Projected Income Statement: Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 155,213 103,627 95,895 67,737 54,191 57,347 47,389 40,901
Change - -33.24% -7.46% -29.36% -20% 5.82% -17.36% -13.69%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 65,521 39,263 42,540 31,624 28,158 34,233 33,125 33,125
Change - -40.08% 8.35% -25.66% -10.96% 21.58% -3.24% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -21,805 20,711 19,627 44,815 32,755 23,129 30,928 34,541
Change - 194.98% -5.23% 128.33% -26.91% -29.39% 33.72% 11.68%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.04% 4.61% 4.24% 5.75% 6.59% 7.17% 7.91% 8.4%
EBIT Margin (%) -1.48% -2.67% -1.43% 0.4% 1.5% 2.38% 3.21% 3.71%
EBT Margin (%) -1.52% -2.76% -1.55% 0.37% 1.44% 2.3% 3.16% 3.67%
Net margin (%) -0.6% -0.32% -1% 0.22% 0.82% 1.48% 2.06% 2.39%
FCF margin (%) -2.75% 2.64% 2.43% 5.16% 3.67% 2.54% 3.36% 3.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 462.46% -827.45% -243.21% 2,395.24% 448.15% 171.64% 163.66% 155.96%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.28% -2.4% -1.47% 0.39% 1.56% 2.13% 2.77% 3.43%
ROE -0.9% -0.5% -1.7% 0.4% 1.6% 2.88% 4.06% 4.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.24x 2.86x 2.8x 1.36x 0.92x 0.88x 0.65x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow -7.12x 5x 4.89x 1.51x 1.65x 2.48x 1.53x 1.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.27% 5% 5.27% 3.64% 3.15% 3.76% 3.6% 3.57%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 136.9% 108.49% 124.12% 63.37% 47.85% 52.47% 45.57% 42.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -300.49% 189.58% 216.74% 70.57% 85.97% 148.01% 107.1% 95.9%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 305.9 304.8 210.3 269.4 294.2 343.9 385.1 427.6
Change - -0.38% -30.99% 28.12% 9.21% 16.88% 11.97% 11.05%
Dividend per Share 1 25 50 50 50 53 57.17 61.67 66.33
Change - 100% 0% 0% 6% 7.86% 7.87% 7.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,797 2,745 2,655 2,618 2,624 2,720 2,762 2,810
Change - -1.86% -3.27% -1.39% 0.2% 3.68% 1.56% 1.72%
EPS 1 -26.29 -13.96 -45 10.43 40.76 77.58 112.1 134.5
Change - 46.9% -222.35% 123.18% 290.8% 90.33% 44.55% 19.96%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 179,349 179,345 179,341 179,432 181,543 171,902 171,902 171,902
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 30.2x 20.9x
PBR 0.86x 0.85x
EV / Sales 0.51x 0.49x
Yield 2.44% 2.63%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
2,340.50JPY
Average target price
2,762.86JPY
Spread / Average Target
+18.05%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Coca-Cola Bottlers Japan Holdings Inc.