Projected Income Statement: Fair Isaac Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,064 1,720 1,725 2,080 2,922 2,874 2,502 2,011
Change - 61.65% 0.29% 20.58% 40.48% -1.63% -12.94% -19.62%
Announcement Date 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4.327 25.55 39.41 36.39 42.08 43.41
Change - 490.5% 54.23% -7.65% 15.62% 3.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 464.7 607.4 739.4 1,008 1,321 1,536
Change - 30.72% 21.73% 36.33% 31.07% 16.29%
Announcement Date 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fair Isaac Corporation

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 41.27% 44.08% 51.49% 52.22% 55.62% 61.6% 65.16% 67.88%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.79% 39.38% 50.6% 51.47% 54.87% 59.76% 62.67% 65%
EBT Margin (%) 35.94% 34.22% 36.58% 37.38% 40.31% 46.7% 51.3% 55.37%
Net margin (%) 29.78% 27.12% 28.37% 29.86% 32.75% 34.78% 37.64% 39.54%
FCF margin (%) - - 30.7% 35.37% 37.14% 41.01% 45.68% 47.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - 108.22% 118.45% 113.41% 117.93% 121.37% 119.37%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 28.46% 31.14% 36.36% 41.19% 42.51% 38.26%
ROE - - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.96x 2.83x 2.21x 2.32x 2.64x 1.9x 1.33x 0.91x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 3.71x 3.42x 3.95x 2.85x 1.89x 1.31x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 0.29% 1.49% 1.98% 1.48% 1.45% 1.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 0.56% 2.85% 3.56% 2.4% 2.23% 1.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 0.93% 4.21% 5.33% 3.61% 3.18% 2.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - 18.49 25.24 31.71 39.56 47.51 52.35
Change - - - 36.54% 25.64% 24.76% 20.09% 10.19%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - -27.12 -39.47 -71.08 -67.89 -63.26 -50.56
Change - - - -45.52% -80.1% 4.48% 6.82% 20.08%
EPS 1 13.4 14.18 16.93 20.45 26.54 35.32 45.18 52.98
Change - 5.82% 19.39% 20.79% 29.78% 33.1% 27.9% 17.27%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,387 25,253 24,857 24,519 24,004 23,722 23,722 23,722
Announcement Date 11/10/21 11/9/22 11/8/23 11/6/24 11/5/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 38.1x 29.8x
PBR -19.8x -21.3x
EV / Sales 14.1x 11.9x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
1,344.74USD
Average target price
2,000.64USD
Spread / Average Target
+48.78%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Fair Isaac Corporation