Brookfield Property Partners
INVESTOR DAY
SEPTEMBER 24, 2020
Agenda
Overview and 12-Month Review | 3 |
Brian Kingston, Chief Executive Officer
Retail Real Estate - State of the Industry | 14 |
Meredith Darnall, SVP, Business Intelligence & Strategy | |
Financial Update | 29 |
Bryan Davis, Chief Financial Officer |
Q&A
Overview and 12-Month Review
BRIAN KINGSTON
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Global Owner, Developer and Operator of High-Quality Real Estate
Investment Portfolio Characteristics
CORE OFFICE
- 134 premier office properties
- 94 million square feet
CORE RETAIL
- 122 best-in-class retail properties
- Over 120 million square feet
LP INVESTMENTS
- High-qualityassets and portfolios with operational upside
- Sectors include office, retail and alternative asset classes
$86B1
Total Assets
$25B1
Unitholder Equity
$0.3325
Quarterly Distribution
Per Unit
11.6%2
Distribution Yield
1. | As of June 30, 2020 and on a proportionate basis. | |
4 | ||
2. | Based on BPY's closing price of $11.45 on the Nasdaq Stock Market, as of September 18, 2020. |
Invested Capital by Sector
2020
OFFICE | |
LP INVESTMENTS | 43% |
15%
100%
DIRECT
RETAIL
42%
5
State of the Market
Phases in 1 year...
February 2020
September 2020
September 2019 | |||
Business | Economic | June 2020 | Recovery |
as Usual | Shutdown |
6
Phase I - Business as Usual
During Q4 2019 and Q1 2020, we completed
Office Leasing | • 5.3 million sq. feet at premiums to expiring rents |
Retail Leasing | • 4.2 million sq. feet at premiums to expiring rents |
Capital Recycling | • Realized $674 million of net proceeds from $1.3 billion |
in asset sales at 7% premium to IFRS values | |
Development | • Reached practical completion on One Manhattan West & |
100 Bishopsgate | |
7
Phase II - Economic Shutdown
Despite a shutdown of the global economy, our assets were resilient:
- Rent collection in office, logistics, multifamily remained above 90%
- Best-in-classoperating procedures developed for shutdowns & reopenings
- IFC Seoul Case Study: In Q2 2020...
90% 107,000sf
Occupancy New
Maintained Leasing
48,000sf | 15 | |
Lease | New Leases | |
Renewals | in Progress | IFC SEOUL |
SOUTH KOREA |
8
Phase III - Reopening & Recovery
World-leadingsafety measures in place, including:
Bi-polar ionization air filtration
Temperature screening
Widely available PPE, hand sanitization, etc.
Enhanced surface cleaning
Allowed 85% of our US retail tenants to reopen by July 4th weekend
9
Trading Update
Unit performance over last 12 months is in line with peers
1 YR PRICE PERFORMANCE
100 | |||||||||||
90 | |||||||||||
80 | |||||||||||
70 | |||||||||||
60 | |||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||
40 | |||||||||||
30 | |||||||||||
9/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 11/30/2019 | 12/31/2019 | 1/31/2020 | 2/29/2020 | 3/31/2020 | 4/30/2020 | 5/31/2020 | 6/30/2020 | 7/31/2020 | 8/31/2020 |
BPY | Shadow REIT |
10
2020 Outlook
The worst is behind us
Capital Markets are accommodating and capital is plentiful Operating environment for our tenants is key challenge Urbanization is not slowing down
11
The Future of Cities
Population and number of urban clusters by size
5000 | ||||||||
43 cities | ||||||||
(millions) | 4000 | 66 cities | ||||||
33 cities | ||||||||
48 cities | 597 cities | |||||||
Population | 3000 | 467 cities | ||||||
2000 | 243 cities | 710 cities | ||||||
598 cities | ||||||||
10 cities | ||||||||
Total | 21 cities | |||||||
301 cities | ||||||||
1000 | ||||||||
0 | ||||||||
1990 | 2018 | 2030 | ||||||
Megacities of 10 million or more
Large cities of 5 to 10 million
Medium-sized cities of 1 to 5 million
Cities of 500,000 to 1 million
Urban settlements with fewer than 500,000
Data source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2018a). World Urbanization Prospects 2018. | 12 |
The Future of the Office
Working from home will become a supplement to, rather than a substitute for, the office
- Incubating a dynamic corporate culture
- Long-termemployee development and company growth
- Physical workspace drives employee recruitment, connectivity and productivity
- Increased workspace flexibility
- Demand for more personal space in the office
13
Retail Real Estate - State of the Industry
MEREDITH DARNALL
SVP, BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE AND STRATEGY
Retail is here to stay,
but the game has changed
Physical retail sales have been strong and growing
+2% annually, continuing to represent the bulk of retail spending
U.S. RETAIL SALES GROWTH BY CHANNEL
$3.04T | +3.4% | $3.36T | |||
$0.71T | +12% | ||||
Non-Store$0.51T | |||||
Three-Year CAGR | |||||
83% | Physical Retail as a % | 79% | |||
In-Store$2.53T | of Total U.S. Retail Sales | $2.65T | +2% | ||
2016 | 2019 |
Source: Euromonitor, BPY BI | 16 |
Sales rebounded quickly following 2020 economic shutdown
Physical stores still represent the vast majority of sales
YTD 2020 U.S. RETAIL SALES VOLUME BY CHANNEL
Total U.S. | $316B | $315B | $325B | $383B | $448B | $477B | ||||||||||
Retail Sales | $315B | |||||||||||||||
25% | 25% | |||||||||||||||
Digital Sales | 22% | 22% | 22% | 27% | ||||||||||||
% of Total | 27% | |||||||||||||||
Pandemic | ||||||||||||||||
Forced Store | ||||||||||||||||
Closures | ||||||||||||||||
Physical | ||||||||||||||||
Stores Reopen | ||||||||||||||||
Jan-20 | Feb-20 | Mar-20 | Apr-20 | May-20 | Jun-20 | Jul-20 | ||||||||||
In-Store | Non-Store | |||||||||||||||
Source: U.S. Census Bureau: Total Retail Sales excluding Auto, Gas, and Food Service | 17 |
"While traffic is down, customers are excited to be back in our stores, and their intent to purchase is high, which has led to meaningful improvements in conversion."
- RICHARD JOHNSON, CEO OF FOOT LOCKER
Healthy retailers continue to open new stores
Our top-quality locations have been gaining a disproportionate share
NATIONAL RETAILERS' PHYSICAL STORE OPENINGS
JANUARY 2019-JULY 2020 | ||||||
Aerie | 91 | |||||
Carter's | 56 | |||||
Warby Parker | 39 | |||||
Tempur-Pedic | 36 | |||||
Amazon 4-Star | 33 | |||||
Untuckit | 25 | |||||
Hibbett Sports | 12 | |||||
Lululemon Athletica | 12 | |||||
Madewell | 11 | |||||
Non-BPY | BPY | |||||
Source: Coresight Research Store Trackers, YTD comparing Jan 1- July 31, 2020 vs. Jan 1- July 31, 2019, BPY BI, Chain XY | 19 |
Accelerating shift to leverage stores for one-channel capabilities
Store as a brand-awareness builder (or "billboard") that drives sales across channels (halo effect)
Customer | Point of |
Acquisition | Sale |
In-Store revenue
Store as brand engagement | Brand |
for customers to touch, feel | Building |
and try on product | |
Total
Store
Value
Returns
Center
Store as a returns center reduces shipping costs AND leads to incremental in-storesales
Store as a pickup center reduces cost of last mile of distribution AND leads to incremental in-storesales
Pickup Distribution
Location Center
Store as a distribution center reduces cost of last mile of distribution
20
Store fulfillment increases operational profitability
Lessens last-mile distribution and inventory management costs
OPTIMIZED FULFILLMENT JOURNEY MARGINS
VS. THE SAME JOURNEYS, NON-OPTIMIZED
17.1x | 13.5x | 6.7x | 6.1x | 2.3x | 1.6x |
Buy Online, Pick Up | Buy Online, | Curbside Pickup | Buy In-Store, Ship | Click & Collect | Buy In-Store, Pick |
In-Store (BOPIS) | Return In-Store | from Warehouse | Up in Another Store | ||
BOPIS is the fastest- | |||||
growing (+43% vs. last | |||||
year) and best- margin | |||||
one-channel distribution | |||||
capability for retailers. |
Source: IHL Group, Adobe Analytics , WWD | 21 |
When optimized, high-quality real estate wins
BPY owns 19% of high-quality retail property in the U.S.
U.S. GRADED RETAIL REAL ESTATE BY QUALITY
GLA PER GREEN STREET ADVISORS, 2020
36% | 100% | ||||
High-Quality Retail Real Estate | BPY | ||||
Owns 19% of All | |||||
High-Quality Retail | |||||
64% | Real Estate GLA | ||||
Other Retail | All Other | ||||
Real Estate | |||||
Owners | |||||
Source: Green Street Advisors April 2020, "High-Quality" represents properties rated A- or better, "Mid-to-Low Quality" are rated B+ and lower by Green Street Advisors, Green | |
Street Advisors rates over 500M SF of U.S investment grade retail real estate; the remaining long tail of assets they do not evaluate are generally non-institutionally owned, smaller | 23 |
independent properties. |
Prime locations near highly engaged consumers
BPY'S SHOPPING CENTERS
PROXIMITY TO DENSITY OF ENGAGED SHOPPERS
Less Dense | More Dense |
64% of the U.S. population lives within an hour of a BPY center
Source: BPY Business Intelligence & Strategy, ESRI, Claritas Prizm | 24 |
Our strategy and commitment to retailers and
communities remains, with a twist
Evolving centers into hubs of daily life and commerce
Changing in concert with consumer and tenant needs
Shopping
YESTERDAY | TODAY | ||
Shopping Centers as | Discovery & | The Center as a Hub | Community |
Recreation | of Daily Life | Gathering | |
Shopping Destination | |||
Owner/Developer as | |||
Owner/Developer as Landlord | |||
Lifestyle "Architect" | |||
Fullfillment & | Food & |
Logistics | Entertainment |
26
We curate the best retailers to provide consumers the most compelling shopping, dining and entertainment experiences
FOOD & BEVERAGE | EDUTAINMENT/ ENTERTAINMENT | PERSONAL CARE |
HEALTH & WELLNESS | DIGITAL NATIVES | BIG BOX |
HOME FURNISHINGS | ELECTRONICS | GROCERY |
27
Mixed-use developments can include residential, office and hospitality uses
MIZNER PARK, BOCA RATON, FL | STONEBRIAR CENTER, FRISCO, TX |
OAKBROOK CENTER, OAK BROOK, IL | SHOPS AT MERRICK PARK, CORAL GABLES, FL |
ALA MOANA, HONOLULU, HI | NATICK MALL, NATICK, MA | |
28 | ||
Financial Update
BRYAN DAVIS
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Irreplaceable core assets
Core Office
$13.5B Equity
Core Retail
$13.0B Equity
Global business with 134 premier office properties with value concentrated in our top 15 complexes
- $21B VALUE | $10B EQUITY
- 94% OCCUPIED | 10-YR LEASE LIFE
122 best-in-class retail properties in the United States with value concentrated in our top 25 performing malls
- $15B VALUE | $10B EQUITY
- 97% OCCUPIED | >$1,000 SALES PSF
30
Core operating metrics are extremely stable
Supports cash flows and values through cycles
OCCUPANCY | AVERAGE IN-PLACE RENT1 |
100% | $80 |
90% | $60 |
80% | $40 |
70% | $20 | ||||||||||||||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
1. Reflects retail tenants <10K square feet | 31 |
Unique investment opportunities
LP Investments
$4.8B Equity
Corporate
Access to top-performing real estate funds that are diversified by geography and sector
• TRACKING NET PROJECTED RETURNS OF 15% IRR | 1.8X MOC
Conservative corporate level capitalization on our
invested capital
• $28B OF PERPETUAL CAPITAL | $3B OF CORPORATE DEBT
32
Real estate is cyclical
Current negative sentiment will shift to positive and we are well positioned
TRADING PRICE - CAPITALIZATION RATE | UNAFFECTED NAV1 - CAPITALIZATION RATE | ||||||||||||
Retail Peer | |||||||||||||
10.1% | |||||||||||||
BPY | |||||||||||||
7.9% | |||||||||||||
Office Peer | |||||||||||||
Retail Peer | |||||||||||||
6.8% | |||||||||||||
BPY | |||||||||||||
6.5% | |||||||||||||
5.9% | |||||||||||||
Office Peer | |||||||||||||
4.7% | |||||||||||||
1. Based on Q4 2019 NAV from covering analyst | 33 |
Progress on ESG initiatives across all investments
Issued $1.2B in green bonds and preferred units since 2019 Supported communities impacted by the pandemic
Achieved sustainability designation in 99% of our core office portfolio
United Nations-supported Principles for Responsible Investing
Taskforce on Climate-related Financial Disclosure
34
Our focus remains the same in core
85% of our balance sheet is invested in these businesses
Target stabilized occupancy across portfolio
Recycle capital from mature properties where value is maximized
Repay portion of debt in core retail with proceeds from asset sales Identify and execute redevelopment opportunities on select properties
Complete our active development pipeline on time and budget
35
Active development pipeline
Significant progress advancing our development pipeline
income | $400 | Two Manhattan West | |||
Bay Adelaide North | |||||
net operating | Wood Wharf | 755 Figueroa | |||
One Manhattan West | Office | ||||
100 Bishopsgate | |||||
$200 | |||||
stabilized | |||||
Cumulative | $0 | ||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |
Estimated construction completion date
36
Our focus remains the same with our LP capital
15% of our balance sheet is invested in real estate funds
Monitoring performance of our invested capital
Matching future capital calls with capital returned from earlier generation fund investments
37
Significant liquidity is coming from our LP investments
We plan to re-invest the capital into new funds or our core businesses
NEXT 5-YEARS | |||||||
CAPITAL | LIQUIDITY | NET PROFIT | REMAINING | ||||
($ Millions) | INVESTED | GENERATED | REALIZED | CAPITAL | |||
BSREP I | $ | 550 | $ | 1,000 | $ | 450 | $ - |
BSREP II | 2,650 | 3,850 | 1,550 | 350 | |||
BSREP III | 650 | 1,250 | 700 | 150 | |||
Other Investments | 900 | 1,150 | 250 | - | |||
Net cash (outflow) inflow | $ | 4,750 | $ | 7,250 | $ | 2,950 | $ 500 |
1. | LP investments in BSREP I, II and III including co-investments. | |
38 | ||
2. | LP Investment in a retail portfolio in Brazil, real estate finance fund series, and multifamily fund series. | |
BPY is a yield vehicle
The return on BPY investment includes a current yield supported by stable cash flow from a diversified portfolio
Cumulative Earnings | $7,400 | ||||
Cumulative Distributions | |||||
$5,180 | |||||
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
39
A highly compelling investment opportunity
We see tremendous value in BPY units today above the dislocated trading price
NAV = $27.011
~$19.50 analysts consensus NAV
~$11 current unit price
$12.90
$4.80
$13.40
($4.10)
Corporate Core Office LP Investments Core Retail
1. Includes the impact of the conversion of preferred shares. | 40 |
Q&A
Important Cautionary Notes
All amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise specified. Unless otherwise indicated, the statistical and financial data in this document is presented as of June 30, 2020.
This presentation contains "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Forward-looking statements include statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, include statements regarding our operations, business, financial condition, expected financial results, performance, prospects, opportunities, priorities, targets, goals, ongoing objectives, strategies and outlook, as well as the outlook for North American and international economies for the current fiscal year and subsequent periods, and include words such as "expects," "anticipates," "plans", "believes," "estimates", "seeks," "intends," "targets," "projects," "forecasts," "likely," or negative versions thereof and other similar expressions, or future or conditional verbs such as "may," "will," "should," "would" and "could".
Although we believe that our anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and information are based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the reader should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and information because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from anticipated future results, performance or achievement expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information.
Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to: risks incidental to the ownership and operation of real estate properties including local real estate conditions; the impact or unanticipated impact of general economic, political and market factors in the countries in which we do business, including as a result of the recent global economic shutdown; the ability to enter into new leases or renew leases on favorable terms; business competition; dependence on tenants' financial condition; the use of debt to finance our business; the behavior of financial markets, including fluctuations in interest and foreign exchange rates;
uncertainties of real estate development or redevelopment; global equity and capital markets and the availability of equity and debt financing and refinancing within these markets; risks relating to our insurance coverage; the possible impact of international conflicts and other developments including terrorist acts; potential environmental liabilities; changes in tax laws and other tax related risks; dependence on management personnel; illiquidity of investments; the ability to complete and effectively integrate acquisitions into existing operations and the ability to attain expected benefits therefrom; operational and reputational risks; catastrophic events, such as earthquakes, hurricanes or pandemics/epidemics; and other risks and factors detailed from time to time in our documents filed with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States. In addition, our future results may be impacted by risks associated with the global economic shutdown caused by a novel strain of coronavirus, COVID-19, and the related global reduction in commerce and travel and substantial volatility in stock markets worldwide, which may result in a decrease of cash flows and impairment losses and/or revaluations on our investments and real estate properties, and we may be unable to achieve our expected returns.
We caution that the foregoing list of important factors that may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying on our forward-looking statements or information, investors and others should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether written or oral, that may be as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
In considering investment performance information contained herein, prospective investors should bear in mind that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results and there can be no assurance that comparable results will be achieved, that an investment will be similar to the historic investments presented herein (because of economic conditions, the availability of investment opportunities or otherwise), that targeted returns, diversification or asset allocations will be met or that an investment strategy or investment objectives will be achieved.
This presentation includes estimates regarding market and industry data that is prepared based on its management's knowledge and experience in the markets in which we operate, together with information obtained from various sources, including publicly available information and industry reports and publications. While we believe such information is reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this information and we have not independently verified any third-party information.
This presentation makes reference to net operating income ("NOI"), funds from operations ("FFO"), and Company funds from operations ("CFFO"). NOI, FFO and CFFO do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Partnership uses NOI, FFO and CFFO to assess its operating results. These measures should not be used as alternatives to Net Income and other operating measures determined in accordance with IFRS but rather to provide supplemental insights into performance. Further, these measures do not represent liquidity measures or cash flow from operations and are not intended to be representative of the funds available for distribution to unitholders either in aggregate or on a per unit basis, where presented.
For further reference, specific definitions of NOI, FFO, and CFFO are available in the Partnership's press releases announcing its financial results each quarter.
42
Brookfield Property Partners
INVESTOR DAY
SEPTEMBER 24, 2020
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Brookfield Asset Management Inc. published this content on 24 September 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 25 September 2020 07:59:07 UTC