Projected Income Statement: DHL Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 16,366 15,856 17,739 18,998 21,516 24,191 23,793 23,581
Change - -3.12% 11.88% 7.1% 13.25% 12.43% -1.65% -0.89%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,546 4,123 3,370 3,066 2,950 2,918 3,236 3,331
Change - 16.27% -18.26% -9.02% -3.78% -1.07% 10.89% 2.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,092 3,067 2,942 5,656 2,295 3,349 3,554 3,832
Change - -25.05% -4.08% 92.25% -59.42% 45.94% 6.1% 7.83%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: DHL Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.37% 13.36% 13.24% 12.6% 13.24% 13.43% 13.71% 13.85%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.76% 8.93% 7.76% 6.99% 7.37% 7.6% 7.91% 8.07%
EBT Margin (%) 9% 8.38% 6.75% 6.01% 6.33% 6.49% 6.83% 7.02%
Net margin (%) 6.18% 5.67% 4.5% 3.96% 4.23% 4.34% 4.58% 4.74%
FCF margin (%) 5.01% 3.25% 3.6% 6.72% 2.77% 3.95% 4.05% 4.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 80.98% 57.23% 80.01% 169.75% 65.55% 91.05% 88.5% 89.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.5% 8.13% 7.98% 7.41% 4.97% 5.1% 5.6% 5.84%
ROE 30.8% 25.35% 19.22% 17.71% 16% 16.19% 17.11% 17.65%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.39x 1.26x 1.64x 1.79x 1.96x 2.12x 1.98x 1.88x
Debt / Free cash flow 4x 5.17x 6.03x 3.36x 9.38x 7.22x 6.7x 6.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.34% 4.37% 4.12% 3.64% 3.56% 3.44% 3.69% 3.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.19% 32.69% 31.14% 28.91% 26.89% 25.62% 26.9% 26.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.66% 134.43% 114.55% 54.21% 128.54% 87.14% 91.07% 86.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.11 9.03 7.79 7.343 7.928 6.115 6.643 7.064
Change - 11.34% -13.73% -5.74% 7.97% -22.86% 8.63% 6.33%
Dividend per Share 1 1.8 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.9 1.949 2.039 2.148
Change - 2.78% 0% 0% 2.7% 2.59% 4.61% 5.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.45 19.14 16.01 15.95 19.6 20.74 22.09 23.71
Change - 23.91% -16.36% -0.4% 22.93% 5.83% 6.47% 7.33%
EPS 1 4.01 4.33 3.04 2.81 3.04 3.281 3.639 3.921
Change - 7.98% -29.79% -7.57% 8.19% 7.92% 10.93% 7.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,224,639 1,205,059 1,182,263 1,153,116 1,121,383 1,109,108 1,109,108 1,109,108
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 15.8x 14.2x
PBR 2.49x 2.34x
EV / Sales 0.96x 0.92x
Yield 3.77% 3.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
51.72EUR
Average target price
50.31EUR
Spread / Average Target
-2.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. DHL Stock
  4. Financials DHL Group
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