PRESS RELEASE

CERVED GROUP: THE BOARD OF DIRECTORS APPROVES THE CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RESULTS AS OF 30 SEPTEMBER 2020

  • Revenues1: Euro 351.8 million, -2.6% compared to 361.1 million in the first nine months of 2019;
  • Adjusted EBITDA1,2: Euro 143.9 million, -10.5% compared to 160.8 million in the first nine months of 2019, with a margin on revenues of 41.1%;
  • Adjusted Net Income1,3: Euro 68.0 million, -9.4% compared to 74.9 million in the first nine months of 2019;
  • Operating Cash Flow: Euro 102.4 million, -16.1% compared to 122.0 million in the first nine months of 2019;
  • Consolidated Net Financial Position: Euro 593.6 million at September 30, 2020, equating to 2.7x last twelve months Adjusted EBITDA

COVID-19 IMPACTS AND 2020 OUTLOOK

  • Business resilience confirmed by the limited decline in Revenues and the usefulness of our services offered to manage credit risks also in the weak phases of the economic cycle;
  • At the moment it is believed that the Group is able to close the 2020 financial year with Revenues and Adjusted EBITDA of approx. Euro 480m and Euro 200m respectively; these forecasts could undergo changes due to exceptionally negative and unpredictable impacts deriving from the significant recovery of infections;
  • In light of the current uncertainty related to the COVID-19 emergency, we consider it appropriate to postpone our third Investor Day to the first half of 2021 for an update on the strategy and financial targets.

San Donato Milanese, 10 November 2020 - The Board of Directors of Cerved Group S.p.A. (MTA: CERV, the "Company"), the largest information provider and credit servicer in Italy, today examined and approved the consolidated financial statements as of 30 September 2020.

Andrea Mignanelli, Chief Executive Officer of the Group, commented:

"Cerved confirmed the solidity of its core business: following a limited decline in revenues in the lockdown phase, returning to growth in the third quarter in the Risk Management and Growth Services business units. The company has once again proved to be resilient, in a phase in which our Covid-assessment services have enabled banks and businesses to reduce uncertainty in evaluating their counterparties.

In a very difficult period, we closed the first nine months of the year with a limited decline in revenues. In the Risk Management business unit, we recorded significant growth in the Financial Institutions segment, thanks to our new services which support banks in the provision of loans guaranteed by the Fondo Centrale di Garanzia. In the Corporate segment, Covid-assessment products partially offset the lower utilisation of services. In Growth Services we are increasing revenues both by external lines from the consolidation of the companies acquired in 2019 in the consulting business, and also internally from Atoka services which will become a growth engine in the future. The decline in Credit Management is mainly due to the slowdown in

  1. Revenues, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income include €1.5m of capital gain deriving from the sale of the Turin real estate property;
  2. Adjusted EBITDA excludes the impact of the Performance Share Plan with reference to the plan 2019-2021 and plan 2022-2024;
  3. Adjusted Net Income excludes non-recurring income and expenses, amortisation of capitalized financing fees, amortisation of the Purchase Price Allocation and non-recurring income taxes

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court activities during the lockdown, which will result in some of the revenue streams being deferred over time.

The new wave of infections will result in a more difficult environment in the next months. However, we are confident in confirming our solidity: we have already demonstrated that we can operate in full smart working without losing productivity and the lockdown measures that lie ahead are less severe than those of March. The resilience of the business and the final results as at 30 September allow us to believe that the Group will be able to close the 2020 financial year with Revenues and Adjusted EBITDA of around Euro 480 m and Euro 200 m respectively. In light of the current uncertainty related to the evolution of the emergency, we consider it appropriate to postpone our third Investor Day to the first half of 2021 for an update on our strategy and financial targets."

Analysis of Consolidated Revenues

In the first nine months of 2020 the Group's Revenues decrease by -2.6%, reaching Euro 350.3 million compared to Euro 361.1 million in the first nine months 2019 (-7.2% organic).

Divisional revenues declined by 3.0% reaching Euro 350,3 million.

The revenues of the Risk Management Business Unit decreased by 3.9%, from Euro 205.6 million in 2019 to Euro 197.5 million in 2020:

  • the Corporates business segment recorded a decrease compared to the first semester of 2019 (-10.3%); the negative impact of the lockdown on the territorial network led to the interruption of many commercial negotiations, to which a fall in consumption due to the induced effect of the total blockage of business on the majority of corporate customers was added;
  • the Financial Institutions segment recorded an increase compared to 2019 (+3.8%). The increase is mainly due to the positive and countertrending impact on services related to the Fondo di Garanzia which benefited greatly from the measures provided for by the Decreto Liquidità, mitigating the drop in the Real Estate Appraisals and Cadastral Survey service lines, most affected by the block of activities.

The revenues of the Growth Services Business Unit grew from Euro 29.1 million in 2019 to Euro 41.8 million in 2020 (+43.5%) compared to the previous period, mainly:

  • as a result of the consolidation of the MBS Consulting Group acquired in August 2019;
  • as a result of the increases realized in the "Artificial Intelligence" service line, both on the Corporates segment and the Financial Institutions segment, with particular reference to the Atoka platform, created by the subsidiary SpazioDati.

The revenues of the Credit Management Business Unit decreased from Euro 126.4 million in 2019 to Euro

111.0 million in 2020, for a total decrease of Euro 15.4 million, equal to -12.1%. This Business Unit, which benefited from the entry of the two companies acquired in 2019, began to suffer the impact of Covid-19 from the closure of activities in the courts and land registries, which led to a slowdown in judicial recovery activities.

Consolidated Revenues

First nine months

First nine months

% Growth

in millions of Euro

2019

2020

Risk Management - Financial Institutions

92.8

96.3

3.8%

Risk Management - Corporates

112.8

101.2

(10.3%)

Risk Management

205.6

197.5

(3.9%)

Growth Services

29.1

41.8

43.5%

Credit Management

126.4

111.0

(12.1%)

Divisional Revenues

361.1

350.3

(3.0%)

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Analysis of quarterly Revenues

With reference to the third quarter of 2020, the overall growth in Consolidated Revenues was -2.4% compared to the third quarter of 2019 (-5.4% on an organic basis)

On a divisional basis the decline was -3.8%.

The Risk Management Business Unit grew by 1.3%, the Growth Services Business Unit grew by 2.5%, while the Credit Management Business Unit suffered a reduction in revenues of -13.3%.

Quarterly Revenues

Third quarter

Third quarter

% Growth

in millions of Euro

2019

2020

Risk Management - Financial Institutions

29.7

32.5

9.4%

Risk Management - Corporates

32.6

30.7

(6.1%)

Risk Management

62.4

63.2

1.3%

Growth Services

11.6

11.9

2.5%

Credit Management

40.9

35.5

(13.3%)

Divisional Revenues

114.9

110.6

(3.8%)

Analysis of Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA

The Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of Euro 143.9 million in the first nine months 2020 decreased by 10.5% with respect to the prior period of 2020 (-13.1% on an organic basis). The Adjusted EBITDA margin was 41.1% in 2020, compared to 44.5% in the prior year.

The slight reduction in margins is essentially attributable to the Risk Business Unit, where the decline in revenues was not reflected in the operating leverage, due to the higher incidence of fixed overheads.

Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA

First nine months

First nine months

% Growth

in millions of Euro

2019

2020

Risk Management

109.9

99.6

(9.3)%

Growth Services

5.3

10.7

101.6%

Credit Management

45.6

32.1

(29.6%)

EBITDA Adjusted

160.8

142.4

(11.4%)

EBITDA Adjusted Margin

44.5%

40.7%

Risk Management

53.5%

50.4%

Growth Services

18.3%

25.7%

Credit Management

36.0%

28.9%

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Analysis of quarterly Adjusted EBITDA

In the third quarter of 2020, the Group's Adjusted EBITDA stood at Euro 44.6 million, down by 10.4% compared to the third quarter of 2019 (-11.5% on an organic basis).

Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA

Third quarter

Third quarter

% Growth

in millions of Euro

2019

2020

Risk Management

31.2

29.7

(4.8%)

Growth Services

3.8

4.0

6.1%

Credit Management

14.7

9.4

(36.3%)

EBITDA Adjusted

49.8

43.1

(13.5%)

EBITDA Adjusted Margin

43.3%

38.9%

Risk Management

50.1%

46.9%

Growth Services

32.7%

33.6%

Credit Management

36.0%

26.5%

Analysis of Consolidated Net Income

At September 30, 2020, the Consolidated Net Income was Euro 32.4 million.

Adjusted Consolidated Net Income before minority interests - which excludes non-recurring expenses and income, the amortized cost of loans, the amortization of the capital gains allocated resulting from business combinations, the adjustment of the fair value of the options and the tax effect of previous items - stood at Euro 68.0 million, a decrease of 9.4% compared to Euro 74.9 million in the first nine months of 2019.

Analysis of Consolidated Net Financial Position

At September 30, 2020 the Net Financial Position of the Group was Euro 593.6 million, compared to Euro

608.9 million as of 30 June 2020. The ratio of Net Financial Position to last twelve month Adjusted EBITDA was 2.7x.

Consolidated Net Financial Position

As of 30 June

As of 30 September

in millions of Euro

2020

2020

Net Financial Position

608.9

593.6

LTM Adjusted EBITDA Multiple1

2.7x

2.7x

1) Proformated to include the EBITDA of the M&A acquisitions in the 12 months preceding the selected period

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Cerved Information Solutions S.p.A. published this content on 10 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 November 2020 16:52:01 UTC