Corporate Strategy Briefing
First Half of FY2022 (FY Ending March 2023)
November 16, 2022
FY2022 Full Year Forecasts
In Q1 FY2022, market prices and volumes were firm, but metal prices began softening from Q2, and electricity costs rose more than expected.
In H2 profit is expected to decline compared with H1, in part due to falling metal prices, a decrease in demand for some applications, and a sharp rise in unit prices for electricity.
Billion yen | FY2022/H1 | FY2022/H2 | FY2022 | ||||
Results | Year-on-Year | Forecasts | Year-on-Year | Forecasts | Year-on-Year | ||
383.1 | 785.0 | ||||||
Net Sales | 401.8 | (21.4) | (25.3) | (46.7) | |||
Operating Income | 30.0 | (7.9) | 16.9 | (8.8) | 47.0 | (16.8) | |
Ordinary Income | 36.9 | (10.5) | 20.0 | (8.5) | 57.0 | (19.0) | |
Environmental | 5.8 | (0.7) | 4.5 | (2.5) | 10.4 | (3.2) | |
Management & Recycling | |||||||
Segment | Nonferrous Metals | 23.5 | (3.5) | 10.1 | (5.5) | 33.7 | (9.0) |
Electronic Materials | 3.8 | 0.1 | 1.8 | (1.0) | 5.7 | (0.8) | |
Metal Processing | 3.4 | (0.4) | 2.4 | (0.4) | 5.9 | (0.9) | |
By | |||||||
Heat Treatment | 0.7 | (0.3) | 1.5 | (0.3) | 2.3 | (0.7) | |
Other/ Eliminations | (0.6) | (5.6) | (0.3) | +1.4 | (1.0) | (4.2) | |
Profit attributable | 22.7 | (9.8) | 12.2 | (6.1) | 35.0 | (16.0) | |
to owners of parent | |||||||
❚ Operating Income | (billion yen) | ||
80.0 | 63.8 | 58.5 | |
60.0 | 47.0 | ||
25.8 | |||
27.5 | |||
40.0 | |||
16.9 | |||
20.0 | 37.9 | 31.0 | 30.0 |
0.0 | |||
Results | on Aug. 10 | on Nov. 11 | |
FY2021 | FY2022 Forecasts |
❚ Ordinary Income | (billion yen) | ||
80.0 | 76.0 | 68.0 | |
57.0 | |||
60.0 | 28.6 | ||
30.5 | |||
20.0 | |||
40.0 | |||
20.0 | 47.4 | 37.5 | 36.9 |
0.0 | |||
Results | on Aug. 10 | on Nov. 11 | |
FY2021 | FY2022 Forecasts |
© 2022 DOWA HOLDINGS CO., LTD. 2
Factor Analysis of FY2022 H2 Ordinary Income (Changes from Previous Forecasts)
Previous
forecasts (H2)
Sales reduction
Electricity costs
Fuel costs, Other
materials costs
Free metal incomes
Hedging costs
Others
Metal prices, Forex
Sales expantion
Latest
forecasts (H2)
0
(billion yen)
30.5
(4.5)
(3.0)
(2.1)
(1.8)
(0.5)
(2.0)
2.6
0.8
20.0
15 20 25 30
Major factors for change
- Decline in sales of products such as silver powder for solar panels and copper rolled products for smartphones.
- Downward pressure on revenue in the Nonferrous Metals segment due to sharply rising electricity costs.
- Rising unit prices due to skyrocketing global energy prices and increases in material prices.
- Differential sales in the Nonferrous Metals segment expected to decline (mainly platinum group metals).
- Hedging costs are expected to increase slightly.
- Product mix, lower profit from equity method affiliates, etc.
- Enjoying the benefits of the weak yen, mainly in the Nonferrous Metals segment and Electronic Materials segment.
- Effects of increased sales and price revisions are limited.
A decline in profit of 10.5 billion yen compared with the previous forecast is expected.
© 2022 DOWA HOLDINGS CO., LTD. 3
Major Market Trends (1) (Compared to Q1 of FY2020)
Volume of treated waste (Japan) | Volume of collected recycling materials | Volume of zinc produced |
120 | 140 | ||||||||||
110 | 102 103 | 107 | 108 | 103 | 120 | ||||||
102 | |||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||
96 | 96 | ||||||||||
100 | 92 | 94 | 100 | ||||||||
90 | 80 | ||||||||||
80 | 60 | ||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
140 | ||||||||||
103 | 120 | |||||||||
100 | 93 | 91 | 94 | 99 | 100 | |||||
84 | 82 | 86 | 89 | 100 | ||||||
80 | ||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
111 | 108 105 106 | 116 | ||||||||
102 | 106 | |||||||||
100 | ||||||||||
72 | 79 | 75 | ||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Orders received (Southeast Asia) * | Volume of recycled used home electronics appliances | Volume of collected spent catalysts |
140 | 140 | |
120 | 117 | ||||||||||||||||
103 | 120 | 112 | 112 | ||||||||||||||
100 | 94 | 94 | 99 | 94 | 97 | 98 | 111 | 111 | 106 | ||||||||
100 | 104 | 101 | 104 | 100 | |||||||||||||
85 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
81 | |||||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||||
80 | |||||||||||||||||
60 | 80 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | |||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||
*Local closing month basis, consolidated results reflected 3 months after the above. |
160 | ||||||||||
140 | 132 | |||||||||
116 | ||||||||||
120 | 113 | 107 101 | 109 | |||||||
100 | 99 | 92 | ||||||||
100 | 83 | |||||||||
78 | ||||||||||
80 | ||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
© 2022 DOWA HOLDINGS CO., LTD. 4
Major Market Trends (2) (Compared to Q1 of FY2020)
Volume of sales of LEDs | Volume of sales of copper rolled products |
(for automobiles) |
260 | 220 | 280 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
240 | 208 | 200 | 260 | |||||||||||||||||||||
220 | 167 165 | 166 | 165 | 240 | ||||||||||||||||||||
180 | 163 | 162 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
200 | 153 | 157 151 | 220 | |||||||||||||||||||||
160 164 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
180 | 154 146 | 160 | 200 | |||||||||||||||||||||
180 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
160 | 140 | 121 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
124 | 160 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
140 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 105 | 120 | 100 | 140 | |||||||||||||||||||||
120 | 98 | 98 | 93 | |||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 120 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | 80 | 80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | |||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Volume of carburizing treatment
199 217 | 199 213 | 195 209 | 229 | |||||||
193 201 | ||||||||||
162 | ||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
Volume of sales of silver powder | Volume of sales of copper rolled products |
(for information and communication equipment)
160 | 160 | |||||||||||||||||||||
140 | 114 | 112 | 112 | 123 | 140 | |||||||||||||||||
120 | 100 | 97 | 114 119 | 117 114 | ||||||||||||||||||
96 | 95 | 107 112 | ||||||||||||||||||||
100 | 89 | 120 | 108 | 104 | ||||||||||||||||||
100 | 95 | |||||||||||||||||||||
80 | 62 | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||
60 | 80 | 71 | ||||||||||||||||||||
40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 60 | |||||||||||||||||||||
1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | 1Q | 2Q | H2 | |
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 |
[H2 Market Trends (Summary)]
- While silver powder and copper rolled products for information and communication equipment will decline compared with H1, demand will generally remain firm for other products and services.
- For automotive-related products, a turnaround in demand is expected due to recovery production from Q4.
- Rising costs of electricity fuel, other materials will place downward pressure on the balance of income and expenditures.
© 2022 DOWA HOLDINGS CO., LTD. 5
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Dowa Holdings Co. Ltd. published this content on 18 November 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 18 November 2022 08:28:02 UTC.