Exhibit 99.3

2020 and 4Q20 Financial Results

January 20, 2021

©2021 DISCOVER FINANCIAL SERVICES

Notice

The following slides are part of a presentation by Discover Financial Services (the "Company") in connection with reporting quarterly financial results and are intended to be viewed as part of that presentation. No representation is made that the information in these slides is complete. For additional financial, statistical, and business related information, as well as information regarding business and segment trends, see the earnings release and financial supplement included as exhibits to the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K filed today and available on the Company's website (www.discover.com) and the SEC's website (www.sec.gov).

The presentation contains forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date on which they are made, which reflect management's estimates, projections, expectations or beliefs at that time, and which are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of certain risks and uncertainties that may affect the future results of the Company, please see "Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements," "Risk Factors," "Business - Competition," "Business - Supervision and Regulation" and "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, "Risk Factors" and "Management's Discussion & Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" in the company's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2020, June 30, 2020, and September 30 2020 which is filed with the SEC and available at the SEC's website (www.sec.gov) and subsequent reports on Forms 8-K and 10-Q, including the Company's Current Report on Form 8-K filed today with the SEC. The Company does not undertake to update or revise forward-looking statements as more information becomes available.

2

Full Year 2020 Highlights

  • The challenges of 2020 highlighted the strength of our digital banking business model; our effective execution on several initiatives protected employees, supported customers and strengthened the Discover franchise
  • Strong credit performance aided by history of conservative credit management and actions taken early in the pandemic
    • Tightened underwriting criteria on new accounts
    • Pulled back on promotional rate offers
    • Proactive credit line management
  • Delivered $400MM in planned expense reductions
    • Committed to disciplined expense management
    • Continuing to invest in core capabilities to drive long-term growth and efficiency gains
  • Well-positionedfor growth as U.S. economy moves into recovery
  • Remain committed to returning capital to shareholders; recent Board approval for new $1.1 billion share repurchase program
  • 2020 Net Income of $1.1Bn; diluted EPS of $3.60; 4Q20 Net Income of $799MM; diluted EPS of $2.59

3

4Q20 Summary Financial Results

Year-Over-Year Net Income & EPS ($MM, except EPS)

4Q20

$

2,377

$

447

$

531

$

1,278

$

216

4Q19

$

2,424

$

520

$

836

$

1,184

$

216

B/(W)

$

(47)

$

(73)

$

305

$

(94)

$

-

EPS

$

2.25

$

(0.12)

$

(0.18)

$

0.75

$

(0.23)

$

0.12

$

2.59

Key Points

  • Revenue net of interest expense was $2.8Bn, down 4%, driven by lower net interest income and lower net discount and interchange revenue
  • Net interest margin was 10.63%, up 34 bps as lower funding costs were partially offset by lower loan yields driven by prime rate decreases
  • Provision for credit losses decreased by $305MM driven by lower net charge-offs; there was no change in reserves in 4Q20
  • Expenses were up 8% reflecting one-time items; excluding these items, expenses were down 4% as reductions in marketing and professional fees were partially offset by higher compensation (1)

Note(s)

1. Operating expense adjusted for one-time items is a non-GAAP measure. Management believes providing expenses excluding one-time items helps investors understand the impact of activities that are not expected to continue and provides investors with a useful metric to evaluate the company's operating performance; see appendix for a reconciliation

4

4Q20 Loan Growth ($Bn)

Total

Card

Key Points

YOY

YOY

$95.9

(7)%

• Card receivables down 7%

$93.0

$77.2

$88.9

$88.7

$90.4

YOY driven by increased

$73.8

payment rates and lower BT/

$71.5

$70.2

$69.7

promo activity; up 3% QOQ

driven by seasonal activity

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

• Organic student loans up 7%

YOY reflecting market share

gain through 2020 peak season

Organic Student

Personal

YOY

YOY

• Personal loans decreased 7%

+7%

(7)%

YOY reflecting increased

$8.8

$9.0

$9.0

$7.7

$7.7

payments and actions taken to

$8.6

mitigate credit risk

$8.4

$7.3

$7.2

$7.2

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

5

4Q20 Net Interest Margin

NIM on Loans

10.46%

10.47%

10.43%

10.63%

10.29%

10.21%

10.19%

9.81%

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

Change

(%)

4Q20

3Q20

4Q19

QOQ

YOY

Total Interest Yield on Loans

11.96 % 11.78 %

12.52 %

18bps

-56bps

NIM on Loans

10.63 % 10.19 %

10.29 %

44bps

34bps

NIM on Interest-Earning Assets

7.93 % 7.70 %

8.66 %

23bps

-73bps

4Q20

3Q20

4Q19

Interest-Earning Assets ($Bn)

Avg

Yield

Avg

Yield

Avg

Yield

Bal

Bal

Bal

Total Loans

$89.0

11.96 %

$88.4

11.78 %

$93.4

12.52 %

Other Interest-Earning Assets

30.3

1.13 %

28.6

0.88 %

17.7

2.05 %

Total Interest-Earning Assets

$119.3

9.20 %

$117.0

9.11 %

$111.1

10.86 %

4Q20

3Q20

4Q19

Interest-Bearing Liabilities

Avg

Rate

Avg

Rate

Avg

Rate

($Bn)

Bal

Bal

Bal

Direct to Consumer Deposits (1)

$62.5

0.94 %

$61.6

1.25 %

$53.0

2.03 %

Brokered Deposits and Other

13.7

2.38 %

15.3

2.47 %

17.9

2.72 %

Interest Bearing-Deposits

76.2

1.20 %

76.8

1.49 %

70.9

2.20 %

Borrowings

25.1

2.42 %

22.9

2.23 %

25.1

3.50 %

Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities

$101.3

1.50 %

$99.7

1.66 %

$96.0

2.54 %

Note(s)

1. Includes Affinity relationships

Key Points

  • NIM on loans was 10.63%, up 44bps QOQ driven by favorable deposit pricing
  • Total loan yield of 11.96% down 56bps YOY reflecting the impact of prime rate decreases partially offset by favorable portfolio mix and lower interest charge-offs; up 18bps QOQ driven by favorable portfolio mix and lower interest charge-offs
  • Average consumer deposits of $62.5Bn grew 18% YOY and were up 1.0Bn QOQ; consumer deposits composed 62% of total funding
  • Rate on average interest-bearing liabilities of 1.50%, down 104bps YOY and 16bps QOQ, driven by lower deposit pricing

6

Funding Mix

Funding Mix (%), Average Balance

Maturities

Maturity profile provides opportunity to continue optimizing funding costs

Maturities

($Bn)

FY20

FY21

FY22

Brokered & Other

$

19.0

$

17.9

$

4.5

Deposits

Securitized

Borrowing

$

3.0

$

3.4

$

4.4

Unsecured

$

1.8

$

0.8

$

0.8

Borrowings

Total

$

23.8

$

22.0

$

9.7

Average

Maturity Rate

FY20

FY21

FY22

(%) (1)

Brokered & Other

2.34 %

1.81 %

2.21 %

Deposits

Securitized

0.63 %

0.47 %

0.70 %

Borrowing

Unsecured

4.21 % 1.93 % 4.35 %

Borrowings

Total

2.26 %

1.61 %

1.72 %

Note(s)

1. Effective cost net of hedge impact

7

4Q20 Operating Expense

Year-Over-Year Expense ($MM)

$57

$85

$49

$1,278

$1,184 $(22)

$(75)

4Q19

Employee

Marketing

Info

Prof

All

4Q20

Expense

Comp

Process

Fees

Other

Expense

($MM)

4Q20

4Q19

$

%

Employee Compensation and Benefits

$504

$447

$57

13%

Marketing and Business Development

159

234

(75)

(32%)

Information Processing & Communications

198

113

85

75%

Professional Fees

192

214

(22)

(10%)

Premises and Equipment

30

27

3

11%

Other Expense

195

149

46

31%

Total Operating Expense

$1,278

$1,184

$94

8%

Total Operating Expense ex one-time items(1)

$1,141

$1,184

($43)

(4%)

Operating Efficiency(2)

45.2 %

40.2 %

500 bps

Key Points

One-time items in the quarter included:

($MM)

Information Processing

$77

Software write-offs

Compensation &

$26

Voluntary early

Benefits

retirement program

Other Expense

$27

Penalties and restitution

Premise & Equipment

$7

Accelerated lease

depreciation

Excluding one-time items, expenses were down 4% and included:

  • Increased employee compensation reflecting higher average salaries and increased headcount
  • Lower marketing expense as we aligned costs with the economic environment; reductions primarily in brand and acquisition marketing
  • Decreased professional fees primarily driven by lower collection fees

Note(s)

  1. Operating expense adjusted for one-time items is a non-GAAP measure. Management believes providing expenses excluding one-time items helps investors understand the impact of activities that are not expected to continue and provides investors with a useful metric to evaluate the company's operating performance; see appendix for a reconciliation
  2. Defined as reported total operating expense divided by revenue net of interest expense

8

4Q20 Key Credit Metrics

Change

4Q19

3Q20

4Q20

QOQ

YOY

Credit Card Loans

Ending Loan Balance ($MM)

$77,181

$69,656

$71,472

2.6%

(7.4)%

Net Principal Charge-off Rate

3.41%

3.45%

2.63%

(82) bps

(78) bps

30-Day Delinquency Rate

2.62%

1.91%

2.07%

16 bps

(55) bps

Private Student Loans

Ending Loan Balance ($MM)

$9,653

$10,016

$9,954

(0.6)%

3.1%

Net Principal Charge-off Rate

1.02%

0.58%

0.71%

13 bps

(31) bps

30-Day Delinquency Rate (1)

1.72%

1.41%

1.32%

(9) bps

(40) bps

Personal Loans

Ending Loan Balance ($MM)

$7,687

$7,211

$7,177

(0.5)%

(6.6)%

Net Principal Charge-off Rate

4.26%

2.69%

2.79%

10 bps

(147) bps

30-Day Delinquency Rate

1.37%

1.10%

1.08%

(2) bps

(29) bps

Total Loans

Ending Loan Balance ($MM)

$95,894

$88,660

$90,449

2.0%

(5.7)%

Net Principal Charge-off Rate

3.19%

3.00%

2.38%

(62) bps

(81) bps

30-Day Delinquency Rate (1)

2.40%

1.76%

1.88%

12 bps

(52) bps

Note(s)

1. 30-Day Delinquency Rate excludes purchased loans

Key Points

  • Credit card net charge-off rate decreased 78 bps YOY while 30-Day delinquency decreased 55bps YOY reflecting strong credit performance
  • Student loan credit performance remains stable
  • Personal loan net charge-offs improved 147bps YOY reflecting underwriting enhancements and consumer liquidity

9

Allowance for Credit Losses

($MM)

Credit Card

Student

Personal

Other

Total Loans

Loans

Loans

Balance at January 1, 2020

4,550

653

613

28

5,844

Reserve rate

5.90 %

6.76 %

7.97 %

N/A

6.09 %

Balance at March 31, 2020

5,306

765

807

35

6,913

Reserve rate

7.19 %

7.68 %

10.55 %

N/A

7.44 %

Balance at June 30, 2020

6,491

799

857

37

8,184

Reserve rate

9.25 %

8.21 %

11.71 %

N/A

9.2 %

Balance at September 30, 2020

$6,491

$840

$857

$38

$8,226

Reserve rate

9.32 %

8.38 %

11.89 %

N/A

9.28 %

Provision for credit losses

463

18

50

-

531

Net Charge-offs

(463)

(18)

(50)

-

(531)

Balance at December 31, 2020

$6,491

$840

$857

$38

$8,226

Reserve rate

9.08 %

8.43 %

11.94 %

N/A

9.09 %

10

Capital Trends

13.1

12.2

11.5

11.4

11.4

11.7

11.2

11.3

165

11.1

123

93

99

88

82

79

77

76

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

Common Equity Tier 1

Payout Ratio(2) (%)

(CET1) Capital Ratio(1) (%)

Note(s)

  1. Based on the final rule published September 30, 2020. Capital ratios reflect delay in the recognition of the impact of CECL reserves on regulatory capital for two years in accordance with the final rule
  2. Payout Ratio is displayed on a trailing twelve month basis. This represents the trailing twelve months' Capital Return to Common Stockholders divided by the trailing twelve months' Net Income Allocated to Common Stockholders

11

2021 Perspective

Loan Growth

Net Interest Margin

Operating Expense

Net Charge-offs

Capital Management

  • Modestly positive, subject to payment rate trends and economic conditions
  • Decline in funding costs provides tailwind
  • Focus on disciplined expense management
  • Investments in marketing, technology capabilities, and automation
  • Losses expected to increase in 2H21
  • Likely to remain elevated into 2022
  • Priorities for capital return remain unchanged
  • Approved up to $1.1Bn in share repurchases

12

Appendix

4Q20 Revenue

Inc /

(Dec)

($MM)

4Q20

4Q19

$

%

Net Interest Income

2,377

2,424

(47)

(2%)

Net Discount/Interchange Revenue

242

281

(39)

(14%)

Protection Products Revenue

45

48

(3)

(6%)

Loan Fee Income

110

123

(13)

(11%)

Transaction Processing Revenue

52

51

1

2%

Other Income

(2)

17

(19)

(112%)

Total Non-Interest Income

447

520

(73)

(14%)

Revenue Net of Interest Expense

$2,824

$2,944

$(120)

(4%)

Change

4Q20

4Q19

QOQ

YOY

Discover Card Sales Volume ($MM)

$40,957

$39,188

10 %

5 %

Rewards Rate (1)

1.38 %

1.32 %

-bps

6bps

NIM on Loans

10.63 %

10.29 %

44bps

34bps

Key Points

  • Net interest income decreased 2% primarily due to lower average receivables
  • Net discount and interchange revenue down 14% driven by higher rewards cost
  • Rewards rate was 6bps higher YOY primarily driven by increased sales in 5% categories, particularly due to growth in online spending

Note(s)

1. Rewards cost divided by Discover card sales volume

14

4Q20 Payments Volume ($Bn)

Discover Network

PULSE

Key Points

YOY

YOY

+5%

+10%

• Discover Network volume was

$42.5

$40.6

up 5% reflecting the increase in

$38.7

$55.0

$55.1

Discover card sales volume

$35.2

$52.9

$32.3

$50.0

$49.2

• PULSE volume up 10% YOY

driven by higher average spend

per transaction, increased

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

spend at grocery and home

improvement and higher ATM

volume

Diners (1)

Network Partners

YOY

YOY

• Diners Club volume down 28%

(28)%

+23%

from the prior year reflecting the

$8.8

$8.9

$8.7

impact of the global pandemic

$7.7

on T&E spending

$6.3

$5.8

$7.1

$7.3

$7.0

$4.3

• Network Partners higher 23%

driven by higher AribaPay

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

volume

Total Network Volume up 6% YOY

Note(s)

1. Volume is derived from data provided by licensees for Diners Club branded cards issued outside of North America and is subject to subsequent revision or amendment

15

Sales Volume

Weekly Sales Volume Trend (%)

Key Points

100%

• 4Q20 sales volume up 5% YOY

50%

with trends improving across all

categories

0%

-50%

• Sales mix shifted to a higher

concentration from retail and

grocery which are now over half

-100%

of total sales

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Week Ending

Gas

Groceries

Retail

• Significant YOY increase in

Restaurants

Services

Travel

online sales volume

Total Sales Volume

Year-Over-Year Sales Volume Trend (%)

• Travel, restaurants, and gas

FY19

FY20

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

Sales Mix

Sales Mix

have improved significantly;

Gas

6%

4%

-%

(48)%

(23)%

(20)%

Grocery

9%

11%

14%

14%

13%

14%

headwinds remain due to the

Retail

35%

40%

6%

7%

18%

20%

pandemic

Restaurants

8%

7%

(2)%

(43)%

(18)%

(10)%

Services

19%

18%

(1)%

(25)%

(4)%

1%

Travel

8%

4%

(20)%

(85)%

(59)%

(53)%

All Other

16%

16%

6%

(6)%

4%

4%

Total Sales Volume

100%

100%

3%

(16)%

(1)%

5%

Category Definitions

  • Services includes entertainment, auto, education, medical, and other service providers
  • All Other includes discount stores, drug stores, wholesale clubs, telecommunication, utilities, insurance, financial services and government

16

Credit Performance Trends

Total Company Loans

Credit Card Loans

3.08

3.25

3.22

3.05

3.19

3.27

3.44

3.50

3.49

3.65

3.90

3.45

2.97

3.00

3.23

3.32

3.41

3.14

2.38

2.63

2.22

2.31

2.28

2.18

2.32

2.40

2.38

2.32

2.43

2.45

2.34

2.50

2.62

2.62

1.98

1.76

1.88

2.17

2.07

1.91

3Q18

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

3Q18

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

NCO rate (%)

30+ day DQ rate ex-purchased loans (%)

NCO rate (%)

30+ day DQ rate (%)

Private Student Loans

Personal Loans

.09

4.49

4.53

4.33

4.26

3.99

3.59

2.13

3.43

2.00

1.76

1.78

2.79

1.67

1.72

1.64

2.69

1.49

1.41

1.32

0.96

0.86

0.66

0.61

0.59

1.02

0.68

0.62

0.58

0.71

.57

1.60

1.51

1.49

1.49

1.37

1.31

1.07

1.10

1.08

3Q18

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

3Q18

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

4Q20

NCO rate (%)

30+ day DQ rate ex-purchased loans (%)

NCO rate (%)

30+ day DQ rate (%)

17

Non-GAAP Reconciliation

($MM)

4Q20

Total operating expense

$

1,278

One-time expenses related to software write-offs, penalties and restitution, voluntary

$

(137)

early retirement program, accelerated lease depreciation

Operating expense ex one-time items

$

1,141

18

Attachments

  • Original document
  • Permalink

Disclaimer

Discover Financial Services published this content on 20 January 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 20 January 2021 21:35:04 UTC