Projected Income Statement: China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 85,544 91,807 100,141 118,933 129,219 144,708 145,565 142,516
Change - 7.32% 9.08% 18.77% 8.65% 11.99% 0.59% -2.09%
Announcement Date 3/30/21 3/30/22 3/29/23 3/27/24 3/28/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 20,215 17,676 22,320 21,112 26,850 24,765 24,405 21,450
Change - -12.56% 26.27% -5.41% 27.18% -7.77% -1.45% -12.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -7,942 -921.4 7,286 -7,228 -9,788 -14,630 7,501 7,016
Change - 88.4% 890.75% -199.19% -35.43% -49.47% 151.27% -6.47%
Announcement Date 3/30/21 3/30/22 3/29/23 3/27/24 3/28/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 62.06% 56.06% 46.29% 60.02% 58.65% 78.85% 78.04% 76.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.08% 33.76% 19.28% 31.37% 27.34% 41.47% 39.82% 40.26%
EBT Margin (%) 24.14% 23.54% 19.16% 22.31% 27.6% 30.05% 29.84% 29.64%
Net margin (%) 16.49% 16.56% 12.82% 16.47% 17.12% 19.7% 19.52% 19.04%
FCF margin (%) -27.7% -2.48% 18.28% -19.2% -26.4% -7.25% -11.58% 17.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) -168.03% -14.96% 142.53% -116.57% -154.26% -36.79% -59.32% 91.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.85% 3.37% 2.68% 2.73% 2.57% 2.48% 2.62% 2.66%
ROE 8.55% 10.21% 7.18% 8.92% 8.68% 8.79% 8.94% 9.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.81x 4.4x 5.43x 5.26x 5.94x 5.44x 5.02x 4.84x
Debt / Free cash flow -10.77x -99.64x 13.74x -16.46x -13.2x -9.89x 19.41x 21.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 70.52% 47.52% 55.99% 56.09% 72.43% 73.37% 65.7% 53.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 113.63% 84.77% 120.95% 93.45% 123.49% 93.05% 84.19% 69.64%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -254.54% -1,918.37% 306.33% -292.11% -274.32% -169.27% 325.36% 305.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.527 2.085 3.54 1.657 - 2.496 2.867 4.11
Change - 36.51% 69.81% -53.2% - - 14.86% 43.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1176 0.147 0.1171 0.2225 0.2278 0.2472 0.2648 0.2926
Change - 25% -20.34% 90.01% 2.38% 8.51% 7.14% 10.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.178 7.831 8.185 8.421 8.72 9.262 10.07 10.7
Change - 9.09% 4.52% 2.89% 3.55% 6.22% 8.76% 6.18%
EPS 1 0.5881 0.7663 0.5863 0.7398 0.763 0.7873 0.8853 0.9569
Change - 30.3% -23.49% 26.18% 3.14% 3.19% 12.44% 8.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,036,389 8,036,389 8,381,963 8,371,628 8,359,816 8,359,816 8,359,816 8,359,816
Announcement Date 3/30/21 3/30/22 3/29/23 3/27/24 3/28/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.94x 7.06x
PBR 0.68x 0.62x
EV / Sales 7.44x 6.78x
Yield 3.95% 4.23%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
6.254CNY
Average target price
7.034CNY
Spread / Average Target
+12.48%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials China Longyuan Power Group Corporation Limited
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