Security Code Tokyo 5020
November 11, 2020
FY2020 2Q Financial Results
Ota Katsuyuki | Representative Director, President |
Tanaka Soichiro | Senior Vice President |
Agenda
Highlights | 2 |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan | 4 |
Shareholder Return | 9 |
Business Environment | 10 |
Financial Results for FY2020 2Q | 13 |
Forecast for FY2020 vs. Previous Forecast 20
Reference | 26 |
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 1 |
Highlights
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 2 |
2Q2020 Results and FY2020 Forecast | Highlights | |||||
(operating income excl. inventory valuation) | ||||||
2Q20 | 2Q19 | Actual | vs 2Q19 | |||
170.2 | → | 125.9 | -44.3 (JPY Billion) | |||
- Due to the impact of COVID-19 and other factors, results vs 2Q19 were -44.3 billion yen
・Impact of COVID-19
Decrease in petroleum product sales Low level of crude oil price
Decrease in production of Casernes Copper Mine ・Temporary loss due to restructuring of refineries
・Steady domestic petroleum product margins
・Sales increase of electronic materials due to increasing data communications demand
・Opex decrease
FY2020 Forecast | Forecast (May 2020) | Forecast (Nov. 2020) | vs Forecast (May 2020) | ||
165.0 | → | 190.0 | +25.0 | (JPY Billion) | |
Assumptions for COVID-19Forecast (May 2020) : Assuming decrease in petroleum product sales in only the first half of the year
Forecast (Nov. 2020) : Assuming recent business environment continues until the end
- Despite impacts of COVID-19, which were not assumed in the second half in the forecast announced in May, due to steady petroleum product margins,etc., the current forecast vs the May forecast is +25.0 billion yen
・Impact of COVID-19 in second half of the year ・Weak petrochemical margins
・Temporary loss due to restructuring of refineries
・Steady domestic petroleum product margins (in first half) ・Sales increase of electronic materials due to increasing
data communications demand ・Opex decrease
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 3 |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan
FY2020-FY2022【Management Indicators】
- Progress according to plan expected
Progress of Medium-Term
Management Plan
FY2020 | FY2020 | vs. Medium-Term | |||||||
Medium-Term | |||||||||
Forecast | Management Plan | ||||||||
Management Plan | |||||||||
Operating Income | 165.0 billion yen | 190.0 billion yen | +25.0 billion yen | ||||||
(excl. inventory valuation) | |||||||||
140.0 billion yen | |||||||||
Free Cash Flow | 140.0 billion yen | ±0.0 billion yen | |||||||
Net D/E | 0.7x | 0.7x | ±0.0x | ||||||
ROE | 2% | 4% | +2% | ||||||
Net Income | 40.0 billion yen | 90.0 billion yen | +50.0 billion yen | ||||||
(excl. inventory valuation) | (78.0 billion yen) | (90.0 billion yen) | (+12.0 billion yen) | ||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 4 |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan
FY2020-FY2022【Business Strategy 1】
Progress of Medium-Term
Management Plan
Strengthening the Business Foundation
■Strenthen the effectiveness of governance
(Develop the management system to enable speedier decision making and strengthen monitoring by the Board of Directrors)
・Integrated the management of ENEOS Holdings, Inc. and ENEOS corporation and changed their trade names
■ Pursuit of digital transformation (DX)
(Increase the efficiency of base businesses and create innovative products and services)
・Established office of CDO for speedy, cross-functional execution of DX initiatives
June
July
Strengthening the Competitiveness of the Base Businesses
■ Transformation of the supply chain
・Terminated refinery functions of the Osaka refinery
・Made final agreement with PetroChina International (Japan) Co., Ltd. to continue collaboration at Chiba refinery as refinery for export
・Decided to terminate manufucturing function of Chita plant
■ Acquisition of Caserones copper mine
・Reached a basic agreement with Mitsui Mining & Smelting and Mitsui & Co., Ltd., joint investors in the Caserones Copper Mine, on the transfer of all their rights and and interests in the mine.
October
December
(scheduled)
October 2021
(scheduled)
November
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 5 |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan
FY2020-FY2022【 Business Strategy 2】
Progress of Medium-Term
Management Plan
Develop and Strengthen Growth Businesses
■【Next-generation Energy Supply and Community Services】 | |||
Expand customer base and build optimal protfolio of power generation sournces | |||
・Completed nationwide expansion of ENEOS Denki | June | ||
(excluding Okinawa prefecture and remote isands) | |||
・Started commercial operation of Muroran biomass power plant | May | ||
・Announced participation of wind power project offshore of Happo Town and Noshiro City | After 2024 | ||
in Akita prefecture | (scheduled) | ||
・Started operation of mega solar power plant at Sakata, Shimonoseki and Fushiki | Start | ||
sequentially | |||
・Started commercial operation of the city gas production and supply facilities | April | ||
of Ogishima City Gas Supply | |||
Create community development businesses in collaboration with local partners | |||
・Working with Shizuoka prefecture, Higashimurayama city (Tokyo) and | |||
Shintomi town (Miyazaki), promoting low-carbon,recycling-oriented and | Start | ||
sustainable community development businesses by using local power | sequentially | ||
generation and consumption energy | |||
Build a new business model via alliances/collaboration | |||
・Promoting collaboration with many companies: | |||
Investment in Gore Street Energy Storage Fund; collaboration at constructing | Start | ||
Drone station (SENSYN ROBOTICS), Algae biomass (CHITOSE GROUP) and | |||
sequentially | |||
Electric micro mobility (Luup); participation of JAPAN Hydrogen association | |||
Transform our service station network into a platform for providing various services | |||
create mobility services businesses | |||
・Started laundry servies attached with Service Stations, "ENEOS Laundry" | September | ||
・Started vertification of ENEOS car leasing businesses | September | ||
6 | |||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan
FY2020-FY2022【 Business Strategy 3】
Progress of Medium-Term
Management Plan
Develop and Strengthen Growth Businesses
■【Petrochemicals】
Expand the scale of technologically superior products
・Started feasibility study on ENB expansion in Saudi Arabia
■【Materials】
Improve products for advanced functionally and higher added valued while establishing production capacity in accordance with growing demand
・Completed facility expansion to raise production capacity of rolled copper foil, high-functionality copper alloy strips, and sputtering targets for semiconductors
Develop products and marketing network in line with global trends
・Started selling ENEOS X series and Mobil ™ oil, new engine oils that conform to the latest international standards and have improved energy-saving features
■【Recycling】
April
June
July
Contribute to the formation of a recycling-oriented society by pursuing plastic waste and metal recycling using refineries and smelters, and LIB recycling
・Decided to establish logistics base for recycled raw materials in the Ozai West area, | December 2021 |
Oita port to strengthen the recycling business at Saganoseki Smelter & Refinery | (scheduled) |
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 7 |
Progress of Medium-Term Management Plan
FY2020-FY2022【 Business Strategy 4】
Progress of Medium-Term
Management Plan
- Implementing the measures focusing on growth businesses to achieve the Long-Term Vision and the Second Medium-Term Business Plan
Nationwide
・Nationwide expansion of ENEOS Denki * ・Started ENEOS Laundry
・Started verification of ENEOS car leasing ・Collaborated with many companies etc.
Started commercial operation of Muroran biomass power plant
Decided to participate in wind power project in Akita prefecture
Started operation of mega solar power plants
at Sakata, Shimonoseki and Fushiki
Decided to establish logistics base for | |||
recycled raw materials in Oita port | |||
Completed expansion of facilities in | |||
Kurami and Isohara works | |||
Promoting community development | |||
businesses with Shizuoka, | Started commercial operation of the city | ||
Higashimurayama city, Shintomi town | gas production and supply facilities in |
Ogishima, Kawasaki
Decided to make Chiba refinery as | ||||
a refinery for export | ||||
Terminated refinery functions | ||||
of the Osaka refinery | Decided to terminate manufucutirng | |||
function of Chita Plant | ||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 8 |
Shareholder Return
Shareholder Return
- The indication of shareholder return remains unchanged
Return Policy
Indication of shareholder return in Medium-Term Management Plan
Based on the understanding that return of profits to shareholders is a material management task, the ENEOS Group will redistribute profits by reflecting changes in medium-term consolidated business results and prospects as a basic policy, while striving to maintain stable dividends.
First Medium-Term | Second Medium-Term | |||||||||
Management Plan | Management Plan | |||||||||
【Total Return Ratio】 | FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | ||||
3-year cumulative | ||||||||||
50% or more, excluding inventory | 34% | 33% | ー | 3-year cumulative 50%or more, | ||||||
valuation effects | ||||||||||
excluding inventory valuation | ||||||||||
FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | |||||
【Dividends】 | ||||||||||
No less than | ||||||||||
Not less than current level | 19 yen | 21 yen | 22 yen | |||||||
22 yen | ||||||||||
per share | per share | per share | ||||||||
per share | ||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 9 |
Business Environment
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 10 |
Crude Oil, Copper (LME), FX
Business Environment
Dubai Crude Oil | Copper (LME) | Exchange Rate | ||
$/bbl | ¢/lb | 2019 | Yen/$ | ||
2019 | 2019 | ||||
2020 | 2020 | 2020 | |||
60.0 | 300 | 115 | |||
40.0 | 270 | 110 | |||
20.0 | 240 | 105 | |||
0.0 | 210 | 100 | |||
April | October | ||||
April | October | April | October | ||
- Compared to 2Q19, significantly decreased due to the impact of COVID- 19, but rebounded to around 40$/bbl with resumption of economic activities
- Declined significantly due to COVID-19 at end of FY2019, however rebounded above pre-decline level due to supply concerns caused by COVID-19 in producing countries and strong demand in China
- Anticipated resurgence of COVID-19 and extension of low interest rate in US, causing appreciation of the yen
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 11 |
Petroleum Products and Paraxylene Margins
Business Environment
Gasoline, Kerosene, Diesel Fuel
and Fuel Oil A Margins
yen/L | |||
20 | |||
15 | Annual | ||
average | |||
10 | |||
5 | |||
Bar graph = Quarterly average | |||
0 | |||
Apr. 2019 | October | Apr. 2020 | October |
Paraxylene Margin
Paraxylene Margin (vs. Crude Oil)
$/tonParaxylene Margin (vs. Naphtha)
Annual Average Paraxylene Margin (vs. Crude Oil)
500 | ||||
400 | Annual | |||
average | ||||
300 | ||||
200 | ||||
100 | ||||
Bar graph | = | Quarterly average of | ||
PX Margin (vs. Crude Oil) | ||||
0 | ||||
Apr. 2019 | October | Apr. 2020 | October |
Margin = Spot Price - All Japan Crude CIF (including petroleum tax and interest)
- Fluctuated widely due to volatility in crude oil prices, but real margins (excluding time lag factors) remained steady
- While supply has increased due to the start-up of new facilities and resumption of existing facilities in China, demand growth slowed down due to delays in the start- up of new PTA production facilities, and therefore margins remained at a low level
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 12 |
Financial Results for FY2020 1Q
Financial Results for 2Q20 vs 2Q19
(April 1 - September 30, 2020)
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 13 |
Overview of 1Q20 Financial Results vs 2Q19
Financial Results for 2Q20
2Q19 | 2Q20 | Changes | ||||||||||
(Actual) | (Actual) | |||||||||||
■ Index | ||||||||||||
Crude Oil (Dubai) | ($/B) | 64 | 37 | -27 | -43% | |||||||
Copper | (¢/lb) | 270 | 269 | -1 | -0% | |||||||
Exchange Rate | (/$) | 109 | 107 | -2 | -2% | |||||||
- Profit and Loss Statement
Net Sales | (JPY billion) | 5,063.1 | 3,362.3 | -1,700.8 | -34% | ||||
Operating Income | (JPY billion) | 130.9 | 88.9 | -42.0 | -32% | ||||
Inventory Valuation | (JPY billion) | -39.3 | -37.0 | +2.3 | - | ||||
Operating Income | (JPY billion) | 170.2 | 125.9 | -44.3 | -26% | ||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | |||||||||
Net Income | (JPY billion) | 82.7 | 51.2 | -31.5 | -38% | ||||
Profit attributable to owners | (JPY billion) | 71.0 | 36.4 | -34.6 | -49% | ||||
of the parent | |||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 14 |
Changes in Operating Income by Segment vs 2Q19
Financial Results for 2Q20
2Q19 | 2Q20 | Changes | ||||||||||||||||
(JPY billion) | (Actual) | (Actual) | ||||||||||||||||
Total Operating Income | 130.9 | 88.9 | -42.0 | -32% | ||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory valuation | 170.2 | 125.9 | -44.3 | -26% | ||||||||||||||
Energy | 49.2 | 20.1 | -29.1 | -59% | ||||||||||||||
Inventory Valuation | -38.1 | -37.0 | +1.1 | - | ||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | 87.3 | 57.1 | -30.2 | -35% | ||||||||||||||
Petroleum Products | 41.7 | 46.2 | +4.5 | +11% | ||||||||||||||
Petrochemicals | 3.0 | -9.5 | -12.5 | - | ||||||||||||||
S | Electric Power | 4.6 | 10.2 | +5.6 | +122% | |||||||||||||
38.0 | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||
e | Materials | -27.8 | -73% | |||||||||||||||
g | Oil and Natural Gas E&P | 24.8 | 1.5 | -23.3 | -94% | |||||||||||||
m | ||||||||||||||||||
e | Metals | 35.2 | 36.9 | +1.7 | +5% | |||||||||||||
n | Inventory Valuation | -1.2 | 0.0 | +1.2 | - | |||||||||||||
t | ||||||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | 36.4 | 36.9 | +0.5 | +1% | ||||||||||||||
s | ||||||||||||||||||
Functional Matls, Thin Fin Matls | 12.1 | 17.3 | +5.2 | +43% | ||||||||||||||
and others | ||||||||||||||||||
Mineral Resources | 11.0 | 14.0 | +3.0 | +27% | ||||||||||||||
Smelting and Recycling | 15.2 | 10.8 | -4.4 | -29% | ||||||||||||||
Non-allocated corporate expenses | -1.9 | -5.2 | -3.3 | - | ||||||||||||||
and others | ||||||||||||||||||
Other | 21.7 | 30.4 | +8.7 | +40% | ||||||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 15 |
Changes in Operating Income vs 2Q19 - Energy Segment -
Financial Results for 2Q20
2Q19
Operating Income
Excl. inventory valuation
(Actual)
(JPY Billion)
80.0
Energy -30.2 (87.3 → 57.1) | 2Q20 | |||
Operating Income | ||||
Petroleum Products | Petrochemicals | Electric power | Materials | Excl. inventory valuation |
+4.5 (41.7→ 46.2) | -12.5 (3.0→ -9.5) | +5.6 (4.6→ 10.2) | -27.8 (38.0→ 10.2) | (Actual) |
Despite steady domestic petroleum product margins, decrease in sales volumeof petroleum products due to COVID-19and temporary loss due to restructuring of refineries caused profits to decrease
+4.5
+5.6
87.3
40.0
-12.5
Impact Amount(JPY billion)
Sales Volume | -41.8 |
Margins | +46.3 * |
*Incuding temporary loss
due to restructuring of refineries - 27.9 JPY billion
-27.8 | |||
Impact Amount(JPY billion) | |||
Sales Volume | -7.3 | ||
57.1 | |||
Margins | -5.2 | ||
0.0
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 16 |
Changes in Operating Income vs 2Q19 - Oil and Natural Gas E&P Segment -
Financial Results for 2Q20
2Q19 | 2Q20 | |
Operating Income | Oil and Natural Gas E&P -23.3 (24.8 → 1.5) | Operating Income |
(Actual) | (Actual) | |
(JPY Billion) | ||
Profits decreased due mainly to falling resource prices | ||
+15.5 | Sales Volume (1,000 B/D) | |||||||
Sales volume | 2Q19 | 2Q20 | ||||||
40.0 | Total | 93 | 121 | |||||
Oil | 35 | 43 | ||||||
Gas | 58 | 78 | ||||||
Crude oil price ($/B) | ||||||||||
1Q19 | 1Q20 | |||||||||
20.0 | Brent | 66 | 38 | |||||||
Dubai | 64 | 37 | ||||||||
24.8
Crude oil price
-28.0
0.0
1.5
Expense and other
-10.8
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 17 |
Changes in Operating Income vs 2Q19 - Metals Segment -
Financial Results for 2Q20
2Q19 | Metals | + 0.5 (36.4→ 36.9) | 2Q20 | |||||||||||||||||||
Operating Income | Non-allocated | Operating Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
Excl. inventoryvaluation | Excl. inventoryvaluation | |||||||||||||||||||||
Functional Matls, Thin Film Matls and others | Mineral Resources | Smelting & Recycling | corporate expenses | |||||||||||||||||||
(Actual) | (Actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||
+5.2(12.1→17.3) | +3.0 (11.0→ 14.0) | -4.4 (15.2→ 10.8) | and others | |||||||||||||||||||
-3.3(-1.9→-5.2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
(JPY Billion) | Despite increase in sales volume of electronic materials due to increase in data | |||||||||||||||||||||
communications, and increase in copper prices, profits remained at the same level | ||||||||||||||||||||||
as 2Q19 due to decreased production at Caserones and deteriorating market for | ||||||||||||||||||||||
sulfric acid | ||||||||||||||||||||||
+3.5 | +1.7 | +3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Functional Matls and | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Others | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Thin Film Matls | ||||||||||||||||||||||
40.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
-4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
-3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Caserones production(thousand tons) | 36.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||
2Q19 | 2Q20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
20.0 | 36.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||
81 | 61 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Copper price(¢/lb) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2Q19 | 2Q20 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Average Copper Price | 270 | 269 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Price Range | -34 (294→260) | +82(218→300) | ||||||||||||||||||||
0.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 18 |
Consolidated Balance Sheets / Consolidated Cash Flows
Financial Results for 2Q20
Consolidated Balance Sheets | Consolidated Cash Flows | ||||||||||||||||||
(JPY Billion) | Net interest bearing debt | ||||||||||||||||||
is 1,816.3 billion yen | 2Q20 | FY2020 | |||||||||||||||||
As of Mar. 31, 2020 | As of Sep. 30, 2020 | Forecast | |||||||||||||||||
Actual | |||||||||||||||||||
(JPY billion) | (November 2020 | ) | |||||||||||||||||
Total:8,011.3 | Total:7,763.7 | ||||||||||||||||||
Cash and cash | Lease liability | Lease liability | |||||
Cash and cash | repayment | repayment | |||||
equivalents | |||||||
reclassified to | reclassified to | ||||||
402.0 | equivalents | ||||||
Op. CF | Op. CF | ||||||
381.0 | |||||||
Operating income | |||||||
Interest | Interest | 125.9 | 125.9 | 190.0 | |||
(Excl. inventory valuation) | |||||||
bearing debt | |||||||
bearing debt | |||||||
2,300.8 | |||||||
2,197.3 | Depreciation and amortization | 163.8 | 124.6 | 256.0 | |||
Working capital and other | 0.9 | 0.9 | 114.0 | ||||
Cash flows from operating activities | 290.6 | 251.4 | 560.0 | ||||
Other debt | Other debt | (without the effect of non-business day) | 290.6 | 251.4 | 420.0 | ||
Other assets | 3,002.6 | ||||||
Other assets | 2,891.0 | ||||||
7,609.3 | |||||||
7,382.7 | |||||||
Capital investment | -127.4 | -127.4 | -445.0 | ||||
396.9 | 396.8 | Asset sales and other | -6.5 | -6.5 | 25.0 | ||
Total equity | Total equity | Cash flows from investing activities | -133.9 | -133.9 | -420.0 | ||
attributable | to | attributable to | |||||
owners of the | owners of the | ||||||
parent | parent | Free cash flows | 156.7 | 117.5 | 140.0 | ||
2,311.0 | 2,278.6 | ||||||
Non-controlling interests | (without the effect of non-business day) | 156.7 | 117.5 | 0.0 | |||
As of March 31, 2020 | As of Sep. 30, 2020 | ||||||
(Actual) | (Actual) | Dividends and other | -88.9 | -49.7 | |||
Equity ratio attributable to | 28.8% | 29.3% | Announced | ||||
owners of the parent | Net cash flows | 67.8 | 67.8 | in May | |||
(without the effect of non-business day) | 67.8 | 67.8 | 140.0 | ||||
Net D/E ratio | 0.70 | 0.68 | |||||
(capital total basis) | |||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 19 |
Forecast for FY2020 vs. Previous Forecast
(April 1, 2020 - March 31, 2021)
- Key Factors ( October 2020 - March 2021)
Exchange Rate: 105Yen/$Crude Oil: 45$/BCooper Price(LME): 280¢/lb
- Impact of COVID-19
- Impact assumed in both first and second half of the year
(Forecast announced in May only assumes first half of the year)
- Investment plan kept unchanged from announcement in May
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 20 |
Overview of FY2020 Forecast (vs Previous Forecast in May)
Forecast for FY2020
FY2020 | Changes | FY2020 | FY2019 | |||||||||||
Forecast | Forecast | |||||||||||||
Actual | ||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | (Nov. 2020) | |||||||||||||
■ Index | ||||||||||||||
Crude Oil (Dubai) | ($/B) | 30 | +11 | +37% | 41 | 60 | ||||||||
Copper | (¢/lb) | 250 | +25 | +10% | 275 | 266 | ||||||||
Exchange Rate | (/$) | 105 | +1 | +1% | 106 | 109 | ||||||||
- Profit and Loss Statement
Net Sales | (JPY billion) | 7,340.0 | +160.0 | +2% | 7,500.0 | 10,011.8 | |||||
Operating Income | (JPY billion) | 110.0 | +90.0 | +82% | 200.0 | -113.1 | |||||
Inventory Valuation | (JPY billion) | -55.0 | +65.0 | - | 10.0 | -209.8 | |||||
Operating Income | (JPY billion) | 165.0 | +25.0 | +15% | 190.0 | 96.7 | |||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | |||||||||||
Net Income | (JPY billion) | 60.0 | +55.0 | +92% | 115.0 | -171.5 | |||||
Profit attributable to owners | (JPY billion) | 40.0 | +50.0 | +125% | 90.0 | -187.9 | |||||
of the parent | |||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 21 |
Changes in Operating Income by Segment vs 2Q19
Forecast for FY2020
Assuming COVID-19 for | Assuming COVID-19 for both | ||||||||||||||||||
only first half of the year | first and second half of the year | ||||||||||||||||||
FY2020 | Changes | FY2020 | |||||||||||||||||
(JPY billion) | Forecast | Forecast | |||||||||||||||||
FH | LH | Full Year | |||||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | (Nov. 2020) | ||||||||||||||||||
Total Operating Income | 110.0 | +123.9 | -33.9 | +90.0 | 200.0 | ||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory valuation | 165.0 | +110.9 | -85.9 | +25.0 | 190.0 | ||||||||||||||
Energy | 35.0 | +90.1 | -40.1 | +50.0 | 85.0 | ||||||||||||||
Inventory Valuation | -55.0 | +13.0 | +52.0 | +65.0 | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | 90.0 | +77.1 | -92.1 | -15.0 | 75.0 | ||||||||||||||
Petroleum Products | 40.0 | +79.2 | -54.2 | +25.0 | 65.0 | ||||||||||||||
Petrochemicals | 20.0 | -11.5 | -21.5 | -33.0 | -13.0 | ||||||||||||||
S | Electric Power | 5.0 | +6.2 | +1.8 | +8.0 | 13.0 | |||||||||||||
25.0 | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||
e | Materials | +3.2 | -18.2 | -15.0 | |||||||||||||||
g | Oil and Natural Gas E&P | 0.0 | -0.5 | +5.5 | +5.0 | 5.0 | |||||||||||||
m | |||||||||||||||||||
e | Metals | 29.0 | +22.9 | +2.1 | +25.0 | 54.0 | |||||||||||||
n | Inventory Valuation | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||
t | |||||||||||||||||||
Excl. Inventory Valuation | 29.0 | +22.9 | +2.1 | +25.0 | 54.0 | ||||||||||||||
s | |||||||||||||||||||
Functional Matls, Thin Fin Matls | 21.0 | +7.1 | -1.1 | +6.0 | 27.0 | ||||||||||||||
and others | |||||||||||||||||||
Mineral Resources | 10.0 | +8.5 | -0.5 | +8.0 | 18.0 | ||||||||||||||
Smelting and Recycling | 8.0 | +6.6 | +1.4 | +8.0 | 16.0 | ||||||||||||||
Non-allocated corporate expenses | -10.0 | +0.7 | +2.3 | +3.0 | -7.0 | ||||||||||||||
and others | |||||||||||||||||||
Other | 46.0 | +11.4 | -1.4 | +10.0 | 56.0 | ||||||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 22 |
Changes in Operating Income vs Forecast (May 2020) - Energy Segment -
Forecast for FY2020
Operating Income | Energy | +15.0 (90.0→ 75.0) | Operating Income | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Excl. inventory valuation | Excl. inventory valuation | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forecast | Petroleum Products | Petrochemicals | Electric power | Materials | Forecast | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | +25.0 (40.0→ 65.0) | -33.0 (20.0→ -13.0) | +8.0 (5.0→ 13.0) | -15.0 (25.0→ 10.0) | (November 2020) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
(JPY Billion) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Despite steady domestic petroleum product margins in the first half of the year, | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
decrease in sales volume due to COVID-19 and decline in petrochemical | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
margins in second half of the year caused profits to decrease | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+25.0 | Impact Amount(JPY billion) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
120.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Full Year | FH | LH | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sales Volume | -13.2 | -4.2 | -9.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
+8.0 | Margins | -19.8 | -7.3 | -12.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
80.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-33.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-15.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact Amount(JPY billion) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
90.0 | Full Year | FH | LH | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Impact Amount(JPY billion) | 75.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
40.0 | Sales Volume | -22.8 | +2.5 | -25.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
* | Full Year | FH | LH | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Margins | +47.8 | +76.7 | -28.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
-15.0 | +3.2 | -18.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
*Incuding temporary loss due to restructuring | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
of refineries | - 27.9 JPY billion | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 23 |
Changes in Operating Income vs Forecast (May 2020) - Oil and Natural Gas E&P Segment -
Forecast for FY2020
Operating Income | Operating Income | |||
Forecast | Oil and Natural Gas E&P +5.0 (0.0 → 5.0) | Forecast | ||
(May 2020) | (November 2020l) | |||
(JPY Billion) | ||||
Higher resource prices caused profits to increase | ||||
+9.3 | ||||
Sales Volume (1,000 B/D) | Crude oil price |
5.0 | Forecast | Forecast | |
(May 2020) | (November 2020) | Expense and other | |
127 | 124 | ||
-0.1 | |||
Oil | 49 | 44 | |
Gas | 78 | 80 | 5.0 |
0.0 | |||
0.0 |
Crude oil price ($/B)
Forecast | Forecast | ||
(May 2020) | (November 2020) | ||
Brent | 33 | 42 | |
Dubai | 30 | 41 | |
-5.0 | Sales volume |
-4.2
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 24 |
Changes in Operating Income vs Forecast (May 2020) - Metals Segment -
Forecast for FY2020
Operating Income | Metals | + 25.0 (29.0→ 54.0) | Operating Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
Excl. inventoryvaluation | Non-allocated | Excl. inventoryvaluation | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Forecast | Functional Matls, Thin Film Matls and others | Mineral Resources | Smelting & Recycling | corporate expenses | Forecast | |||||||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | +6.0(21.0→27.0) | +8.0 (10.0→ 18.0) | +8.0 (8.0→ 16.0) | and others | (November 2020) | |||||||||||||||||||
+3.0 (-10.0→-7.0) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(JPY Billion) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
High resource prices and increase in sales volume of electronic materials with | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
growing data communication demand caused profits to increase | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
60.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
+8.0 | +3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
+7.0 | +8.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
40.0 | Functional Matls and | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Thin Film Matls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Others | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
-1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Copper price(¢/lb) | 54.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Forecast | Forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | (November 2020) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
20.0 | Average Copper Price | 250 | 275 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Price Range | +32 (218→250) | +62 (218→280) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
29.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Caserones production(thousand tons) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Forecast | Forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||
(May 2020) | (November 2020) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
161 131
0.0
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 25 |
Financial Results for FY2020 1Q
Reference
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 26 |
Major Topics (from April 2020 to November 2020)
Reference
Steady Implementation of the Second Medium-Term Management Plan
ENEOS Holdings / ENEOS
Apr. Started commercial operation of the city gas production and supply facilities of Ogishima City Gas Supply Co
May | Announced the Second Medium-Term Management Plan (FY2020-2022) |
May | Started commercial operation of Muroran biomass power plant |
Jun. Concluded an agreement with Higashimurayama city for community cooperation Jun. Participated in the Tokyo Bay Zero Emission Innovation Conference
Jun. Started collaboration with SENSYN ROBOTICS, Inc. to construct drone station
Jun. Started collaboration with CHITOSE BIO EVOLUTION PTE. LTD., to create a bio-based,low-carbon, sustainable society Jun. Decided to invest in Gore Street Energy Storage Fund
Jun. Launched a business capital alliance with Looop Inc Jun. Launched Sustainable Power Supply Fund
Jul. Concluded a basic agreement with Shizuoka Prefecture for the promotion of next-generation energy and community development in the Sodeshi area of Shimizu, Shizuoka City
Jul. Started collaboration with Luup Corporation to promote electric micro mobility in society Sep. Started vertification of ENEOS car leasing business
Sep. Announced participation of wind power project offshore of Happo Town and Noshiro City in Akita Prefecture Sep. Made final agreement for continuing collaboration at Chiba refinery with PetroChina International (Japan) Co., Ltd Sep. Started ENEOS Laundry, laundromats attached to service stations
Oct. Concluded an agreement with Shintomi town, Miyazaki prefecture for the development of a low-carbon,recycling-oriented, sustainable community
Oct. Joined preparatory committee for the establishment of the Japan Hydrogen Association Oct. Decided to terminate the manufacturing function at Chita plant
Oct. Started operation of 3 mega solar power plants
Nov. Started to consider collaboration business for biomass power plant with erex Co., Ltd., in Niigata
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 27 |
Major Topics (from April 2020 to November 2020)
Reference
Steady Implementation of the Second Medium-Term Management Plan
JX Nippon Oil & Gas Exploration
Jun. Nakajo Gas Field's coastal forest conservation efforts featured in "Annual Report on Forest and Forestry in Japan" (Forestry Agency)
Sep. Implemented forest conservation activities at JX Nakajo forest in Tainaishi, Niigata
Sep. Participated in the Ministry of the Environment's Japan Platform for Environmentally Sustainable Infrastructure Nov. Joined Geological Carbon Dioxide Storage Technology Research Association
Nov. Started research on digital oil technology with the University of Tokyo.
JX Nippon Mining & Metals
Jun. Completed expansion of facility for raising production capacity of rolled copper foil, high-functionality copper alloy strips and sputtering targets
Jun. Relocated the corporate headquarters as part of efforts to realize the JX Nippon Mining & Metals Corporation Group Long-Term Vision 2040
Jun. Started collaboration with Novel Crystal Technology in the power semiconductor device materials field Jul. Acquired shares of Osaka Alloying Works, Co., Ltd.
Jul. Held location announcement ceremony for logistics base for recycled raw materials in the Ozai West area, Oita port Sep. Started collaboration with Lotus Thermal Solution Inc. to promote practical implementation of Lotus Metals, porous metal
materials, for heat sink use
Nov. Agreement reached on acquisition of full rights and interests in the Caserones Copper Mine from Mitsui Mining & Smelting Co., Ltd. and Mitsui & Co., Ltd.
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 28 |
Key Factors
Reference
FY2019 | FY2020 | |||||||||||||||
1Q | FH | Full Year | 1Q | FH | Full Year | |||||||||||
Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Actual | Forecast | |||||||||||
(Nov.2020) | ||||||||||||||||
110 | 109 | 109 | 108 | 107 | 106 | |||||||||||
All segments | Exchange rate [Yen/$] | |||||||||||||||
Crude oil price (Dubai) [$/bbl] | 67 | 64 | 60 | 31 | 37 | 41 | ||||||||||
Energy | ||||||||||||||||
Oil and | Sales volume (Crude oil equivalent) [1,000 bbl/day] | 99 | 93 | 106 | 120 | 121 | 124 | |||||||||
Natural Gas | Crude oil price (Brent) [$/bbl] | 69 | 66 | 62 | 33 | 38 | 42 | |||||||||
E&P | ||||||||||||||||
277 | 270 | 266 | 242 | 269 | 275 | |||||||||||
Copper price (LME) FY [¢/lb] | ||||||||||||||||
Metals | Equity entitled copper mine production * [1,000 tons/period or year] | 54 | 109 | 213 | 51 | 94 | 190 | |||||||||
PPC copper cathode sales [1,000 tons/period or year] | 155 | 318 | 630 | 144 | 314 | 633 | ||||||||||
Precision rolled products sales [1,000 tons/month] | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.4 | ||||||||||
* | |||
Companies | Companies | ||
closing in Dec. | closing in Mar. | ||
1Q | Jan. - Mar. | Apr. - Jun. | |
FH | Jan. - Jun. | Apr. - Sep. | |
Full | Jan. - Dec. | Apr. - Mar. | |
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 29 |
Sensitivity Analysis
Reference
- Index (After Oct. 2020)
Exchange Rate: 105 Yen/$ | Crude Oil: 45 | $/bbl | Copper Price (LME) : 280 ¢/lb |
- Sensitivity analysis (After Oct. 2020)
(JPY Billion) | |||||||
Index | Change | Segment | Impact | ||||
Energy (In-house fuel costs rise, margin improvement in | |||||||
petrochemicals, exchange gain) | +1.0 | ||||||
5 Yen/$ | Oil and Natural Gas E&P | 0.0 | |||||
Exchange Rate | Metals (Margin improvement, exchange gain) | +2.5 | |||||
yen depreciation | |||||||
Subtotal | +3.5 | ||||||
Inventory valuation | +16.5 | ||||||
Total | +20.0 | ||||||
Energy | -2.0 | ||||||
Crude Oil | Oil and Natural Gas E&P | +3.5 | |||||
+5$/bbl | Subtotal | +1.5 | |||||
(Dubai spot) | |||||||
Inventory valuation | +38.0 | ||||||
Total | +39.5 | ||||||
Copper Price | +10¢/lb | Metals | +3.5 | ||||
(LME) | Total | +3.5 | |||||
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 30 |
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This notice contains certain forward-looking statements, however, actual results may differ materially from those reflected in any forward-looking statement, due to various factors, including but not limited to, the following:
- macroeconomic conditions and changes in the competitive environment in the energy, resources and materials industries;
- the impact of COVID-19 on economic activity
- changes in laws and regulations; and
- risks related to litigation and other legal proceedings.
Copyright © ENEOS Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. | 31 |
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Eneos Holdings Inc. published this content on 11 November 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 11 November 2020 15:58:07 UTC