Projected Income Statement: BP PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 50,815 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 29,124 27,327 25,198
Change - -23.59% -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% 26.64% -6.17% -7.79%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 12,306 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,156 14,301 14,395
Change - -11.53% 50% -12.52% 7.08% -7.46% 1.02% 0.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -144 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 10,103 10,580 12,164
Change - 8,936.81% 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -15.81% 4.72% 14.97%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP PLC

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.68% 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.32% 19.82% 19.13%
EBIT Margin (%) -1.58% 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 10.43% 10.35%
EBT Margin (%) -13.8% 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 6.52% 7.88% 8.07%
Net margin (%) -11.26% 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 3.23% 4.24% 4.56%
FCF margin (%) -0.08% 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.33% 5.95% 6.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 0.71% 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 165.06% 140.57% 139.9%

Profitability

        
ROA -2.02% 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.56% 2.5% 2.82%
ROE -6.71% 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 12.53% 11.88% 13.74%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.22x 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.8x 0.78x 0.69x
Debt / Free cash flow -352.88x 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.88x 2.58x 2.07x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.82% 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.47% 8.05% 7.56%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 102.2% 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.68% 40.61% 39.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -8,545.83% 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 140.12% 135.17% 118.34%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6014 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.574 1.633 1.711
Change - 93.78% 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -3.06% 3.78% 4.78%
Dividend per Share 1 0.315 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3285 0.34 0.3558
Change - -31.33% 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.04% 3.51% 4.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.524 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.761 3.862 4.04
Change - 5.71% -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% 0.64% 2.66% 4.61%
EPS 1 -1.004 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.4057 0.4939 0.5862
Change - 137.17% -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% 1,648.75% 21.74% 18.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 20,169,694 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,309,350 15,309,350 15,309,350
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14.6x 12x
PBR 1.58x 1.54x
EV / Sales 0.63x 0.67x
Yield 5.53% 5.72%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
5.941USD
Average target price
6.270USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.54%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise