Projected Income Statement: BHP Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 14,849 15,681 14,909
Change - -93.95% 3,253.15% -18.32% 41.71% 14.89% 5.6% -4.92%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 6,606 5,855 6,733 8,816 9,398 10,629 10,568 9,798
Change - -11.37% 15% 30.94% 6.6% 13.1% -0.57% -7.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 20,114 25,215 11,968 11,849 9,294 8,763 8,747 9,902
Change - 25.36% -52.54% -0.99% -21.56% -5.71% -0.18% 13.2%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BHP Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 61.46% 62.42% 51.95% 52.13% 50.72% 54.27% 53.81% 52.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 49.81% 52.84% 42.4% 42.46% 39.48% 42.91% 41.69% 39.77%
EBT Margin (%) 40.45% 50.9% 39.77% 28.83% 35.8% 40.62% 39.02% 37.77%
Net margin (%) 18.59% 47.47% 24.01% 14.19% 17.59% 21.91% 21.92% 21.6%
FCF margin (%) 33.07% 38.73% 22.24% 21.29% 18.13% 16.8% 17.33% 19.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 177.94% 81.6% 92.62% 150.04% 103.05% 76.71% 79.05% 89.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.91% 30.28% 13.15% 13.41% 9.62% 12.75% 11.19% 10.66%
ROE 31.69% 49.5% 28.89% 30.59% 21.97% 22.45% 19.15% 17.69%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.15x 0.01x 0.4x 0.31x 0.5x 0.52x 0.58x 0.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.27x 0.01x 0.93x 0.77x 1.39x 1.69x 1.79x 1.51x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.86% 8.99% 12.51% 15.84% 18.33% 20.38% 20.93% 19.08%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.67% 14.41% 24.08% 30.38% 36.15% 37.56% 38.9% 36.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 32.84% 23.22% 56.26% 74.4% 101.12% 121.29% 120.82% 98.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.374 5.775 3.686 4.07 3.677 3.738 4.076 4.028
Change - 7.47% -36.17% 10.41% -9.65% 1.64% 9.05% -1.17%
Dividend per Share 1 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.218 1.161 1.06
Change - 7.97% -47.69% -14.12% -24.66% 10.74% -4.71% -8.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.14 8.882 8.786 8.838 9.392 10.28 11.23 12.21
Change - -12.38% -1.09% 0.59% 6.26% 9.46% 9.2% 8.8%
EPS 1 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.329 2.328 2.262
Change - 172.62% -58.2% -38.95% 14.08% 31.27% -0.03% -2.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,057,690 5,061,151 5,064,466 5,069,816 5,075,992 5,077,908 5,077,908 5,077,908
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/15/22 8/21/23 8/26/24 8/18/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.6x 12.6x
PBR 2.86x 2.62x
EV / Sales 3.15x 3.27x
Yield 4.14% 3.94%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
29.44USD
Average target price
29.32USD
Spread / Average Target
-0.39%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BHP Stock
  4. Financials BHP Group Limited