Projected Income Statement: Dollar General Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollar General Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,754 3,827 6,628 6,463 5,306 4,220 3,424 3,359
Change - 38.96% 73.19% -2.49% -17.9% -20.47% -18.86% -1.9%
Announcement Date 3/18/21 3/17/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollar General Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,028 1,070 1,561 1,700 1,310 1,338 1,373 1,433
Change - 4.13% 45.79% 8.95% -22.96% 2.12% 2.68% 4.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,848 1,795 424 691.6 1,686 1,444 1,488 1,477
Change - -36.97% -76.38% 63.12% 143.82% -14.33% 3.04% -0.78%
Announcement Date 3/18/21 3/17/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollar General Corporation

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 12.24% 11.29% 10.71% 8.52% 7.18% 7.42% 7.61% 7.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 9.41% 8.79% 6.32% 4.22% 4.98% 5.15% 5.33%
EBT Margin (%) 10.09% 8.95% 8.24% 5.48% 3.55% 4.42% 4.66% 4.87%
Net margin (%) 7.87% 7.01% 6.38% 4.29% 2.77% 3.38% 3.56% 3.73%
FCF margin (%) 8.44% 5.25% 1.12% 1.79% 4.15% 3.39% 3.35% 3.19%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.27% 74.83% 17.55% 41.63% 149.85% 100.17% 94.14% 85.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.91% 9.19% 8.72% 5.55% 3.63% 4.64% 5% 5.28%
ROE 39.74% 37.13% 41.53% 27.03% 15.89% 18.01% 17.63% 17.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.67x 0.99x 1.64x 1.96x 1.82x 1.33x 1.01x 0.93x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.97x 2.13x 15.63x 9.35x 3.15x 2.92x 2.3x 2.27x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.05% 3.13% 4.12% 4.39% 3.23% 3.14% 3.09% 3.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.9% 27.72% 38.5% 51.6% 44.89% 42.28% 40.67% 39.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.09% 59.62% 368.09% 245.85% 77.68% 92.6% 92.28% 97.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 15.5 12.15 8.77 10.87 13.62 12.17 12.34 13.67
Change - -21.59% -27.84% 24.01% 25.21% -10.65% 1.43% 10.76%
Dividend per Share 1 1.44 1.81 2.24 2.36 2.36 2.375 2.45 2.514
Change - 25.69% 23.76% 5.36% 0% 0.65% 3.15% 2.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 27.66 26.56 24.88 30.69 33.71 38.83 43.65 48.89
Change - -4.01% -6.29% 23.32% 9.85% 15.19% 12.42% 12%
EPS 1 10.62 10.17 10.68 7.55 5.11 6.532 7.182 7.913
Change - -4.24% 5.01% -29.31% -32.32% 27.84% 9.95% 10.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 245,001 231,707 223,575 219,497 219,926 220,119 220,119 220,119
Announcement Date 3/18/21 3/17/22 3/16/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.2x 21.1x
PBR 3.9x 3.47x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.83x
Yield 1.57% 1.62%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
31
Last Close Price
151.60USD
Average target price
147.46USD
Spread / Average Target
-2.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DG Stock
  4. Financials Dollar General Corporation