Projected Income Statement: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,810 2,432 2,779 2,741 2,175 2,375 2,515 2,548
Change - 34.36% 14.27% -1.37% -20.65% 9.21% 5.89% 1.31%
Announcement Date 3/3/21 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 898.8 1,021 1,249 2,101 1,300 1,249 1,084 1,089
Change - 13.62% 22.29% 68.27% -38.11% -3.92% -13.27% 0.48%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,818 410.3 366 583.2 892.8 414.5 895.4 1,194
Change - -77.43% -10.8% 59.34% 53.09% -53.58% 116.04% 33.4%
Announcement Date 3/3/21 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollar Tree, Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.09% 9.61% 10.6% 8.59% 7.12% 11.87% 12.22% 12.57%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.4% 6.88% 7.89% 5.84% 5.41% 8.54% 8.96% 9.09%
EBT Margin (%) 6.82% 6.2% 7.45% -3.23% -12.56% 8.36% 8.4% 8.36%
Net margin (%) 5.26% 5.05% 5.7% -3.26% -9.82% 6.37% 6.33% 6.32%
FCF margin (%) 7.12% 1.56% 1.29% 1.91% 2.89% 2.13% 4.33% 5.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 135.44% 30.9% 22.66% -58.41% -29.46% 33.49% 68.4% 86.16%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.66% 6.3% 7.22% 5.74% 5.85% 7.61% 8.91% 9.17%
ROE 19.82% 17.7% 19.62% 16.1% 21.07% 30.6% 31.28% 29.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.7x 0.96x 0.92x 1.04x 0.99x 1.03x 0.99x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 1x 5.93x 7.59x 4.7x 2.44x 5.73x 2.81x 2.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.52% 3.88% 4.41% 6.87% 4.22% 6.44% 5.24% 4.96%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.91% 40.41% 41.57% 79.92% 59.21% 54.23% 42.86% 39.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 49.45% 248.89% 341.2% 360.31% 145.67% 301.47% 121.03% 91.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.45 6.251 7.206 12.23 10.16 9.728 10.99 12.02
Change - -45.39% 15.27% 69.73% -16.94% -4.24% 12.93% 9.41%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 30.7 33.71 39.56 33.56 18.42 18.3 24.7 31.2
Change - 9.79% 17.37% -15.16% -45.11% -0.66% 34.94% 26.33%
EPS 1 5.65 5.8 7.21 -4.55 -14.05 5.973 6.592 7.329
Change - 2.65% 24.31% -163.11% -208.79% 142.51% 10.37% 11.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 235,192 224,956 221,184 217,872 215,039 198,853 198,853 198,853
Announcement Date 3/3/21 3/2/22 3/1/23 3/13/24 3/26/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.4x 21.2x
PBR 7.65x 5.67x
EV / Sales 1.56x 1.47x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
139.95USD
Average target price
123.61USD
Spread / Average Target
-11.68%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DLTR Stock
  4. Financials Dollar Tree, Inc.