Projected Income Statement: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,823 -51,580 -63,689 -62,977 -51,811 -63,078 -69,099 -60,412
Change - -1.49% -23.48% 1.12% 17.73% -21.75% -9.55% 12.57%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/17/23 4/17/24 4/10/25 4/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,925 1,405 2,528 3,293 3,887 7,451 6,496 6,676
Change - -27% 79.93% 30.26% 18.04% 91.7% -12.81% 2.77%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 21,047 4,871 17,333 1,556 - 1,585 6,854 6,090
Change - -76.86% 255.83% -91.02% - - 332.4% -11.14%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/17/23 4/17/24 4/10/25 4/10/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.35% 9.5% 7% 4.31% 6.1% 5.54% 5.91% 6.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.55% 6.3% 6.91% 4.15% 2.26% 2.67% 3.46% 3.67%
EBT Margin (%) 3.63% 6.36% 7% 4.23% 2.35% 2.43% 3.19% 3.1%
Net margin (%) 3.38% 6.43% 7.49% 4.58% 2.48% 2.73% 3.16% 2.62%
FCF margin (%) 20.02% 4.02% 11.46% 0.97% - 0.82% 3.29% 2.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 592.46% 62.46% 153.02% 21.26% - 30.14% 103.96% 107.91%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.8% 5.54% 6.74% 3.68% 1.98% 1.84% 2.67% 1.57%
ROE 6.53% 13.07% 16.55% 9.69% 5.3% 6.28% 7.38% 6.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.83% 1.16% 1.67% 2.06% 2.37% 3.87% 3.12% 3.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.9% 12.2% 23.87% 47.84% 38.82% 69.77% 52.75% 49.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.14% 28.84% 14.58% 211.56% - 470.09% 94.79% 109.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.315 0.5711 2.003 0.4891 0.1852 1.448 1.423 1.39
Change - -75.33% 250.67% -75.58% -62.13% 681.94% -1.76% -2.28%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1792 0.236 0.343 0.295 0.115 0.1726 0.1978 0.142
Change - 31.67% 45.34% -13.99% -61.02% 50.09% 14.59% -28.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.617 6.335 7.245 7.724 7.801 8.214 8.766 8.904
Change - 12.79% 14.36% 6.61% 0.99% 5.3% 6.72% 1.57%
EPS 1 0.3538 0.7799 1.13 0.74 0.41 0.5305 0.6654 0.5668
Change - 120.4% 44.89% -34.51% -44.59% 29.39% 25.43% -14.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,921,799 9,921,799 9,917,289 9,914,086 9,914,086 9,912,924 9,912,924 9,912,924
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/17/23 4/17/24 4/10/25 4/10/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.2x 12.9x
PBR 1.05x 0.98x
EV / Sales 0.07x 0.03x
Yield 2% 2.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
8.610CNY
Average target price
12.07CNY
Spread / Average Target
+40.24%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000625 Stock
  4. Financials Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited