Q4 and FY/2020
Preliminary financial results
Analyst and Investor Conference Call 11 February 2021
Summary Q4 and FY/2020 preliminary results presentation
+9% million; secular growth of 5% as planned.
Net revenue growth 2020
Net revenue increased 9% to €3,214
+10% p.a. growth and increasing M&A contribution.
Net revenue and earnings growth target 2023
Compass 2023 targets continued secular
€1.2bn
Net profit (adj.)
2020
Despite all challenges in 2020 net profit reached exactly the full year guidance.
~€3.5bn expected for 2021.
Net revenue target for 2021
Net revenue of ~€3.5 billion (incl. ISS)
€
Dividend per share for 2020
3.00 Dividend of €3.00 proposed for 2020 (+3%); pay-out of 46% of adjusted net profit.
Preliminary group financials
814
757
Operating cost −4% −5% (organic)
347
334
Q4/19 Q4/20
490
411
Net profit +14% +12% (organic)
242
276
Q4/19 Q4/20
Net interest income Exceptional cost itemsDepreciationFinancial resultTax rateEPS | €36m −38% €46m €73m €−26m 26% €1.51 +14% |
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items. Organic growth incl. Börse Berlin (Xetra), Quantitative Brokers (Eurex) and UBS Fondcenter (IFS) like-for-like.
Eurex (financial derivatives)
35 Other1
Eurex data Margin fees2 OTC clearing3 Equity
48 Fixed incomeIndex
170
151
Total derivatives Index derivativesFixed income derivatives Equity derivatives OTC notional outstanding (avg.)OTC notional cleared (incl. compr.) | 424m −8% 229m 0% 127m +2% 68m −35% €18tr +36% €8.8tr +18% |
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items. Organic growth incl. Quantitative Brokers (Q4/19) like-for-like.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity and member fees.
2) Including NII and securities collateral fee.
3) Including margin fees on OTC clearing related collateral.
EEX (commodities)
Net revenue +12%
83
Other1
Gas
31 Power derivatives
20 Power spot
EBITDA +37%
40
30
Power spot Power derivatives Gas | 162 TWh +8% 1,673 TWh +7% 594 TWh −1% |
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity, member fees and emission allowances.
360T (foreign exchange)
Net revenue +7%EBITDA +19%
Average daily volumes (ADV) | €88bn +3% |
Other1
12
10
Trading
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity and member fees.
Xetra (cash equities)
110
Other1
Xetra data
6 Listing
46 Trading & clearing
81
46
Xetra data with proceeds of ~€20m due to disposal ofRegulatory Reporting Hub.
EBITDA includes €9.5m equity method valuation result from Tradegate AG Wertpapier-handelsbank.
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items. Organic growth incl. Börse Berlin (Q4/19) like-for-like.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity and member fees.
2) Xetra, Börse Frankfurt and Tradegate.
Order book volume2 Equities Order book volume2 ETF, ETC, ETN | €424bn +27% €60bn +61% |
Clearstream (post-trading)
Net revenue −11%
211
24 Other1
5 Third party services
19 Collateral management
13 Net interest income
21 27 SettlementCustody
EBITDA −12%
114
101
Assets under custody
Settlement transactions (ICSD)
Cash balances total volumet/o US-DollarCollateral outstandings
€12.2tr
+3%
17.9m
+25%
€13.7bn −14%
€6.3bn −25%
€518bn +13%
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity, account services and reporting.
IFS (investment fund services)
72
13 Other1
14 Fund distribution
20 Settlement
24 Custody
44
22
Clearstream createsFund Centre after completing acquisition of majority stake in Fondcenter AG from UBS on 30 Sep 2020.
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items. Organic growth incl. UBS Fundcenter (Q4/19) like-for-like.
1) Including net revenue from connectivity.
Assets under custody Settlement transactions | €2.9tr +11% 10.8m +44% |
Qontigo (index and analytics business)
Net revenue +9%
74
AnalyticsOther licences
9 Exchange licences
EBITDA +13%
43
38
10 ETF
ETF assets under management Exchange licences traded contracts | €94bn −4% 214m +1% |
Note: EBITDA adjusted for exceptional items.
Preliminary group financials
3,214 2,936
2019 2020
Operating cost +7% +3% (organic)
1,130 1,213
2019 2020
2,025 1,813
2019 2020
Net profit +9% +11% (organic)
1,106 1,204
2019 2020
Net interest income Exceptional cost itemsDepreciationFinancial resultTax rateEPS (adj.) | €197m −21% €147m €259m €−77m 26% €6.57 +9% |
Note: Adjusted for exceptional items.
Secular growth trend remains intact
Consolidation | Secular growth | Cyclical growth |
+2% | +5% | +2% |
2,936
2019
2020
+9%
Consolidation effects mainly driven by Axioma (Qontigo) and UBS Fondcenter (IFS) as well as small impacts from Ausmaq (IFS), Börse Berlin (Xetra) and Quantitative Brokers (Eurex).
All segments with positive secular growth contribution; good progress at Eurex, IFS, Qontigo and 360T.
Cyclical growth mainly driven by exceptionally high volatility in Q1 due to the COVID-19 situation, but increasing headwinds since Q2.
Operating cost development
Consolidation +5%
1,130
Investments +2%
Net Inflation 0%
Variable-/ share based comp.
0%
2019
2020
Consolidation effects mainly driven by Axioma (Qontigo) and UBS Fundcenter (IFS).
Higher investments in growth and technology and increase in personnel to support growth.
Inflationary pressures off-set by increase of operating efficiency.
Variable-/ share based compen-sation flat, mainly due to share price development.
Note: Numbers may not add up due to rounding.
2018
Dividend per share and pay-out
Pay-out ratio (in % of adjusted net profit)
49
48
46
2019
2020 (proposal)
Deutsche Börse aims to distribute 40%-60% of annual net profit to shareholders in form of the regular dividend.
Within this range, pay-out mainly depends on the business development and dividend continuity considerations.
Remaining free cash is planned to be reinvested into the business to support the Group's M&A strategy.
With increasing earnings, payout ratio is expected to decrease.
Income statement reconciliation 2020 (€m)
KPIs going forward will be based on reported income statement
Adjusted | Exceptionals | Reported | |
Net revenue | 3,214 | 3,214 | |
Operating costs | −1,213 | −147 | −1,361 |
EBITDA | 2,025 | −147 | 1,877 |
EBIT | 1,766 | −153 | 1,613 |
Net profit | 1,204 | −117 | 1,088 |
Earnings per share (€) | 6.57 | −0.64 | 5.93 |
Outlook
Net revenue guidance
2019
EBITDA (reported) guidance
2020
2021E
2023E
2019
2020
2021E
2023E
Compass 2023 mid-term plan targets 10% net revenue growth CAGR (5% secular + 5% M&A) and 10% EBITDA (reported) growth CAGR.
For 2021 Deutsche Börse expects:
− Overall net revenue of around €3.5 billion (including continued 5% secular growth)
− EBITDA (reported) of around €2.0 billion.
− This includes all closed and announced M&A transactions to date (incl. ISS)
Appendix
Income statement - group level reported
(in €m) | Quarter ended 31 Dec 2020 | Quarter ended 31 Dec 2019 |
Sales revenue Net interest income from banking business Other operating income | 948.8 36.3 34.4 | 791.4 58.5 5.4 |
Total revenue Volume-related costs | 1,019.5 -205.5 | 855.3 -98.7 |
Net revenue Staff costs Other operating expenses | 814.0 -212.0 -167.9 | 756.6 -191.0 -189.2 |
Operating costs Net income from strategic investments | -379.9 10.5 | -380.2 1.3 |
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) Depreciation, amortization and impairment losses | 444.6 -76.9 | 377.7 -63.8 |
Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) Financial result | 367.7 -26.2 | 313.9 -8.4 |
Earnings before tax (EBT) Income tax expense and other tax | 341.5 -91.3 | 305.5 -82.8 |
Net profit for the period thereof attributable to Deutsche Börse shareholders thereof attributable to non-controlling interests | 250.2 236.8 13.4 | 222.7 213.2 9.5 |
Earnings per share (basic) (€) | 1.29 | 1.16 |
Income statement - group level adjusted
(in €m) | Quarter ended 31 Dec 2020 | Quarter ended 31 Dec 2019 |
Sales revenue Net interest income from banking business Other operating income | 948.8 36.3 34.4 | 791.4 58.5 5.4 |
Total revenue Volume-related costs | 1,019.5 -205.5 | 855.3 -98.7 |
Net revenue Staff costs Other operating expenses | 814.0 -206.2 -127.9 | 756.6 -192.1 -155.3 |
Operating costs Net income from strategic investments | -334.1 10.5 | -347.4 1.3 |
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) Depreciation, amortization and impairment losses | 490.4 -72.9 | 410.5 -61.7 |
Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) Financial result | 417.5 -26.2 | 348.8 -8.4 |
Earnings before tax (EBT) Income tax expense and other tax | 391.3 -101.8 | 340.4 -88.5 |
Net profit for the period thereof attributable to Deutsche Börse shareholders thereof attributable to non-controlling interests | 289.5 276.1 13.4 | 251.9 242.4 9.5 |
Earnings per share (basic) (€) | 1.51 | 1.32 |
Income statement - segmental level I/II
Eurex (financial derivatives)EEX (commodities) 360T Xetra (foreign exchange) (cash equities) | ||||||||
(in €m) Q4/20 Q4/19 Q4/20 Q4/19 Q4/20 Q4/19 Q4/20 Q4/19 | ||||||||
Net revenue | 260.7 | 247.8 | 83.0 | 74.0 | 26.1 | 24.5 | 110.4 | 81.9 |
Staff costs adj. Other operating expenses adj. | -48.4 -44.7 | -45.6 -52.5 | -24.6 -17.3 | -24.2 -20.2 | -10.3 -3.4 | -9.8 -4.3 | -23.5 -16.5 | -20.4 -16.8 |
Operating costs adj. | -93.1 | -98.1 | -41.9 | -44.4 | -13.7 | -14.1 | -40.0 | -37.2 |
Operating costs reported Result from equity investments EBITDA adj. | -106.3 2.3 169.9 | -103.5 1.0 150.7 | -49.0 -0.7 40.4 | -54.0 -0.1 29.5 | -13.2 0.0 12.4 | -15.7 0.0 10.4 | -48.2 10.1 80.5 | -42.1 1.1 45.8 |
Income statement - segmental level II/II
Clearstream (post-trading) IFS Qontigo (investment fund services) (index and analytics business) | ||||||
(in €m) Q4/20 Q4/19 Q4/20 Q4/19 Q4/20 Q4/19 | ||||||
Net revenue | 187.7 | 210.8 | 71.9 | 49.8 | 74.2 | 67.8 |
Staff costs adj. Other operating expenses adj. | -57.4 -28.6 | -53.3 -42.5 | -18.8 -9.4 | -17.4 -10.5 | -23.2 -8.0 | -21.4 -8.5 |
Operating costs adj. | -86.0 | -95.8 | -28.2 | -27.9 | -31.2 | -29.9 |
Operating costs reported Result from equity investments EBITDA adj. | -105.3 -0.9 100.8 | -100.0 -0.7 114.3 | -26.8 -0.1 43.6 | -31.7 0.0 21.9 | -31.1 -0.2 42.8 | -33.2 0.0 37.9 |
Financial calendar and contact details
Financial calendar
24 Feb. 2021
Credit Suisse Annual Financial Services Forum (virtual/Miami)
09 Mar. 2021
16-18 Mar. 2021
29 Mar. - 01 Apr. 2021
21 Apr. 2021
RBC Capital Markets Global Financial Institutions Conference (virtual/New York) Morgan Stanley Virtual European Financials Conference (virtual/London) HSBC West Coast Financials Conference (virtual/San Francisco) Publication quarterly statement Q1/2021
22 Apr. 2021
Analyst and investor conference call Q1/2021
19 May 2021
Annual General Meeting
02 Jun. 2021
16-17 Jun. 2021
Deutsche Bank FinTech / Info Services Conference (virtual/NewYork) Deutsche Bank dbAccess Berlin Conference (virtual)
27 Jul. 2021
Publication half-yearly financial report 2021
28 Jul. 2021
Analyst and investor conference call Q2/2021
Deutsche Börse AG Investor Relations Mergenthalerallee 61 65760 Eschborn Germany
Phone: +49 69 211 11670 Fax: +49 69 211 14608 E−Mail:ir@deutsche-boerse.comwww.deutsche-boerse.com/ir_e
Disclaimer
Cautionary note with regard to forward-looking statements: This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words 'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants (vi) general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or (foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.
No obligation to update information: Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained herein.
No investment advice: This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information.
All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only. © Deutsche Börse AG 2021. All rights reserved.
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Deutsche Börse AG published this content on 11 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 February 2021 08:10:03 UTC.