Projected Income Statement: Carlsberg A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 21,263 19,162 19,326 22,351 27,357 60,393 56,443 52,139
Change - -9.88% 0.86% 15.65% 22.4% 120.76% -6.54% -7.63%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 4,396 4,221 4,018 4,243 4,668 7,174 6,455 6,418
Change - -3.98% -4.81% 5.6% 10.02% 53.68% -10.02% -0.57%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,057 8,876 9,884 4,878 9,794 7,391 10,004 10,929
Change - 75.52% 11.36% -50.65% 100.78% -24.54% 35.36% 9.24%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carlsberg A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.06% 23.22% 22.28% 20.63% 21.04% 20.66% 21.17% 21.75%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.57% 16.3% 16.32% 15.09% 15.21% 14.91% 15.36% 15.81%
EBT Margin (%) 15.44% 15.35% 14.18% 13.36% 13.31% 11.73% 13.01% 13.74%
Net margin (%) 10.3% 10.27% -1.51% -55.43% 12.15% 7.9% 8.85% 9.43%
FCF margin (%) 8.64% 13.32% 14.07% 6.63% 13.06% 8.04% 10.39% 10.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 83.86% 129.65% -929.82% -11.96% 107.44% 101.85% 117.44% 116.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.99% 5.66% -0.88% 6.54% 6.47% 5.45% 5.65% 5.93%
ROE 15.38% 16.68% 25.05% 26.93% 25.83% 25.15% 25.88% 25.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x 1.24x 1.23x 1.47x 1.73x 3.18x 2.77x 2.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.2x 2.16x 1.96x 4.58x 2.79x 8.17x 5.64x 4.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.51% 6.33% 5.72% 5.77% 6.22% 7.81% 6.71% 6.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.21% 27.28% 25.66% 27.95% 29.58% 37.79% 31.67% 29.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.93% 47.56% 40.65% 86.98% 47.66% 97.06% 64.52% 58.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 74.8 91.89 92.36 85.06 85.29 100.3 108.9 118.3
Change - 22.85% 0.52% -7.9% 0.27% 17.56% 8.59% 8.68%
Dividend per Share 1 22 24 27 27 27 28.43 31.45 34.31
Change - 9.09% 12.5% 0% 0% 5.29% 10.65% 9.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 270.9 309.7 232.3 173.2 210.3 238.5 271.8 305.9
Change - 14.32% -24.99% -25.42% 21.37% 13.44% 13.95% 12.53%
EPS 1 41.1 47.4 -7.6 -299.7 68.7 54.55 64.27 71.21
Change - 15.33% -116.03% -3,843.42% 122.92% -20.6% 17.82% 10.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 145,102 141,892 137,341 134,114 132,079 132,079 132,079 132,079
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/7/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.5x 14x
PBR 3.77x 3.31x
EV / Sales 1.97x 1.84x
Yield 3.16% 3.49%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
900.40DKK
Average target price
975.48DKK
Spread / Average Target
+8.34%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CARL B Stock
  4. Financials Carlsberg A/S