Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,538 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,637 13,800 14,774
Change - -59.32% -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 38.56% 9.2% 7.06%
Announcement Date 8/17/20 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,640 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 10,147 10,164 9,993
Change - -13.53% -11.37% 15% 30.94% 15.09% 0.17% -1.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,066 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 7,614 7,632 7,088
Change - 149.37% 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -35.74% 0.24% -7.13%
Announcement Date 8/17/20 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.89% 53.28% 51.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 36.98% 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.42% 40.23% 37.79%
EBT Margin (%) 31.47% 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 36.7% 38.67% 37.03%
Net margin (%) 18.53% 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 21.16% 22.97% 21.88%
FCF margin (%) 18.79% 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 14.98% 15.15% 14.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.38% 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 70.78% 65.96% 66.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.81% 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 12.34% 12.24% 11.04%
ROE 19.03% 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 23.05% 23.04% 19.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.61x 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.49x 0.51x 0.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.68x 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.66x 1.81x 2.08x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.8% 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 19.96% 20.17% 20.42%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.62% 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 39.22% 37.87% 39.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.72% 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 133.26% 133.17% 140.97%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.098 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.73 3.729 3.635
Change - 73.43% 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -8.36% -0.03% -2.51%
Dividend per Share 1 1.2 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.091 1.178 1.14
Change - 150.83% 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -25.25% 7.9% -3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.479 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.47 10.6 11.43
Change - 6.94% -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 7.15% 11.89% 7.91%
EPS 1 1.57 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 2.091 2.308 2.111
Change - 42.36% 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 34.48% 10.36% -8.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,056,735 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,072,340 5,072,340 5,072,340
Announcement Date 8/17/20 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.3x 11.2x
PBR 2.72x 2.43x
EV / Sales 2.82x 2.87x
Yield 4.23% 4.57%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
25.78USD
Average target price
28.03USD
Spread / Average Target
+8.71%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited