Projected Income Statement: Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,102 6,262 6,208 12,999 14,563 10,716 6,851 5,319
Change - 2.62% -0.86% 109.39% 12.03% -26.42% -36.07% -22.36%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/24/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,487 1,938 2,701 2,867 3,523 3,957 3,978 4,024
Change - 30.33% 39.37% 6.15% 22.88% 12.31% 0.54% 1.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,421 4,724 2,987 4,007 5,549 7,510 6,593 6,672
Change - 95.13% -36.77% 34.15% 38.48% 35.35% -12.22% 1.21%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/24/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Diamondback Energy, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 60.22% 72.65% 72.69% 65.81% 63.46% 71.57% 70.83% 71.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.01% 67.49% 54.33% 40.19% 28.12% 40.07% 41.43% 40.55%
EBT Margin (%) 42.77% 59.48% 50.5% 40.67% 12.47% 36.37% 39.85% 40.17%
Net margin (%) 32.1% 45.48% 37.36% 30.16% 11.07% 24.72% 27.86% 30.34%
FCF margin (%) 35.62% 48.99% 35.51% 36.21% 36.93% 41.15% 38.77% 40.29%
FCF / Net Income (%) 110.95% 107.71% 95.04% 120.04% 333.47% 166.43% 139.15% 132.82%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.92% 17.44% 11.39% 6.93% 5.6% 9.39% 6.83% 4.7%
ROE 19.24% 31.61% 20.64% 12.28% 9.35% 14.01% 10.68% 9.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x 0.89x 1.02x 1.79x 1.53x 0.82x 0.57x 0.45x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.52x 1.33x 2.08x 3.24x 2.62x 1.43x 1.04x 0.8x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.88% 20.1% 32.11% 25.91% 23.45% 21.68% 23.4% 24.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 27.66% 44.17% 39.37% 36.94% 30.29% 33.03% 33.97%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 61.42% 41.02% 90.43% 71.55% 63.49% 52.68% 60.34% 60.32%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 22.03 36.96 31.24 30.48 31.38 42.22 39.53 40.25
Change - 67.72% -15.45% -2.44% 2.96% 34.54% -6.38% 1.82%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 11.31 7.22 4 4.05 4.335 4.438 4.525
Change - 480% -36.16% -44.6% 1.25% 7.03% 2.38% 1.96%
Book Value Per Share 1 67.91 84.53 93.02 129.7 129.9 151.1 162 170.7
Change - 24.48% 10.04% 39.41% 0.18% 16.31% 7.19% 5.38%
EPS 1 12.3 24.61 17.34 15.53 5.73 16.3 17.24 18.83
Change - 100.08% -29.54% -10.44% -63.1% 184.38% 5.82% 9.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 181,175 175,999 178,985 291,989 284,395 281,313 281,313 281,313
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/24/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 10.6x
PBR 1.21x 1.13x
EV / Sales 3.41x 3.44x
Yield 2.36% 2.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
183.39USD
Average target price
231.82USD
Spread / Average Target
+26.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Diamondback Energy, Inc.