Projected Income Statement: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 771 539 132 372 - 368 194 66
Change - -30.09% -75.51% 181.82% - - -47.28% -65.98%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 289.7 232.5 368.2 307.9 282 291.5 353
Change - -19.74% 58.39% -16.38% - 3.38% 21.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -101.5 307.3 585.5 12.61 206.6 245 22
Change - -402.74% 90.54% -97.85% - 18.61% -91.02%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 38.45% 62.97% 73.04% 47.09% 45.9% 71.11% 58.34% -
EBIT Margin (%) - -7.78% 40.15% 57.08% 16.46% 3.88% - - -
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
FCF margin (%) - -19.2% 32.95% 43.68% 1.71% - 25.47% 25.93% -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA -1.24% -1.04% 9.27% 17.84% 0.88% 2.26% - - -
ROE -3.19% -3.48% 17.75% 30.34% 0.42% 2.54% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 3.8x 0.92x 0.13x 1.07x - 0.64x 0.35x 0.13x
Debt / Free cash flow - -7.6x 1.75x 0.23x 29.5x - 1.78x 0.79x 3x

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 54.81% 24.93% 27.48% 41.63% - 34.77% 30.85% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 142.54% 39.6% 37.62% 88.41% - 48.9% 52.88% 67.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -285.41% 75.66% 62.9% 2,441.26% - 136.51% 118.98% 1,604.55%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.69 2.03 3.47 1.15 0.8119 1.778 1.915 1.46
Change - - 194.2% 70.94% -66.86% -29.4% 118.99% 7.72% -23.77%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.0413 0.025 0.27 0.8 - 0.12 0.12 0.12
Change - - -39.47% 980% 196.3% - - 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 - -0.23 - 2.38 0.04 0.21 1 0.87 -
Change - - - - -98.32% 425% 376.19% -13% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 265,939 265,176 265,937 266,543 270,306 271,661 271,661 271,661
Announcement Date - 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 5.74x 6.6x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 2.38x 1.86x
Yield 2.09% 2.09%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
5.740CAD
Average target price
7.455CAD
Spread / Average Target
+29.87%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BIR Stock
  4. Financials Birchcliff Energy Ltd.