Projected Income Statement: Experian plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,120 4,137 3,917 3,897 3,954 4,648 3,863 2,957
Change - 0.41% -5.32% -0.51% 1.46% 17.55% -4.14% -23.45%
Announcement Date 5/20/20 5/19/21 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 487 422 485 627 640 651 698.6 699.3
Change - -13.35% 14.93% 29.28% 2.07% 1.72% 4.92% 0.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 769 1,066 1,311 1,090 1,107 1,354 1,551 1,765
Change - 38.62% 22.98% -16.86% 1.56% 22.31% 13.52% 13.76%
Announcement Date 5/20/20 5/19/21 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Experian plc

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.76% 34.23% 33.86% 34.39% 34.51% 34.96% 35.62% 35.84%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.78% 25.8% 26.16% 27.1% 27.17% 27.69% 28.41% 28.9%
EBT Margin (%) 18.19% 20.05% 23.01% 17.74% 21.85% 20.59% 23.27% 24.74%
Net margin (%) 13.03% 14.95% 18.53% 11.63% 16.89% 15.5% 17.36% 18.3%
FCF margin (%) 14.85% 19.84% 20.85% 16.47% 15.6% 18% 18.82% 19.77%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.93% 132.75% 112.53% 141.56% 92.33% 116.12% 108.36% 108.01%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.94% 9.89% 10.86% 7.08% 10.62% 11.66% 12.03% 12.14%
ROE 39.07% 35.03% 32.28% 19.5% 28% 29.6% 28.9% 28.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.29x 2.25x 1.84x 1.71x 1.61x 1.77x 1.32x 0.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.36x 3.88x 2.99x 3.58x 3.57x 3.43x 2.49x 1.68x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.4% 7.86% 7.71% 9.47% 9.02% 8.65% 8.47% 7.83%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.06% 22.95% 22.78% 27.55% 26.13% 24.75% 23.79% 21.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 63.33% 39.59% 36.99% 57.52% 57.81% 48.08% 45.03% 39.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.38 1.63 1.95 1.864 1.897 2.175 2.523 2.788
Change - 18.08% 19.65% -4.4% 1.75% 14.64% 13.11% 10.47%
Dividend per Share 1 0.47 0.47 0.5175 0.5475 0.585 0.625 0.6867 0.7599
Change - 0% 10.11% 5.8% 6.85% 6.84% 10.36% 10.65%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.522 3.359 4.304 4.266 5.032 5.482 6.59 7.364
Change - 33.17% 28.15% -0.89% 17.94% 8.95% 14.67% 11.75%
EPS 1 0.744 0.876 1.248 0.836 1.302 1.265 1.582 1.805
Change - 17.74% 42.47% -33.01% 55.74% -2.84% 13.31% 14.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 900,295 913,434 914,038 912,453 912,895 913,767 913,767 913,767
Announcement Date 5/20/20 5/19/21 5/18/22 5/17/23 5/15/24 5/14/25 - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 36.4x 32.3x
PBR 8.41x 7.76x
EV / Sales 6.22x 6.14x
Yield 1.36% 1.34%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
51.13USD
Average target price
57.30USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.06%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EXPN Stock
  4. Financials Experian plc
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