, reflecting the transfer of |
the Barclays Partner Finance portfolio to BUK in | |
Q220 and reduced marketing spend on US co- |
US cards | 26.5 | 27.1 | 24.7 | (21)% | |
net | 22.0 | ||||
21.0 | |||||
receivables |
($bn)
LLR
211bps Q319: 283bps
PBT
£0.2bn Q319: £0.3bn
RoTE
16.5% Q319: 14.0%
Average equity2
£4.2bn Q319: £5.3bn
RWAs
£31.4bn Jun-20: £32.9bn
branded cards in the current environment |
• Impairment decreased QoQ and YoY reflecting |
lower US cards balances |
Impairment
(£m) and
LLR (bps)
Deposits4
(£bn)
Merchant acquiring payments processed (£bn)
900867714.2468 8913
6071552
8293976
64753910
8697815
8923
6071653
829307
64754920
869791
89330
6071754
6178938
4859307
63210
1578
3915
2000817473
63513160
43891
147
3980563
17639
5121504
379
1376
39895
176538
3541140
1369
132785
817143
635701
4133059
1817
398475
176336
35491
134907
13
398659
176235
3548110
13396
197
398558
176134
371
283 | 273 | 846 | 455 | 211 | 1500 |
321 | 299 | 414 | 1000 | ||
885 | 183 | 500 | |||
LLR | Impairment | 0 | |||
+2%
16.4 | 15.8 | 16.3 | 18.0 | 16.9 | |||||
49.1 | 48.0 | 48.6 | 49.3 | 49.9 | |||||
Private Banking | International Cards | ||||||||
+14%
68.6 | 68.5 | 66.4 | 78.3 | ||
57.8 | |||||
1 Relevant income statement, financial performance measures and accompanying commentary exclude L&C | 2 Average allocated tangible equity | 3 10% excluding the non-recurrence of a c.£100m valuation loss in Barclays' preference shares in Visa Inc | 4 Includes deposits from banks and customers at amortised cost |
24 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Head Office
Income
(£m)
Costs1
(£m)
Loss before tax1 (£m)
RWAs (£bn)
Average tangible equity (£bn)
1 Excluding L&C |
Q319 | Q220 | Q320 | • | Q320 negative income of £127m included: | |
- c.£30m residual negative income impact | |||||
from legacy capital instruments | |||||
(55) | (139) | (127) | |||
- Certain negative treasury items | |||||
• | - Hedge accounting losses | ||||
Q320 costs increased to £69m YoY1, including | |||||
COVID-19 Community Aid Package donations | |||||
(59) | (106) | (69) | |||
(116) | (318) | (191) | |
13.4 | 9.9 | 9.8 |
5.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | |
25 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 CET1 ratio increased to 14.6%
Reflecting resilient profits and reduced RWAs
CET1 ratio1 of 14.6% reflecting:
14bps | 2bps | 24bps | 10bps | ||||
40bps | |||||||
14.2% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | |
Jun-20 | Profit after tax, | Impairment | IFRS 9 | RWA | Other | Sep-20 | |
excl. | relief | excl. IFRS 9 | movements | ||||
impairment | and FX 2 | ||||||
CET1 capital: | £45.4bn | £1.3bn | (£0.5bn) | £0.1bn | (£0.9bn) | £45.5bn | |
RWAs: | £319.0bn | (£5.2bn) | (£3.0bn) | £310.7bn |
- 40bps of profit after tax, excluding impairment charges
- 2bps increase in IFRS 9 transitional relief
- 24bps of RWA movements excluding IFRS 9 impact and FX2
Partly offset by:
- 14bps of impairment charges
- 10bps from other movements
Sep-20 UK leverage ratios
- Spot: 5.2%
- Average: 5.1%
1 CET1 ratio is currently 330bps above the MDA hurdle. The fully loaded CET1 ratio was 13.9% as at 30 September 2020 | 2 FX on credit risk RWAs | Note: Chart may not sum due to rounding |
26 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
RWAs decreased over Q320
RWAs reduced as limited procyclical RWA inflation was more than offset by lower loan demand, regulatory tailwinds and FX
Jun-20
Credit risk book quality changes
Credit risk - net lending
Credit risk -
reg. tailwinds
Counterparty
credit risk
Market risk
FX 1
Other
Total RWAs (£bn)
• Anticipated procyclicality impacts only partially materialised in | ||||
319.0 | the quarter, with a £3.3bn increase in credit risk RWAs from | |||
asset quality deterioration | ||||
3.3 | • This was more than offset by a £7.4bn decrease in credit risk | |||
RWAs, reflecting: | ||||
Of which: | 3.9 | • £3.9bn decrease in credit risk due to book size, reflecting | ||
• | RCF net repayments £2.2bn | £2.2bn of net repayments of revolving credit facilities | ||
• | Other lending £1.7bn | (RCFs), and £1.7bn decrease mainly driven by retail lending, | ||
3.5 | net of lending through government schemes | |||
• £3.5bn regulatory tailwinds, largely driven by SME support | ||||
1.4 | factor | |||
• Counterparty credit risk and market risk net decrease of £1.1bn | ||||
0.3 | reflecting market volatility | |||
• We continue to support the economy with new lending and | ||||
3.0 | participation in government support schemes | |||
• Further RWA procyclicality could materialise over the next few | ||||
0.1 | quarters | |||
Sep-20310.7
1 FX on credit risk RWAs |
27 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Continue to manage CET1 ratio1 with appropriate headroom above MDA through the stress
Illustrative evolution of minimum CET1 requirements and buffers
MDA | Jun-20: | Sep-20: | |||
14.2% | 14.6% | ||||
hurdle | |||||
3.0% | 3.3% | ||||
12.5% | Down | ||||
headroom | 11.2% | headroom | |||
1.1% | |||||
130bps | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 120bps | |
10bps | |||||
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | |||
1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | |||
2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | ||||
Previous Dec-20 | Jun-20 | Sep-20 | ||||
requirement 3 | requirement 2 | requirement 2 | ||||
Pillar 1 requirement | G-SII buffer | Countercyclical Buffer (CCyB) | ||||
Pillar 2A CET1 requirement | Capital Conservation Buffer (CCB) | |||||
- Barclays intends to manage its capital position to enable it to support customers whilst maintaining appropriate headroom over the MDA hurdle, which is currently 11.3%2
- Headroom above MDA increased to 330bps as the regulators introduced measures to preserve the flexibility banks needed to extend credit to the wider economy, whilst Barclays consistently achieved strong capital accretion in each quarter of 2020
- The Group remains in a strong capital position and is confident of its capital generation capacity over time, acknowledging likely headwinds to the CET1 ratio from procyclical effects on RWAs and reduced benefit from transitional relief on IFRS 9 impairment
The Board recognises the importance of capital returns to shareholders and will provide an update on its policy and dividends
at FY20 results
1 CET1 ratio calculated applying the transitional arrangements of the CRR as amended by CRR II applicable as at the reporting date | 2 Barclays' MDA hurdle at 11.3% reflecting the new Pillar 2A requirement as per the PRA's ICR effective from 23 July 2020. Jun-20 MDA hurdle at 11.2% applies the new Pillar 2A requirement as at 23 July 2020 to the Jun-20 RWAs | 3 Previously expected Dec-20 requirement, following revision of the UK CCyB and Pillar 2A requirements by the PRA in December 2019 |
28 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
High quality and conservatively positioned liquidity and funding position
Highly liquid, comfortably exceeding minimum requirements | Conservative loan: deposit ratio2 |
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)
154% 169% 160% 186% 181%
Minimum requirement:
100%
31-Dec-1731-Dec-1831-Dec-1930-Jun-2030-Sep-20
Liquidity | |||||||||
220 | 227 | 211 | 298 | 327 | |||||
pool1 (£bn) | |||||||||
Liquidity | |||||||||
75 | 90 | 78 | 135 | 143 | |||||
surplus (£bn) | |||||||||
- Quality of the liquidity pool remains high, with the majority held in cash and deposits with central banks, and highly rated government bonds
- The change in the liquidity pool, LCR and surplus year to date is driven by a 19% deposit growth, and reflects actions to maintain a prudent funding and liquidity position in the current environment
- Liquidity pool of £327bn represents 23% of Group balance sheet
L&A3 (£bn) | Deposits3 (£bn) | LDR | |||||
83% | 82% | 76% | 70% | ||||
395 | 416 | 355 | 467 | 495 | ||
326 | 339 | 344 | ||||
31-Dec-18 | 31-Dec-19 | 30-Jun-20 | 30-Sep-20 |
- Loan: deposit ratio of 70% as at 30 September 2020, down 6% QoQ as deposits increased by £28bn, while loans and advances decreased by £11bn
Well positioned for future MREL requirements
32.8% | • Issued c.£6.6bn equivalent of | |
29.9% | MREL year to date | |
- Continue to expect c.£7- | ||
8bn of MREL issuance | ||
throughout 2020 | ||
Sep-20 | Jan-22 | |
HoldCo MREL | Illustrative | |
position | requirement4 |
1 Liquidity pool as per the Group's Liquidity Risk Appetite (LRA) | 2 Loan: deposit ratio is calculated as loans and advances at amortised cost divided by deposits at amortised cost | 3 At amortised cost | 4 Based on current Pillar 2A requirement. 2022 requirements subject to BoE review |
29 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Outlook: Diversification delivering resilient performance
Certain headwinds to income in Barclays UK are expected to persist in 2021 including the low interest rate environment
The drivers of CC&P income are showing signs of recovery but the outlook remains uncertain
After a strong Q320 YTD CIB performance driven by Markets, the franchise is well positioned for the future
The Group expects FY20 costs, excluding litigation and conduct, to be broadly flat versus FY19. However, the Group will be evaluating actions to reduce structural costs, which could result in additional charges, the timing and size of which remain to be determined
Provided macroeconomic assumptions remain consistent with expectations, we expect the H220 impairment charge to be materially below that of H120 and it is likely that the full year 2021 impairment charge will be below that of 2020
The Group remains in a strong capital position and is confident of its capital generation capacity over time, acknowledging likely headwinds to the CET1 ratio from procyclical effects on RWAs and reduced benefit from transitional relief on IFRS 9 impairment
The Board recognises the importance of capital returns to shareholders and will provide an update on its policy and dividends at FY20 results
Note: Outlook remains uncertain and subject to change depending on the evolution and persistence of the COVID-19 pandemic and the outcome of Brexit negotiations |
30 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Appendix
Support for customers in the UK1
Mortgages
Personal loans and
point of sale financing
Overdrafts
Credit cards
Vulnerable customers
and key workers
- Mortgage payment holidays granted for c.123,000 accounts
- 12 month interest only payments granted
- Payment holidays granted for c.111,000 personal loan and point of sale finance accounts
- Provided an interest free buffer as well as reduced and capped charges on overdrafts for 5.4 million customers
- Credit card payment holidays granted for c.166,000 accounts
- Late payment and cash advance fees waived for 8 million UK card customers
- 260,000 calls handled per week during the peak of the crisis, significantly up due to COVID-19
- NHS and key workers proactively identified and moved to the front of the queue
1 Payment holiday data as at 30 September 2020. All other metrics as at 16 October 2020 |
32 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Support for businesses1
Existing lending
and withholding fees
Supporting the
UK Government's
initiatives
Helping business and institutions to access the
global capital markets
- £14bn three year lending fund for UK SMEs
- Over £50bn of lending limits available to UK clients
- Free banking and overdraft fees waived for 650,000 UK SMEs
- 12-monthcapital repayment holidays for most loans over £25,000
- c.296,000 Government-backedBounce Back loans approved with a value of c.£9.2bn, c.9,700 Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CBILS) loans approved with a value of c.£2.3bn, and c.110 Coronavirus Large Business Interruption Loan Scheme (CLBILS) loans approved with a value of c.£0.7bn
- Central role in arranging c.£12.4bn of commercial paper issuance for clients through the Covid
Corporate Financing Facility (CCFF) - Sole relationship bank supporting the UK Government with the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme distributions to furloughed workers and Self-employmentIncome Support Scheme
- Led deals for 73 governments, government related clients and supranationals around the world in Q2 and Q3, raising £243bn. This includes deals for 15 European sovereigns, raising £77bn
- Underwrote over £1tn of equity and debt new issuance in Q220 and Q320
- In ECM supported 19 companies in the UK during Q220 and Q320 to raise £6.9bn
1 All business lending data as at 18 October 2020 and commercial paper issuance data as at 19 October 2020. All other metrics as at 16 October 2020 |
33 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Support for our communities and colleagues1
Supporting
communities
Supporting colleagues
- £100m committed to the COVID-19 Community Aid Package (for charity partners primarily in the UK, US, and India)
- Extended LifeSkills and Digital Eagles programmes to support home schooling and fraud prevention
- 65,000 of 88,000 colleagues working from home
- 3,000 of 4,000 UK call centre staff equipped with IT to work from home
- Enhanced wellbeing offering to help colleagues manage their physical and mental health
- Paid leave or reduced hours for colleagues caring for dependents, including children
- Four weeks paid leave for UK staff volunteering to support health or social care
- Used existing programmes to support any Armed Forces Reservists who were called up
1 Metrics as at 16 October 2020 |
34 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Our ambition is to be a net zero bank by 2050
Playing a leading role in tackling climate change
- Our ambition is to be a net zero bank by 2050
- Includes net zero direct and indirect emissions, and for the business activities we finance around the world, across all sectors, by 2050
- Our commitment is to align our entire portfolio of financing activities to the Paris Agreement
- We will achieve this through a clear strategy with targets and regular reporting, starting with, but not limited to, the power and energy sectors
3 Resolution put forward by the Board at the AGM on 7 May setting out our commitment to tackling climate change
4 Increasing restrictions in particular energy sectors
- Increased prohibitions on thermal coal, only financing entities where thermal coal represents less than 30% of revenue by 2025 and less than 10% of revenue by 2030
- No financing for energy projects in the Arctic Circle
- Helping to reduce the environmental footprint of Oil Sands
- Only financing clients who plan to materially reduce emissions intensity
- Considering the transition for the workforce and communities dependent on the industry in Canada
- No financing for EU/UK fracking and strengthened due diligence for fracking in the rest of the world
5 Increasing green financing to £100bn by 2030
• Commitment to further increase green financing
We have engaged extensively with shareholders and other stakeholders
We will provide more granular detail on metrics and targets in November 2020
35 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Interest rate sensitivity
Illustrative sensitivity of Group NII to a 10bps and 25bps parallel downward shifts in interest rates1
Change in NII based on illustrative scenario (£m)
10bps downward parallel shift in interest rates
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
c.(200) | c.(250) | c.(300) |
25bps downward parallel shift in interest rates
Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 |
c.(500) | c.(600) | c.(700) |
Commentary/assumptions
- This analysis is based on the modelled performance of the consumer and corporate banking book, and includes the impact of both the product and equity structural hedges
- It assumes an instantaneous parallel shift in interest rate curves and does not apply floors to shocked market rates
-
The NII sensitivity is calculated using a constant balance sheet,
i.e. maturing business is reinvested at a consistent tenor and margin - The sensitivity scenario illustrated suggests a consideration must be made in relation to our ability to pass through rate cuts to deposit holders as rates trend lower, including in a negative rate environment. The worsening impact versus H120 is primarily driven by margin compression on the growing deposit base. This scenario does not reflect pricing decisions that would be made in the event of rate falls and is provided for illustrative purposes only
- The sensitivities illustrated do not represent a forecast of the effect of a change in interest rates on Group NII
- Combined gross equity and product structural hedge contribution in Q320 was £0.4bn and £1.3bn in Q320 YTD
1 This sensitivity is provided for illustrative purposes only and is based on a number of assumptions regarding variables which are subject to change. Such assumptions might also differ from those underlying the AEaR calculation in the Annual Report. This sensitivity is not a forecast of interest rate expectations, and Barclays' pricing decisions in the event of an interest rate change may differ from the assumptions underlying this sensitivity. Accordingly, in the event of an interest rate change the actual impact on Group NII may differ from that presented in this analysis. The model does not apply floors to shocked market rates |
36 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Key macroeconomic variable assumption trends
GDP annualised
10.0%
5.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | ||
1.4% | 6.2% | |||||
0.0% | ||||||
(4.4%) | ||||||
(5.0%) | (10.3%) | |||||
(10.0%) | ||||||
(15.0%) | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | ||
House price index QoQ2
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
(1.0%) | ||||||||||||
(2.0%) | ||||||||||||
Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | Q420 | Q121 | Q221 | Q321 | Q421 | Q122 | Q222 | Q322 | Q422 | |
1 Quarterly average | 2 Halifax All Houses, All Buyers index | | | UK Baseline | ||||||||||
Unemployment rate1
14.0%13%
12.0%
10.0%8%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | Q420 | Q121 | Q221 | Q321 | Q421 | Q122 | Q222 | Q322 | Q422 |
Bank rate / Fed funds rate
1.4%
1.2%
1.0%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
(0.2%)
Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | Q420 | Q121 | Q221 | Q321 | Q421 | Q122 | Q222 | Q322 | Q422 |
US Baseline
37 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Retail portfolios in the UK and US prudently positioned ahead of the crisis
UK
secured
UK
unsecured
US
cards
- Focused on growing mortgage book within risk appetite
- c.50% average LTV of mortgage book stock
- Buy-to-Letmortgages represent only 14% of the book
- Early signs of credit deterioration following COVID-19 pandemic
- A suite of prudent risk actions taken, suspending proactive growth activity and reducing exposure/limits
- 0% balance transfers followed prudent lending criteria, with 96% of the balances having a duration of <24 months
- Diversified portfolio across segments with good risk/return balance
- Continuing our focus to shift strategy to co-branded cards whilst scaling back our branded cards presence
- Arrears rates improved in Q320, with delinquency trends relatively stable in recent years
UK mortgage balance growth within risk appetite
UK cards arrears rates increased marginally year-on-year
US cards arrears rates remained broadly stable year-on-year
H119 | FY19 | H120 | |||
£138.3bn | £143.3bn | £145.2bn | |||
67.1% | 67.9% | 68.4% | |||
50.1% | 51.1% | 51.5% | |||
Average LTV on flow | Average LTV on stock | Gross L&A | |||
Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | |
£14.9bn | £14.7bn | £13.6bn | £11.5bn | £10.7bn | |
1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | |
0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | |
30 day arrears | 90 day arrears | Net receivables | |||
Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | |
$26.5bn | $27.1bn | $24.7bn | $22.0bn | $21.0bn | |
2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | |
1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | |
30 day arrears | 90 day arrears | Net receivables |
38 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
UK cards conservatively positioned since the EU referendum, having reduced balances and taken other risk actions
UK cards balances have decreased whilst arrears rates are stable (£bn)1
£15bn | 16.2 | 16.2 | 16.5 | 16.1 | 16.2 | 16.3 | 16.4 | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 15.3 | 15.0 | 15.1 | 14.9 | 14.7 | 13.6 | 11.5 10.7 |
£10bn | 2.3% 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% 1.7% | |
£5bn | ||||||||||||||||
1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% 0.8% |
£0bn | ||||||||||||||||
30 day arrears | 90 day arrears | Net receivables |
Q216 | Q316 | Q416 | Q117 | Q217 | Q317 | Q417 | Q118 | Q218 | Q318 | Q418 | Q119 | Q219 | Q319 | Q419 | Q120 | Q220 | Q320 | |
30 day | 376 | 328 | 315 | 326 | 328 | 310 | 308 | 320 | 312 | 302 | 307 | 314 | 290 | 275 | 265 | 271 | 257 | 203 |
arrears £m | ||||||||||||||||||
90 day | 193 | 162 | 146 | 153 | 155 | 147 | 141 | 149 | 150 | 143 | 145 | 149 | 141 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 133 | 92 |
arrears £m | ||||||||||||||||||
YoY change in net credit card lending
5%
0%
(5%)
(10%)
(15%)
(20%)
(25%)
(30%)
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 YTD | |
UK Cards | BoE net UK credit card lending2 | ||||
- A suite of prudent risk actions were taken following the EU referendum in 2016, suspending some proactive growth activity and reducing exposure/limits by 13% (£8bn)
- These risk actions resulted in UK cards balances reducing from £16.2bn in Q216 to £14.7bn in Q419. This positioned Barclays well going into the current crisis, having not grown balances during this period
- We have seen early signs of credit deterioration following the pandemic, however the book has benefitted from limited late vintage lending in recent years
- Overall promotional balances have reduced by one third since Q419, as consumers deleveraged and we have engaged in limited balance growth activity
1 The material reduction in balances in Q118 can be attributed to the implementation of IFRS on 1 January 2018 | 2 Source: Bank of England: Monthly amounts outstanding of monetary financial institutions' sterling net credit card lending to individuals (in sterling millions) not seasonally adjusted. 2020 YTD Bank of England data to August month end |
39 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Loans and advances at amortised cost by selected sectors
As at 30.09.20 | Gross exposure (£m) | Impairment allowance (£m) | ||||||||
Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Total | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Total | |||
Air travel | 776 | 418 | 66 | 1,260 | 1 | 23 | 24 | 48 | ||
Hospitality and leisure | 3,633 | 3,103 | 243 | 6,979 | 11 | 113 | 74 | 198 | ||
Oil and gas | 969 | 2,017 | 346 | 3,332 | 5 | 82 | 174 | 261 | ||
Retail | 2,936 | 1,771 | 237 | 4,944 | 13 | 64 | 104 | 181 | ||
Shipping | 390 | 270 | 6 | 666 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 11 | ||
Transportation | 895 | 369 | 126 | 1,390 | 5 | 22 | 47 | 74 | ||
Total | 9,599 | 7,948 | 1,024 | 18,571 | 36 | 311 | 426 | 773 | ||
Total of Wholesale exposures | 9% | 22% | 31% | 13% | 22% | 34% | 37% | 35% | ||
As at 30.06.20 | Gross exposure (£m) | Impairment allowance (£m) | ||||||||
Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Total | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Total | |||
Air travel | 1,018 | 462 | 69 | 1,549 | - | 14 | 25 | 39 | ||
Hospitality and leisure | 3,567 | 3,600 | 236 | 7,403 | 18 | 121 | 75 | 214 | ||
Oil and gas | 1,427 | 2,389 | 407 | 4,223 | 19 | 99 | 185 | 303 | ||
Retail | 2,954 | 2,260 | 297 | 5,511 | 37 | 46 | 101 | 184 | ||
Shipping | 355 | 369 | 6 | 730 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 | ||
Transportation | 818 | 358 | 119 | 1,295 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 71 | ||
Total | 10,139 | 9,438 | 1,134 | 20,711 | 79 | 309 | 435 | 823 | ||
Total of Wholesale exposures | 9% | 22% | 33% | 13% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% |
40 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 TNAV movement
TNAV reduced 9p to 275p
TNAV (pence per share)
• | ||||
4 | 1 | 5 | ||
4 | ||||
2 | 2 | |||
1 | ||||
• | ||||
284 | ||||
275 |
Jun-20 | Earnings FVOCI reserve Own credit | Currency | Pension re- | Employee | Cash flow | Sep-20 |
reserve | translation | measurement share awards hedge reserve | ||||
reserve | reserve |
TNAV reduced by 9p to 275p due to:
- 5p reduction in the own credit reserve
- 4p reduction in the Currency Translation Reserve (CTR), due to the weakening of USD against GBP of c.4%
- 5p of other movements
Partially offset by:
- 4p of earnings
- 1p from Fair Value through Other Comprehensive Income (FVOCI) reserve movements
41 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
IFRS 9 transitional relief at c.75bps
Impairment migration to stage 3 would lead to capital impact as it is not eligible for transitional relief
Constructive regulatory action in Q220 gave greater relief
for stage 1 and 2 impairments
- 100% transitional relief for modified impairment post Dec-19 now applied until end-2021
- Transitional relief schedule for static component remained as before
- Total post-tax IFRS 9 transitional relief now stands at £2.5bn or c.75bps capital, broadly unchanged compared to Jun-20
IFRS 9 Transitional relief CET1 add-back (£bn)
£2.5bn | £2.5bn | ||||||||
£1.1bn | 1.6 | 1.6 | Modified | ||||||
1.1 | Static | ||||||||
0.9 | 0.9 | ||||||||
Dec 19 | Jun 20 | Sep 20 | |||||||
Relief Schedule | Pre-2020 | 2020 onwards | |||||||
2019 | 85% | ||||||||
2020 | 70% | 100% | |||||||
2021 | 50% | 100% | |||||||
2022 | 25% | 75% | |||||||
2023 | 50% | ||||||||
2024 | 25% |
Prudently positioned CET1 ratio in the event of stage migration
14.6% | CET1 ratio decline through: | |
• | Potential migration of impairments | |
IFRS 9 | • | into stage 3 |
Amortisation of transitional relief | ||
transitional relief | ||
c.75bps |
Sep-20 | CET1 ratio trajectory |
- IFRS 9 transitional relief applies to stage 1 and 2 impairments
- Our capital planning allows for decline in CET1 ratio as we progress through the stress from a position of strength
- Transitional basis of capital remains the relevant measure for our capital adequacy assessment by regulators
42 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Constructive regulatory actions supporting our capital position
Many regulatory actions in place for the medium term
and beyond
CET1 requirement
- Modification of Pillar 2A requirement1
CET1 capital
- IFRS 9 transitional relief on new Covid-19 related expected credit loss provisions2
- CRR software intangibles change (c.30bps expected benefit)3
- PVA4
RWAs
- Market risk changes, including VaR back-testing2,5,6
Expected timeline
FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 |
Q1 Q2 Q3
Pending PRA review
Applies under CRR 'Quick Fix'
1 The Pillar 2A requirement will continue to move, given the changes outlined in the new methodology outlined in the 7 May 2020 statement by the PRA | 2 Measures outlined in Regulation (EU) 2020/873, effective on 27 June 2020, as part of the CRR II 'Quick Fix' package, and adopted in H1 2020 reporting | 3 As outlined in EBA Consultation Paper EBA/CP/2020/11 on 9 June 2020. As noted in the PRA statement on the CRR 'Quick Fix' package published on 30 June 2020, the PRA will require more information on the software intangibles change, which could result in further changes to the Pillar 2 requirement. As referenced in the Regulatory Technical Standards EBA/RTS/2020/07 published on 14 October 2020, the regulatory amortisation period for software will be based on a 3 year time frame | 4 Measures adopted as part of amendments to Regulatory Technical Standard on Prudential Valuation | 5 :As per PRA guidance (30 March 2020) which allows the offset of market risk increases due COVID-19 related back testing exceptions against risks-not-in-VAR (RNIV); post Q3-20, as per CRR II "Quick Fix", discounting of COVID-19 exceptions is subject to PRA approval which has been granted for those exceptions observed to date | 6 Timeline refers to VaR back-testing|
43 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
2020 pension update
Capital benefit of £250m in Q2 due to UK Retirement Fund (UKRF) Trustee investment in Senior Notes
- As at 30 September 2019, the triennial valuation showed a funding deficit of £2.3bn with the difference to the IAS 19 surplus representing a different approach to setting the discount rate and a more conservative longevity assumption for funding
-
The Bank asked the UKRF Trustee to consider an investment in a gilt backed note (similar to the issued note in December 2019) in order to manage the capital impact of
2020 contributions to the UKRF. The UKRF Trustee agreed and: - In June 2020, the Bank paid £500m to the UKRF as 2020 deficit contributions; and
- In June 2020, the UKRF subscribed for non-transferrable listed senior fixed rate notes for £750m, backed by UK gilts (the Senior Notes). These Senior Notes entitle the UKRF to semi-annual coupon payments for five years, and full repayment of the subscription in cash in three equal tranches in 2023, 2024, and at final maturity in 2025
- As a result of the investment in Senior Notes, the regulatory capital impact of the £500m deficit contribution paid on 12 June takes effect in 2023, 2024 and 2025 on maturity of the notes. The £250m additional investment by the UKRF in the Senior Notes has a positive capital impact in 2020 which is reduced equally in 2023, 2024 and 2025 on the maturity of the notes
-
As at 30 June 2020, the Group's IAS 19 pension surplus across all schemes was £2.5bn (December 2019: £1.8bn). The UKRF, which is the Group's main scheme, had an
IAS 19 pension surplus of £2.8bn (December 2019: £2.1bn). The movement for the UKRF was driven by higher than assumed asset returns and lower expected long- term price inflation, partially offset by a decrease in the discount rate
Capital impact of deficit reduction contributions (£bn) | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Sum |
2020-26 | ||||||||
Based on 2016 Triennial valuation | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 |
Based on 2019 Triennial valuation | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 (paid | - | - | 2.3 |
in Q419)1 | ||||||||
Capital benefit of reduced contributions (pre-tax) | - | (0.3) | (0.7) | (0.7) | (0.5) | (1.0) | (1.0) | (4.2) |
Investment in Senior Notes | (0.75) | - | - | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | - | - |
Net capital impact (pre-tax) | (0.25) | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.25 | - | 2.3 |
Net capital impact (bps) - based on Jun-20 RWAs | (8)bps | 22bps | 9bps | 17bps | 24bps | 8bps | ||
1 £500m paid in Q419 relates to the unwind of the Gilt-backed notes issued as part of Heron |
44 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Managing evolving future Group minimum leverage requirements
Minimum leverage requirements and buffers under the UK regime | |||||||
• Headroom to minimum leverage requirement of | |||||||
Jun-201: | Sep-201: | 140bps in Q3, while the RWA based CET1 ratio remains | |||||
our primary regulatory constraint | |||||||
UK Spot: 5.2% | UK Spot: 5.2% | ||||||
• The Group currently has one leverage requirement, as | |||||||
UK Average: 4.7% | UK Average: 5.1% | ||||||
measured under the UK's PRA leverage regime. The | |||||||
Regulatory | |||||||
Headroom | requirement must be met on a daily basis, and is | ||||||
minimum | |||||||
Headroom | Headroom | reflected in the daily average leverage exposure | |||||
4.175% | |||||||
0.4% | 0.0% | 3.775% | 0.0% | 3.775% | • The UK leverage ratio reflects the netting of settlement | ||
0.525% | 40bps | 0.525% | 0.525% | balance assets and liabilities, which was permitted by | |||
the PRA in advance of CRR II's timeline since Q2 | |||||||
reporting |
• We expect further tailwinds to be realised when the remaining CRR II changes come into effect in June 2021
3.25% | 3.25% | 3.25% | • The CRR II leverage requirement, due to become | |||||
binding from June 2021, will only be at 3%, as the | ||||||||
G-SIB component will not apply until 2023 | ||||||||
Previous Dec-20 | Jun-20 | Current | ||||||
requirement 2 | requirement | requirement | ||||||
BoE minimum | G-SII leverage buffer | Countercyclical | ||||||
leverage requirement | Leverage Buffer (CCLB) | |||||||
1 Leverage ratio calculated applying the transitional arrangements of the CRR as amended by CRR II applicable as at the reporting date. This includes IFRS 9 transitional arrangements | 2 Previously expected Dec-20 requirement, following revision of the UK CCyB and Pillar 2A requirements by the PRA in December 2019 |
45 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Barclays is set up to continue serving clients based in the EU
European Union subsidiary operational with a significant number of clients migrated
- Barclays is well positioned to continue providing services in the European Union with minimal disruption ahead of the end of the Brexit transition period
- Barclays Europe, operating through Barclays Bank Ireland PLC (BBI), is now operational with nine branches across the European Union, and a significant number of relationships with EU based clients have now been migrated
- BBI obtained all regulatory authorisations and licences for its expanded activity in 2018 and is supervised by the Single Supervisory Mechanism of the ECB and the Central Bank of Ireland since 2019
- Barclays Europe fortifies the diversification of the Group's business, operating across Corporate, Investment and Private Banking as well as a credit card and consumer business in Germany1, with strategic investments to grow footprint
- Diversified, well balanced funding sources and strong liquidity ratios. MREL and capital provided from within the Group
- The entity reported a strong financial profile as of H120 with credit ratings in line with its immediate parent BB PLC
European footprint to service key markets
Sweden | ||||||||||||||||
• | Banking | |||||||||||||||
Ireland | Sweden | Germany | ||||||||||||||
• | Corporate | • | Barclaycard | |||||||||||||
• | Private | • | Corporate | |||||||||||||
Banking | • | Banking | ||||||||||||||
• | Markets | Ireland | Netherlands | • | Markets | |||||||||||
Germany | Netherlands | |||||||||||||||
Belgium | • | Corporate | ||||||||||||||
France | ||||||||||||||||
Luxembourg | • | Banking | ||||||||||||||
• | Corporate | |||||||||||||||
• | Markets | |||||||||||||||
• | Banking | France | ||||||||||||||
• | Markets | Italy | Luxembourg | |||||||||||||
• | Corporate | |||||||||||||||
Portugal | Belgium | |||||||||||||||
• | Corporate | |||||||||||||||
Spain | Spain | Italy | ||||||||||||||
Portugal | ||||||||||||||||
• | Corporate | • | Corporate | |||||||||||||
• | Corporate | • | Banking | • | Banking | |||||||||||
• | Banking | • | Markets | • | Markets |
Barclays Europe Key H120 Ratios and Credit Ratings2
IFRS assets | €92.5bn | Barclays Bank Ireland PLC, as at 22 Oct 2020 | |
CET1 ratio3 | 13.3% | Fitch | A+ / Negative / F1 |
LCR | 210% | S&P | A / Negative / A-1 |
1 The activity also incorporates a legacy Italian mortgage portfolio | 2 The ratings are equalised to those of Barclays Bank PLC, the immediate parent of Barclays Bank Ireland PLC | 3 CET1 ratio calculated applying the transitional arrangements of the CRR as amended by CRR II applicable as at the reporting date |
46 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Financial results tables
Other items of interest - Q320 vs. prior year
Other items of interest - three months ended (£m) | Q320 | Q319 | ||
L&C | ||||
PPI provision | - | (1,400) | Barclays UK | |
Other L&C across divisions | (76) | (168) | Group | |
Loss on Tradeweb position | - | (40) | Corporate & Investment Bank | |
48 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Group
Three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Income | 5,204 | 5,541 | (6%) |
Impairment | (608) | (461) | (32%) |
- Operating costs | (3,391) | (3,293) | (3%) |
- Litigation and conduct | (76) | (1,568) | 95% |
Total operating expenses | (3,467) | (4,861) | 29% |
Other net income | 18 | 27 | (33%) |
Profit before tax | 1,147 | 246 | >200% |
Tax charge | (328) | (269) | (22%) |
Profit/(loss) after tax | 819 | (23) | >200% |
Non-controlling interests | (4) | (4) | - |
Other equity instrument holders | (204) | (265) | 23% |
Attributable profit/(loss) | 611 | (292) | >200% |
Performance measures | |||
Basic earnings/(loss) per share | 3.5p | (1.7p) | |
RoTE | 5.1% | (2.4%) | |
Cost: income ratio | 67% | 88% | |
LLR | 69bps | 52bps | |
Balance sheet (£bn) | |||
RWAs | 310.7 | 313.3 | |
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Profit before tax | 1,223 | 1,814 | (33%) |
Attributable profit | 668 | 1,233 | (46%) |
Performance measures | |||
Basic earnings per share | 3.9p | 7.2p | |
RoTE | 5.5% | 10.2% | |
Cost: income ratio | 65% | 59% |
49 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays UK
Three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
- Personal Banking | 833 | 1,035 | (20%) |
- Barclaycard Consumer UK | 362 | 472 | (23%) |
- Business Banking | 355 | 339 | 5% |
Income | 1,550 | 1,846 | (16%) |
- Personal Banking | (48) | (36) | (33%) |
- Barclaycard Consumer UK | (106) | (49) | (116%) |
- Business Banking | (79) | (16) | >(200%) |
Impairment charges | (233) | (101) | (131%) |
- Operating costs | (1,095) | (952) | (15%) |
- Litigation and conduct | (25) | (1,480) | 98% |
Total operating expenses | (1,120) | (2,432) | 146% |
Other net expenses | (1) | - | - |
Profit/(loss) before tax | 196 | (687) | 129% |
Attributable profit/(loss) | 113 | (907) | 112% |
Performance measures | |||
RoTE | 4.5% | (34.9%) | |
Average allocated tangible equity | £10.1bn | £10.4bn | |
Cost: income ratio | 72% | 132% | |
LLR | 43bps | 20bps | |
NIM | 2.51% | 3.10% | |
Balance sheet (£bn) | |||
L&A to customers1 | 203.9 | 193.2 | |
Customer deposits1 | 232.0 | 203.3 | |
RWAs | 76.2 | 76.8 |
1 At amortised cost |
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Profit before tax | 221 | 793 | (72%) |
Attributable profit | 130 | 550 | (76%) |
Performance measures | |||
RoTE | 5.2% | 21.2% | |
Cost: income ratio | 71% | 52% |
50 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International
Three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | ||
- CIB | 2,905 | 2,617 | 11% | |
- CC&P | 876 | 1,133 | (23%) | |
Income | 3,781 | 3,750 | 1% | |
- CIB | (187) | (31) | >(200%) | |
- CC&P | (183) | (321) | 43% | |
Impairment charges | (370) | (352) | (5%) | |
- Operating costs | (2,227) | (2,282) | 2% | |
- Litigation and conduct | (28) | - | - | |
Total operating expenses | (2,255) | (2,282) | 1% | |
Other net income | 9 | 21 | (57%) | |
Profit before tax | 1,165 | 1,137 | 2% | |
Attributable profit | 782 | 799 | (2%) | |
Performance measures | ||||
RoTE | 10.2% | 9.9% | ||
Average allocated tangible equity | £30.6bn | £32.2bn | ||
Cost: income ratio | 60% | 61% | ||
LLR | 112bps | 99bps | ||
NIM | 3.79% | 4.10% | ||
Balance sheet (£bn) | ||||
RWAs | 224.7 | 223.1 | ||
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Profit before tax | 1,193 | 1,137 | 5% |
Attributable profit | 803 | 801 | - |
Performance measures | |||
RoTE | 10.5% | 10.0% | |
Cost: income ratio | 59% | 61% |
51 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International: Corporate & Investment Bank
CIB business performance - | Sep-20 | Sep-19 | % change | |
three months ended (£m) | ||||
- FICC | 1,000 | 816 | 23% | |
- Equities | 691 | 494 | 40% | |
Markets | 1,691 | 1,310 | 29% | |
- Advisory | 90 | 221 | (59%) | |
- Equity capital markets | 122 | 86 | 42% | |
- Debt capital markets | 398 | 381 | 4% | |
Banking fees | 610 | 688 | (11%) | |
- Corporate lending | 232 | 195 | 19% | |
- Transaction banking | 372 | 424 | (12%) | |
Corporate | 604 | 619 | (2%) | |
Total income | 2,905 | 2,617 | 11% | |
Impairment charges | (187) | (31) | >(200%) | |
- Operating costs | (1,716) | (1,712) | - | |
- Litigation and conduct | (3) | (4) | 25% | |
Total operating expenses | (1,719) | (1,716) | - | |
Other net income | 1 | 12 | (92%) | |
Profit before tax | 1,000 | 882 | 13% | |
Performance measures | ||||
RoTE | 9.5% | 9.1% | ||
Balance sheet (£bn) | ||||
RWAs | 193.3 | 184.9 | ||
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Profit before tax | 1,003 | 886 | 13% |
Performance measures | |||
RoTE | 9.5% | 9.2% |
52 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Barclays International: Consumer, Cards & Payments
CC&P business performance - | Sep-20 | Sep-19 | % change | |
three months ended (£m) | ||||
Income | 876 | 1,133 | (23%) | |
Impairment | (183) | (321) | 43% | |
- Operating costs | (511) | (570) | 10% | |
- Litigation and conduct | (25) | 4 | >(200%) | |
Total operating expenses | (536) | (566) | 5% | |
Other net income | 8 | 9 | (11%) | |
Profit before tax | 165 | 255 | (35%) | |
Performance measures | ||||
RoTE | 14.7% | 14.2% | ||
Balance sheet (£bn) | ||||
RWAs | 31.4 | 38.2 |
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Profit before tax | 190 | 251 | (24%) |
Performance measures | |||
RoTE | 16.5% | 14.0% |
53 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Q320 Head Office
Three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | ||
Income | (127) | (55) | (131%) | |
Impairment charges | (5) | (8) | 38% | |
- Operating costs | (69) | (59) | (17%) | |
- Litigation and conduct | (23) | (88) | 74% | |
Total operating expenses | (92) | (147) | 37% | |
Other net income | 10 | 6 | 67% | |
Loss before tax | (214) | (204) | (5%) | |
Attributable loss | (284) | (184) | (54%) | |
Performance measures (£bn) | ||||
Average allocated tangible equity | 7.6 | 5.8 | ||
Balance sheet (£bn) | ||||
RWAs | 9.8 | 13.4 |
Excluding L&C - three months ended (£m) | Sep-20 | Sep-19 % change | |
Loss before tax | (191) | (116) | (65%) |
Attributable loss | (265) | (118) | (125%) |
54 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
Disclaimer
Important Notice
The terms Barclays or Group refer to Barclays PLC together with its subsidiaries. The information, statements and opinions contained in this presentation do not constitute a public offer under any applicable legislation, an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any securities or financial instruments, or any advice or recommendation with respect to such securities or other financial instruments.
Information relating to:
- regulatory capital, leverage, liquidity and resolution is based on Barclays' interpretation of applicable rules and regulations as currently in force and implemented in the UK, including, but not limited to, CRD IV (as amended by CRD V applicable as at the reporting date) and CRR (as amended by CRR II applicable as at the reporting date) texts and any applicable delegated acts, implementing acts or technical standards. All such regulatory requirements are subject to change;
- MREL is based on Barclays' understanding of the Bank of England's policy statement on "The Bank of England's approach to setting a minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL)" published in June 2018, updating the Bank of England's November 2016 policy statement, the HM Treasury response to the consultation on the transposition of BRRD II published on 15 October 2020 and the non-binding indicative MREL requirements communicated to Barclays by the Bank of England. Binding future MREL requirements remain subject to change including at the conclusion of the transitional period, as determined by the Bank of England, taking into account a number of factors as described in the policy statement and as a result of the finalisation of international and European MREL/TLAC requirements as these are implemented in the UK;
- future regulatory capital, liquidity, funding and/or MREL, including forward-looking illustrations, are provided for illustrative purposes only and are not forecasts of Barclays' results of operations or capital position or otherwise. Illustrations regarding the capital flight path, end-state capital evolution and expectations and MREL build are based on certain assumptions applicable at the date of publication only which cannot be assured and are subject to change. The Bank of England will review the MREL calibration by the end of 2020, including setting Pillar 2A capital requirements, which may drive a different 1 January 2022 MREL requirement than currently proposed. The Pillar 2A requirement is subject to at least annual review.
Forward-looking Statements
This document contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, with respect to the Group. Barclays cautions readers that no forward-looking statement is a guarantee of future performance and that actual results or other financial condition or performance measures could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate only to historical or current facts. Forward-looking statements sometimes use words such as 'may', 'will', 'seek', 'continue', 'aim', 'anticipate', 'target', 'projected', 'expect', 'estimate', 'intend', 'plan', 'goal', 'believe', 'achieve' or other words of similar meaning. Forward-looking statements can be made in writing but also may be made verbally by members of the management of the Group (including, without limitation, during management presentations to financial analysts) in connection with this document. Examples of forward- looking statements include, among others, statements or guidance regarding or relating to the Group's future financial position, income growth, assets, impairment charges, provisions, business strategy, capital, leverage and other regulatory ratios, payment of dividends (including dividend payout ratios and expected payment strategies), projected levels of growth in the banking and financial markets, projected costs or savings, any commitments and targets, estimates of capital expenditures, plans and objectives for future operations, projected employee numbers, IFRS impacts and other statements that are not historical fact. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances. The forward-looking statements speak only as at the date on which they are made and such statements may be affected by changes in legislation, the development of standards and interpretations under IFRS, including evolving practices with regard to the interpretation and application of accounting and regulatory standards, the outcome of current and future legal proceedings and regulatory investigations, future levels of conduct provisions, the policies and actions of governmental and regulatory authorities, geopolitical risks and the impact of competition. In addition, factors including (but not limited to) the following may have an effect: capital, leverage and other regulatory rules applicable to past, current and future periods; UK, US, Eurozone and global macroeconomic and business conditions; the effects of any volatility in credit markets; market related risks such as changes in interest rates and foreign exchange rates; effects of changes in valuation of credit market exposures; changes in valuation of issued securities; volatility in capital markets; changes in credit ratings of any entity within the Group or any securities issued by such entities; direct and indirect impacts of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic; instability as a result of the exit by the UK from the European Union (EU) (including the outcome of negotiations concerning the UK's future trading and security relationship with the EU) and the disruption that may subsequently result in the UK and globally; and the success of future acquisitions, disposals and other strategic transactions. A number of these influences and factors are beyond the Group's control. As a result, the Group's actual financial position, future results, dividend payments, capital, leverage or other regulatory ratios or other financial and non-financial metrics or performance measures may differ materially from the statements or guidance set forth in the Group's forward-looking statements. Additional risks and factors which may impact the Group's future financial condition and performance are identified in our filings with the SEC (including, without limitation, our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended 31 December 2019 and our 2020 Interim Results Announcement for the six months ended 30 June 2020 filed on Form 6-K), which are available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
Subject to our obligations under the applicable laws and regulations of any relevant jurisdiction, (including, without limitation, the UK and the US), in relation to disclosure and ongoing information, we undertake no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Non-IFRS Performance Measures
Barclays management believes that the non-IFRS performance measures included in this document provide valuable information to the readers of the financial statements as they enable the reader to identify a more consistent basis for comparing the businesses' performance between financial periods and provide more detail concerning the elements of performance which the managers of these businesses are most directly able to influence or are relevant for an assessment of the Group. They also reflect an important aspect of the way in which operating targets are defined and performance is monitored by Barclays management. However, any non-IFRS performance measures in this document are not a substitute for IFRS measures and readers should consider the IFRS measures as well.
55 | Barclays Q3 2020 Results | 23 October 2020
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Barclays plc published this content on 23 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 23 October 2020 07:29:04 UTC