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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Hong Kong Stock Exchange  >  China Telecom Corporation Limited    728   CNE1000002V2

CHINA TELECOM CORPORATION LIMITED

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Analysis: Sovereign wealth, public pension giants caught up in U.S.-China tech fight

01/26/2021 | 10:30am EDT
FILE PHOTO: A general view of the Norwegian central bank, where Norway's sovereign wealth fund is situated, in Oslo

LONDON (Reuters) - Some of the world's biggest sovereign wealth funds and public pension funds are getting caught in the escalating tensions over technology between the United States and China, a Reuters analysis of their filings data and public disclosures show.

They range from Norway and Singapore's giant sovereign wealth funds to Switzerland's central bank and the $1.1 trillion U.S. TIAA, founded over a century ago by Andrew Carnegie as the Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America.

U.S. investors were banned from owning stakes in more than 40 Chinese firms viewed as having military links in a series of moves since November, as outgoing U.S. President Donald Trump sought to cement his hardline policy against Beijing.

That prompted TIAA unit Nuveen to sell stakes in blacklisted firms including China Telecom, China Mobile and China Unicom, as well as microchip giant SMIC, state oil firm CNOOC and phone and gadget maker Xiaomi.

Other U.S. public pension funds are expected to follow suit.

CalPERS, the largest such fund, held Hong Kong-listed 'H' shares in several firms, including a 1.1% stake in China Telecom and 0.2% apiece of both China Mobile and China Unicom, according to Refinitiv data. CalPERS, which has been criticised by Republican party politicians for its China investments, did not respond to a request for comment.

The Florida State Board of Administration, which manages $200 billion of assets and had small stakes in China Telecom, China Mobile and Xiaomi, according to Refinitiv data, told Reuters it would be adhering to the bans.

"The sanctions really bite for U.S. institutions," said Elliot Hentov, head of policy research at State Street Global Advisors.

And the ripples aren't only being felt in the United States.

A number of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) have been affected as the New York Stock Exchange and index providers MSCI, S&P Dow Jones and FTSE Russell have ejected blacklisted firms from benchmarks, causing some stock prices to drop more than 20%.

Norway's $1.3 trillion SWF, the world's largest, has 0.2%-0.6% stakes in China Telecom, China Mobile, Xiaomi, CNOOC and China Unicom Hong Kong as part of a broader $35 billion Chinese equity portfolio, according to most recent disclosures running up until the start of 2020. It said it would not comment on specific holdings.

Singapore's GIC, a self-described "independent state investor", has a 10% stake in China Telecom's Hong Kong-listed 'H' shares and holds roughly 1.4% of SMIC in mainland China A- and H-shares, Reuters calculations based on stock exchange filings show. GIC declined to comment.

Other holders are Canadian pension funds Caisse de Depot et Placement du Quebec (CDPQ), British Columbia Investment Management, CPP Investment Board, Netherlands-based independent pension fund PGGM Vermogensbeheer and APG Asset Management.

Non-U.S. investors are not formally required to make any changes and many will have seen the value of their Chinese investments soar in recent years.

Chinese equity markets are at a 13-year high and the market cap of the main tech index is double what it was two years ago.

"We view our investments in China - an important country in the global economy - with a long-term perspective," CDPQ told Reuters, declining to comment on specific investments.

(Graphic for Norway sovereign wealth fund's rising China equity investments&nbsp: https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-INVESTMENT/dgkplkbkmvb/chart.png)

THE WEIGHTING GAME

While China's growing weight in global markets is encouraging sovereign funds to hold larger Chinese portfolios, the bans and recent claims of cyber espionage over 5G firm Huawei and social media dance craze app TikTok show how technology is now a key geopolitical battleground.

With no indication yet of new U.S. President Joe Biden's approach, China Telecom, China Mobile, Xiaomi and CNOOC's shares have dropped between 12% and 22% since being blacklisted in November or this month..

SMIC has bucked the trend with a double-digit gain.

"Some of the offloaded shares may be picked up from bargain-hunting asset owners outside of the U.S.," said Winston Ma, former managing director of sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corp. "However, it may be difficult for them to absorb everything."

(Graphic for Mixed fortunes for Chinese firms amid blacklist uncertainty:

)

It hasn't just been Washington's actions that have caused difficulties.

Beijing shocked markets in November when it suspended Ant Group's planned $37 billion IPO with days to go and just as Trump's administration was pushing through its bans.

Alibaba, which owns a third of Ant, saw its market value shrink by more than a quarter. It is a top 10 global stock and widely held by sovereign and pension funds.

U.S. Securities Exchange Commission data https://sec.report/CIK/0001582202 shows Switzerland's central bank doubled its Alibaba holdings in the past two years to $1.4 billion worth of the $650 billion company's stock in September.

November's tumble would have wiped roughly $350 million off those holdings. Alibaba shares recovered almost half their losses in January after being spared the U.S. blacklist.

(Graphic for China Mobile holdings by sovereign wealth funds, pension funds: https://graphics.reuters.com/INVESTMENT-CHINA/qzjvqmnmbvx/chart.png)

(Graphic for Xiaomi Corp holdings by sovereign wealth funds, pension funds : https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-INVESTMENT/oakveyejnvr/chart.png)

(Graphic for China Telecom Corp holdings by sovereign wealth funds, pension funds: https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-INVESTMENT/xlbpgyjympq/chart.png)

(Additional reporting by Terje Solsvik in Oslo, Brenda Goh in Shanghai, Anshuman Daga in Singapore, Maiya Keidan in Toronto and John Revill in Zurich; Editing by Catherine Evans)

By Marc Jones and Tom Arnold


© Reuters 2021
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED -1.07% 239.36 Delayed Quote.3.94%
CHINA MOBILE LIMITED 0.00% 50 End-of-day quote.13.12%
CHINA TELECOM CORPORATION LIMITED -1.12% 2.64 End-of-day quote.22.79%
CHINA UNICOM (HONG KONG) LIMITED 0.69% 4.38 End-of-day quote.-1.57%
CNOOC LIMITED 1.77% 8.05 End-of-day quote.12.12%
LONDON BRENT OIL 3.77% 66.4 Delayed Quote.22.09%
SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION 2.35% 26.1 End-of-day quote.18.10%
WTI 3.92% 62.91 Delayed Quote.24.00%
XIAOMI CORPORATION 2.01% 25.4 End-of-day quote.-23.49%
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Financials
Sales 2020 389 B 59 587 M 59 587 M
Net income 2020 21 324 M 3 266 M 3 266 M
Net Debt 2020 66 616 M 10 203 M 10 203 M
P/E ratio 2020 10,0x
Yield 2020 4,31%
Capitalization 214 B 27 507 M 32 724 M
EV / Sales 2020 0,72x
EV / Sales 2021 0,63x
Nbr of Employees 277 694
Free-Float 17,1%
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Mean consensus BUY
Number of Analysts 23
Average target price 3,15 CNY
Last Close Price 2,64 CNY
Spread / Highest target 50,8%
Spread / Average Target 19,4%
Spread / Lowest Target -4,05%
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Managers and Directors
NameTitle
Rui Wen Ke Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Zheng Mao Li President, Chief Operating Officer & Director
Min Zhu CFO, Secretary, Executive Director & EVP
Yi Xun Sui Chairman-Supervisory Board
Er Ming Xu Independent Non-Executive Director
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