Projected Income Statement: CarMax, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: CarMax, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,190 3,729 2,227 1,883 1,926 1,681 1,618 1,411
Change - 213.36% -40.28% -15.45% 2.28% -12.72% -3.75% -12.79%
Announcement Date 4/1/21 4/12/22 4/11/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CarMax, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 164.5 308.5 422.7 465.3 467.9 561.8 474 435.3
Change - 87.52% 37.01% 10.08% 0.57% 20.05% -15.62% -8.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 804.1 -916.4 2,230 973.9 156.5 2,019 432 717
Change - -213.97% 343.31% -56.32% -83.93% 1,190.1% -78.6% 65.97%
Announcement Date 4/1/21 4/12/22 4/11/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CarMax, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.78% 5.53% 3.41% 3.83% 4.11% 3.72% 3.47% 3.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.5% 4.86% 2.52% 2.85% 2.99% 2.5% 2.3% 2.51%
EBT Margin (%) 5.09% 4.68% 2.15% 2.42% 2.54% 2.1% 1.94% 1.97%
Net margin (%) 3.94% 3.61% 1.63% 1.81% 1.9% 1.56% 1.46% 1.7%
FCF margin (%) 4.24% -2.87% 7.51% 3.67% 0.59% 7.9% 1.68% 2.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.65% -79.6% 459.96% 203.23% 31.27% 507.24% 115.09% 160.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.5% 4.81% 1.85% 1.8% 1.83% 1.4% 1.3% 1.8%
ROE 18.37% 23.99% 8.94% 8.2% 8.13% 6.33% 5.33% 6.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.93x 2.11x 2.2x 1.85x 1.78x 1.77x 1.82x 1.37x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.48x -4.07x 1x 1.93x 12.31x 0.83x 3.75x 1.97x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.87% 0.97% 1.42% 1.75% 1.78% 2.2% 1.84% 1.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.8% 17.49% 41.73% 45.78% 43.18% 59.1% 53.2% 42.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.46% -33.67% 18.96% 47.78% 299% 27.82% 109.72% 60.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.866 -3.743 16.6 2.89 4.001 - 12 -
Change - -163.81% 543.56% -82.59% 38.46% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 26.75 32.51 35.51 38.54 40.72 34.96 37.35 39.88
Change - 21.53% 9.23% 8.53% 5.66% -14.13% 6.82% 6.77%
EPS 1 4.52 6.97 3.03 3.02 3.21 2.693 2.616 3.276
Change - 54.2% -56.53% -0.33% 6.29% -16.11% -2.86% 25.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 162,541 161,680 158,023 157,921 153,800 141,797 141,797 141,797
Announcement Date 4/1/21 4/12/22 4/11/23 4/11/24 4/10/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 15.6x 16.1x
PBR 1.21x 1.13x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.3x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
42.14USD
Average target price
39.23USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. KMX Stock
  4. Financials CarMax, Inc.
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