NATIONAL
EXPANSION
ACCELERATES VALUE CREATION
2020 - 2025 Business Plan
March 10 th, 2020
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This presentation (the "Presentation") has been prepared and is issued by, and is the sole responsibility of Euskaltel, S.A. ("Euskaltel" or "the Company"). For the purposes hereof, the Presentation shall mean and include the slides that follow, any prospective oral presentations of such slides by the Company, as well as any question-and-answer session that may follow that oral presentation and any materials distributed at, or in connection with, any of the above.
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Business Plan presentation | 02 |
Euskaltel'ssolid existing business, network assets and protable national expansion drive shareholder value creation
Existing business delivers | Best-in-class owned | ||||
industry-leading returns | network assets | ||||
>30% | 2.8m | 76% | 2.3m |
Market share | Telecom services | Owned network | Homes passed |
50% | €190m | coverage100% | |
EBITDA margin | FY19 OpCF | Docsis 3.1 technology | |
4% |
Dividend yield
National expansion
accelerates shareholder value creation
Building blocks for national expansion now all in place
Growth on an integrated platform delivers operational leverage
100% success-based model delivers quick return-on-investment
Business Plan presentation | 03 |
AGENDA
EXISTING BUSINESS
NATIONAL EXPANSION
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Business Plan presentation | 04 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel's brand and service leadership drives market success
Brand attributesmarket leadership…
Closeness | Honesty | Identity | Trust | Empathy |
… andcustomer care leadership…
... drivemarket success
Market share(1)%
33% 24% 43%
FBB | Mobile | Pay TV |
Source: Company estimates based on CNMC data.
(1): Estimated market share in the Basque Country, Galicia and Asturias in Q3 2019
Source: GFK Q4 2019 brand study (for existing regions only)
Business Plan presentation | 05 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel's solid B2B businessprovides advanced services to leading customers
>50% | €110m | |||||||||
FY19 B2B revenue | (2) | |||||||||
Market share(1) | ||||||||||
>20 | ||||||||||
>15k | years | |||||||||
Customers | Experience | |||||||||
Digital Services | Cybersecurity | |||||||||
Hybrid Cloud | Advanced | |||||||||
Telecom Services | ||||||||||
The B2B business continued to experience customer and revenue growth in 2019
(1): Existing regions only (2): B2B revenue grew c.3% in Q4 2019 vs Q4 2018 | |
Business Plan presentation | 06 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel's best-in-classowned networkis a valuable asset
Owned network coverage
(% of households)
Customers connected
(thousands)
81%71%77%
320k215k115k
2.3m | 100% |
owned households | Docsis 3.1 technology |
Business Plan presentation | 07 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Single ecient integrated organization drives operational leverage
One business, four brands
CEO
FinanceHR
Sales | Marketing | B2B | Network | Operations & IT | |||||||||||
Mass Market | B2B | The Factory | |||||||||||||
One integrated organization reduces complexity and delivers increased synergies
A single network and operations hub (The Factory) creates eciencies and drives operational leverage
The existing structure designed to support national expansioncreates further operational leverage
Business Plan presentation | 08 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Change in sales channel mixincreases gross adds and reduces costs
Sales channel mix
67%52%
Shops &
direct salesforce
Non face-to-face channels are 50% less costlythan shops and direct salesforce
48% | Inbound, | ||
33% | outbound | ||
& online sales | |||
H2 18 | H2 19 |
Business Plan presentation | 09 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel'swholesale FTTH agreements result in a signicant footprint expansion in existing regions
Existing network | |
coverage | |
81% | |
71% | |
77% | |
5 EXPANSION PILOTS | 55% |
(Navarra, Cataluña, León, |
Cantabria, La Rioja)
Addressable footprint in existing regions
In million homes passed
5.8m | ~0.5m | 6.3m | |||||
Expansion pilots | |||||||
3.5m(2) | VULA & NEBA | 3.5m(2) | |||||
deployment | Basque Country, | ||||||
Asturias and Galicia | |||||||
2.8m(1) | |||||||
(1) | |||||||
2019 | 2020e |
(1): Owned households
(2): Total addressable households including those accessible through wholesale and mutualization agreements
Business Plan presentation | 10 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Existing business isback to growth and highly cash generative
Revenue & EBITDA growth %
+7.7%(1)
+0.7%
Q4 19 | |||||
Q4 18 | Revenue | EBITDA | |||
SG&A savings -6%(2)
Industry leading cash generation
FY 2019 OpCF % revenue
Existing business is back to revenue | ||||
EKT | 28% | |||
and EBITDA growth | ||||
TEF | ||||
Operational eciencies progressing | ||||
ORA | ||||
and delivering results |
VOD
MAS
Cash generationis industry-leading
(1): Q4 19 EBITDA includes €6.9 million of positive one-os mainly from the renewal of the Orange wholesale agreement
(2): Excluding IFRS 16 positive impact from Q4 19 gures
Business Plan presentation | 11 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Footprint expansion and continuing eciency will drive growth in the existing business
Revenue growth
1 - 2 % 2020 - 2025 revenue CAGR
Customer growth from footprint expansion and neighbouring regions
EBITDA growth
Further cost reduction and eciency gains
Larger scale results in operational leverage
Operating cash-ow growth
Sales mix improved
Focus on capex eciency
Business Plan presentation | 12 |
AGENDA
EXISTING BUSINESS
NATIONAL EXPANSION
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Business Plan presentation | 13 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Spain's FBB and TV markets represent a growth opportunity
Spanish FBB Market -FBB lines | Spanish FBB Market - Opportunity to grow |
In million lines | In million lines |
15.2 | 15.6 | Market growth | Market churners | ||||||
14.7 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.9 | ||||
14.1 | |||||||||
13.5 | |||||||||
3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3,5 | |||||
0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0,4 | |||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019e | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019e |
Spanish Pay TV Market - Evolution of subscribers | Spanish Pay TV Market - Penetration over FBB |
In million subscribers |
6.9 | 7.1 | In % over FBB lines | |||||||
6.1 | 6.7 | ||||||||
45% | 45% | 45% | |||||||
5.8 | |||||||||
43% | 44% | ||||||||
2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019e | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019e |
Source: CNMC, company estimates
Business Plan presentation | 14 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
National expansion multipliesthe company's addressable market
Existing regions
Households | 2.3M(1) | X 8 | 18.4M |
Population | 5.8M | addressable | 47.1M |
1.9M | market | 15.6M | |
Broadband accesses | |||
Source: CNMC, INE; existing regions includes data for the Basque Country, Galicia and Asturias
(1): Owned households
A larger addressable market combined with operational leverage will drive protable growth
Business Plan presentation | 15 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
A large and ecient FTTH market allows national footprint access at competitive prices
Spain's Next Generation Networks deployed | Euskaltel's addressable footprint |
In million households | In million households |
18M | ||||||
TEF | 23.1 | |||||
ORA | 14.9 | 12M | ||||
EKT | 2.3 | 75% | ||||
VOD | 10.4 | |||||
(1) | 5.8M (2) | |||||
OTHERS | 1-2 | FTTH coverage | ||||
2019 | Q2 20e | |||||
Spain isthe most active wholesale | Addressable footprint multiplies through | |||||
market in Europe | access to Orange and Telefonica's networks |
Source: Companies' data , Xataka (1): Owned households
(2): Total addressable households 2019 including those accessible through wholesale and mutualization agreements
Business Plan presentation | 16 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Virgin brand is a powerful accelerator for national expansion
Brand recognition
75%
Brand attributes | ||||||||||
International | 47 | |||||||||
Modern | 32 | |||||||||
Experienced | 26 | |||||||||
Innovative | 26 | |||||||||
Reputation | 24 | |||||||||
Solid company | 23 | |||||||||
Quality | ||||||||||
15 | ||||||||||
Reliability | 13 | |||||||||
Socially engaged | 7 | |||||||||
Source: Research Now Ltd market research | Source: Virgin brand perception study, GfK, 2019 |
Business Plan presentation | 17 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel's Virgin oer has a clear value positioning
Product / Service
Illustrative
Value
High price
Low cost
Price
Euskaltel'sgreat service,
competitive pricing, andVirgin brand attributes equalsvalue
Virgin product attributes will includehigh speed FBB, data rich mobile and a strong TV oer
Source: internal analysis
Business Plan presentation | 18 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Euskaltel's existing high-quality TV oering is an opportunity for growth
High-quality content oering
Open platform
Advanced hardware
4K UHD | Network PVR | ||
Catch-up TV | Start-over | ||
Video-on-Demand | Time shi | ||
All our customers will have access to high qualitymulti-functionalTV services
Business Plan presentation | 19 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Amulti-channelsales strategydrives ecient customer acquisition
Inbound / Outbound | Online |
Ecient
sales mix
Strong focus on direct sales and non face-to-face channels allows
formaximum eciency
Stands Below-the-line(1)
(1): Below-the-line channels include member-get-member, friends & family and other
Business Plan presentation | 20 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Success-based"pay-as-you-go" growth model delivers anattractive payback
National expansion convergent customer economics | ||||
€300/350 | almost | |||
Expansion investment | ||||
Per add subscriber acquisition cost (1) | 100% success-based | |||
~40% | Wholesale costs | |||
Margin | 100% variable | |||
<2years | Highly attractive | |||
return-on-investment | ||||
ARPU | Customer costs | Margin | Payback | |
National expansion costs are 90% variable | ||||
as growth leverages on Euskaltel's existing platform |
- : SAC includes commercial costs, installation and customer equipment (router andset-top-box) for a convergent customer
Business Plan presentation | 21 |
AGENDA
EXISTING BUSINESS
NATIONAL EXPANSION
FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
Business Plan presentation | 22 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
National expansion willdouble the size of the customer base
Fixed subscribers (Mass market) | Mobile services | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EoP in k - % breakdown | RGUs in k - % breakdown | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
> x2 | 1,500 - 1,600 | > x2 | 3,100 - 3,200 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
50% | 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
700 - 730 | 1,300 - 1,350 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
670 | 1,167 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50% | 50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
95% | 95% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020e | 2025e | 2019 | 2020e | 2025e | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Existing Business | National expansion | Existing Business | National expansion | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
National expansion customer growth requires around 5% of the market's FBB gross addsin the business plan period
Business Plan presentation | 23 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Revenue will increase by more than 80% in the business plan period
Revenue - €m | |||
CAGR +11% | 1,200 - 1,300 | ||
38% | |||
685 | 700 - 710 | ||
62% | |||
2019 | 2020e | 2025e | |
Existing Business | National expansion |
Revenue growth mainly driven by national expansion
Protable growthwith healthy customer economics
Existing business contributing positively mainly through footprint expansion
Business Plan presentation | 24 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
EBITDA grows at 6% CAGR in the2020-2025period
EBITDA - €m | ||||
CAGR +6% | 470 - 520 | |||
Existing Business | National expansion | |||
345 | 340 - 350 | |||
350 -360 | ||||
2019 | (10) - (20) | 2025e | ||
2020e | ||||
% | ||||
50% | 49% | ~40% | ||
revenue |
Reaching >25% run-rate EBITDA margin on national expansion
EBITDA growth driven by national expansion, existing footprint expansion and eciency improvements
Continued focus onimproving processes and operations
Business Plan presentation | 25 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Leverage in existing platforms allows for 90%success-basednational expansion investments
National expansion investments - €m
80 -90 | ||
10% | ||
90% | 50 -60 | |
15 -20 | ||
2020e | 2025e total | 2025e ex-growth(1) |
% | SAC | Other (2) | |||
<20% | ~10% | ||||
revenue |
(1): Investments ex-growth calculated as national expansion investments with zero net adds
(2): Other capex includes network maintenance and IT systems
National expansion investments 90% customer growth related
Ex-growthnational expansion investments c. 10% revenue
National expansion investments with continuing growth <20% revenue
Business Plan presentation | 26 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
Operating cashow grows rapidlyonce national expansion gains scale
OpCF - €m
Existing Business | National expansion | |
280 -320 | |||
240 -280 | |||
190 | 170 -180 | ||
200-210 | |||
(25) - (35) | |||
2019 | 2020e | 2025e total | 2025e ex-growth(1) |
2020e OpCF impacted by customer growth investmentsin national expansion
Operational cash ow growth driven by national expansion and cost eciencies
Once growth stabilises operational cashow grows rapidly
- : OpCFex-growth calculated as OpFC of the company with zero net adds
Business Plan presentation | 27 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
The company delevers quicklyaer the initial years of national expansion
Net debt/EBITDA - times
4.2x | 4.1x | |
3.0x | ||
2019 | 2020e | 2025e |
Delivery of operational eciencies allows to maintain leverage stable during the initial launch of national expansion
Once national expansion EBITDA grows the company delevers quickly
No changes to capital structure nor shareholder remuneration needed to execute the business plan
Business Plan presentation | 28 |
EXISTING BUSINESS | NATIONAL EXPANSION | FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS |
National expansiontransforms the company into a growth business
Fixed Subscribers (mass market) (k)
Mobile Services (mass market) (k)
Revenue
€m
EBITDA
€m
2019 | 2025e | CAGR '19 - '25 | |
1,500 - 1,600 | +15% | ||
670 | x2.3 | ||
+18% | |||
1,167 | x2.7 | 3,100 - 3,200 | |
+11% | |||
€685m | x1.8 | €1,200 - 1,300m | |
€470 - 520m | +6% | ||
€345m | x1.4 |
Business Plan presentation | 29 |
Conclusions
Euskaltel oers aunique combination of assets
Asolid cash-generating and growing existing business
Abest-in-class owned valuable network
Aprotable national expansion strategy
for the delivery ofgrowth and shareholder value creation
Business Plan presentation | 30 |
EUSKALTEL, S.A. Investor Relations Oce Tel: +34 94 401 15 56 investor@euskaltel.com www.euskaltel.com
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Euskaltel SA published this content on 10 March 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 10 March 2020 09:03:07 UTC