Edison Investment Research Limited 
Edison Investment Research Limited: Ergomed (ERGO): What's next after stellar 2020 performance? 
02-Jun-2021 / 08:00 GMT/BST 
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London, UK, 2 June 2021 
 
Ergomed (ERGO): What's next after stellar 2020 performance? 
Although most of 2020 was challenging for the contract research outsourcing (CRO) sector, for Ergomed it was a 
transformative growth period due to well-balanced pharmacovigilance (PV) and CRO offerings. Ergomed managed to 
withstand global woes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and delivered another solid year of growth, organically and 
through acquisitions. We believe the company will continue to benefit from a clear strategic focus (oncology, rare 
diseases and pharmacovigilance), order book growth and margin control and strong secular CRO sector growth. Our 
valuation of GBP683m or 1,400p/share is virtually unchanged. 
 
We maintain our estimates and our valuation is virtually unchanged at GBP683m or 1,400p/share derived from our DCF model 
implying an EV/EBITDA multiple of 30.5x based on our FY21 forecasts. We note that Ergomed trades at a premium EV/EBITDA 
(FY21e) of 26.9x compared to the peer average of 20.0x (in line with Medpace). In this report, we analyse the 
sensitivity of our valuation to a set of DCF assumptions (long-term sales growth and profit margins). We find that a 
bull case would correspond to a valuation of 1,950p/share, while a bear case 995p/share. The AGM trading update in June 
2021 and full H121 trading update in July 2021 are the next catalysts. 
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1203167 02-Jun-2021


 
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June 02, 2021 03:00 ET (07:00 GMT)