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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 12.83 HKD | -1.16% |
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-8.75% | +3.22% |
| Mar. 06 | Hong Kong authorities rule out chartering Cathay Pacific flights to Middle East - SCMP | RE |
| Mar. 06 | Airlines cancel flights as Middle East conflict escalates | RE |
Company Valuation: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 46,155 | 41,134 | 54,845 | 52,533 | 61,432 | 78,021 | 78,021 | - |
| Change | - | -10.88% | 33.33% | -4.21% | 16.94% | 27% | 0% | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 119,943 | 130,988 | 113,674 | 105,297 | 119,373 | 124,673 | 120,715 | 115,322 |
| Change | - | 9.21% | -13.22% | -7.37% | 13.37% | 4.44% | -3.18% | -4.47% |
| P/E ratio | -1.69x | -6.72x | -7.65x | 6.49x | 7.16x | 9.4x | 9.14x | 8.19x |
| PBR | 0.63x | 0.57x | 0.86x | 1.01x | 1.34x | 1.5x | 1.4x | 1.3x |
| PEG | - | 0.1x | -0.4x | -0x | 1.22x | 3.81x | 3.24x | 0.7x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.98x | 0.9x | 1.07x | 0.56x | 0.59x | 0.69x | 0.67x | 0.63x |
| EV / Revenue | 2.56x | 2.87x | 2.23x | 1.11x | 1.14x | 1.11x | 1.03x | 0.93x |
| EV / EBITDA | 44.2x | 10.6x | 7.22x | 4.16x | 4.73x | 4.81x | 4.83x | 4.54x |
| EV / EBIT | -10.2x | -291x | 32.1x | 8.1x | 9.06x | 9.34x | 9.83x | 9.18x |
| EV / FCF | -6.09x | 20x | 8.06x | 5.37x | 8.33x | 6.84x | 8.76x | 7.97x |
| FCF Yield | -16.4% | 5.01% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 12% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.6602 | 0.6652 | 0.7194 |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | 5.27% | 7.23% | 5.15% | 5.18% | 5.61% |
| EPS 2 | -4.243 | -0.951 | -1.113 | 1.258 | 1.332 | 1.365 | 1.403 | 1.567 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | 34.2% | 51.8% | 48.4% | 47.4% | 45.9% |
| Net sales 1 | 46,934 | 45,587 | 51,036 | 94,485 | 104,371 | 112,282 | 116,821 | 123,587 |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,716 | 12,336 | 15,735 | 25,323 | 25,236 | 25,899 | 25,018 | 25,391 |
| EBIT 1 | -11,705 | -450 | 3,546 | 12,999 | 13,177 | 13,354 | 12,276 | 12,557 |
| Net income 1 | -21,876 | -6,123 | -7,162 | 9,067 | 9,607 | 8,812 | 8,974 | 10,093 |
| Net Debt 1 | 73,788 | 89,854 | 58,829 | 52,764 | 57,941 | 46,652 | 42,694 | 37,301 |
| Reference price 2 | 7.17 | 6.39 | 8.52 | 8.16 | 9.54 | 12.83 | 12.83 | 12.83 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 6,437,200 | 6,437,200 | 6,437,200 | 6,437,900 | 6,439,409 | 6,081,128 | 6,081,128 | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/8/23 | 3/13/24 | 3/12/25 | - | - | - |
1HKD in Million2HKD
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.4x | 1.11x | 4.81x | 5.15% | 9.98B | ||
| 8.05x | 0.79x | 5.32x | 1.29% | 38.33B | ||
| 12.66x | 1.63x | 6.71x | 1.78% | 31.89B | ||
| 6.97x | 0.75x | 5.13x | -.--% | 29.78B | ||
| 5.93x | 0.7x | 3.07x | 3.01% | 22.21B | ||
| 57.51x | 2.29x | 11.21x | 0.23% | 18.53B | ||
| 1503.54x | 1.8x | 9.36x | -.--% | 17.67B | ||
| 19.09x | 1.3x | 5.9x | 4.11% | 16.4B | ||
| 97.51x | 1.78x | 8.89x | 0.08% | 15.87B | ||
| 124.85x | 2.04x | 9.35x | -.--% | 15.56B | ||
| Average | 184.55x | 1.42x | 6.98x | 1.56% | 21.62B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 150.68x | 1.33x | 6.68x | 1.37% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
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