Investor Day 2020
Compass 2023: "Growth in uncertain times"
Frankfurt, November 18, 2020
Agenda
Roadmap 2020: What have we achieved?
Compass 2023: What's the way forward?
Key initiatives: How do we want to grow?
Financials: How do the numbers square up?
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 1 |
We successfully achieved our Roadmap 2020 targets
Roadmap 2020 target achievement
Financial scorecard 2017-20E
~9%~12%
CAGR | CAGR |
Net revenue | Net profit adj. |
Strategic scorecard
Delivery on secular growth target of >5% p.a.
Multiple M&A deals in focus areas closed
Investments in new technology like cloud & DLT
Reduction of structural costs by ~€100 million
Execution discipline strengthened
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 2 |
Agenda
Roadmap 2020: What have we achieved?
Compass 2023: What's the way forward?
Key initiatives: How do we want to grow?
Financials: How do the numbers square up?
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 3 |
Ten convictions form the basis for Compass 2023
1
2
3
4
5
Maintain and even accelerate our overall growth ambition; Compass 2023 formula: 10% growth p.a. overall (DB1 = growth stock)
Basis is continued secular net revenue growth ("homemade" sustainable 5% growth p.a.)
Overall: no cyclical tailwind assumed (differentiation by segment)
Importance of M&A is increasing; readiness for larger deals; focus on asset class expansion rather than exchange consolidation (5% growth p.a. from M&A)
ESG emerging as powerful new asset class
6
7
8
9
10
Costs are steered according to secular growth (cyclicality must not affect growth initiatives)
EBITDA margins expected to remain stable (M&A structurally margin dilutive, cyclicality accretive)
Continue with technology investments in
clearly defined areas (e.g. cloud, DLT); willingness to invest in adjacent growth
2021 expected to be cyclically muted, but secular trends fully intact over Compass
2023 period
Compass 2023 firmly underpins growth, but is also flexible to getting adjusted if required (contingency plan in place)
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 4 |
Our key growth drivers are favorable capital markets trends
Major trends
OTC to on-exchange
Brexit
Sell-side under pressure
Importance of buy-side
Digitization
COVID-19
- Growing importance of futurization
- Standardization of OTC derivatives opportunity for central clearing
- Brexit creates momentum to shift margin and collateral pools
- Sell-sidehas to adapt to regulatory and cost pressure
- Growing importance of buy-side and shift to passive products
- Increasing demand for analytics and ESG
- Technology and digitization are transforming the way the financial sector operates (e.g. cloud, DLT)
- Severe implications for economy and markets (digitization, efficiency, ESG)
Our credentials
Eurex, EEX and 360T very well positioned to win market share
Eurex OTC clearing is a
winning proposition
IFS with strong position to benefit from outsourcing trend
Qontigo with strong starting point to support analytics demand
Leading technology is at the
core of our business model
Products and services across the Group to support clients
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 5 |
Our secular growth ambition is based on a broad set of initiatives
Pre- trading
Trading & Clearing
Combining index and analytics to increase buy-side penetration and become a leader in the field of investment intelligence
Introduction of new derivatives products and building the leading OTC clearinghouse in the Eurozone
Expand on leading position in European energy markets and win significant position in US energy market
Build out FX one-stop-shop exchange and OTC solutions with leading technology platform
Post- trading
Strengthen European proposition to continuously onboard new portfolios/clients and grow custody services on a global scale
Leverage partnership model and add new clients/services to
strengthen leadership position for funds service business platform
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 6 |
We will continue to pursue our successful M&A agenda
Pre- trading
Trading & Clearing
Post- trading
Index and analytics
ESG
Commodities Foreign-exchange Fixed income
Investment fund services
Strategic guidelines
Strong fit to strategic growth areas
Value creation for shareholders
Successful integration and synergy potential
Public M&A only with high closing certainty
Avoidance of auctions if possible
Partnerships and majority stakes preferred
Larger deals (€1-5bn++) explicitly targeted, but only if there is a strong strategic fit and clear post merger integration plan
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 7 |
Acquisition of Institutional Shareholder Services Inc. (ISS) with powerful strategic rationale
Strategic rationale
Very attractive business profile
- >5% organic revenue growth and good profitability, which fits well with our Compass 2023 targets
- Adds substantial recurring revenue
- Continued consolidation opportunity in ESG
Perfect fit of ISS with our strategic priorities
- Very attractive data business as growth strategy sweet spot
- Very diverse buy-side client base
- Top 3 in ESG business
Interesting array of businesses along the value chain
- Market leader in governance research; leading on "G", but perfectly positioned to drive ESG overall
- ISS leverages global data operations into adjacent areas with links to Deutsche Börse
Well-known global brand name
Experienced and very strong senior management
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 8 |
ISS is significantly expanding our ESG capabilities and complements very well with existing businesses
Importance of
ESG
continues to rise
significantly
Globally more than
$40 trillion
of sustainable
invested assets
~$1.6 billion
Global top player in ESG research, ratings, data, analytics and advisory services
Global leader in providing governance research and proxy voting
Excellent research, data, product distribution, insight, and workflow solutions to the buy-side
Qontigo with world-class
-
indices and best-of-breedportfolio-construction and risk analytics tools
Clearstream with strong -
European post-trading footprint
IFS with global fund - distribution services and €2.8 trillion custody assets
revenue pool for
ESG data, products,
and services
Best in class ESG, governance research and data provider
Leading market infrastructure provider
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | | 9 |
With Compass 2023 we target continued secular growth and an increased M&A contribution
Compass 2023 | Net revenue (€bn) | EBITDA reported (€bn) | |
Continued | ~10% | |
CAGR | ||
secular growth | ||
~4.3 | ||
2.9 | ||
+ | ~0% | cyclical |
growth | ||
Increased | +5% | M&A |
growth | ||
M&A contribution | ||
+5% | secular | |
growth | ||
2019 | 2023E |
~10% | |
CAGR | |
1.7 | |
2019 | 2023E |
Note: all figures including ISS
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 10
Agenda
Roadmap 2020: What have we achieved?
Compass 2023: What's the way forward?
Key initiatives: How do we want to grow?
Financials: How do the numbers square up?
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 11
ISS - An innovative global leader in data and research centered around governance and ESG
The global leader in corporate governance for more than three decades with rapidly growing position in broader ESG and distribution services
ISS empowers investors and companies to build for long-term and sustainable growth by providing best-in-classdata, analytics, and insights
Global reach, local touch:
Large and diverse client base with >4,000 clients
Primed for continued growth
both organically and through acquisition
>2,000 employees
33 offices
15 countries
115 markets covered
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 12
ISS - Well established global business with excellent organic and inorganic growth track record
Net revenue growth | |
Incl. acquisitions, US$m | |
+15% | >280 |
CAGR |
I N T E G R A T E D | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
E S G S O L U T I O N S | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
& | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020E | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
D I S T R I B U T I O N | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Oct 2014 | Aug 2016 | Jun 2017 | Mar 2018 | Mar 2019 | Oct 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Executive comp | Interactive proxy | ESG platform | ESG ratings | Distribution data & | ESG cyber risk | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
platform | analytics | 11 acquisitions: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
▪ ESG (6) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
▪ Data & Analytics (3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sep 2015 | Dec 2016 | Feb 2018 | Feb 2019 | Jul 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
▪ Data & Distribution (2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Screening & | ESG content | Financial data | Australia ESG | Fund flow | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
controversies | intelligence | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 13
ISS - ESG permeates all five businesses serving investors and corporations
Global leader in | Innovative and high- | Solutions to help | Provides critical | Market-leading digital | ||||
providing objective | quality ESG research, | companies design and | research, data, | media brands - | ||||
governance research | ratings, index, | manage their gover- | insight, and workflow | PLANSPONSOR, | ||||
PLANADVISER, and | ||||||||
and advisory, and | screening, data, | nance, compensation, | solutions to global | |||||
CIO - for the invest- | ||||||||
end-to-end proxy | analytics & advisory | EVA and sustainability | asset managers and | |||||
ment management | ||||||||
voting solutions | services | programs | distributors | |||||
industries | ||||||||
75% of the business related to ESG & stewardship solutions | 23% distribution | 2% media | ||||||
Integrated data & technology infrastructure drives product innovation
Product Set Breadth & Innovation
- Market leader and widest range of ESG and stewardship solutions
- Continued innovation & product development
- Offshore development & data collection
Superior Data Assets
- Continuous expansion of proprietary data sets unrivalled for timeliness, breadth and depth
- Coverage spans carbon & climate, executive pay, director profiles, ESG ratings, and tens of thousands more datapoints underlying portfolio monitoring
Scalable Technology Infrastructure
- Scalable and integrated technology infrastructure to support diverse product suite
- Highly secure, reliable and flexible environment gives common architecture across multiple products
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 14
ISS - Strong and unique opportunities for future growth and synergies with Deutsche Börse
ESG data spending continues to grow rapidly
Global spending, US$m1 | ESG indices | ||||||||
1,000 | ESG content | ||||||||
800 | |||||||||
600 | |||||||||
400 | |||||||||
200 | |||||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020E | 2021E | ||||
+20% p.a. | +35% p.a. | ||||||||
growth on ESG | growth on ESG | ||||||||
data spending | index spending |
Unique position to expand products & services
ISS and Deutsche Börse are uniquely positioned across key ESG segments
Governance Research
and Voting
Corporate
Solutions
ESG (screening, data, research, ratings, index, climate, cyber)
Index/
Analytics
1) Source: Opimas, overall ESG data, products and services estimated at ~$1.6bn in 2020
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 15
ISS - Partnership to strengthen Deutsche Börse's pre-trade business and to provide runway for ISS to grow
Future ESG growth
Strong and diverse client base
Regionally complementary
Business complementary
Strong operations skills
ISS' business will transform Deutsche Börse into a global ESG leader; ISS with Deutsche Börse's significant financial resources will accelerate ISS' product/M&A roadmap
ISS' strong global brand translates into access to 4,000+ clients, with high buy-sideexposure including 2,000+ asset managers (including global top 10)
ISS with very strong US franchise and brand; leverage Deutsche Börse's strong European brand/network to expand in EMEA
Highly complementary product offering already within ISS; strong linkages to Deutsche Börse that offer concrete revenue synergies in pre- and post-trading
ISS has strong and deep experience in operating emerging market data and processing centres, which can be leveraged by
Deutsche Börse
ISS research and advisory activities to continue to operate fully independent at arm's length
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 16
Qontigo - Building state-of-the-art investment products of the future
Key secular growth drivers
- Investment intelligence market will grow by 5-10%p.a. with high growth pockets of >15%
- Active-to-passivemigration will continue - Qontigo serves both and can leverage scale in index/passive
- Demand for seamless customer experience and margin pressure will accelerate growth of E2E platforms and interoperable ecosystems
- Disruption by ESG and fast lateral entrants will lead to few mega-platformsand offer opportunities for superior analytics
- Qontigo aggregates scale with its open architecture platform connecting own as well as 3rd party content
Revenue growth
>15%
Net revenue growth
CAGR 2019-23E
t/o secular | ~10% |
CAGR | |
t/o M&A | ~5% |
(Axioma) | CAGR |
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 17
Qontigo - COVID has even accelerated secular growth trends and strengthened our growth convictions
Key drivers | Initial objectives |
COVID acceleration
Increasing complexity
Brands matter
Passive proliferating
Client margins shrinking
Sustainable investing
Unite Axioma's sophisticated analytics
and technology with STOXX' indexing expertise
Disrupt entrenched brands; advance/protect our own brands
Leverage our strengths in indexing and analytics to help clients create unique passive/structured solutions
Create a cost efficient model as margin squeeze continues and regulation increases
Capitalize on our index position in Europe, expand ESG offerings and lead in investor-centric models
Higher requirements for sophisticated models post COVID; link to tradeable products
Concentration on biggest and/or highest valued brands (like STOXX, Axioma)
Public debate on active vs. passive costs and performance intensifies
Accelerated move to the cloud due to greater cost pressure
Position Deutsche Börse Group as the go-to source for sustainable investment solutions
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 18
Qontigo - Priorities for driving double-digit revenue growth
New
partnerships
Derivatives
Asset-based
fees
Licensing
Key drivers of distribution and product strategy
- Implement segment-specific distribution strategies to optimize cross- selling
- Wealth channel significantly accelerating
- Opportunity to grow asset-based fees tied to ETPs
- New distribution partnerships expand reach
- One-stopshop for sustainable indices & analytics products
- Expand index product offering: comprehensive global families for ESG, unlock access to deep and broad research and data
- Include ESG functionality into Axioma analytics products and develop selective ESG IP to set reporting standards
- Expand analytics solutions that offer full integration in the cloud (e.g. optimizer access, single security analytics, multi-assetclass performance attribution)
Qontigo: Optimizing Impact
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 19
Trading & Clearing - Well positioned to deliver scalability and growth
Industry trends
Investment themes
- Active to passive
- Single to global multi asset
- Towards sustainability / ESG
Regulation
- OTC to exchange
- Bilateral to clearing
- Towards transparency and integrity
Technology
- Sell-sideto buy-side agency
- High-touchto electronic
- Towards quant and data driven
Synergetic assets
Trusted markets, global benchmarks and brands
+
Deep liquidity, margin and collateral pools
+
Leading risk management and portfolio margining
+
Superior technology,
innovation capacity, and operational excellence
Ambition level
- The global venue for benchmark indices
- The home of the
Euro yield curve
The preferred global commodity exchange group
The global leader for listed and OTC FX trading, clearing and technology
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 20
Eurex - Trading and clearing of financial derivatives
Key secular growth drivers
Equity index business - Product innovation
- Leading global position with STOXX index family; unique innovation pipeline to capture growth trends in index, futurization, ESG and ETF derivatives
Fixed income business - OTC clearing
- Partnership program driving volume growth by factor of 6; Euro Interest Rate Derivatives (IRD) with ~19% market share
Service and business expansion - Organic and M&A
- Quantitative Brokers - quant-tech algorithmic execution
- Buy-inAgent - service for failed securities settlement
Net revenue growth
7-10%
Net revenue growth
CAGR 2019-23E
t/o secular | >5% |
CAGR | |
t/o M&A | ~1% |
(Quantitative | |
Brokers) | CAGR |
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 21
Eurex Equity Index - Product innovations lever global lead and drive structural growth ambitions
Global index derivatives and futurization: | ESG and ETF derivatives: |
global leader today; scale and expansion next | leading entry today; liquidity build-up next |
Achievements so far Next | Achievements so far | Next |
Global
index
derivatives
MSCI
Futurization
Total
Return
Futures
STOXX
Global leader with
46% market share
+265% in volumes +178% in open interest since 2016
Global leader with first mover advantage
+450% in volumes
+190% in open interest since launch in 2018
Expand MSCI | ESG | Global leader with | Diversify into | |
other index | ||||
product suite | derivatives | broadest product range | ||
into ESG, | families | |||
+65% in volumes | ||||
dividend & total | STOXX | Complement with | ||
+220% in open interest | ||||
return | ||||
MSCI | additional ESG | |||
since launch in 2019 | ||||
derivatives | methodologies | |||
Diversify into | Partnerships with | |||
other index | European leader with | |||
additional | ||||
families | ||||
ETF | broadest product range | ETF issuers | ||
Expand into | ||||
derivatives | +530% in volumes since | Expansion into | ||
single name & | ||||
launch in 2018 | new asset | |||
customizable | ||||
classes | ||||
baskets | ||||
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 22
Eurex Fixed Income - Successful partnership program drives OTC volume growth and market share expansion
Achievements since launch in 2018 | Next |
Competitive
spreads
Distribution
Market Share
from 2 to 0 BP
Eurex-LCH
Euro Basis1
from ~200 to ~500
Clearing Members and
Disclosed Clients2
from 2% to 19%
Market share in
Euro IRD3,4
- Same spreads quoted by vast majority of dealers for Eurex vs LCH and negligible basis
- Further build out USP of integrated risk management and portfolio margining across listed, repo and IRS businesses
- Lever partnership program to create traction in buy side repo initiative
- Lever additional jurisdictions to expand non-EUmember and client base
-
Increasing portfolio switches into Euro zone; aiming at market share of 25% post
Brexit - Switch Incentive Program launched; delivers tangible economic benefits
- Source: Bloomberg, 10Y €IRS; 2) Multiple clearing relations of the same entity are not counted; 3) Notional outstanding as of 30 Sept. 2020 compared to before Partnership Program launch; 4) Market share source: Clarus FT
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 23
EEX - Trading and clearing of commodity spot and derivatives markets
Key secular growth drivers
- Further market share wins in European power and natural gas markets vs. the uncleared OTC market
- Leverage the unique physical-delivery capability of our clearing house European Commodities Clearing
- Building out our US energy exchange Nodal, regional expansion of business, strengthening Asian footprint
Net revenue growth
7-10%
Net revenue growth
CAGR 2019-23E
t/o secular | >5% |
CAGR | |
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 24
EEX - Leverage potential of the global commodity exchange group, local expertise in global commodity markets
Key industry trends | Key activities |
- Long-termtrend towards electronic trading and more cleared transactions continues
- Commodity traders increasingly active beyond their local markets
- Climate debate lets European and US environmental markets boom
- Transition towards renewable energy sources leads to disruptive trends and opportunities
- Asian markets are being shaped and global trading patterns are evolving
- Expand leadership and market share in European power adding local products
- Connect more international traders and extend regulatory licenses (e.g. Nodal UK)
- Large scale auctions to support market based pricing of carbon emissions
- Market design and innovation (e.g. short-termpower flexibility markets)
- Expansion of US natural gas market by offering trading screens and capital efficiencies
- Develop Japanese power market clearing and expand offering to further Asian countries
Focus on organic growth (products and clients) by capitalizing on our global venue and client network; in parallel actively pursue selected M&A opportunities globally
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 25
360T - Foreign exchange markets
Key secular growth drivers
- FX market: global, large and growing
- Shift to electronic execution and multi-dealerplatforms; reputation, regulatory status key
- Changing market structure: rise of non-bankliquidity providers, largest bank liquidity providers getting bigger, market fragmentation
- Reduced credit capacity: PB capacity linked to higher costs, de-selecting clients based on credit availability, alternatives needed
- Technological progress: digitalization, electronification, low latency, data
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 26
Net revenue growth
>10%
Net revenue growth
CAGR 2019-23E
t/o secular | ~10% |
CAGR | |
360T - Driving a holistic and complete FX product and trading suite on a global scale
Key industry trend
Shift to electronic execution and multi-dealer platforms across clients, products, regions and solutions accelerated by …
Asset managers / real money progressing
on electronification and automation
Key activities
- 360T's aspiration to continuously scale its business based on these drivers
Focus on expansion of holistic FX trading
offering and automated trading solutions
Shifting / fragmented markets requiring different trading styles and products
Increasing futurization and introduction to
central clearing for FX products
COVID-19: unclear on long-term effects, electronification & automation expected to increase
360T Active Markets (incl. GTX) offering anonymous Spot, NDFs (on-/off-SEF)and MidMatch for Swaps
Providing a unique proposition for FX ETD and for centralized FX OTC Clearing
Growth impacted by market development; 360T already compensating negative effects with "own" secular growth
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 27
360X - New platform for serial marketplace creation and operations in non-adjacent asset classes
360X structure and focus
Deutsche Börse AG
Partnerships | 360X | |||||||
with industry | ||||||||
players | ||||||||
Art trading/ | Real | |||||||
lending | E-sports | |||||||
estate | ||||||||
platform | ||||||||
Initial focus on art - plan to partner with industry players, e.g. insurances
- Art market attractive based on size, growth, and inefficiencies
- Opportunity identified in creating global art exchange driven by fractionalization and tokenization of art
- Creation of ecosystem in art trading, lending and insurances
- 360X as entrepreneurial platform, based in Frankfurt and led by Carlo Kölzer
- Vehicle for serial creation and operation of marketplaces in non-adjacent new asset classes
- Lean set-up as an independent firm supported by 360T and Deutsche Börse infrastructure
- Initial investment of €10m until end of 2021
- Partnering with key industry players, especially in the art vertical, also to bring in capital
- Additional assets added in modular fashion - holistic, systemic approach
Potential other asset classes
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 28
IFS - Leading provider of investment fund distribution services
Key secular growth drivers
- Positioning in sweet spot of global fund sector growth, third party distribution acceleration and outsourcing pressures
- Build out #1 position as leading European fund processing service provider with ~€2.8tr assets under custody
- Strengthen fund distribution services (via Fund Centre) as foundation for growth and onboarding of new portfolios
- Cross-sellingsynergy effects from business combinations, e.g. Ausmaq, Fund Centre, Clearstream (I)CSD
- Expand in alternative fund shares issuance to via digital enablers and DLT (FundsDLT)
- Strengthen funds data and analytics solutions
Revenue growth
>15%
Net revenue growth
CAGR 2019-23E
t/o secular | ~10% |
CAGR | |
t/o M&A | ~6% |
(Ausmaq, UBS | |
Fondcenter) | CAGR |
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 29
IFS - Well positioned in sweet spot of long-term growth trends
Key industry trend
Attractive underlying investment fund market with assets of $55tr globally and strong historic growth of >10% p.a.
Increasing relevance of passive and alternative investment strategies - multi-assetclass capabilities are key
Increasing importance of independent distributors and third-partyfund offering
Cost pressure in banking and consolidation dynamics open opportunities for further growth
IFS with strong position to grow
- Order processing capabilities for >190k funds across 43 jurisdictions
- Leading in Europe and strong onboarding pipeline; strong growth momentum in APAC
- Leading (mutual and hedge) fund and ETF execution player combined with (I)CSD
- Scaling business model offering efficiency benefits to clients
- Fund Centre with distribution agreements for >70k funds across 25 jurisdictions
- Connecting 300 distribution partners with >400 global fund providers
- Comprehensive outsourcing offering across the full value chain
- Superior partnering proposition (e.g., with UBS)
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 30
IFS - Ambition to further grow IFS footprint along the value chain - strategic roadmap focused around 4 pillars
Expand in alternative | Optimize core | Expand front-office | |||||
distribution support | |||||||
fund shares issuance | Vestima services | ||||||
(via Fund Centre) | |||||||
▪ | Expand the value chain and | ▪ | Consolidate foundations | ▪ | Strengthen products (via | ||
range of services offered | via product development | Fund Centre) to compete at | |||||
▪ | Use digital enablers and | ▪ | Tilt to new markets and | par with leaders | |||
DLT to boost efficiency along | expand market coverage | ▪ | Develop market share by | ||||
the value chain | ▪ | Further enhance efficiency | attracting more distributors | ||||
and fund promoters | |||||||
(processes, platforms) | |||||||
Strengthen fund data solutions
- Valorize data to drive efficiency
- Upgrade and monetize fund distribution data services
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 31
Agenda
Roadmap 2020: What have we achieved?
Compass 2023: What's the way forward?
Key initiatives: How do we want to grow?
Financials: How do the numbers square up?
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 32
We fully reached our Roadmap 2020 financial targets
Net revenue 2017-20E(€m) | ||||
~9% | ||||
CAGR | ||||
~3.2bn | ||||
2,462 | ||||
Target | ||||
2% | cyclical | positive | ||
growth | ||||
1-2% | M&A | no explicit | ||
growth | guidance | |||
5-6% | secular | >5% | ||
growth | ||||
2017 | 2020E | |||
Deutsche Boerse Group | | November 18, 2020 | | | 33 |
Net profit (adj.) 2017-20E(€m) | |
~12% | |
CAGR | |
~1.20bn | |
857 | Target |
10-15% | |
CAGR | |
2017 | 2020E |
Compass 2023 KPIs will be based on reported income statement
Income statement reconciliation 2019 (€m)
Adjusted | Exceptionals | Reported | |
Net revenue | 2,936 | 2,936 | |
Operating costs | −1,130 | −135 | −1,264 |
EBITDA | 1,813 | −135 | 1,678 |
EBITDA margin | 62% | 57% | |
EBIT | 1,590 | −138 | 1,452 |
Net profit | 1,106 | −102 | 1,004 |
Earnings per share (€) | 6.03 | −0.56 | 5.47 |
Going forward, income statement will be published on reported basis only
Base year for key Compass 2023 KPIs will be 2019
KPIs reflects our profitable growth ambition
Net revenue growth EBITDA growth (reported) EPS growth (reported)
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 34
Our growth ambition is based on multitude of strategic initiatives
Mid-term net revenue growth opportunities (€m)
~0.6bn | ~4.3bn | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
~0.2bn | ~0.1bn | ~0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2,936 | ~0.4bn | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
secular | 5% | cyclical | 0% | M&A | 5% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CAGR | CAGR | CAGR | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | Trading & | Post-trading | Pre-trading | 2023E | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Clearing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
New ETD1 | ~110 | IFS | ~100 | Indices | ~60 | NII | ~−130 | Closed | ~100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
M&A | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EEX | ~90 | Custody | ~90 | Analytics | ~40 | Trading & | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Clearing, | ISS | ~300 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
360T/FX | ~70 | GSF3 and | ~+170 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
~30 | Post- | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pricing | ~40 | others | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
trading | Future | ~200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
OTC IRS | ~35 | M&A | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
GFF2 | ~30 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Buy-in agent | ~25 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Breakdown by product for indicative purpose
1) Exchange traded derivatives; 2) Global Funding & Financing; 3) Global Securities Financing
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 35
Midterm secular net revenue growth opportunities fully intact
Net revenue | Growth | ||||||
Segment | 2019 (€m) | CAGR 2023E | t/o secular | t/o M&A | |||
Eurex | 1,009 | 7-10% | >5% | ~1% | Quantitative | ||
Brokers | |||||||
Trading & | EEX | 289 | 7-10% | >5% | ̶ | ||
Clearing | 360T | 92 | >10% | ~10% | ̶ | ||
Xetra | 329 | 0-3% | 0% | ̶ | |||
Post- | Clearstream | 843 | 0-3% | 3-5% | ̶ | ||
trading | IFS | 183 | >15% | ~10% | ~6% | Ausmaq, UBS | |
Fondcenter | |||||||
Pre- | Qontigo | 190 | >15% | ~10% | ~5% Axioma | ||
trading | |||||||
ISS | ~2% | >5% secular growth | |||||
expected for ISS | |||||||
Future M&A | ~2% | ||||||
Total | 2,936 | ~10% | ~5% | ~5% | |||
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 36
We will continue to pursue our successful M&A agenda
Pre- trading
Trading & Clearing
Post- trading
Index and analytics
ESG
Commodities Foreign-exchange Fixed income
Investment fund services
Financial guidelines
Cash earnings accretive in year 1, latest in year 3
ROI in year 3 should be higher than WACC (~6%) across M&A portfolio
Margin dilution accepted for transactions with
strong strategic fit
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 37
ISS is an attractive growth business, which fits well with our Compass 2023 financial targets
Acquisition of a growing business … | … in a strategic partnership format | |||
>US$280m | Net revenue 2020E | ISS management, | Deutsche Börse | |
(pro forma IFRS) | Genstar Capital | 80% | ||
20% | ||||
>5% CAGR
>90%
Organic net revenue growth until 2023E pre synergies
High recurring net revenue base
-
In 2020 ~35% adjusted EBITDA margin
pre transaction effects with further operating leverage potential - Due to strong complementarity, revenue synergies expected to result in €15 million additional EBITDA by 2023
- ISS will be fully consolidated and forms a new segment within the pre-tradingarea
-
Purchase price of US$2,275 million
(€1,925m) for 100% cash/debt free - Deutsche Börse is acquiring ~80%, which is financed through ~€1 billion debt and remainder with own cash
- Transaction is cash accretive in year 1 (~5% incl. run rate synergies)
- Transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2021
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 38
We refined our financial steering logic to support our growth ambition
Sustainable growth
Overall cost development
Financial steering
Continuous improvement
Profitability
- Funding of growth initiatives linked to sustainable secular net revenue growth
- In order to support our secular revenue growth ambition, we expect the operating costs to increase
- Reported operating costs will be new cost metric
-
Continuous improvement (~2% productivity increase p.a. or
~€100m by 2023) will be key measure to capture efficiencies and ensure scalability of core businesses - We are planning with a broadly stable EBITDA margin until 2023
-
Additional cyclical support would result in an increase of the
EBITDA margin
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 39
Long standing capital management policy is confirmed
Rating
Dividend policy
Use of excess cash
Capital allocation
- AA rating mainly because of post-trading business
- Net debt / EBITDA below 1.75x
- FFO / net debt above 50%
- Payout between 40% to 60% of net profit (reported)
- With increased earnings, payout ratio expected to decrease
- Preferably reinvested into the business to support M&A strategy; otherwise buy-backs would be considered
- Permanent review and monitoring of business portfolio
- Maintain sound balance sheet structure
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 40
Summary financial targets Compass 2023
CAGR 2019-23E
Net revenue | ~10% |
EBITDA (reported) | ~10% |
EPS (reported) | ~10% |
Note: all figures including ISS
Deutsche Boerse Group | November 18, 2020 | 41
Disclaimer
Cautionary note with regard to forward-lookingstatements: This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words 'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward- looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants
- general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or (foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.
No obligation to update information: Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained herein.
No investment advice: This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information.
All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only. © Deutsche Börse AG 2020. All rights reserved.
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Deutsche Börse AG published this content on 18 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 18 November 2020 13:10:07 UTC