Projected Income Statement: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 771 539 132 372 567 456 325 218
Change - -30.09% -75.51% 181.82% 52.42% -19.55% -28.73% -32.92%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 289.7 232.5 368.2 307.9 282.7 295.8 357.7 360.2
Change - -19.74% 58.39% -16.38% -8.17% 4.63% 20.9% 0.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -101.5 307.3 585.5 12.61 -61.77 116.8 191.7 179.6
Change - 402.74% 90.54% -97.85% -589.7% 289.02% 64.23% -6.35%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Birchcliff Energy Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 38.45% 62.97% 73.04% 47.09% 45.9% 58.96% 66.12% 80.03%
EBIT Margin (%) - -7.78% 40.15% 57.08% 16.46% 3.88% - - -
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) - - - - - - 7.65% 21.49% -
FCF margin (%) - -19.2% 32.95% 43.68% 1.71% -10.52% 16.54% 22.39% 24.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - 216.2% 104.2% -

Profitability

         
ROA -1.24% -1.04% 9.27% 17.84% 0.88% 2.26% - - -
ROE -3.19% -3.48% 17.75% 30.34% 0.42% 2.54% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 3.8x 0.92x 0.13x 1.07x 2.1x 1.1x 0.57x 0.38x
Debt / Free cash flow - -7.6x 1.75x 0.23x 29.5x -9.18x 3.91x 1.69x 1.22x

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 54.81% 24.93% 27.48% 41.63% 48.17% 41.9% 41.77% 49.68%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 142.54% 39.6% 37.62% 88.41% 104.94% 71.07% 63.16% 62.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -285.41% 75.66% 62.9% 2,441.26% -457.77% 253.4% 186.54% 200.62%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.69 2.03 3.47 1.15 0.8119 1.534 1.92 1.982
Change - - 194.2% 70.94% -66.86% -29.4% 88.95% 25.15% 3.21%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.0413 0.025 0.27 0.8 0.4 0.12 0.12 0.12
Change - - -39.47% 980% 196.3% -50% -70% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 - -0.23 - 2.38 0.04 0.21 0.23 0.7 0.785
Change - - - - -98.32% 425% 9.52% 204.35% 12.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 265,939 265,176 265,937 266,543 270,306 273,380 273,380 273,380
Announcement Date - 2/10/21 2/9/22 3/15/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 32x 10.5x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 3.5x 2.73x
Yield 1.63% 1.63%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
7.360CAD
Average target price
8.604CAD
Spread / Average Target
+16.90%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BIR Stock
  4. Financials Birchcliff Energy Ltd.