You should read the following discussion and analysis in conjunction with the
consolidated financial statements and related notes included in Item 8.
Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. All references to "CF Holdings,"
"we," "us," "our" and "the Company" refer to CF Industries Holdings, Inc. and
its subsidiaries, except where the context makes clear that the reference is
only to CF Industries Holdings, Inc. itself and not its subsidiaries. All
references to "CF Industries" refer to CF Industries, Inc., a 100% owned
subsidiary of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. References to tons refer to short
tons. Notes referenced in this discussion and analysis refer to the notes to
consolidated financial statements that are found in Item 8. Financial Statements
and Supplementary Data-Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. For a
discussion and analysis of the year ended December 31, 2019 compared to December
31, 2018, you should read Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our 2019 Annual Report on Form
10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on February 24,
2020. The following is an outline of the discussion and analysis included
herein:
•Overview of CF Holdings
•Our Company
•Our Commitment to a Clean Energy Economy
•Industry Factors
•Market Conditions and Current Developments
•Financial Executive Summary
•Items Affecting Comparability of Results
•Consolidated Results of Operations
•Operating Results by Business Segment
•Liquidity and Capital Resources
•Critical Accounting Estimates
•Recent Accounting Pronouncements
•Subsequent Event
Overview of CF Holdings
Our Company
We are a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products for clean
energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial applications. We
operate nitrogen manufacturing complexes in the United States, Canada and the
United Kingdom, which are among the most cost-advantaged, efficient and flexible
in the world, and an extensive storage, transportation and distribution network
in North America. Our 3,000 employees focus on safe and reliable operations,
environmental stewardship and disciplined capital and corporate management,
driving our strategy to leverage our unique capabilities to accelerate the
world's transition to clean energy. Our principal customers are cooperatives,
independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers and industrial users.
Our core product is anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which contains 82% nitrogen and
18% hydrogen. Our nitrogen products that are upgraded from ammonia are granular
urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN) and ammonium nitrate (AN). Our other
nitrogen products include diesel exhaust fluid (DEF), urea liquor, nitric acid
and aqua ammonia, which are sold primarily to our industrial customers, and
compound fertilizer products (NPKs), which are solid granular fertilizer
products for which the nutrient content is a combination of nitrogen, phosphorus
and potassium.
Our principal assets as of December 31, 2020 include:
•five U.S. nitrogen manufacturing facilities, located in Donaldsonville,
Louisiana (the largest nitrogen complex in the world); Port Neal, Iowa; Yazoo
City, Mississippi; Verdigris, Oklahoma; and Woodward, Oklahoma. These facilities
are wholly owned directly or indirectly by CF Industries Nitrogen, LLC (CFN), of
which we own approximately 89% and CHS Inc. (CHS) owns the remainder. See Note
17-Noncontrolling Interests for additional information on our strategic venture
with CHS;
•two Canadian nitrogen manufacturing facilities, located in Medicine Hat,
Alberta (the largest nitrogen complex in Canada) and Courtright, Ontario;
•two United Kingdom nitrogen manufacturing facilities, located in Billingham and
Ince;
                                       30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


•an extensive system of terminals and associated transportation equipment
located primarily in the Midwestern United States; and
•a 50% interest in Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited (PLNL), an ammonia production
joint venture located in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago that we account for
under the equity method.
Our Commitment to a Clean Energy Economy
In October 2020, we announced that we are taking significant steps to support a
global hydrogen and clean fuel economy, through the production of green and
low-carbon ammonia. Since ammonia is one of the most efficient ways to transport
and store hydrogen and is also a fuel in its own right, we believe that the
Company, as the world's largest producer of ammonia, with an unparalleled
manufacturing and distribution network and deep technical expertise, is uniquely
positioned to fulfill anticipated demand for hydrogen and ammonia from green and
low-carbon sources. Our strategy is to leverage our unique capabilities to
accelerate the world's transition to clean energy. Our approach will focus on
green ammonia production, which refers to ammonia produced through a carbon-free
process, and low-carbon ammonia, which relates to ammonia produced by
conventional processes but with CO2 removed through carbon capture and
sequestration (CCS) and other certified carbon abatement projects. We have
announced an initial green ammonia project at our flagship Donaldsonville
nitrogen complex to produce approximately 20,000 tons per year of green ammonia.
Additionally, we are developing CCS and other carbon abatement projects across
our production facilities that will enable us to produce low-carbon ammonia.
Industry Factors
We operate in a highly competitive, global industry. Our operating results are
influenced by a broad range of factors, including those outlined below.
Global Supply and Demand Factors
Our products are globally traded commodities and are subject to price
competition. The customers for our products make their purchasing decisions
principally on the basis of delivered price and, to a lesser extent, on customer
service and product quality. The selling prices of our products fluctuate in
response to global market conditions, changes in supply and demand and cost
factors.
Historically, global fertilizer demand has been driven primarily by population
growth, gross domestic product growth, changes in dietary habits, planted
acreage, and application rates, among other things. We expect these key
variables to continue to have major impacts on long-term fertilizer demand for
the foreseeable future. Short-term fertilizer demand growth may depend on global
economic conditions, farm sector income, weather patterns, the level of global
grain stocks relative to consumption, fertilizer application rates, and
governmental regulations, including fertilizer subsidies or requirements
mandating increased use of bio-fuels or industrial nitrogen products. Other
geopolitical factors like temporary disruptions in fertilizer trade related to
government intervention or changes in the buying/selling patterns of key
exporting/consuming countries such as China, India, Russia and Brazil, among
others, often play a major role in shaping near-term market fundamentals. The
economics of nitrogen-based fertilizer manufacturing play a key role in
decisions to increase or reduce production capacity. Supply of fertilizers is
generally driven by available capacity and operating rates, raw material costs
and availability, government policies and global trade. Raw materials are
dependent on energy sources such as natural gas or coal; therefore, supply costs
are affected by the supply of and demand for these commodities.
Global Trade in Fertilizer
In addition to the relationship between global supply and demand, profitability
within a particular geographic region is determined by the supply/demand balance
within that region. Regional supply and demand can be influenced significantly
by factors affecting trade within regions. Some of these factors include the
relative cost to produce and deliver product, relative currency values, the
availability of credit and governmental trade policies, including the imposition
of duties, tariffs or quotas, that affect foreign trade or investment. The
development of additional natural gas reserves in North America over the last
decade has decreased natural gas costs relative to the rest of the world, making
North American nitrogen fertilizer producers more competitive. Changes in
currency values may also alter our cost competitiveness relative to producers in
other regions of the world.
Imports account for a significant portion of the nitrogen fertilizer consumed in
North America. Producers of nitrogen-based fertilizers located in the Middle
East, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, North Africa and Russia have been
major exporters to North America in recent years. As a result, the North
American nitrogen fertilizer market is dependent on imports to balance supply
and demand.
                                       31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Farmers' Economics
The demand for fertilizer is affected by the aggregate crop planting decisions
and fertilizer application rate decisions of individual farmers. Individual
farmers make planting decisions based largely on prospective profitability of a
harvest, while the specific varieties and amounts of fertilizer they apply
depend on factors like their current liquidity, soil conditions, weather
patterns, crop prices, fertilizer products used and timing of applications,
expected yields and the types of crops planted.

Market Conditions and Current Developments
COVID-19 Pandemic
In March 2020, the World Health Organization characterized the outbreak of
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) as a pandemic. Since that time, efforts to
slow the spread of COVID-19 have intensified. A number of countries, as well as
certain states and cities within the United States, have continued to enact
temporary closures of businesses, to issue shelter in place or quarantine
orders, and to take other restrictive measures in response to the pandemic.
Due to the use of fertilizer products in crop production to support the global
food supply chain, our business operations were designated as part of the
critical infrastructure by the United States and as essential businesses in the
United Kingdom and Canada, with corresponding designations for those states and
provinces in which we operate that issued restrictive orders. As a result, our
manufacturing complexes continued to operate during 2020 and have continued to
operate through the date of this report. Our production of ammonia, the basic
building block for our products, was 10.4 million tons in 2020 compared to
10.2 million tons in 2019. Through the date of this filing, we have continued to
ship products by all modes of transportation to our customers, and we have not
experienced any significant delays in marine, rail or truck transportation
services due to the pandemic.
In 2020, we did not experience a meaningful impact in customer demand as a
result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our total volume of products shipped in 2020 of
20.3 million tons was 4% higher compared to 19.5 million tons in 2019.
In response to the pandemic, we instituted safety precautions early in 2020 to
protect the health and well-being of all of our employees, including the
manufacturing workforce who operate our nitrogen complexes and distribution
facilities. These safety measures included installing thermal temperature checks
at each of our sites for all personnel, including contractors, who arrive at our
sites, adjusting schedules to support social distancing, including changes to
loading and shipping procedures, maintaining a close contact log for employees,
self-quarantine logs, requiring face coverings on site, restricting visitor
access, and implementing enhanced cleaning protocols and travel restrictions for
employees. We also paid approximately $19 million of bonuses to our operational
workforce under a special COVID-19 bonus program, which concluded in June 2020.
In addition, since mid-March 2020, the majority of our non-operational personnel
at our sites who work in administrative and operational support functions have
worked remotely in order to maintain social distancing following governmental
guidelines. These administrative and operational support functions have operated
effectively during this period, meeting our commitments to our customers and
continuing to manage our business without interruption. We have not furloughed
any employees or instituted any reductions in pay or benefits or other
significant cost containment measures due to the pandemic.
We participate in a global market, which includes a global supply chain and
customer base. The long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are unclear and
could adversely affect our business in the future. We have operated our business
in a remote working environment and could continue to do so for an extended
duration, if necessary. However, if the pandemic were to impact a large portion
of our workforce in any one location, we might need to idle that facility
temporarily or transfer other employees from other network sites, which could
have an impact on our business operations, profitability and cash flow. The
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is fluid and continues to evolve. As a result,
we cannot predict the extent to which our business, results of operations,
financial condition or liquidity may be impacted by the pandemic in the future.
Sales Volume
There was strong demand for fertilizer in 2020 as we shipped 20.3 million tons
of product compared to 19.5 million tons in 2019, which increased net sales by
$199 million. The increase in total sales volume was due primarily to the impact
of increased supply resulting from both higher inventory levels entering 2020
and higher production in 2020. Our sales volumes in 2020 were higher across all
of our major products compared to 2019.
                                       32

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Our shipments can shift between quarters due primarily to shifts in weather
patterns that impact fertilizer applications. During the fourth quarter of 2020,
granular urea sales volume was higher as domestic demand strengthened amid
increasing crop prices and overall farm economics improved. Additionally,
ammonia sales volume in the fourth quarter of 2020 exceeded the fourth quarter
of 2019 as a result of increased demand due to an early fall harvest and ideal
weather conditions throughout the Midwestern United States.
Sales volume for our products in 2020, 2019 and 2018 is shown in the table
below.
                                                2020                                              2019                                              2018
                               Sales Volume (tons)           Net Sales           Sales Volume (tons)           Net Sales           Sales Volume (tons)           Net Sales
                                                                                (tons in thousands; dollars in millions)

Ammonia                               3,767                $    1,020                   3,516                $    1,113                   3,135                $    1,028
Granular urea                         5,148                     1,248                   4,849                     1,342                   4,898                     1,322
UAN                                   6,843                     1,063                   6,807                     1,270                   7,042                     1,234
AN                                    2,216                       455                   2,109                       506                   2,002                       460
Other                                 2,322                       338                   2,257                       359                   2,252                       385
Total                                20,296                $    4,124                  19,538                $    4,590                  19,329                $    4,429


We expect sales volumes for our products to return to a range of 19-19.5 million
product tons in 2021 due to lower year-end inventory than the year before and
lower expected production due to a higher number of planned turnarounds than in
2020.
Selling Prices
The selling prices for all of our major products were lower in 2020 than 2019 as
global energy prices remained low, driving higher global nitrogen operating
rates and the resulting additional global supply availability. The average
selling price for our products for 2020 and 2019 was $203 per ton and $235 per
ton, respectively. The decrease in average selling prices of 14% in 2020 from
2019 decreased net sales by $665 million.
Natural Gas Prices
Natural gas is the principal raw material used to produce our nitrogen products.
We use natural gas both as a chemical feedstock and as a fuel to produce
nitrogen products. Natural gas is a significant cost component of manufactured
nitrogen products, representing approximately one-third of our production costs.
Most of our nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing facilities are located in the
United States and Canada. As a result, the price of natural gas in North America
directly impacts a substantial portion of our operating expenses. Due to
increases in natural gas production resulting from the rise in production from
shale gas formations, natural gas prices in North America have declined over the
last decade, but are subject to volatility. Natural gas prices during 2020 were
lower on average than 2019, due in part to reduced energy demand as a result of
the COVID-19 pandemic, partially offset by reductions in supply. The daily
market price at the Henry Hub, the most heavily-traded natural gas pricing point
in North America, fluctuated throughout 2020. The average daily market price at
the Henry Hub was $1.99 per MMBtu for 2020 compared to $2.51 per MMBtu for 2019,
a decrease of 21%. The price of natural gas decreased in the first half of 2020
and increased in the second half of 2020 with the average daily market price
rising at the Henry Hub to $2.47 per MMBtu in the fourth quarter of 2020.
We also have manufacturing facilities located in the United Kingdom. These
facilities are subject to fluctuations associated with the price of natural gas
in Europe. The major natural gas trading point for the United Kingdom is the
National Balancing Point (NBP). The price of natural gas in the United Kingdom
during 2020 was lower on average compared to 2019 as a result of increased
availability of liquefied natural gas in the global market as well as the global
economic downturn related to the COVID-19 pandemic. The average daily market
price at NBP was $3.20 per MMBtu for 2020 compared to $4.44 per MMBtu for 2019,
a decrease of 28%. The daily market price at NBP also fluctuated throughout 2020
as the price decreased in the first half of 2020 and increased in the second
half of 2020 with the average daily market price rising at the NBP to $5.29 per
MMBtu in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Natural gas costs in cost of sales, including the impact of realized natural gas
derivatives, was $2.24 per MMBtu in 2020, an 18% decrease from $2.74 per MMBtu
in 2019, which resulted in an increase in gross margin of approximately
$195 million.
                                       33

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Financial Executive Summary
We reported net earnings attributable to common stockholders of $317 million in
2020 compared to $493 million in 2019, a decline in net earnings of 36%, or $176
million. The decrease in net earnings was due primarily to lower selling prices
as lower global energy costs drove higher global operating rates, leading to
increased global nitrogen supply availability. The impact of lower selling
prices was partially offset by lower realized natural gas costs and higher sales
volume, leading to a net decline in gross margin of $373 million in 2020. Gross
margin declined from $1,174 million in 2019 to $801 million in 2020. The
following describes the significant factors that impacted gross margin:
•Average selling prices declined 14% in 2020 to $203 per ton, which decreased
gross margin by $665 million,
•Realized natural gas costs declined by 18% in 2020 to $2.24 per MMBtu, which
increased gross margin by   $195 million,
•Sales volume increased 4% to 20.3 million product tons, the highest annual
sales volume for the Company. The increase in sales volume increased gross
margin by $61 million.
Additionally, net earnings were impacted by lower selling, general and
administrative costs, which declined by $33 million due primarily to the impact
of lower corporate project activity and travel during the COVID-19 pandemic, and
a decline in our annual tax provision of $95 million, driven by lower pre-tax
earnings as well as certain favorable discrete tax items, including the impact
of the Terra Amended Tax Returns. See discussion under "Items Affecting
Comparability-Terra Amended Tax Returns," below, for further information.
Diluted net earnings per share attributable to common stockholders decreased
$0.76 per share, to $1.47 per share in 2020 compared to $2.23 per share in
2019. This decrease is due primarily to lower net earnings, partially offset by
a 3% reduction in diluted weighted-average common shares outstanding due to
repurchases made under our share repurchase program. On February 13, 2019, our
Board of Directors (the Board) authorized the repurchase of up to $1 billion of
CF Holdings common stock through December 31, 2021 (the 2019 Share Repurchase
Program). In 2019, we repurchased approximately 7.6 million shares under the
2019 Share Repurchase Program for $337 million. In 2020, we repurchased
approximately 2.6 million shares under the 2019 Share Repurchase Program for
$100 million. No shares were repurchased under the 2019 Share Repurchase Program
in the second, third or fourth quarter of 2020. See discussion under "Liquidity
and Capital Resources-Share Repurchase Programs," below, for further
information.
                                       34

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Items Affecting Comparability of Results
In addition to the impact of market conditions discussed above, certain items
impacted our financial results during the years ended December 31, 2020 and
2019. The following table and related discussion outline these items and how
they impacted the comparability of our financial results during these periods.
Positive amounts in the table below are costs or expenses incurred, while
negative amounts are income recognized in the periods presented. During the
years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019, we reported net earnings attributable to
common stockholders of $317 million and $493 million, respectively.
                                                                       2020                              2019
                                                              Pre-Tax    After-Tax(1)           Pre-Tax    After-Tax(1)
                                                                           

(in millions) Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain) loss on natural gas derivatives(2)

$     (6)   $         (5)         $     14    $         10
COVID impacts:
Special COVID-19 bonus for operational workforce(2)               19              15                 -               -
Turnaround deferral(2)                                             7               6                 -               -

Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions, including intercompany loans(3)

                                              5               4                (1)             (1)
Engineering cost write-off(3)                                      9               7                 -               -
Loss on sale of surplus land(3)                                    2               1                 -               -
Insurance proceeds(3)                                            (37)            (28)              (37)            (28)
Gain on sale of Pine Bend facility(3)                              -               -               (45)            (34)
Losses on debt extinguishment                                      -               -                21              16

Louisiana incentive tax credit(4)                                  -               -                 -             (30)

Terra amended tax returns-interest income and income tax benefit(5)

                                                       (26)            (44)               (5)            (14)

PLNL withholding tax charge(6)                                     -               -                16              16


______________________________________________________________________________


(1)  The tax impact is calculated utilizing a marginal effective rate of 23.2%
in 2020 and 23.3% in 2019.
(2)  Included in cost of sales in our consolidated statements of operations.
(3)  Included in other operating-net in our consolidated statements of
operations.
(4)  Included in income tax provision in our consolidated statements of
operations.
(5)  Included in interest expense, interest income and income tax provision in
our consolidated statements of operations.
(6)  Included in equity in earnings (loss) of operating affiliate in our
consolidated statements of operations.
The following describes the significant items that impacted the comparability of
our financial results in 2020 and 2019. Descriptions of items below that refer
to amounts in the table above, refer to the pre-tax amounts, except for the
discussion under Income taxes.
Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain) loss on natural gas derivatives
Natural gas is the largest and most volatile single component of the
manufacturing cost for nitrogen-based products. At certain times, we have
managed the risk of changes in natural gas prices through the use of derivative
financial instruments. The derivatives that we may use for this purpose are
primarily natural gas fixed price swaps, basis swaps and options. We use natural
gas derivatives as an economic hedge of natural gas price risk, but without the
application of hedge accounting. This can result in volatility in reported
earnings due to the unrealized mark-to-market adjustments that occur from
changes in the value of the derivatives, which is reflected in cost of sales in
our consolidated statements of operations. In 2020 and 2019, we recognized an
unrealized net mark-to-market (gain) loss on natural gas derivatives of
$(6) million and $14 million, respectively.
COVID impacts
In March 2020, a short-term bonus program was initiated to compensate
operational employees for continuing their critical tasks at the beginning of
the COVID-19 pandemic. The bonus program concluded in June 2020. Approximately
$19 million was paid as part of the program and was recognized in cost of sales
in our consolidated statement of operations for the year ended December 31,
2020.
In addition, certain plant turnaround activities were deferred because of the
COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, we incurred $7 million of expense for the year
ended December 31, 2020, which was recognized in cost of sales in our
consolidated statement of operations.
                                       35

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Loss (gain) on foreign currency transactions, including intercompany loans
In 2020 and 2019, we recognized a loss (gain) of $5 million and $(1) million,
respectively, which consists of foreign currency exchange rate impacts on
foreign currency denominated transactions, including the impact of changes in
foreign currency exchange rates on intercompany loans that were not permanently
invested.
Engineering cost write-off
In June 2020, a project at one of our nitrogen complexes was cancelled and, as a
result, $9 million of previously capitalized engineering costs were expensed in
the year ended December 31, 2020. The expense is reflected in other
operating-net in our consolidated statement of operations.
Loss on sale of surplus land
In 2020, we recognized a loss of $2 million on the sale of surplus land, which
is reflected in other operating-net in our consolidated statement of operations.
Insurance proceeds
We recognized income of $37 million in both 2020 and 2019 related to insurance
claims at one of our nitrogen complexes. The $37 million of income in 2020
consists of $35 million related to business interruption insurance proceeds and
$2 million related to property insurance proceeds. The $37 million of income in
2019 consisted of $22 million related to business interruption insurance
proceeds and $15 million related to property insurance proceeds. These proceeds
are reflected in other operating-net in our consolidated statements of
operations.
Gain on sale of Pine Bend facility
During the first quarter of 2019, we entered into an agreement to sell our Pine
Bend dry bulk storage and logistics facility in Minnesota. In April of 2019, we
completed the sale, received proceeds of $55 million and recognized a pre-tax
gain of $45 million. The gain is reflected in other operating-net in our
consolidated statement of operations.
Losses on debt extinguishment
On November 13, 2019, we redeemed in full all of the $500 million outstanding
principal amount of the 7.125% senior notes due May 2020 (the 2020 Notes), in
accordance with the optional redemption provisions provided in the indenture
governing the 2020 Notes. On December 13, 2019, we redeemed $250 million
principal amount, representing 50% of the $500 million outstanding principal
amount immediately prior to such redemption, of the 3.400% senior secured notes
due December 2021 (the 2021 Notes), in accordance with the optional redemption
provisions provided in the indenture governing the 2021 Notes. As a result of
the early redemption of the 2020 Notes and the 2021 Notes, we recognized a loss
on debt extinguishment of $21 million, of which $12 million related to the 2020
Notes and $9 million related to the 2021 Notes.
Louisiana incentive tax credit
For 2019, our income tax provision included an incentive tax credit from the
State of Louisiana of $30 million, net of federal income tax, related to certain
capital projects at our Donaldsonville, Louisiana complex.
Terra amended tax returns
We completed the acquisition of Terra Industries Inc. (Terra) in April 2010.
After the acquisition, we determined that the manner in which Terra reported the
repatriation of cash from foreign affiliates to its U.S. parent for U.S. and
foreign income tax purposes was not appropriate. As a result, in 2012 we amended
certain tax returns, including Terra's income and withholding tax returns, back
to 1999 (the Amended Tax Returns) and paid additional income and withholding
taxes, and related interest and penalties. In early 2013, the Internal Revenue
Service (IRS) commenced an examination of the U.S. tax aspects of the Amended
Tax Returns. In 2017, we also made a Voluntary Disclosure Filing with the
Canadian Revenue Agency (CRA) with respect to the Canadian tax aspects of this
matter and paid additional Canadian taxes due.
In early 2019, the IRS completed its examination of the Amended Tax Returns and
submitted its audit reports and related refund claims to the Joint Committee on
Taxation of the U.S. Congress (the Joint Committee). For purposes of its review,
the Joint Committee separated the IRS audit reports into two separate matters:
(i) an income tax related matter and (ii) a withholding tax matter. In late
2019, we received notification that the Joint Committee had approved the IRS
audit reports and related income tax refunds relating to the income tax related
matter. As a result of the approval by the Joint Committee, we recognized in the
fourth quarter of 2019 interest income of $5 million ($4 million after tax) and
a reduction in income tax
                                       36

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


expense of $10 million related to the favorable settlement of certain uncertain
tax positions. No income tax refunds were received in 2019 related to the
Amended Tax Returns.
In 2020, we received notification that the Joint Committee approved the IRS
audit report and related withholding tax refunds relating to the withholding tax
matter and we received IRS Notices indicating the amount of tax and interest to
be refunded and received with respect to the withholding tax matter and the
income tax matter. In addition, the CRA settled with us the Voluntary Disclosure
matter.
In 2020, as a result of these events, we recognized $26 million of
interest-related income and $18 million of income tax benefit, which consisted
of the following:
•additional income of $26 million ($23 million, net of tax) representing $16
million of interest income related to the U.S. Federal income tax matter and
withholding tax matter and a $10 million reversal of previously accrued interest
related to the Canadian tax aspects of this matter,
•a reduction in our liabilities for unrecognized tax benefits of $12 million
with a corresponding reduction in income tax expense related to the U.S. Federal
withholding tax matter, and
•additional income tax benefit of $9 million related to the U.S. Federal income
tax matter and related state amended returns.
In 2020, we received U.S. federal income tax refunds, including interest, of
$110 million relating to the Amended Tax Returns, consisting of $68 million
related to the income tax matter and $42 million related to the withholding tax
matter, which finalized these matters with the IRS. As a result of the
finalization of the income tax matter and the withholding tax matter, all U.S.
federal tax years commencing before January 1, 2012 are now closed.
In the first quarter of 2021, we received approximately $20 million of
withholding tax refunds, including interest, from the CRA, related to the
Voluntary Disclosure Filing. These amounts were previously recorded in our
consolidated balance sheet as of December 31, 2020.
PLNL withholding tax charge
The Trinidadian tax authority (the Board of Inland Revenue) issued a proposed
tax assessment against PLNL, our joint venture in the Republic of Trinidad and
Tobago, with respect to tax years 2011 and 2012 in the amount of approximately
$12 million. The proposed assessment asserted that PLNL should have withheld tax
at a higher rate on dividends paid to its Trinidadian owners. The Board of
Inland Revenue also would have assessed statutory interest and penalties on the
amount of tax owed when a final assessment was issued for the tax years 2011 and
2012.
During the third quarter of 2019, the Trinidadian government offered a tax
amnesty period that provided taxpayers the opportunity to pay any prior year tax
obligations and avoid accumulated interest or penalties. During the tax amnesty
period, PLNL evaluated the proposed assessment, including considering the
outcome of certain recent legal cases involving other taxpayers. As a result of
this evaluation, in the third quarter of 2019, PLNL paid withholding tax to the
Board of Inland Revenue under the amnesty program for tax years back to 2011,
and recognized a charge for $32 million. Our 50% share of PLNL's tax charge is
$16 million, which reduced our equity in earnings of operating affiliate for
2019.
                                       37

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.

Consolidated Results of Operations The following table presents our consolidated results of operations and supplemental data:


                                                                                              Year ended December 31,
                                                  2020             2019           2018(1)                 2020 v. 2019                         2019 v. 2018
                                                                                          (in millions, except as noted)

Net sales                                      $ 4,124          $ 4,590          $ 4,429          $     (466)            (10) %       $      161                4  %
Cost of sales (COS)                              3,323            3,416            3,512                 (93)             (3) %              (96)              (3) %
Gross margin                                       801            1,174              917                (373)            (32) %              257               28  %
Gross margin percentage                           19.4  %          25.6  %          20.7  %             (6.2) %                              4.9  %
Selling, general and administrative expenses       206              239              214                 (33)            (14) %               25               12  %

Other operating-net                                (17)             (73)             (27)                 56              77  %              (46)            (170) %
Total other operating costs and expenses           189              166              187                  23              14  %              (21)       

(11) %



Equity in earnings (loss) of operating
affiliate                                           11               (5)              36                  16                N/M              (41)                N/M
Operating earnings                                 623            1,003              766                (380)            (38) %              237               31  %
Interest expense-net                               161              217              228                 (56)            (26) %              (11)              (5) %
Loss on debt extinguishment                          -               21                -                 (21)           (100) %               21                 N/M
Other non-operating-net                             (1)              (7)              (9)                  6              86  %                2               22  %
Earnings before income taxes                       463              772    

         547                (309)            (40) %              225               41  %
Income tax provision                                31              126              119                 (95)            (75) %                7                6  %

Net earnings                                       432              646              428                (214)            (33) %              218               51  %
Less: Net earnings attributable to
noncontrolling interests                           115              153              138                 (38)            (25) %               15               11  %
Net earnings attributable to common
stockholders                                   $   317          $   493          $   290          $     (176)            (36) %       $      203               70  %
Diluted net earnings per share attributable to
common stockholders                            $  1.47          $  2.23          $  1.24          $    (0.76)            (34) %       $     0.99               80  %
Diluted weighted-average common shares
outstanding                                      215.2            221.6            233.8                (6.4)             (3) %            (12.2)              (5) %
Dividends declared per common share            $  1.20          $  1.20          $  1.20          $        -               -  %       $        -                -  %
Natural gas supplemental data (per MMBtu)
Natural gas costs in COS(2)                    $  2.21          $  2.75          $  3.15          $    (0.54)            (20) %       $    (0.40)             (13) %
Realized derivatives loss (gain) in COS(3)        0.03            (0.01)            0.01                0.04                N/M            (0.02)       

N/M


Cost of natural gas in COS                     $  2.24          $  2.74          $  3.16          $    (0.50)            (18) %       $    (0.42)             (13) %
Average daily market price of natural gas
Henry Hub (Louisiana)                          $  1.99          $  2.51          $  3.12          $    (0.52)            (21) %       $    (0.61)             (20) %
Average daily market price of natural gas
National Balancing Point (UK)                  $  3.20          $  4.44          $  8.07          $    (1.24)            (28) %       $    (3.63)             (45) %
Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain) loss on
natural gas derivatives                        $    (6)         $    14          $   (13)         $      (20)               N/M       $       27

N/M


Depreciation and amortization                  $   892          $   875          $   888          $       17               2  %       $      (13)              (1) %
Capital expenditures                           $   309          $   404          $   422          $      (95)            (24) %       $      (18)              (4) %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)             20,296           19,538           19,329                 758               4  %              209                1  %
Production volume by product tons (000s):
Ammonia(4)                                      10,353           10,246            9,805                 107               1  %              441                4  %
Granular urea                                    5,001            4,941            4,837                  60               1  %              104                2  %
UAN (32%)                                        6,677            6,768            6,903                 (91)             (1) %             (135)              (2) %
AN                                               2,115            2,128            1,731                 (13)             (1) %              397               23  %

______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)For a discussion and analysis of the year ended December 31, 2018, see Item
7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations in our 2019 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on
February 24, 2020.
(2)Includes the cost of natural gas and related transportation that is included
in cost of sales during the period under the first-in, first-out inventory cost
method.
(3)Includes realized gains and losses on natural gas derivatives settled during
the period. Excludes unrealized mark-to-market gains and losses on natural gas
derivatives.
(4)Gross ammonia production, including amounts subsequently upgraded on-site
into granular urea, UAN, or AN.
                                       38

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


The following is a discussion and analysis of our consolidated results of
operations for the year ended December 31, 2020 compared to the year ended
December 31, 2019. For a discussion and analysis of our consolidated results of
operations for the year ended December 31, 2019 compared to the year ended
December 31, 2018, see Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations in our 2019 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed
with the SEC on February 24, 2020.
Net Sales
Our net sales are derived primarily from the sale of nitrogen products and are
determined by the quantities of nitrogen products we sell and the selling prices
we realize. The volumes, mix and selling prices we realize are determined to a
great extent by a combination of global and regional supply and demand factors.
Net sales also include shipping and handling costs that are billed to our
customers. Sales incentives are reported as a reduction in net sales.
Our total net sales decreased $466 million, or 10%, to $4.12 billion in 2020
compared to $4.59 billion in 2019 due to a 14% decrease in average selling
prices, which decreased net sales by $665 million, partially offset by a 4%
increase in sales volume, which increased net sales by $199 million.
Average selling prices were $203 per ton in 2020 compared to $235 per ton in
2019, a decrease of 14%, due primarily to lower average selling prices across
all products, primarily driven by increased global nitrogen supply availability
as lower global energy costs drove higher global operating rates. The increase
in total sales volume of 4% was due to higher sales volume across all our
products as greater supply availability resulting from both higher inventory
levels entering 2020 and higher production in 2020.
Cost of Sales
Our cost of sales includes manufacturing costs, purchased product costs, and
distribution costs. Manufacturing costs, the most significant element of cost of
sales, consist primarily of raw materials, realized and unrealized gains and
losses on natural gas derivatives, maintenance, direct labor, depreciation and
other plant overhead expenses. Purchased product costs primarily include the
cost to purchase nitrogen fertilizers to augment or replace production at our
facilities. Distribution costs consist of the cost of freight required to
transport finished products from our plants to our distribution facilities,
which are recognized in cost of sales when the product is sold to our customers,
and storage costs incurred prior to final shipment to customers.
Our cost of sales decreased $93 million, or 3%, to $3.32 billion in 2020 as
compared to $3.42 billion in 2019. The decrease in our cost of sales was due
primarily to the impact of lower realized natural gas costs, including the
impact of realized derivatives, and lower costs related to plant maintenance
activity. We recognized an unrealized net mark-to-market gain on natural gas
derivatives of $6 million in 2020 compared to an unrealized net mark-to-market
loss of $14 million in 2019. These factors were partially offset by an increase
in cost of sales due to higher sales volumes, higher distribution costs, and
costs related to the special COVID-19 bonus. The special COVID-19 bonus is more
fully described in the section above titled "Items Affecting Comparability of
Results-COVID impacts." The cost of sales per ton averaged $164 in 2020, a 6%
decrease from $175 per ton in 2019. Realized natural gas costs, including the
impact of realized derivatives, decreased 18% to $2.24 per MMBtu in 2020 from
$2.74 per MMBtu in 2019.
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses
Our selling, general and administrative expenses consist primarily of corporate
office expenses such as salaries and other payroll-related costs for our
executive, administrative, legal, financial, IT, and sales functions, as well as
certain taxes and insurance and other professional service fees, including those
for corporate initiatives.
Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased $33 million, or 14%, to
$206 million in 2020 from $239 million in 2019. The decrease was due primarily
to lower corporate project activity and travel as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic.
Other Operating-Net
Other operating-net includes administrative costs that do not relate directly to
our central operations. Costs included in "other operating costs" can include
foreign exchange gains and losses, unrealized gains and losses on foreign
currency derivatives, costs associated with our closed facilities, amounts
recorded for environmental remediation for other areas of our business,
litigation expenses and gains and losses on the disposal of fixed assets.
Other operating-net was $17 million of income in 2020 compared to $73 million of
income in 2019. The income in 2020 includes insurance proceeds of $37 million.
The insurance proceeds were partially offset by $9 million of expense related to
the cancellation of a project, and foreign currency transaction losses of $5
million, which includes the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange rates
on intercompany loans that were not permanently invested. The income in 2019 was
due
                                       39

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


primarily to the gain recognized on the sale of the Pine Bend facility of $45
million and insurance proceeds of $37 million, partially offset by foreign
currency transaction losses. Each of these items is more fully described in the
section above titled "Items Affecting Comparability of Results."
Equity in Earnings (Loss) of Operating Affiliate
Equity in earnings (loss) of operating affiliate consists of our 50% ownership
interest in PLNL. We include our share of the net earnings from our equity
method investment in PLNL as an element of earnings from operations because this
investment provides additional production and is integrated with our other
supply chain and sales activities. Our share of the net earnings includes the
amortization of certain tangible and intangible assets identified as part of the
application of purchase accounting at acquisition.
Equity in earnings of operating affiliate was $11 million in 2020 compared to a
loss of $5 million in 2019. The loss in 2019 included approximately $16 million
related to a withholding tax charge recognized by PLNL regarding a multi-year
tax dispute. See "Items Affecting Comparability of Results-PLNL withholding tax
charge," above, for additional information.
Interest Expense-Net
Our interest expense-net includes the interest expense on our long-term debt,
amortization of the related fees required to execute financing agreements,
annual fees pursuant to our revolving credit agreement and interest on tax
liabilities. Capitalized interest relating to the construction of major capital
projects reduces interest expense as the interest is capitalized and amortized
over the estimated useful lives of the related assets. Interest expense-net also
includes interest income, which includes amounts earned on our cash, cash
equivalents, and investments and any interest earned related to income tax
refunds.
Net interest expense decreased by $56 million to $161 million in 2020 from $217
million in 2019. The decrease was due primarily to our redemption of $750
million aggregate principal amount of long-term debt in the fourth quarter of
2019, which is more fully described under "Liquidity and Capital
Resources-Senior Notes," below. In addition, the decrease reflects $26 million
of income in 2020 related to the finalization of the Terra amended tax returns,
which is more fully described under "Liquidity and Capital Resources-Terra
Amended Tax Returns," below.
Losses on Debt Extinguishment
On November 13, 2019, we redeemed in full all of the $500 million outstanding
principal amount of the 2020 Notes, in accordance with the optional redemption
provisions provided in the indenture governing the 2020 Notes. On December 13,
2019, we redeemed $250 million principal amount, representing 50% of the $500
million outstanding principal amount immediately prior to such redemption, of
the 2021 Notes, in accordance with the optional redemption provisions provided
in the indenture governing the 2021 Notes. As a result of the early redemption
of the 2020 Notes and the 2021 Notes, we recognized a loss on debt
extinguishment of $21 million, of which $12 million related to the 2020 Notes
and $9 million related to the 2021 Notes.
Income Tax Provision
Our income tax provision for 2020 was $31 million on pre-tax income of $463
million, or an effective tax rate of 6.7% compared to an income tax provision of
$126 million on pre-tax income of $772 million, or an effective tax rate of
16.3% in 2019.
For 2020, our income tax provision includes a $27 million benefit related to the
settlement of certain U.S. and foreign income tax audits, which primarily
related to the settlement of the audit of the Terra amended tax returns, which
is more fully described under "Liquidity and Capital Resources-Terra Amended Tax
Returns," below.
For 2019, our income tax provision includes an incentive tax credit from the
State of Louisiana of $30 million, net of federal income tax, related to certain
capital projects at our Donaldsonville, Louisiana complex, and an income tax
benefit of $10 million related to the favorable settlement of certain uncertain
tax positions related to the Terra amended tax returns.
Our effective tax rate is impacted by earnings attributable to the
noncontrolling interest in CFN, as our consolidated income tax provision does
not include a tax provision on the earnings attributable to the noncontrolling
interest. Our effective tax rate for 2020 of 6.7%, which is based on pre-tax
income of $463 million, would be 2.2 percentage points higher, or 8.9%, if based
on pre-tax income exclusive of the earnings attributable to the noncontrolling
interest of $115 million. Our effective tax rate for 2019 of 16.3%, which is
based on pre-tax income of $772 million, would be 4.0 percentage points higher,
or 20.3%, if based on pre-tax income exclusive of the earnings attributable to
the noncontrolling interest of $153 million.
                                       40

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Both 2020 and 2019 were impacted by additional discrete tax items. See Note
10-Income Taxes for additional information.
Net Earnings Attributable to Noncontrolling Interest
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interest includes the net earnings
attributable to the approximately 11% CHS minority equity interest in CFN, a
subsidiary of CF Holdings.
Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interest decreased $38 million, or
25%, to $115 million in 2020 compared to $153 million in 2019 due to lower
earnings of CFN driven by lower average selling prices due primarily to
increased global nitrogen supply availability.
Diluted Net Earnings Per Share Attributable to Common Stockholders
Net earnings per share attributable to common stockholders decreased $0.76 to
$1.47 per diluted share in 2020 from $2.23 per diluted share in 2019. This
decrease is due primarily to lower net earnings, partially offset by the impact
of a 3% reduction in diluted weighted-average common shares outstanding due to
repurchases made under our share repurchase program. See discussion under
"Liquidity and Capital Resources-Share Repurchase Program," below, for further
information.

Operating Results by Business Segment
Our reportable segment structure reflects how our chief operating decision
maker, as defined in the accounting principles generally accepted in the United
States (U.S. GAAP), assesses the performance of our reportable segments and
makes decisions about resource allocation. These segments are differentiated by
products. Our management uses gross margin to evaluate segment performance and
allocate resources. Total other operating costs and expenses (consisting of
selling, general and administrative expenses and other operating-net) and
non-operating expenses (interest and income taxes), are centrally managed and
are not included in the measurement of segment profitability reviewed by
management.
The following table presents summary operating results by business segment:
                                                         Granular
                                       Ammonia           Urea(1)            UAN(1)           AN(1)          Other(1)                Consolidated
                                                                            (in millions)
Year ended December 31, 2020
Net sales                             $ 1,020          $  1,248           $ 1,063          $  455          $    338                $     4,124
Cost of sales                             850               847               949             390               287                      3,323
Gross margin                          $   170          $    401           $   114          $   65          $     51                $       801
Gross margin percentage                  16.7  %           32.1   %          10.7  %         14.3  %           15.1  %                    19.4  %
Year ended December 31, 2019
Net sales                             $ 1,113          $  1,342           $ 1,270          $  506          $    359                $     4,590
Cost of sales                             878               861               981             399               297                      3,416
Gross margin                          $   235          $    481           $   289          $  107          $     62                $     1,174
Gross margin percentage                  21.1  %           35.8   %          22.8  %         21.1  %           17.3  %                    25.6  %
Year ended December 31, 2018
Net sales                             $ 1,028          $  1,322           $ 1,234          $  460          $    385                $     4,429
Cost of sales                             867               889             1,007             414               335                      3,512
Gross margin                          $   161          $    433           $   227          $   46          $     50                $       917
Gross margin percentage                  15.7  %           32.8   %          18.4  %         10.0  %           13.0  %                    20.7  %


_______________________________________________________________________________
(1)The cost of ammonia that is upgraded into other products is transferred at
cost into the upgraded product results.
The following is a discussion and analysis of our operating results by business
segment for the year ended December 31, 2020 compared to the year ended December
31, 2019. For a discussion and analysis of our operating results by business
segment for the year ended December 31, 2019 compared to the year ended December
31, 2018, see Item 7. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations in our 2019 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed
with the SEC on February 24, 2020.
                                       41

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Ammonia Segment
Our ammonia segment produces anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which is our most
concentrated nitrogen product. Ammonia contains 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen.
The results of our ammonia segment consist of sales of ammonia to external
customers. In addition, ammonia is the "basic" nitrogen product that we upgrade
into other nitrogen products such as granular urea, UAN and AN. We produce
ammonia at all of our nitrogen manufacturing complexes.
The following table presents summary operating data for our ammonia segment:
                                                                                   Year ended December 31,
                                         2020             2019             2018                  2020 v. 2019                       2019 v. 2018
                                                                                (in millions, except as noted)
Net sales                             $ 1,020          $ 1,113          $ 1,028          $     (93)             (8) %       $      85               8  %
Cost of sales                             850              878              867                (28)             (3) %              11               1  %
Gross margin                          $   170          $   235          $   161          $     (65)            (28) %       $      74              46  %
Gross margin percentage                  16.7  %          21.1  %          15.7  %            (4.4)  %                            5.4   %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)     3,767            3,516            3,135                251               7  %             381              12  %
Sales volume by nutrient tons
(000s)(1)                               3,090            2,884            2,571                206               7  %             313              12  %

Average selling price per product ton $ 271 $ 317 $ 328 $ (46)

            (15) %       $     (11)             (3) %
Average selling price per nutrient
ton(1)                                $   330          $   386          $   400          $     (56)            (15) %       $     (14)             (4) %
Gross margin per product ton          $    45          $    67          $    51          $     (22)            (33) %       $      16              31  %

Gross margin per nutrient ton(1) $ 55 $ 81 $

  63          $     (26)            (32) %       $      18              29  %

Depreciation and amortization $ 176 $ 167 $ 155 $ 9

               5  %       $      12               8  %
Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain)
loss on natural gas derivatives       $    (2)         $     4          $    (4)         $      (6)               N/M       $       8

N/M

_______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)Ammonia represents 82% nitrogen content. Nutrient tons represent the tons of
nitrogen within the product tons.
Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2019
Net Sales. Net sales in our ammonia segment decreased by $93 million, or 8%, to
$1.02 billion in 2020 from $1.11 billion in 2019 due primarily to a 15% decrease
in average selling prices, partially offset by a 7% increase in sales volume.
Average selling prices decreased to $271 per ton in 2020 compared to $317 per
ton in 2019. The decrease in average selling prices was due to increased global
nitrogen supply availability as lower global energy costs drove higher global
operating rates. Sales volume was higher in 2020 due to greater supply
availability resulting from increased production and higher inventory levels
entering 2020.
Cost of Sales. Cost of sales in our ammonia segment averaged $226 per ton in
2020, a 10% decrease from $250 per ton in 2019, due primarily to the impact of
lower realized natural gas costs and lower costs related to plant maintenance
activity, partially offset by higher distribution costs.
Gross Margin.  Gross margin in our ammonia segment decreased by $65 million to
$170 million in 2020 from $235 million in 2019, and our gross margin percentage
was 16.7% in 2020 compared to 21.1% in 2019. The decrease in gross margin was
due to a 15% decrease in average selling prices, which reduced gross margin by
$170 million. This factor was partially offset by a decrease in realized natural
gas costs, which increased gross margin by $57 million, a 7% increase in sales
volume, which increased gross margin by $29 million, a $13 million net decrease
in other manufacturing and distribution costs, and the impact of a $2 million
unrealized net mark-to-market gain on natural gas derivatives in 2020 compared
to a $4 million loss in 2019.




                                       42

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Granular Urea Segment
Our granular urea segment produces granular urea, which contains 46% nitrogen.
Produced from ammonia and carbon dioxide, it has the highest nitrogen content of
any of our solid nitrogen fertilizers. Granular urea is produced at our
Donaldsonville, Louisiana; Medicine Hat, Alberta; and Port Neal, Iowa nitrogen
complexes.
The following table presents summary operating data for our granular urea
segment:
                                                                                   Year ended December 31,
                                         2020             2019             2018                  2020 v. 2019                       2019 v. 2018
                                                                                (in millions, except as noted)
Net sales                             $ 1,248          $ 1,342          $ 1,322          $     (94)             (7) %       $      20               2  %
Cost of sales                             847              861              889                (14)             (2) %             (28)             (3) %
Gross margin                          $   401          $   481          $   433          $     (80)            (17) %       $      48              11  %
Gross margin percentage                  32.1  %          35.8  %          32.8  %            (3.7)  %                            3.0   %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)     5,148            4,849            4,898                299               6  %             (49)             (1) %
Sales volume by nutrient tons
(000s)(1)                               2,368            2,231            2,253                137               6  %             (22)            

(1) % Average selling price per product ton $ 242 $ 277 $ 270 $ (35)

            (13) %       $       7               3  %
Average selling price per nutrient
ton(1)                                $   527          $   602          $   587          $     (75)            (12) %       $      15               3  %
Gross margin per product ton          $    78          $    99          $    88          $     (21)            (21) %       $      11              13  %

Gross margin per nutrient ton(1) $ 169 $ 216 $ 192 $ (47)

            (22) %       $      24              13  %

Depreciation and amortization $ 270 $ 264 $ 276 $ 6

               2  %       $     (12)             (4) %
Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain)
loss on natural gas derivatives       $    (2)         $     4          $    (4)         $      (6)               N/M       $       8

N/M

______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)Granular urea represents 46% nitrogen content. Nutrient tons represent the
tons of nitrogen within the product tons.
Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2019
Net Sales. Net sales in our granular urea segment decreased $94 million, or 7%,
to $1.25 billion in 2020 compared to $1.34 billion in 2019 due primarily to a
13% decrease in average selling prices, partially offset by a 6% increase in
sales volume. Average selling prices decreased to $242 per ton in 2020 compared
to $277 per ton in 2019. The decrease was due primarily to increased global
nitrogen supply availability as lower global energy costs drove higher global
operating rates. Sales volume was higher due primarily to greater supply
availability resulting from higher inventory levels entering 2020 and increased
production. In addition, North American demand strengthened in the fourth
quarter of 2020 amid increasing crop prices and overall improved farm economics.
Cost of Sales. Cost of sales in our granular urea segment averaged $164 per ton
in 2020, an 8% decrease from $178 per ton in 2019, due primarily to the impact
of lower realized natural gas costs and lower costs related to plant maintenance
activity.
Gross Margin.  Gross margin in our granular urea segment decreased by $80
million to $401 million in 2020 from $481 million in 2019, and our gross margin
percentage was 32.1% in 2020 compared to 35.8% in 2019. The decrease in gross
margin was due to a 13% decrease in average selling prices, which decreased
gross margin by $166 million. This factor was partially offset by a decrease in
realized natural gas costs, which increased gross margin by $40 million, a $23
million net decrease in other manufacturing and distribution costs, a 6%
increase in sales volume, which increased gross margin by $17 million, and the
impact of a $2 million unrealized net mark-to-market gain on natural gas
derivatives in 2020 compared to a $4 million loss in 2019.



                                       43

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


UAN Segment
Our UAN segment produces urea ammonium nitrate solution (UAN). UAN, a liquid
fertilizer product with a nitrogen content that typically ranges from 28% to
32%, is produced by combining urea and ammonium nitrate. UAN is produced at our
nitrogen complexes in Courtright, Ontario; Donaldsonville, Louisiana; Port Neal,
Iowa; Verdigris, Oklahoma; Woodward, Oklahoma; and Yazoo City, Mississippi.
The following table presents summary operating data for our UAN segment:
                                                                                    Year ended December 31,
                                          2020             2019             2018                  2020 v. 2019                       2019 v. 2018
                                                                                 (in millions, except as noted)
Net sales                              $ 1,063          $ 1,270          $ 1,234          $     (207)           (16) %       $      36               3  %
Cost of sales                              949              981            1,007                 (32)            (3) %             (26)             (3) %
Gross margin                           $   114          $   289          $   227          $     (175)           (61) %       $      62              27  %
Gross margin percentage                   10.7  %          22.8  %          18.4  %            (12.1) %                            4.4   %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)      6,843            6,807            7,042                  36              1  %            (235)             (3) %
Sales volume by nutrient tons
(000s)(1)                                2,155            2,144            2,225                  11              1  %             (81)             (4) %
Average selling price per product ton  $   155          $   187          $   175          $      (32)           (17) %       $      12               7  %
Average selling price per nutrient
ton(1)                                 $   493          $   592          $   555          $      (99)           (17) %       $      37               7  %
Gross margin per product ton           $    17          $    42          $    32          $      (25)           (60) %       $      10              31  %

Gross margin per nutrient ton(1) $ 53 $ 135 $

  102          $      (82)           (61) %       $      33              32  %

Depreciation and amortization $ 256 $ 251 $

  270          $        5              2  %       $     (19)             (7) %
Unrealized net mark-to-market (gain)
loss on natural gas derivatives        $    (2)         $     4          $    (4)         $       (6)              N/M       $       8

N/M

______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)UAN represents between 28% and 32% of nitrogen content, depending on the
concentration specified by the customer. Nutrient tons represent the tons of
nitrogen within the product tons.
Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2019
Net Sales. Net sales in our UAN segment decreased $207 million, or 16%, to
$1.06 billion in 2020 compared to $1.27 billion in 2019 due primarily to a 17%
decrease in average selling prices, partially offset by a 1% increase in sales
volume. Average selling prices decreased to $155 per ton in 2020 compared to
$187 per ton in 2019 due primarily to increased global nitrogen supply
availability as lower global energy costs drove higher global operating rates
and increased imports into the United States as trade flows adjusted in response
to the European Union anti-dumping duties. Sales volume in our UAN segment was
approximately 6.8 million tons in both 2020 and 2019.
Cost of Sales. Cost of sales in our UAN segment averaged $138 per ton in 2020, a
5% decrease from $145 per ton in 2019, due primarily to the impact of lower
realized natural gas costs.
Gross Margin.  Gross margin in our UAN segment decreased by $175 million to
$114 million in 2020 from $289 million in 2019, and our gross margin percentage
was 10.7% in 2020 compared to 22.8% in 2019. The decrease in gross margin was
due to a 17% decrease in average selling prices, which decreased gross margin by
$222 million, and a $27 million net increase in other manufacturing and
distribution costs. These factors were partially offset by a decrease in
realized natural gas costs, which increased gross margin by $58 million, a 1%
increase in sales volume, which increased gross margin by $10 million, and the
impact of a $2 million unrealized net mark-to-market gain on natural gas
derivatives in 2020 compared to a $4 million loss in 2019.

                                       44

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


AN Segment
Our AN segment produces ammonium nitrate (AN). AN, which has a nitrogen content
between 29% and 35%, is produced by combining anhydrous ammonia and nitric acid.
AN is used as nitrogen fertilizer and is also used by industrial customers for
commercial explosives and blasting systems. AN is produced at our nitrogen
complexes in Yazoo City, Mississippi and Ince and Billingham, United Kingdom.
The following table presents summary operating data for our AN segment:
                                                                                      Year ended December 31,
                                         2020             2019             2018                  2020 v. 2019                          2019 v. 2018
                                                                                  (in millions, except as noted)

Net sales                             $   455          $   506          $   460          $      (51)            (10) %       $     46                   10  %
Cost of sales                             390              399              414                  (9)             (2) %            (15)                  (4) %
Gross margin                          $    65          $   107          $    46          $      (42)            (39) %       $     61                  133  %
Gross margin percentage                  14.3  %          21.1  %          10.0  %             (6.8) %                           11.1   %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)     2,216            2,109            2,002                 107               5  %            107                    5  %
Sales volume by nutrient tons
(000s)(1)                                 747              708              676                  39               6  %             32                  

5 % Average selling price per product ton $ 205 $ 240 $ 230 $ (35)

            (15) %       $     10                    4  %
Average selling price per nutrient
ton(1)                                $   609          $   715          $   680          $     (106)            (15) %       $     35                    5  %
Gross margin per product ton          $    29          $    51          $    23          $      (22)            (43) %       $     28                  122  %
Gross margin per nutrient ton(1)      $    87          $   151          $    68          $      (64)            (42) %       $     83                  122  %
Depreciation and amortization         $   100          $    88          $    85          $       12              14  %       $      3                    4  %
Unrealized net mark-to-market loss on
natural gas derivatives               $     -          $     1          $     -          $       (1)           (100) %       $      1                     N/M

_______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)AN represents between 29% and 35% of nitrogen content. Nutrient tons
represent the tons of nitrogen within the product tons.
Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2019
Net Sales. Net sales in our AN segment decreased $51 million, or 10%, to
$455 million in 2020 from $506 million in 2019 due primarily to a 15% decrease
in average selling prices, partially offset by a 5% increase in sales volume.
Average selling prices decreased to $205 per ton in 2020 compared to $240 per
ton in 2019 due primarily to increased global nitrogen supply availability as
lower global energy costs drove higher global operating rates. Sales volume
increased due primarily to greater supply availability as a result of higher
inventory levels entering 2020.
Cost of Sales. Cost of sales in our AN segment averaged $176 per ton in 2020, a
7% decrease from $189 per ton in 2019, due primarily to the impact of lower
realized natural gas costs and lower costs related to plant maintenance
activity.
Gross Margin.  Gross margin in our AN segment decreased by $42 million to
$65 million in 2020 from $107 million in 2019, and our gross margin percentage
was 14.3% in 2020 compared to 21.1% in 2019. The decrease in gross margin was
due to a 15% decrease in average selling prices, which decreased gross margin by
$77 million. This factor was partially offset by a decrease in realized natural
gas costs, which increased gross margin by $26 million, and a 5% increase in
sales volume, which increased gross margin by $4 million, a $4 million net
decrease in other manufacturing and distribution costs, and the impact of a $1
million unrealized net mark-to-market loss on natural gas derivatives in 2019.



                                       45

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table of Contents
                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Other Segment
Our Other segment primarily includes the following products:
•Diesel exhaust fluid (DEF) is an aqueous urea solution typically made with
32.5% or 50% high-purity urea and the remainder deionized water.
•Urea liquor is a liquid product that we sell in concentrations of 40%, 50% and
70% urea as a chemical intermediate.
•Nitric acid is a nitrogen-based mineral acid that is used in the production of
nitrate-based fertilizers, nylon precursors and other specialty chemicals.
•Compound fertilizer products (NPKs) are solid granular fertilizer products for
which the nutrient content is a combination of nitrogen, phosphorus and
potassium.
The following table presents summary operating data for our Other segment:
                                                                                    Year ended December 31,
                                         2020             2019             2018                  2020 v. 2019                        2019 v. 2018
                                                                                (in millions, except as noted)
Net sales                             $   338          $   359          $   385          $     (21)              (6) %       $     (26)             (7) %
Cost of sales                             287              297              335                (10)              (3) %             (38)            (11) %
Gross margin                          $    51          $    62          $    50          $     (11)             (18) %       $      12              24  %
Gross margin percentage                  15.1  %          17.3  %          13.0  %            (2.2)  %                             4.3   %
Sales volume by product tons (000s)     2,322            2,257            2,252                 65                3  %               5               -  %
Sales volume by nutrient tons
(000s)(1)                                 457              444              439                 13                3  %               5               1  %

Average selling price per product ton $ 146 $ 159 $ 171 $ (13)

              (8) %       $     (12)             (7) %
Average selling price per nutrient
ton(1)                                $   740          $   809          $   877          $     (69)              (9) %       $     (68)             (8) %
Gross margin per product ton          $    22          $    27          $    22          $      (5)             (19) %       $       5              23  %

Gross margin per nutrient ton(1) $ 112 $ 140 $ 114 $ (28)

             (20) %       $      26              23  %

Depreciation and amortization $ 68 $ 72 $

  67          $      (4)              (6) %       $       5               7  %
Unrealized net mark-to-market loss
(gain) on natural gas derivatives     $     -          $     1          $    (1)         $      (1)            (100) %       $       2

N/M

_______________________________________________________________________________


N/M-Not Meaningful
(1)Nutrient tons represent the tons of nitrogen within the product tons.
Year Ended December 31, 2020 Compared to Year Ended December 31, 2019
Net Sales. Net sales in our Other segment decreased $21 million, or 6%, to
$338 million in 2020 from $359 million in 2019 due to an 8% decrease in average
selling prices, partially offset by a 3% increase in sales volume. Average
selling prices decreased to $146 per ton in 2020 compared to $159 per ton in
2019. The decrease in average selling prices was due primarily to increased
global nitrogen supply availability as lower global energy costs drove higher
global operating rates. The increase in sales volume was due primarily to higher
DEF and NPK sales volumes, partially offset by lower nitric acid sales volume.
Cost of Sales. Cost of sales in our Other segment averaged $124 per ton in 2020,
a 6% decrease from $132 per ton in 2019, due primarily to the impact of lower
realized natural gas costs.
Gross Margin.  Gross margin in our Other segment decreased by $11 million to
$51 million in 2020 from $62 million in 2019, and our gross margin percentage
was 15.1% in 2020 compared to 17.3% in 2019. The decrease in gross margin was
due to an 8% decrease in average selling prices, which reduced gross margin by
$30 million. This factor was partially offset by a decrease in realized natural
gas costs, which increased gross margin by $14 million, a $3 million net
decrease in other manufacturing and distribution costs, a 3% increase in sales
volume including a shift in the mix of products sold within the segment, which
increased gross margin by $1 million, and the impact of a $1 million unrealized
net mark-to-market loss on natural gas derivatives in 2019.


                                       46

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our primary uses of cash are generally for operating costs, working capital,
capital expenditures, debt service, investments, taxes, share repurchases and
dividends. Our working capital requirements are affected by several factors,
including demand for our products, selling prices, raw material costs, freight
costs and seasonal factors inherent in the business. In addition, we may from
time to time seek to retire or purchase our outstanding debt through cash
purchases, in open market or privately negotiated transactions or otherwise.
Such repurchases, if any, will depend on prevailing market conditions, our
liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors. The amounts
involved may be material.
Generally, our primary source of cash is cash from operations, which includes
cash generated by customer advances. We may also from time to time access the
capital markets or engage in borrowings under our revolving credit agreement.
Our cash from operations could be affected by various risks and uncertainties,
including, but not limited to, the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic.
In March 2020, as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded in many locations
around the world, credit markets began to function less efficiently, causing
concern about liquidity in credit markets generally. In response to this and out
of an abundance of caution, we borrowed $500 million under our $750 million
revolving credit agreement to ensure we maintained ample financial flexibility
in light of the uncertainty in the global markets, including the financial
credit markets. In April 2020, due to confidence in the functioning of the
credit markets and strong nitrogen fertilizer business conditions, we repaid the
$500 million of borrowings.
Our cash and cash equivalents balance was $683 million at December 31, 2020, an
increase of $396 million from $287 million at December 31, 2019. At December 31,
2020, we were in compliance with all applicable covenant requirements under our
revolving credit agreement, senior notes and senior secured notes, and unused
borrowing capacity under our revolving credit agreement was $750 million.
On February 17, 2021, we announced that our wholly owned subsidiary CF
Industries elected to redeem in full the entire outstanding $250 million
principal amount of 3.400% Senior Secured Notes due December 2021 (the 2021
Notes) on March 20, 2021, in accordance with the optional redemption provisions
provided in the indenture governing the 2021 Notes. Based on market interest
rates on February 12, 2021, we estimate that the total amount for the redemption
of the 2021 Notes will be approximately $258 million, including accrued
interest.
Cash Equivalents
Cash equivalents include highly liquid investments that are readily convertible
to known amounts of cash with original maturities of three months or less. Under
our short-term investment policy, we may invest our cash balances, either
directly or through mutual funds, in several types of investment-grade
securities, including notes and bonds issued by governmental entities or
corporations. Securities issued by governmental entities include those issued
directly by the U.S. and Canadian federal governments; those issued by state,
local or other governmental entities; and those guaranteed by entities
affiliated with governmental entities.
Share Repurchase Program
On February 13, 2019, the Board authorized the repurchase of up to $1 billion of
CF Holdings common stock through December 31, 2021 (the 2019 Share Repurchase
Program). Repurchases under the 2019 Share Repurchase Program may be made from
time to time in the open market, through privately negotiated transactions,
block transactions or otherwise. The manner, timing and amount of repurchases
will be determined by our management based on the evaluation of market
conditions, stock price, and other factors.
During the year ended December 31, 2019, we repurchased approximately
7.6 million shares of CF Holdings common stock under the 2019 Share Repurchase
Program for $337 million. In June and December of 2019, we retired approximately
4.2 million and 3.4 million shares, respectively, that were repurchased under
the 2019 Share Repurchase Program in 2019.
During the first quarter of 2020, we repurchased approximately 2.6 million
shares of CF Holdings common stock under the 2019 Share Repurchase Program for
$100 million and retired those shares in the second quarter of 2020. No shares
were repurchased in the second, third or fourth quarter of 2020 under the 2019
Share Repurchase Program. At December 31, 2020, we held 102,843 shares of
treasury stock.
                                       47

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


The following table summarizes the share repurchases under the 2019 Share
Repurchase Program.
                                              Shares       Amounts
                                                  (in millions)
Shares repurchased in 2019:
First quarter                                  1.5        $     60
Second quarter                                 2.7             118
Third quarter                                  1.5              72
Fourth quarter                                 1.9              87
Shares repurchased as of December 31, 2019     7.6             337
Shares repurchased in 2020:
First quarter                                  2.6             100

Shares repurchased as of December 31, 2020 10.2 $ 437




Capital Spending
We make capital expenditures to sustain our asset base, increase our capacity,
improve plant efficiency and comply with various environmental, health and
safety requirements. Capital expenditures totaled $309 million in 2020 compared
to $404 million in 2019. The decrease in capital expenditures in 2020 was due
primarily to actions take to defer certain non-essential capital project
activity as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Capital expenditures in 2021 are estimated to be in the range of $450 million,
which reflects a return to a normal spending level and includes expenditures for
our initial green ammonia project at our Donaldsonville complex. Planned capital
expenditures are generally subject to change due to delays in regulatory
approvals or permitting, unanticipated increases in cost, changes in scope and
completion time, performance of third parties, delays in the receipt of
equipment, adverse weather, defects in materials and workmanship, labor or
material shortages, transportation constraints, acceleration or delays in the
timing of the work and other unforeseen difficulties. All of these factors may
also be influenced or exacerbated by the direct or indirect impacts of the
COVID-19 pandemic.
Government Policies
The policies or laws of governments around the world can result in the
imposition of taxes, duties, tariffs or other restrictions or regulatory
requirements on imports and exports of raw materials, finished goods or services
from a particular country or region of the world. The policies and laws of
governments can also impact the subsidization of natural gas prices, and
subsidies or quotas applied to domestic producers or farmers. Due to the
critical role that fertilizers play in food production, the construction and
operation of fertilizer plants often are influenced by economic, political and
social objectives. Additionally, the import or export of fertilizer can be
subject to local taxes imposed by governments which can have the effect of
either encouraging or discouraging import and export activity. The impact of
changes in governmental policies or laws or the political or social objectives
of a country could have a material impact on fertilizer demand and selling
prices and therefore could impact our liquidity.
Ethanol Industry and the Renewable Fuel Standard
Corn used to produce ethanol accounts for approximately 35% of total U.S. corn
demand. U.S. government policy, as expressed in the Renewable Fuel Standard
(RFS), is a major determinant for the ethanol market. The RFS establishes
minimum volumes of various types of renewable fuels, including ethanol, that
must be included in the United States' supply of fuel for transportation. In
addition, the U.S. Congress, at various times, has proposed legislation to
either modify or eliminate the RFS. While past legislation proposing changes to
the RFS has not been enacted into law, there can be no assurance that future
legislation will not be enacted into law. Other factors that drive the ethanol
market include the prices of ethanol, gasoline and corn. Lower gasoline prices
and fewer aggregate miles, driven by increased automobile fuel efficiency or the
continued expansion of electric vehicles, may put pressure on ethanol prices
that could result in reduced profitability and lower production for the ethanol
industry. This could impact the demand for corn and nitrogen fertilizer and,
therefore, could impact our liquidity.
                                       48

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Terra Amended Tax Returns
In 2020, we received income tax refunds, including interest, of $110 million
relating to the settlement of IRS audits of amended tax returns that we had
filed in 2012 related to prior tax years. See discussion under "Items Affecting
Comparability-Terra Amended Tax Returns," above, for further information.
Repatriation of Foreign Earnings and Income Taxes
We have operations in Canada, the United Kingdom and a 50% interest in a joint
venture in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago. Historically, the estimated
additional U.S. and foreign income taxes due upon repatriation of the earnings
of these foreign operations to the U.S. were recognized in our consolidated
financial statements as the earnings were recognized, unless the earnings were
considered to be permanently reinvested based upon our then current plans.
However, the cash payment of the income tax liabilities associated with
repatriation of earnings from foreign operations occurred at the time of the
repatriation. As a result, the recognition of income tax expense related to
foreign earnings, as applicable, and the payment of taxes resulting from
repatriation of those earnings could occur in different periods.
In light of changes made by the Tax Act, commencing with the 2018 tax year, the
United States no longer taxes earnings of foreign subsidiaries even when such
earnings are earned or repatriated to the United States, unless such earnings
are subject to U.S. rules on passive income or certain anti-abuse provisions.
Foreign subsidiary earnings may still be subject to withholding taxes when
repatriated to the United States.
Cash balances held by our joint venture are maintained at sufficient levels to
fund local operations as accumulated earnings are repatriated from the joint
venture on a periodic basis.
As of December 31, 2020, approximately $122 million of our consolidated cash and
cash equivalents balance of $683 million was held by our Canadian and United
Kingdom subsidiaries. Historically, and for the current year, the cash balance
held by the Canadian subsidiaries represented accumulated earnings of our
foreign operations that were not considered to be permanently reinvested. As of
December 31, 2020, we would not expect any additional cash tax cost to
repatriate the Canadian and United Kingdom cash balances if we were to
repatriate this cash in the future, other than foreign withholding tax.
Net Operating Loss and Capital Loss Carryforwards
As of December 31, 2018, we had net operating loss and capital loss
carryforwards (collectively, the Tax Loss Carryforwards) of $271 million. These
Tax Loss Carryforwards were available to reduce taxable income and thereby,
reduce cash taxes in the United States and other tax jurisdictions in which they
could be applied. As a result of the effective usage of certain of these Tax
Loss Carryforwards to offset current cash taxes payable, there were no U.S.
Federal Tax Loss Carryforwards remaining as of December 31, 2019. As a result,
we paid income taxes of approximately $111 million in 2020, net of income tax
refunds of approximately $90 million primarily related to the Terra Amended Tax
Returns, which are more fully described above under "Items Affecting
Comparability-Terra Amended Tax Returns."
Debt
Revolving Credit Agreement
On December 5, 2019, CF Holdings and CF Industries entered into a senior secured
Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the Revolving Credit Agreement),
which amended and restated our Third Amended and Restated Revolving Credit
Agreement, as previously amended (referred to herein, as in effect from time to
time, as the Prior Credit Agreement), that was scheduled to mature September 18,
2020. The Revolving Credit Agreement provides for a revolving credit facility of
up to $750 million with a maturity of December 5, 2024. The Revolving Credit
Agreement includes a letter of credit sub-limit of $125 million. Borrowings
under the Revolving Credit Agreement may be used for working capital, capital
expenditures, acquisitions, share repurchases and other general corporate
purposes.
Borrowings under the Revolving Credit Agreement may be denominated in U.S.
dollars, Canadian dollars, euros and British pounds, and bear interest at a per
annum rate equal to an applicable eurocurrency rate or base rate plus, in either
case, a specified margin. We are required to pay an undrawn commitment fee on
the undrawn portion of the commitments under the Revolving Credit Agreement and
customary letter of credit fees. The specified margin and the amount of the
commitment fee depend on CF Holdings' credit rating at the time.
CF Industries is the lead borrower under the Revolving Credit Agreement. The
borrowers and guarantors under the Revolving Credit Agreement, which are
currently comprised of CF Holdings, CF Industries and CF Holdings' wholly owned
subsidiaries CF Industries Enterprises, LLC (CFE), CF Industries Sales, LLC
(CFS), CF USA Holdings, LLC (CF USA), and CF Industries Distribution Facilities,
LLC (CFIDF), are referred to together herein as the Loan Parties. Subject to
specified
                                       49

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


exceptions, the Revolving Credit Agreement requires that each direct or indirect
domestic subsidiary of CF Holdings that guarantees debt for borrowed money of
any Loan Party in excess of $150 million become a guarantor under the Revolving
Credit Agreement. Subject to specified exceptions, the Revolving Credit
Agreement requires a grant of a first priority security interest in
substantially all of the assets of the Loan Parties, including a pledge by CF
USA of its equity interests in CFN and mortgages over certain material fee-owned
domestic real properties, to secure the obligations of the Loan Parties
thereunder.
In addition to the obligations under the Revolving Credit Agreement, the Loan
Parties also guarantee the obligations under any (i) letter of credit
facilities, letter of credit reimbursement agreements, letters of credit,
letters of guaranty, surety bonds or similar arrangements, (ii) interest rate or
other hedging arrangements and (iii) agreements to provide Automated Clearing
House transactions, cash management services or foreign exchange facilities or
other cash management arrangements in the ordinary course of business, in each
case between CF Holdings or certain of its subsidiaries, on the one hand, and
any person that is a lender or the administrative agent under the Revolving
Credit Agreement or an affiliate of such person, on the other hand, that are
designated by CF Industries as Secured Bilateral LC Facilities, Secured Swap
Agreements or Secured Cash Management Agreements (each as defined in the
Revolving Credit Agreement), as applicable, pursuant to the terms of the
Revolving Credit Agreement. Obligations under Secured Bilateral LC Facilities,
Secured Swap Agreements and Secured Cash Management Agreements are secured by
the same security interest that secures the obligations under the Revolving
Credit Agreement.
At any time that (i) no default or event of default exists under the Revolving
Credit Agreement and related documentation and (ii) (a) CF Holdings attains an
investment-grade rating as set forth in the Revolving Credit Agreement; (b) CF
Industries' senior secured notes due 2021 and senior secured notes due 2026,
including all fees, expenses and other amounts due and payable thereunder, have
been paid or defeased or (c) CF Industries' senior secured notes due 2021 and
senior secured notes due 2026 cease to be secured by the assets of the Loan
Parties that secure obligations under the Revolving Credit Agreement, CF
Industries will have the right to require that (a) the security interest
securing obligations under the Revolving Credit Agreement be terminated and
released and (b) each guarantor under the Revolving Credit Agreement other than
CF Holdings be released from its obligations under the Revolving Credit
Agreement and related documentation.
The Revolving Credit Agreement contains representations and warranties and
affirmative and negative covenants customary for a financing of this type. The
financial covenants applicable to CF Holdings and its subsidiaries in the
Revolving Credit Agreement:
(i)   require that the interest coverage ratio (as defined in the Revolving
Credit Agreement) be not less than 2.75:1.00 as of the last day of each fiscal
quarter and
(ii)   require that the total net leverage ratio (as defined in the Revolving
Credit Agreement) be not greater than 3.75:1.00 (the Maximum Total Net Leverage
Ratio) as of the last day of each fiscal quarter, provided that, if any borrower
or subsidiary consummates a material acquisition during any fiscal quarter, CF
Industries may elect to increase the Maximum Total Net Leverage Ratio to
4.25:1.00 for the period of four consecutive fiscal quarters commencing with
such fiscal quarter (and no further such election may be made unless and until
the Maximum Total Net Leverage Ratio is less than or equal to 3.75:1.00 as of
the end of two consecutive fiscal quarters after the end of such period).
As of December 31, 2020, we were in compliance with all covenants under the
Revolving Credit Agreement.
The Revolving Credit Agreement contains events of default (with notice
requirements and cure periods, as applicable) customary for a financing of this
type, including, but not limited to, non-payment of principal, interest or fees;
inaccuracy of representations and warranties in any material respect; and
failure to comply with specified covenants. Upon the occurrence and during the
continuance of an event of default under the Revolving Credit Agreement and
after any applicable cure period, subject to specified exceptions, the
administrative agent may, and at the request of the requisite lenders is
required to, accelerate the loans under the Revolving Credit Agreement or
terminate the lenders' commitments under the Revolving Credit Agreement.
In March 2020, we borrowed $500 million under the Revolving Credit Agreement to
ensure we maintained ample financial flexibility in light of the uncertainty in
the global markets, including the financial credit markets, caused by the
COVID-19 pandemic. In April 2020, due to confidence in the functioning of the
credit markets and strong nitrogen fertilizer business conditions, we repaid the
$500 million of borrowings, which returned our unused borrowing capacity under
the Revolving Credit Agreement to $750 million.
As of December 31, 2020, we had unused borrowing capacity under the Revolving
Credit Agreement of $750 million and no outstanding letters of credit. In
addition, there were no borrowings outstanding under the Revolving Credit
Agreement as of December 31, 2020 or 2019. Maximum borrowings under the
Revolving Credit Agreement during 2020 were $500 million. The
                                       50

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


weighted-average annual interest rate of borrowings under the Revolving Credit
Agreement during 2020 was 2.05%. There were no borrowings under the Prior Credit
Agreement or the Revolving Credit Agreement during 2019.
Letters of Credit
In addition to the letters of credit that may be issued under the Revolving
Credit Agreement, as described above, we have also entered into a bilateral
agreement with capacity to issue letters of credit up to $250 million
(reflecting an increase of $105 million in December 2020). As of December 31,
2020, approximately $125 million of letters of credit were outstanding under
this agreement.
Senior Notes
Long-term debt presented on our consolidated balance sheets as of December 31,
2020 and 2019 consisted of the following debt securities issued by CF
Industries:
                                                                                  December 31, 2020                             December 31, 2019
                                                                           Principal               Carrying              Principal               Carrying
                                       Effective Interest Rate            Outstanding             Amount (1)            Outstanding             Amount (1)
                                                                                                           (in millions)
Public Senior Notes:

3.450% due June 2023                            3.562%                 $           750          $       748          $           750          $       747
5.150% due March 2034                           5.279%                             750                  741                      750                  740
4.950% due June 2043                            5.031%                             750                  742                      750                  742
5.375% due March 2044                           5.465%                             750                  741                      750                  741
Senior Secured Notes:
3.400% due December 2021                        3.782%                             250                  249                      250                  248
4.500% due December 2026                        4.759%                             750                  740                      750                  739
Total long-term debt                                                   $         4,000          $     3,961          $         4,000          $     3,957
Less: Current maturities of long-term
debt                                                                               250                  249                        -                    -
Long-term debt, net of current
maturities                                                             $         3,750          $     3,712          $         4,000          $     3,957

_______________________________________________________________________________


(1)Carrying amount is net of unamortized debt discount and deferred debt
issuance costs. Total unamortized debt discount was $9 million and $10 million
as of December 31, 2020 and 2019, respectively, and total deferred debt issuance
costs were $30 million and $33 million as of December 31, 2020 and 2019,
respectively.
Public Senior Notes
On November 13, 2019, we redeemed in full all of the $500 million outstanding
principal amount of the 7.125% senior notes due May 2020 (the 2020 Notes), in
accordance with the optional redemption provisions in the indenture governing
the 2020 Notes. The total aggregate redemption price, excluding accrued interest
paid on the 2020 Notes in connection with the redemption, was approximately $512
million. As a result, we recognized a loss on debt extinguishment of $12
million, primarily consisting of premiums paid for the early retirement of debt
for the 2020 Notes.
Under the indentures (including the applicable supplemental indentures)
governing our senior notes due 2023, 2034, 2043 and 2044 identified in the table
above (the Public Senior Notes), each series of Public Senior Notes is
guaranteed by CF Holdings. From November 21, 2016 to November 13, 2019, the
Public Senior Notes were guaranteed not only by CF Holdings, but also by certain
100% owned subsidiaries of CF Holdings. The guarantee of the Public Senior Notes
in the case of each of those subsidiaries was subject to automatic release upon
specified events, including the release of such subsidiary's guarantee of the
2020 Notes. On November 13, 2019, as a result of the release of all subsidiary
guarantees of the 2020 Notes upon the retirement of, and satisfaction and
discharge of the indenture governing, the 2020 Notes, all subsidiary guarantees
of the Public Senior Notes were automatically released.
Interest on the Public Senior Notes is payable semiannually, and the Public
Senior Notes are redeemable at our option, in whole at any time or in part from
time to time, at specified make-whole redemption prices.
                                       51

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


The indentures governing the Public Senior Notes contain covenants that limit,
among other things, the ability of CF Holdings and its subsidiaries, including
CF Industries, to incur liens on certain assets to secure debt, to engage in
sale and leaseback transactions, to merge or consolidate with other entities and
to sell, lease or transfer all or substantially all of the assets of CF Holdings
and its subsidiaries to another entity. Each of the indentures governing the
Public Senior Notes provides for customary events of default, which include
(subject in certain cases to customary grace and cure periods), among others,
nonpayment of principal or interest on the applicable Public Senior Notes;
failure to comply with other covenants or agreements under the indenture;
certain defaults on other indebtedness; the failure of CF Holdings' guarantee of
the applicable Public Senior Notes to be enforceable; and specified events of
bankruptcy or insolvency. Under each indenture governing the Public Senior
Notes, in the case of an event of default arising from one of the specified
events of bankruptcy or insolvency, the applicable Public Senior Notes would
become due and payable immediately, and, in the case of any other event of
default (other than an event of default related to CF Industries' and CF
Holdings' reporting obligations), the trustee or the holders of at least 25% in
aggregate principal amount of the applicable Public Senior Notes then
outstanding may declare all of such Public Senior Notes to be due and payable
immediately.
Under each of the indentures governing the Public Senior Notes, specified
changes of control involving CF Holdings or CF Industries, when accompanied by a
ratings downgrade, as defined with respect to the applicable series of Public
Senior Notes, constitute change of control repurchase events. Upon the
occurrence of a change of control repurchase event with respect to a series of
Public Senior Notes, unless CF Industries has exercised its option to redeem
such Public Senior Notes, CF Industries will be required to offer to repurchase
them at a price equal to 101% of the principal amount thereof, plus accrued and
unpaid interest, if any, to, but not including, the date of repurchase.
Senior Secured Notes
On November 21, 2016, CF Industries issued $500 million aggregate principal
amount of 3.400% senior secured notes due 2021 (the 2021 Notes) and $750 million
aggregate principal amount of 4.500% senior secured notes due 2026 (the 2026
Notes, and together with the 2021 Notes, the Senior Secured Notes). On December
13, 2019, we redeemed $250 million principal amount of the 2021 Notes in
accordance with the optional redemption provisions in the indenture governing
the 2021 Notes. The total aggregate redemption price, excluding accrued interest
paid on the 2021 Notes redeemed in connection with the redemption, was
approximately $257 million. As a result, we recognized a loss on debt
extinguishment of $9 million, primarily consisting of premiums paid for the
early retirement of debt for the 2021 Notes.
On February 17, 2021, we announced that CF Industries elected to redeem in full
the entire outstanding $250 million principal amount of the 2021 Notes on March
20, 2021, in accordance with the optional redemption provisions provided in the
indenture governing the 2021 Notes.
Interest on the Senior Secured Notes is payable semiannually, and the Senior
Secured Notes are redeemable at our option, in whole at any time or in part from
time to time, at specified make-whole redemption prices.
Under the terms of the applicable indenture, the Senior Secured Notes of each
series are guaranteed on a senior secured basis, jointly and severally, by CF
Holdings and each current and future domestic subsidiary of CF Holdings (other
than CF Industries) that from time to time is a borrower, or guarantees
indebtedness, under the Revolving Credit Agreement. The requirement for any
subsidiary of CF Holdings to guarantee the Senior Secured Notes of a series will
apply only until, and the subsidiary guarantees of the Senior Secured Notes of a
series will be automatically released upon, CF Holdings having an investment
grade corporate rating, with a stable or better outlook, from two of three
selected ratings agencies and there being no default or event of default under
the applicable indenture. The subsidiary guarantors of the Senior Secured Notes
currently consist of CFE, CFS, CF USA and CFIDF.
Subject to certain exceptions, the obligations under each series of Senior
Secured Notes and each guarantor's related guarantee are secured by a first
priority security interest in substantially all of the assets of CF Industries,
CF Holdings and the subsidiary guarantors, including a pledge by CF USA of its
equity interests in CFN and mortgages over certain material fee-owned domestic
real properties (the Collateral). The obligations under the Revolving Credit
Agreement, together with certain letter of credit, cash management, hedging and
similar obligations and future pari passu secured indebtedness, are secured by
the Collateral on a pari passu basis with the Senior Secured Notes. The liens on
the Collateral securing the obligations under the Senior Secured Notes of a
series and the related guarantees will be automatically released and the
covenant under the applicable indenture limiting dispositions of Collateral will
no longer apply if CF Holdings has an investment grade corporate rating, with a
stable or better outlook, from two of three selected ratings agencies and there
is no default or event of default under the applicable indenture.
Under each of the indentures governing the Senior Secured Notes, specified
changes of control involving CF Holdings or CF Industries, when accompanied by a
ratings downgrade, as defined with respect to the applicable series of Senior
Secured Notes, constitute change of control repurchase events. Upon the
occurrence of a change of control repurchase event with respect
                                       52

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


to the 2021 Notes or the 2026 Notes, as applicable, unless CF Industries has
exercised its option to redeem such Senior Secured Notes, CF Industries will be
required to offer to repurchase them at a price equal to 101% of the principal
amount thereof, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any, to, but not including,
the date of repurchase.
The indentures governing the Senior Secured Notes contain covenants that limit,
among other things, the ability of CF Holdings and its subsidiaries, including
CF Industries, to incur liens on certain assets to secure debt, to engage in
sale and leaseback transactions, to sell or transfer Collateral, to merge or
consolidate with other entities and to sell, lease or transfer all or
substantially all of the assets of CF Holdings and its subsidiaries to another
entity. Each of the indentures governing the Senior Secured Notes provides for
customary events of default, which include (subject in certain cases to
customary grace and cure periods), among others, nonpayment of principal or
interest on the applicable Senior Secured Notes; failure to comply with other
covenants or agreements under the indenture; certain defaults on other
indebtedness; the failure of CF Holdings' or certain subsidiaries' guarantees of
the applicable Senior Secured Notes to be enforceable; lack of validity or
perfection of any lien securing the obligations under the Senior Secured Notes
and the guarantees with respect to Collateral having an aggregate fair market
value equal to or greater than a specified amount; and specified events of
bankruptcy or insolvency. Under each indenture governing the Senior Secured
Notes, in the case of an event of default arising from one of the specified
events of bankruptcy or insolvency, the applicable Senior Secured Notes would
become due and payable immediately, and, in the case of any other event of
default (other than an event of default related to CF Industries' and CF
Holdings' reporting obligations), the trustee or the holders of at least 25% in
aggregate principal amount of the applicable Senior Secured Notes then
outstanding may declare all of such Senior Secured Notes to be due and payable
immediately.
Forward Sales and Customer Advances
We offer our customers the opportunity to purchase products from us on a forward
basis at prices and on delivery dates we propose. Therefore, our reported
nitrogen fertilizer selling prices and margins may differ from market spot
prices and margins available at the time of shipment.
Customer advances, which typically represent a portion of the contract's value,
are received shortly after the contract is executed, with any remaining unpaid
amount generally being collected by the time control transfers to the customer,
thereby reducing or eliminating the accounts receivable related to such sales.
Any cash payments received in advance from customers in connection with forward
sales contracts are reflected on our consolidated balance sheets as a current
liability until control transfers and revenue is recognized. As of December 31,
2020 and 2019, we had $130 million and $119 million, respectively, in customer
advances on our consolidated balance sheets.
While customer advances are generally a significant source of liquidity, the
level of forward sales contracts is affected by many factors including current
market conditions and our customers' outlook of future market fundamentals.
During periods of declining prices, customers tend to delay purchasing
fertilizer in anticipation that prices in the future will be lower than the
current prices. If the level of sales under our forward sales programs were to
decrease in the future, our cash received from customer advances would likely
decrease and our accounts receivable balances would likely increase.
Additionally, borrowing under the Revolving Credit Agreement could become
necessary. Due to the volatility inherent in our business and changing customer
expectations, we cannot estimate the amount of future forward sales activity.
Under our forward sales programs, a customer may delay delivery of an order due
to weather conditions or other factors. These delays generally subject the
customer to potential charges for storage or may be grounds for termination of
the contract by us. Such a delay in scheduled shipment or termination of a
forward sales contract due to a customer's inability or unwillingness to perform
may negatively impact our reported sales.
Natural Gas
Natural gas is the principal raw material used to produce nitrogen products. We
use natural gas both as a chemical feedstock and as a fuel to produce ammonia,
granular urea, UAN, AN and other products. Expenditures on natural gas are a
significant portion of our production costs, representing approximately
one-third of our total production costs in 2020. As a result of these factors,
natural gas prices have a significant impact on our operating expenses and can
thus affect our liquidity.
We enter into agreements for a portion of our future natural gas supply and
related transportation. As of December 31, 2020, our natural gas purchase
agreements have terms that range from one to five years and a total minimum
commitment of approximately $430 million, and our natural gas transportation
agreements have terms that range from one to ten years and a total minimum
commitment of approximately $180 million. Our minimum commitments to purchase
and transport natural gas are based on prevailing market-based forward prices
excluding reductions for plant maintenance and turnaround activities.
                                       53

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Because most of our nitrogen manufacturing facilities are located in the United
States and Canada, the price of natural gas in North America directly impacts a
substantial portion of our operating expenses. Due to increases in natural gas
production resulting from the rise in production from shale gas formations,
natural gas prices in North America have declined in the last decade, but are
subject to volatility. During 2020, the daily closing price at the Henry Hub,
the most heavily-traded natural gas pricing point in North America, reached a
low of $1.34 per MMBtu on September 22, 2020 and three consecutive days in
October and a high of $3.08 per MMBtu on October 27, 2020. During the three-year
period ended December 31, 2020, the daily closing price at the Henry Hub reached
a low of $1.34 per MMBtu on September 22, 2020 and three consecutive days in
October 2020 and a high of $6.88 per MMBtu on January 4, 2018.
We also have manufacturing facilities located in the United Kingdom. These
facilities are subject to fluctuations associated with the price of natural gas
in Europe. The major natural gas trading point for the United Kingdom is the
National Balancing Point (NBP). During 2020, the daily closing price at NBP
reached a low of $1.04 per MMBtu on May 22, 2020 and a high of $7.71 per MMBtu
on December 30, 2020. During the three-year period ended December 31, 2020, the
daily closing price at NBP reached a low of $1.04 per MMBtu on May 22, 2020, and
a high of $31.74 per MMBtu on March 2, 2018.
Natural gas costs in our cost of sales, including the impact of realized natural
gas derivatives, decreased 18% to $2.24 per MMBtu in 2020 from $2.74 per MMBtu
in 2019.
Derivative Financial Instruments
We may use derivative financial instruments to reduce our exposure to changes in
prices for natural gas that will be purchased in the future. Natural gas is the
largest and most volatile component of our manufacturing cost for our nitrogen
products. From time to time, we may also use derivative financial instruments to
reduce our exposure to changes in foreign currency exchange rates. Volatility in
reported quarterly earnings can result from the unrealized mark-to-market
adjustments in the value of the derivatives. In 2020 and 2019, we recognized an
unrealized net mark-to-market (gain) loss on natural gas derivatives of
$(6) million and $14 million, respectively, which is reflected in cost of sales
in our consolidated statements of operations.
Derivatives expose us to counterparties and the risks associated with their
ability to meet the terms of the contracts. For derivatives that are in net
asset positions, we are exposed to credit loss from nonperformance by the
counterparties. We control our credit risk through the use of multiple
counterparties that are multinational commercial banks, other major financial
institutions or large energy companies, and the use of International Swaps and
Derivatives Association (ISDA) master netting arrangements. The ISDA agreements
are master netting arrangements commonly used for over-the-counter derivatives
that mitigate exposure to counterparty credit risk, in part, by creating
contractual rights of netting and setoff, the specifics of which vary from
agreement to agreement.
The ISDA agreements for most of our derivative instruments contain
credit-risk-related contingent features, such as cross default provisions and
credit support thresholds. In the event of certain defaults or a credit ratings
downgrade, our counterparty may request early termination and net settlement of
certain derivative trades or may require us to collateralize derivatives in a
net liability position. The Revolving Credit Agreement, at any time when it is
secured, provides a cross collateral feature for those of our derivatives that
are with counterparties that are party to, or affiliates of parties to, the
Revolving Credit Agreement so that no separate collateral would be required for
those counterparties in connection with such derivatives. In the event the
Revolving Credit Agreement becomes unsecured, separate collateral could be
required in connection with such derivatives.
As of December 31, 2020 and 2019, the aggregate fair value of the derivative
instruments with credit-risk-related contingent features in net liability
positions was $6 million and $12 million, respectively, which also approximates
the fair value of the maximum amount of additional collateral that would need to
be posted or assets needed to settle the obligations if the credit-risk-related
contingent features were triggered at the reporting dates. As of December 31,
2020, our open natural gas derivative contracts consisted of natural gas fixed
price swaps and basis swaps for 34.1 million MMBtus. As of December 31, 2019,
contracts consisted of natural gas fixed price swaps, basis swaps and options
for 41.1 million MMBtus. At both December 31, 2020 and 2019, we had no cash
collateral on deposit with counterparties for derivative contracts. The credit
support documents executed in connection with certain of our ISDA agreements
generally provide us and our counterparties the right to set off collateral
against amounts owing under the ISDA agreements upon the occurrence of a default
or a specified termination event.
                                       54

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Embedded Derivative Liability
Under the terms of our strategic venture with CHS, if our credit rating as
determined by two of three specified credit rating agencies is below certain
levels, we are required to make a non-refundable yearly payment of $5 million to
CHS. Since 2016, our credit ratings have been below certain levels and, as a
result, we made an annual payment of $5 million to CHS in the fourth quarter of
each year. These payments will continue on a yearly basis until the earlier of
the date that our credit rating is upgraded to or above certain levels by two of
three specified credit rating agencies or February 1, 2026. As of December 31,
2020 and 2019, the embedded derivative liability was $18 million and
$20 million, respectively. See Note 9-Fair Value Measurements for additional
information.
Defined Benefit Pension Plans
We contributed $45 million to our pension plans in 2020. We expect to contribute
approximately $33 million to our pension plans in 2021. In addition, we expect
to contribute a total of approximately $66 million to our U.K. plans in the
three-year period ending 2024, as agreed with the plans' trustees.
Distributions on Noncontrolling Interest in CFN
The CFN Board of Managers approved semi-annual distribution payments for the
years ended December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018, in accordance with CFN's limited
liability company agreement, as follows:
                                                                      Distribution Amount
   Approved and paid                Distribution Period                  (in millions)
First quarter of 2021      Six months ended December 31, 2020        $                 64
Third quarter of 2020      Six months ended June 30, 2020                              86
First quarter of 2020      Six months ended December 31, 2019                          88
Third quarter of 2019      Six months ended June 30, 2019                             100
First quarter of 2019      Six months ended December 31, 2018                          86
Third quarter of 2018      Six months ended June 30, 2018                              79


Cash Flows
Operating Activities
Net cash provided by operating activities in 2020 was $1,231 million as compared
to $1,505 million in 2019, a decrease of $274 million. The decrease in cash flow
from operations was due primarily to lower net earnings and higher cash taxes
paid, partially offset by favorable changes in net working capital. Cash paid
for taxes, net of refunds, was $111 million in 2020, compared to a net refund of
$41 million in 2019. In 2020, we received income tax refunds, including
interest, of $110 million related to the finalization of amended U.S. tax
returns, which is further described above under Terra Amended Tax Returns.
During 2020, net changes in working capital contributed $12 million to cash flow
from operations, while in 2019 net changes in working capital reduced cash flow
from operations by $112 million. The increased cash flow from working capital
changes was primarily driven by inventories and accounts payable and accrued
expenses.
Investing Activities
Net cash used in investing activities was $299 million in 2020 compared to
$319 million in 2019. During 2020, capital expenditures totaled $309 million
compared to $404 million in 2019. The decrease in capital expenditures in 2020
was due primarily to actions taken to defer certain non-essential capital
project activity as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. Net cash used in
investing activities in 2019 included proceeds of $55 million related to the
sale of our Pine Bend facility and $15 million related to property insurance
proceeds received.
Financing Activities
Net cash used in financing activities was $542 million in 2020 compared to
$1,583 million in 2019. The decline in cash used in financing activities was due
to cash used to redeem certain senior notes in 2019 and higher share repurchase
activity in 2019. In 2019, we paid $769 million in connection with the
redemption of the 2020 Notes and the partial redemption of the 2021 Notes. In
2020, we spent $100 million to repurchase shares of common stock compared to
$370 million in 2019, which included approximately $33 million related to shares
repurchased in late 2018 that were paid for in 2019. Dividends paid on common
stock in 2020 and 2019 were $258 million and $265 million, respectively.
Distributions to noncontrolling interest totaled $174 million in 2020 as
compared to $186 million in 2019.
                                       55

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


Critical Accounting Estimates
Our discussion and analysis of our financial condition, results of operations,
liquidity and capital resources is based upon our consolidated financial
statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. U.S. GAAP
requires that we select policies and make estimates and judgments that affect
the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses and related
disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. On an ongoing basis, we
evaluate our estimates. We base our estimates on historical experience,
technological assessment, opinions of appropriate outside experts, and the most
recent information available to us. Actual results may differ from these
estimates. Changes in estimates that may have a material impact on our results
are discussed in the context of the underlying financial statements to which
they relate. The following discussion presents information about our most
critical accounting estimates.
Income Taxes
We recognize expenses, assets and liabilities for income taxes based on
estimates of amounts that ultimately will be determined to be taxable or
deductible in tax returns filed in various jurisdictions. U.S. income taxes are
provided on that portion of the earnings of foreign subsidiaries that is
expected to be remitted to the U.S. and be taxable. The final taxes paid are
dependent upon many factors and judgments, including negotiations with taxing
authorities in various jurisdictions and resolution of disputes arising from
federal, state and international tax audits. The judgments made at any point in
time may change from previous conclusions based on the outcome of tax audits, as
well as changes to, or further interpretations of, tax laws and regulations. We
adjust income tax expense in the period in which these changes occur.
Income taxes are accounted for under the asset and liability method. Deferred
tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to
apply to taxable income in the years in which those differences are projected to
be recovered or settled. Realization of deferred tax assets is dependent on our
ability to generate sufficient taxable income of an appropriate character in
future periods. A valuation allowance is established if it is determined to be
more likely than not that a deferred tax asset will not be realized. Significant
judgment is applied in evaluating the need for and the magnitude of appropriate
valuation allowances against deferred tax assets.
As a large commercial enterprise with international operations, our income tax
expense and our effective tax rate may change from period to period due to many
factors. The most significant of these factors are changes in tax legislation in
the countries in which we operate, changes in the geographic mix of earnings,
the tax characteristics of our income, the ability to realize certain foreign
tax credits and net operating losses, and the portion of the income of our
foreign subsidiaries and foreign joint venture that could be subjected to U.S.
taxation. It is reasonably likely that these items will impact income tax
expense, net income and liquidity in future periods.
We operate in a number of countries and as a result have a significant amount of
cross border transactions. The taxability of cross border transactions has
received an increasing level of scrutiny among regulators in countries across
the globe, including the countries in which we operate. The tax rules and
regulations within the various countries in which we operate are complex and in
many cases there is not symmetry between the rules of the various countries. As
a result, there are instances where regulators within the countries involved in
a cross border transaction may reach different conclusions regarding the
taxability of the transaction in their respective jurisdictions based on the
same set of facts and circumstances. We work closely with regulators to reach a
common understanding and conclusion regarding the taxability of cross border
transactions. However, there are instances where reaching a common understanding
is not possible or practical.
We recognize the effect of income tax positions only if sustaining those
positions is more likely than not. Tax positions that meet the more likely than
not recognition threshold but are not highly certain are measured based on the
largest amount of benefit that is greater than 50% likely of being realized upon
settlement with the taxing authority. As of December 31, 2020, we have recorded
a reserve for unrecognized tax benefits, including penalties and interest, of
$85 million. This amount represents our best estimate of the potential amounts
due based on our interpretations of the rules and the facts and circumstances of
the transactions. Differences in interpretation of the tax laws can result in
differences in taxes paid which may be higher or lower than our estimates.
Recoverability of Long-Lived Assets, Goodwill and Investments in Unconsolidated
Subsidiaries
We review the carrying values of our property, plant and equipment and other
long-lived assets, including our finite-lived intangible assets, goodwill and
investments in affiliates including joint ventures in accordance with U.S. GAAP
in order to assess recoverability. Factors that we must estimate when performing
impairment tests include production and sales volumes, selling prices, raw
material costs, operating rates, operating expenses, inflation, discount rates,
exchange rates, tax rates and capital spending. Significant judgment is involved
in estimating each of these factors, which include inherent uncertainties. The
factors we use are consistent with those used in our internal planning process.
The recoverability of the values associated with our goodwill, long-lived assets
and investments in unconsolidated affiliates is dependent upon future operating
performance of
                                       56

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


the specific businesses to which they are attributed. Certain of the operating
assumptions are particularly sensitive to the cyclical nature of the fertilizer
business. Adverse changes in demand for our products, increases in supply and
the availability and costs of key raw materials could significantly affect the
results of our review.
The recoverability and impairment tests of long-lived assets are required only
when conditions exist that indicate the carrying value may not be recoverable.
For goodwill, impairment tests are required at least annually, or more
frequently if events or circumstances indicate that it may be impaired. Our
investment in an unconsolidated affiliate is reviewed for impairment whenever
events or circumstances indicate that its carrying value may not be recoverable.
When circumstances indicate that the fair value of our investment in any such
affiliate is less than its carrying value, and the reduction in value is other
than temporary, the reduction in value would be recognized immediately in
earnings.
PLNL is our joint venture investment in the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago and
operates an ammonia plant that relies on natural gas supplied, under a Gas Sales
Contract (the NGC Contract), by the National Gas Company of Trinidad and Tobago
Limited (NGC). The joint venture is accounted for under the equity method. The
joint venture experienced past curtailments in the supply of natural gas from
NGC, which reduced the ammonia production at PLNL. The NGC Contract had an
initial expiration date of September 2018 and was extended on the same terms
until September 2023. Any NGC commitment to supply gas beyond 2023 will be based
on new agreements. If NGC does not make sufficient quantities of natural gas
available to PLNL at prices that permit profitable operations, PLNL may cease
operating its facility and we would write off the remaining investment in PLNL.
The carrying value of our equity method investment in PLNL at December 31, 2020
is $80 million.
We evaluate goodwill for impairment in the fourth quarter at the reporting unit
level. Our evaluation can begin with a qualitative assessment of the factors
that could impact the significant inputs used to estimate fair value. If after
performing the qualitative assessment, we determine that it is not more likely
than not that the fair value of a reporting unit is less than its carrying
amount, including goodwill, then no further analysis is necessary. However, if
it is unclear based on the results of the qualitative test, we perform a
quantitative test, which involves comparing the fair value of a reporting unit
with its carrying amount, including goodwill. We use an income-based valuation
method, determining the present value of future cash flows, to estimate the fair
value of a reporting unit. If the fair value of a reporting unit exceeds its
positive carrying amount, goodwill of the reporting unit is considered not
impaired, and no further testing is necessary. If the fair value of the
reporting unit is less than its carrying amount, goodwill impairment would be
recognized equal to the amount of the carrying value in excess of the reporting
unit's fair value, limited to the total amount of goodwill allocated to the
reporting unit. We identified no goodwill impairment in 2020, 2019 or 2018. As
of December 31, 2020 and 2019, the carrying value of our goodwill was $2.37
billion.
Intangible assets identified in connection with our 2010 acquisition of Terra
consist of customer relationships, which are being amortized over a period of
18 years. The intangible assets identified in connection with our 2015
acquisition of CF Fertilisers UK consist of customer relationships and trade
names, which are being amortized over a period of approximately 20 years. Our
intangible assets are presented in other assets on our consolidated balance
sheets. See Note 7-Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets for additional
information regarding our goodwill and other intangible assets.
Pension Assets and Liabilities
Pension assets and liabilities are affected by the fair value of plan assets,
estimates of the expected return on plan assets, plan design, actuarial
estimates and discount rates. Actual changes in the fair value of plan assets
and differences between the actual return on plan assets and the expected return
on plan assets affect the amount of pension expense ultimately recognized. Key
assumptions that affect our projected benefit obligation (PBO) are discount
rates and, in addition for our United Kingdom plans, an adjusted retail price
index (RPI). Key assumptions affecting pension expense include discount rates,
the expected long-term rate of return on assets (EROA) and, in addition for our
United Kingdom plans, RPI.
The December 31, 2020 PBO was computed based on a weighted-average discount rate
of 2.4% for our North America plans and 1.5% for our United Kingdom plans, which
were based on yields for high-quality (AA rated or better) fixed income debt
securities that match the timing and amounts of expected benefit payments as of
the measurement date of December 31, 2020. Declines in comparable bond yields
would increase our PBO. The weighted-average discount rate used to calculate
pension expense in 2020 was 3.1% for North America plans and 2.0% for United
Kingdom plans. Our net benefit obligation, after deduction of plan assets, could
increase or decrease depending on the extent to which returns on pension plan
assets are lower or higher than the discount rate. The 4.1% weighted-average
EROA used to calculate pension expense in 2020 for our North America plans is
based on studies of actual rates of return achieved by equity and non-equity
investments, both separately and in combination over historical holding periods.
The 3.4% weighted-average EROA used to calculate pension expense in 2020 for our
United Kingdom plans is based on expected long-term performance of underlying
investments. The EROA for both North America and United Kingdom plans are
adjusted for expenses and diversification bonuses, if applicable. For our United
Kingdom plans, the 3.0% RPI used to calculate our PBO and the 3.0% RPI used to
calculate 2020 pension
                                       57

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents


                          CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.


expense are developed using the Bank of England implied retail price inflation
curve, which is based on the difference between yields on fixed interest
government bonds and index-linked government bonds.
For North America qualified pension plans, our PBO was $884 million as of
December 31, 2020, which was $38 million higher than pension plan assets. For
our United Kingdom pension plans, our PBO was $643 million as of December 31,
2020, which was $152 million higher than pension plan assets. The tables below
estimate the impact of a 50 basis point increase or decrease in the key
assumptions on our December 31, 2020 PBO and 2020 pension expense:
                                                                                     North America Plans
                                                     Increase/(Decrease) in                                    Increase/(Decrease) in
                                                      December 31, 2020 PBO                                     2020 Pension Expense
Assumption                                         +50 bps                   -50 bps                        +50 bps                      -50 bps
                                                                                        (in millions)
Discount Rate                             $         (52)                  $       58            $           (2)                       $         2
EROA                                                            N/A                 N/A                     (4)                                 4


                                               United Kingdom Plans
                      Increase/(Decrease) in                     

Increase/(Decrease) in


                      December 31, 2020 PBO                       2020 Pension Expense
Assumption            +50 bps            -50 bps                 +50 bps                 -50 bps
                                                  (in millions)
Discount Rate   $       (49)            $     53      $          -                      $      -
EROA                             N/A           N/A              (2)                            -
RPI                      28                  (30)                2                            (2)


See Note 11-Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits for further discussion of
our pension plans.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
See Note 3-New Accounting Standards for a discussion of recent accounting
pronouncements.
Subsequent Event
In February 2021, the central portion of the United States experienced extreme
and unprecedented cold weather. Certain natural gas suppliers declared force
majeure events due to natural gas well freeze offs or frozen equipment. This
occurred at the same time as large increases in natural gas demand were
occurring due to the cold temperatures. Due to these unprecedented factors,
several states declared a state of emergency and natural gas was redirected for
residential usage. At certain of our manufacturing locations, we were asked to
reduce our natural gas consumption and therefore these plants either operated at
reduced rates or temporarily suspended operations. We returned excess natural
gas to our suppliers and received prevailing market prices, which were in excess
of our cost. During this period of time, we have experienced lower production,
but have procured product in order to meet customer obligations. Higher
maintenance and repair activity may be necessary as the plants are restarted. At
the present time, we do not know the net positive or negative impact of these
events on our operations; however, we do not expect it to result in a material
impact to our business.
                                       58

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Table of Contents

CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.

© Edgar Online, source Glimpses