Projected Income Statement: Carrefour

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 7,305 7,195 8,871 8,099 9,323 8,835 8,422 7,748
Change - -1.51% 23.29% -8.7% 15.11% -5.23% -4.67% -8%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,241 1,653 1,882 1,850 1,772 1,952 1,965 2,011
Change - 33.2% 13.85% -1.7% -4.22% 10.16% 0.66% 2.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,223 2,008 2,337 1,622 1,457 1,614 1,810 1,827
Change - -9.67% 16.38% -30.59% -10.17% 10.81% 12.14% 0.93%
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.31% 6.24% 5.67% 5.47% 5.43% 5.19% 5.35% 5.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.07% 3.11% 2.92% 2.72% 2.59% 2.6% 2.78% 2.89%
EBT Margin (%) 1.91% 2.24% 2.42% 1.61% 1.28% 1.53% 1.8% 1.89%
Net margin (%) 0.91% 1.47% 1.66% 1.99% 0.85% 0.94% 1.1% 1.18%
FCF margin (%) 3.14% 2.75% 2.87% 1.95% 1.71% 1.85% 2.03% 2.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 346.8% 187.31% 173.37% 97.77% 201.52% 195.54% 183.83% 170.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.29% 2.25% 2.59% 2.94% 1.27% 1.97% 2.24% 2.3%
ROE 10.25% 11.38% 12.13% 11.5% 9.67% 9.13% 10.47% 11.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.64x 1.58x 1.92x 1.78x 2.01x 1.95x 1.76x 1.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.29x 3.58x 3.8x 4.99x 6.4x 5.47x 4.65x 4.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.75% 2.27% 2.31% 2.22% 2.07% 2.23% 2.2% 2.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.79% 36.33% 40.8% 40.58% 38.21% 43.05% 41.14% 39.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 55.83% 82.32% 80.53% 114.06% 121.62% 120.91% 108.54% 110.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.212 4.842 5.651 6.513 6.409 3.251 3.388 3.257
Change - 14.96% 16.69% 15.25% -1.59% -49.28% 4.21% -3.87%
Dividend per Share 1 0.48 0.52 0.56 0.87 0.92 0.9268 1.002 1.086
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 55.36% 5.75% 0.74% 8.1% 8.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.12 13.21 15.02 16.69 16.76 16.06 16.37 16.82
Change - 9.01% 13.65% 11.18% 0.36% -4.13% 1.9% 2.74%
EPS 1 0.7953 1.362 1.8 2.324 1.013 1.186 1.498 1.595
Change - 71.27% 32.15% 29.11% -56.43% 17.09% 26.38% 6.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 808,166 766,438 769,845 699,183 663,135 704,119 704,119 704,119
Announcement Date 2/18/21 2/16/22 2/14/23 2/20/24 2/19/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 10.7x 8.51x
PBR 0.79x 0.78x
EV / Sales 0.2x 0.19x
Yield 7.27% 7.86%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
12.74EUR
Average target price
14.21EUR
Spread / Average Target
+11.52%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CA Stock
  4. Financials Carrefour