Company Valuation: China Southern Airlines Company Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 82,514 104,399 123,293 91,580 105,270 124,974 124,974 -
Change - 26.52% 18.1% -25.72% 14.95% 18.72% 0% -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 144,949 175,018 305,301 252,772 315,642 333,501 329,431 323,093
Change - 20.74% 74.44% -17.21% 24.87% 5.66% -1.22% -1.92%
P/E ratio -7.74x -9.08x -4x -25x -72.1x 147x 22.1x 17.8x
PBR 1.32x 1.71x 3.35x 2.84x 3.39x 3.86x 3.22x 2.69x
PEG - 3.5x -0x 0.3x 1.2x -1x 0x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.89x 1.03x 1.42x 0.57x 0.6x 0.71x 0.67x 0.64x
EV / Revenue 1.57x 1.72x 3.51x 1.58x 1.81x 1.9x 1.76x 1.65x
EV / EBITDA 16.2x 14.5x -87.5x 9.05x 8.61x 8.92x 7.89x 7.11x
EV / EBIT -9.27x -12.2x -10.8x 288x 37.9x 69.3x 36.8x 28.4x
EV / FCF 173x -63x -37.1x 11.1x 33x 36.2x 17.6x 38.3x
FCF Yield 0.58% -1.59% -2.7% 9% 3.03% 2.76% 5.69% 2.61%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - 0.00137 0.0327 0.0346
Rate of return - - - - - 0.02% 0.43% 0.46%
EPS 2 -0.77 -0.75 -1.9 -0.23 -0.09 0.0512 0.3405 0.4228
Distribution rate - - - - - 2.68% 9.59% 8.19%
Net sales 1 92,561 101,644 87,059 159,929 174,224 175,343 187,639 196,376
EBITDA 1 8,940 12,051 -3,488 27,919 36,668 37,386 41,756 45,461
EBIT 1 -15,641 -14,302 -28,203 877 8,327 4,811 8,960 11,396
Net income 1 -10,842 -12,103 -32,699 -4,140 -1,769 1,187 6,132 7,498
Net Debt 1 62,435 70,619 182,008 161,192 210,372 208,527 204,457 198,119
Reference price 2 5.960 6.810 7.600 5.760 6.490 7.540 7.540 7.540
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 15,329,302 16,948,417 18,120,890 18,120,906 18,120,912 18,120,922 18,120,922 -
Announcement Date 3/30/21 3/30/22 3/28/23 3/27/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
9.72x1x7.26x0.97% 46.27B
11.61x0.97x7.04x-.--% 37.56B
13.79x1.84x7.56x1.61% 35.3B
7x0.86x3.79x2.34% 25.11B
33.45x2.4x10.99x0.2% 20.25B
154.1x1.88x9.78x0.2% 19.71B
153.34x2.17x9.78x0.05% 17.62B
12.17x1.59x5.64x4.24% 17.38B
22.52x1.33x6.42x3.28% 15.54B
Average 46.41x 1.56x 7.59x 1.43% 26.08B
Weighted average by Cap. 36.32x 1.45x 7.45x 1.25%
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Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  5. Valuation China Southern Airlines Company Limited