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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Hong Kong Stock Exchange  >  China Construction Bank Corporation    939   CNE1000002H1

CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION

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Chinese banks' improved third-quarter earnings show nascent turnaround

12/02/2020 | 02:10am EST
Man walks past a branch of Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) in Beijing

(Reuters) - Earnings of Chinese banks in the third quarter slipped by a smaller margin than in the prior quarter, signalling a potential turnaround for a sector whose valuations are near five-year lows.

An analysis of 24 major Chinese banks by market capitalisation showed that combined profit fell just 4.8% in the third quarter, compared with a 24% slump in the prior quarter.

Earnings were bolstered by a surge in loan growth and smaller provisions for loan losses, the data showed.

(Graphic for Chinese banks' net income growth:

)

(Graphic for Chinese commercial banks' outstanding loan growth: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/yzdpxkeobvx/Chinese%20commercial%20banks'%20outstanding%20loan%20growth.jpg)

"Chinese banks are showing the first signs of recovery after taking a big hit from the coronavirus pandemic," Alicia Garcia Herrero, a chief economist at Natixis said in a report.

The banks were supported by faster asset growth, which surged to 11% in Q3 2020 from 8.1% in 2019, she said.

"Although the monetary stance has turned prudent from June 2020, loans are still growing faster than in 2019," she said.

Data from the China Banking Regulatory Commission showed that loan loss provision ratio of commercial banks fell to 3.53% in the third quarter, slightly less than in the prior quarter.

(Graphic for Chinese commercial banks' loan loss provision ratio: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/bdwvklmrqpm/Chinese%20commercial%20banks'%20loan%20loss%20provision%20ratio.jpg)

Shen Juan, an analyst at Huatai Securities, expects the net profit of listed banks to grow 7.1% year-on-year in 2021, as policy support for smaller firms, private enterprises and the infrastructure sector boost lending.

Shares of Chinese banks have slumped about 7% this year, versus the overall market's 25% gain.

Refinitiv data show the forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of the MSCI China Bank index at 4.67 by the end of last month, slightly above 4.4 in September - the lowest in nearly five years.

(Graphic for Chinese banks' forward 12 month PE ratio:

)

The banking sector's valuation may be boosted as regulators hasten the opening-up of the capital market and investment flows into mainland shares increase, said Huatai's Shen.

However, the sector still faces a few challenges in terms of margins and asset quality, analysts say.

China's interest rates, indicated by Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate, have climbed this year.

However, the bank prime loan rate rate has not moved much, implying pressure on interest margins. Banks use prime loan rates as a benchmark to determine lending rates.

A spurt of missed debt payments by three Chinese state-owned firms has also shaken the credit markets, fanning some fears that banks have to set aside more money as provisions for loan losses.

(Graphic for Chinese commercial banks' net interest margin: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/qzjpqolkmpx/Chinese%20commercial%20banks'%20net%20interest%20margin.jpg)

(Graphic for Chinese large banks' non-performing loan balance: https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dgkplaegzvb/Chinese%20large%20banks'%20non-performing%20loan%20balance.jpg)

(Reporting by Patturaja Murugaboopathy; Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

By Patturaja Murugaboopathy and Gaurav Dogra


© Reuters 2020
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BANK OF CHINA LIMITED 0.74% 2.73 End-of-day quote.3.02%
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION 1.16% 6.13 End-of-day quote.4.07%
CHINA ZHESHANG BANK CO., LTD -0.26% 3.87 End-of-day quote.2.11%
HUATAI SECURITIES CO., LTD. -0.95% 18.67 End-of-day quote.3.66%
INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL BANK OF CHINA LIMITED 0.40% 5.06 End-of-day quote.0.60%
INDUSTRIAL BANK CO., LTD. -0.09% 22.91 End-of-day quote.9.77%
MSCI CHINA (STRD, UHD) -2.13% 122.028 Real-time Quote.15.02%
NATIXIS -1.88% 3.136 Real-time Quote.14.70%
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Financials
Sales 2020 721 B 112 B 112 B
Net income 2020 250 B 38 624 M 38 624 M
Net Debt 2020 - - -
P/E ratio 2020 5,12x
Yield 2020 5,90%
Capitalization 1 279 B 198 B 198 B
Capi. / Sales 2020 1,77x
Capi. / Sales 2021 1,65x
Nbr of Employees 347 156
Free-Float 98,3%
Chart CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION
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China Construction Bank Corporation Technical Analysis Chart | MarketScreener
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Technical analysis trends CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK CORPORATION
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
TrendsBullishBullishNeutral
Income Statement Evolution
Consensus
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus BUY
Number of Analysts 24
Average target price 6,58 CNY
Last Close Price 5,05 CNY
Spread / Highest target 67,9%
Spread / Average Target 30,1%
Spread / Lowest Target 5,80%
EPS Revisions
Managers and Directors
NameTitle
Guo Li Tian Chairman & President
Yong Qing Wang Chairman-Supervisory Board
Carl Walter Independent Non-Executive Director
Yuen Mei Fung Independent Non-Executive Director
Qi Zhang Non-Executive Director
Sector and Competitors