The statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q that are not purely historical are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including statements regarding our expectations, hopes, intentions or strategies regarding the future. All forward-looking statements included in this document are based on information available to us on the date hereof, and we assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. It is important to note that our actual results could vary materially from those forward-looking statements contained herein due to many factors, including, but not limited to: the ability of FNF to successfully integrate F&G's operations and employees; the potential impact of the F&G acquisition on relationships, including with employees, suppliers, customers and competitors; changes in general economic, business and political and COVID-19 conditions, including changes in the financial markets; weakness or adverse changes in the level of real estate activity, which may be caused by, among other things, high or increasing interest rates, a limited supply of mortgage funding, a weakU.S. economy; our potential inability to find suitable acquisition candidates, acquisitions in lines of business that will not necessarily be limited to our traditional areas of focus, or difficulties in consummating and integrating acquisitions; our dependence on distributions from our title insurance underwriters as our main source of cash flow; significant competition that our operating subsidiaries face; compliance with extensive government regulation of our operating subsidiaries; and other risks detailed in the "Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information," "Risk Factors" and other sections of our Annual Report on Form 10-K (our "Annual Report") for the year endedDecember 31, 2019 and other filings with theSEC . The following discussion should be read in conjunction with our Annual Report. Overview For a description of our business, including descriptions of segments and recent business developments, see the discussion under Basis of Financial Statements in Note A to the Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part I of this Report, which is incorporated by reference into this Part I, Item 2. Business Trends and Conditions Title Our Title segment revenue is closely related to the level of real estate activity which includes sales, mortgage financing and mortgage refinancing. Declines in the level of real estate activity or the average price of real estate sales will adversely affect our title insurance revenues. We have found that residential real estate activity is generally dependent on the following factors: •mortgage interest rates; •mortgage funding supply; •housing inventory and home prices; •supply and demand for commercial real estate; and •the strength ofthe United States economy, including employment levels. While the severity and duration of the negative impacts related to the outbreak of COVID-19 are not yet known, the most recent forecast of theMortgage Bankers Association ("MBA"), as ofOctober 21, 2020 , estimates (actual for fiscal year 2019) the size of theU.S. residential mortgage originations market as shown in the following table for 2019 - 2022 in its "Mortgage Finance Forecast" (in trillions): 2022 2021 2020 2019 Purchase transactions$ 1.6 $ 1.5 $ 1.4 $ 1.3 Refinance transactions$ 0.5 $ 1.0 $ 1.8 $ 1.0 Total U.S. mortgage originations forecast$ 2.1 $ 2.5 $ 3.2 $ 2.3 In 2019, total originations were reflective of a strong residential real estate market driven by increasing home prices and low mortgage interest rates. Concerns over a slowing global economy and the impact of a prolonged trade war resulted in interest rate cuts in the second half of the year which significantly increased refinance transactions and slightly increased purchase transactions when compared to 2018. Additionally, existing home sales increased in each quarter of 2019. Average interest rates on 30-year fixed rate mortgages, 60 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
averaged 4.4% in the first quarter of 2019 but subsequently decreased in the following three quarters to an average of 3.7% in the fourth quarter of 2019.
As ofOctober 21, 2020 , the MBA expects residential purchase transactions to steadily increase in 2020 and beyond from 2019 levels. Additionally the MBA expects residential refinance transactions to increase in 2020 due to record low interest rates followed by a decreases in 2021 and 2022 as interest rates are expected to rise. The MBA expects overall mortgage originations to increase in 2020 followed by a decreases in 2021 and 2022. OnMarch 11, 2020 , theWorld Health Organization declared that the novel coronavirus or COVID-19 "can be characterized as a pandemic," which is defined as a worldwide spread of a new disease for which most people do not have immunity. OnMarch 15, 2020 , theFederal Reserve took emergency action and reduced its benchmark interest rate by a full percentage point to nearly zero. Through the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , mortgage interest rates continued to decline to below 3.20%. Concerns over a slowing global economy and the impact of a prolonged trade war, now combined with the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, have resulted in significant uncertainty in the economic outlook. However, existing-home sales climbed month-over-month and year-over-year betweenJune 2020 andSeptember 2020 , showing strong signs of a market turnaround after three consecutive months of sales declines caused primarily by the ongoing pandemic, according to theNational Association of Realtors . Other economic indicators used to measure the health of theU.S. economy, including the unemployment rate and consumer confidence, indicated that theU.S was on strong footing prior to the outbreak of COVID-19. However, the impact of COVID-19 reduced the outlook related to these economic indicators inMarch 2020 . According to theU.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor , the unemployment rate was at a historically low 3.5% inFebruary 2020 but as ofOctober 2, 2020 , the unemployment rate had risen to 7.9%. Additionally, theConference Board's monthly Consumer Confidence Index remained at high levels throughFebruary 2020 before falling as a result of the COVID-19 outbreak. As ofSeptember 30, 2020 , the Consumer Confidence Index had fallen by 24% from itsFebruary 2020 highs. Because commercial real estate transactions tend to be generally driven by supply and demand for commercial space and occupancy rates in a particular area rather than by interest rate fluctuations, we believe that our commercial real estate title insurance business is less dependent on the industry cycles discussed above than our residential real estate title business. Commercial real estate transaction volume is also often linked to the availability of financing. Factors includingU.S. tax reform and a shift inU.S. monetary policy have had, or are expected to have, varying effects on availability of financing in theU.S. Lower corporate and individual tax rates and corporate tax-deductibility of capital expenditures have provided increased capacity and incentive for investments in commercial real estate. In recent years, we have experienced strong demand in commercial real estate markets and from 2015 through 2019, we experienced historically high volumes and fee-per-file in our commercial business. In 2020, we have experienced decreases in commercial volumes and commercial fee-per-file as a result of the outbreak of COVID-19. While COVID-19 will likely have an impact on the timing and volume of commercial real estate transactions in the short term as the logistics of transactions evolve and some buyers move to the sidelines until the pandemic is resolved, we believe that refinance activity will likely remain elevated in response to the recent Federal rate cuts. We cannot be certain how the outbreak of COVID-19 and the steps taken to attempt to mitigate its spread will impact our future results of operations. We continually monitor mortgage origination trends and believe that, based on our ability to produce industry leading operating margins through all economic cycles, we are well positioned to adjust our operations for adverse changes in real estate activity and to take advantage of increased volume when demand increases. See Item 1A of Part II of this Quarterly Report for further discussion risk factors related to COVID-19. Seasonality. Historically, real estate transactions have produced seasonal revenue fluctuations in the real estate industry. The first calendar quarter is typically the weakest quarter in terms of revenue due to the generally low volume of home sales during January and February. The second and third calendar quarters are typically the strongest quarters in terms of revenue, primarily due to a higher volume of residential transactions in the spring and summer months. The fourth quarter is typically strong due to the desire of commercial entities to complete transactions by year-end. Seasonality in 2020 may deviate from historical patterns due to COVID-19. We have noted short-term fluctuations through recent years in resale and refinance transactions as a result of changes in interest rates. 61 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
F&G
We acquired F&G onJune 1, 2020 . The following factors represent some of the key trends and uncertainties that have influenced the development of our F&G segment and its historical financial performance, and we believe these key trends and uncertainties will continue to influence the business and financial performance of our F&G segment in the future. Market Conditions Market volatility has affected and may continue to affect our business and financial performance in varying ways. Volatility can pressure sales and reduce demand as consumers hesitate to make financial decisions. To enhance the attractiveness and profitability of our products and services, we continually monitor the behavior of our customers, as evidenced by annuitization rates and lapse rates, which vary in response to changes in market conditions. See Item 1A of Part II of this Quarterly Report for further discussion of risk factors that could affect market conditions. Interest Rate Environment Some of our products include guaranteed minimum crediting rates, most notably our fixed rate annuities. As ofSeptember 30, 2020 , the Company's reserves, net of reinsurance, and average crediting rate on our fixed rate annuities were$4.0 billion and 3%, respectively. We are required to pay the guaranteed minimum crediting rates even if earnings on our investment portfolio decline, which would negatively impact earnings. In addition, we expect more policyholders to hold policies with comparatively high guaranteed rates for a longer period in a low interest rate environment. Conversely, a rise in average yield on our investment portfolio would increase earnings if the average interest rate we pay on our products does not rise correspondingly. Similarly, we expect that policyholders would be less likely to hold policies with existing guarantees as interest rates rise and the relative value of other new business offerings are increased, which would negatively impact our earnings and cash flows. See Item 3 of Part II of this Quarterly Report for a more detailed discussion of interest rate risk. Aging of theU.S. Population We believe that the aging of theU.S. population will increase the demand for our products. As the "baby boomer" generation prepares for retirement, we believe that demand for retirement savings, growth, and income products will grow. The impact of this growth may be offset to some extent by asset outflows as an increasing percentage of the population begins withdrawing assets to convert their savings into income. Industry Factors and Trends Affecting Our Results of Operations Demographics and macroeconomic factors are increasing the demand for our FIA and IUL products. Over 10,000 people will turn 65 each day inthe United States over the next 15 years, and according to theU.S. Census Bureau , the proportion of theU.S. population over the age of 65 is expected to grow from 15% in 2015 to 20% in 2030. We operate in the sector of the insurance industry that focuses on the needs of middle-income Americans. The underserved middle-income market represents a major growth opportunity for the Company. As a tool for addressing the unmet need for retirement planning, we believe that many middle-income Americans have grown to appreciate the "sleep at night protection" that annuities such as our FIA products afford. Accordingly, the FIA market grew from nearly$12 billion of sales in 2002 to$73 billion of sales in 2019. Additionally, this market demand has positively impacted the IUL market as it has expanded from$100 million of annual premiums in 2002 to$4 billion of annual premiums in 2019. 62 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates As a result of the F&G acquisition, we have applied the following additional critical accounting policies and estimates in preparing our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part I of this Report. Other than the following additional critical accounting policies and estimates, which are further described in the Notes to our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part 1 of this Quarterly Report which is incorporated by reference into this Item 2 of Part I, there have been no material changes to our critical accounting policies described in Item 7 of Part II of our Annual Report. We have identified the following accounting policies and estimates as critical as they involve a higher degree of judgment and are subject to a significant degree of variability: valuation of AFS securities and derivatives, amortization of DAC, DSI and VOBA, reserves for future policy benefits and product guarantees and recognition of deferred income tax valuation allowances. In developing these accounting estimates and policies, we make subjective and complex judgments that are inherently uncertain and subject to material changes as facts and circumstances develop. Although variability is inherent in these estimates, we believe the amounts provided are appropriate based upon the facts available upon preparation of our audited condensed consolidated financial statements. We continually update and assess the facts and circumstances regarding all of these critical accounting matters and other significant accounting matters affecting estimates in our financial statements. Valuation ofAFS Securities , Derivatives and Fund withheld for reinsurance receivables Our fixed maturity securities classified as AFS are reported at fair value, with unrealized gains and losses included within AOCI, net of associated impact on intangibles adjustments, SOP 03-1 reserve adjustments, and deferred income taxes. Our equity securities are reported at fair value, with unrealized gains and losses included within net earnings (loss). Unrealized gains and losses represent the difference between the cost or amortized cost basis and the fair value of these investments. We measure the fair value of our AFS securities based on assumptions used by market participants, which may include inherent risk and restrictions on the sale or use of an asset. The estimate of fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants ("exit price") in the principal market, or the most advantageous market in the absence of a principal market, for that asset or liability. We utilize independent pricing services in estimating the fair values of AFS securities. The independent pricing services incorporate a variety of observable market data inputs in their valuation techniques, including reported trading prices, benchmark yields, broker-dealer quotes, benchmark securities, bids and offers, credit ratings, relative credit information and other reference data. 63 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We categorize our AFS securities into a three-level hierarchy based on the priority of the inputs to the valuation technique. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets (Level 1) and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3). If the inputs used to measure fair value fall within different levels of the hierarchy, the category level is based on the lowest priority level input that is significant to the fair value measurement of the instrument. The following table presents the fair value of F&G's fixed maturity securities and equity securities by pricing source and hierarchy level as ofSeptember 30, 2020 .
As of
Quoted Prices in Significant Active Markets for Significant Unobservable (Dollars in millions) Identical Assets Observable Inputs Inputs Total (Level 1) (Level 2) (Level 3) Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale and equity securities: Prices via third party pricing services $ 660 $ 21,746$ 1,179 $ 23,585 Priced via independent broker quotations - - 1,604 1,604 Priced via other methods - - 1 1 Total $ 660 $ 21,746$ 2,784 $ 25,190 Available-for-sale embedded derivative: Priced via other methods - - 23 23 Total $ 660 $ 21,746$ 2,807 $ 25,213 % of Total 3 % 86 % 11 % 100 % Management's assessment of all available data when determining fair value of the AFS securities is necessary to appropriately apply fair value accounting. The independent pricing services also take into account perceived market movements and sector news, as well as a security's terms and conditions, including any features specific to that issue that may influence risk and marketability. Depending on the security, the priority of the use of observable market inputs may change as some observable market inputs may not be relevant or additional inputs may be necessary. We generally obtain one value from our primary external pricing service. In situations where a price is not available from the independent pricing service, we may obtain broker quotes or prices from additional parties recognized to be market participants. We believe the broker quotes are prices at which trades could be executed based on historical trades executed at broker-quoted or slightly higher prices. When quoted prices in active markets are not available, the determination of estimated fair value is based on market standard valuation methodologies, including discounted cash flows, matrix pricing, or other similar techniques. We validate external valuations at least quarterly through a combination of procedures that include the evaluation of methodologies used by the pricing services, comparisons to valuations from other independent pricing services, analytical reviews and performance analysis of the prices against trends, and maintenance of a securities watch list. See Note D Fair Value of Financial Instruments and Note E Investments to our unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part I of this Report. The fair value of derivative assets and liabilities is based upon valuation pricing models and represents what we would expect to receive or pay at the balance sheet date if we canceled the options, entered into offsetting positions, or exercised the options. Fair values for these instruments are determined internally using a conventional model and market observable inputs, including interest rates, yield curve volatilities and other factors. Credit risk related to the counterparty is considered when estimating the fair values of these derivatives. However, we are largely protected by collateral arrangements with counterparties when individual counterparty exposures exceed certain thresholds. The fair value of futures contracts at the balance sheet date represents the cumulative unsettled variation margin (open trade equity net of cash settlements). The fair values of the embedded derivatives in our FIA contracts are derived using market value of options, use of current and budgeted option cost, swap rates, mortality rates, surrender rates, partial withdrawals, and non-performance spread and are classified as Level 3. The discount rate used to determine the fair value of our FIA embedded derivative liabilities includes an adjustment to reflect the risk that these obligations will not be fulfilled ("non-performance risk"). For the period endedSeptember 30, 2020 , our non-performance risk adjustment was based 64 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- on the expected loss due to default in debt obligations for similarly rated financial companies. See Note D Fair Value of Financial Instruments and Note F Derivative Financial Instruments to our unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part I of this Report. As discussed in Note P Reinsurance to our Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements included in Item 1 of Part I of this Report,FGL Insurance entered into a reinsurance agreement with Kubera effectiveDecember 31, 2018 , to cede certain multi-year guaranteed annuities ("MYGA") and deferred annuity statutory reserve on a coinsurance funds withheld basis, net of applicable existing reinsurance. Fair value movements in the funds withheld balances associated with this arrangement create an obligation forFGL Insurance to pay Kubera at a later date, which results in an embedded derivative. This embedded derivative is considered a total return swap with contractual returns that are attributable to the assets and liabilities associated with this reinsurance arrangement. The fair value of the total return swap is based on the change in fair value of the underlying assets held in the funds withheld portfolio. Investment results for the assets that support the coinsurance with funds withheld reinsurance arrangement, including gains and losses from sales, are passed directly to the reinsurer pursuant to contractual terms of the reinsurance arrangement. The reinsurance related embedded derivative is reported in Accounts payable and accrued liabilities on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets and the related gains or losses are reported in Recognized gains and losses, net on the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings.
Intangibles
Acquisition costs that are incremental, direct costs of successful contract acquisition are capitalized as DAC. DAC consists principally of commissions. Indirect or unsuccessful acquisition costs, maintenance, product development and overhead expenses are charged to expense as incurred. DSI consists of contract enhancements such as premium and interest bonuses credited to policyholder account balances. VOBA is an intangible asset that reflects the amount recorded as insurance contract liabilities less the estimated fair value of in-force contracts in a life insurance company acquisition. It represents the portion of the purchase price that is allocated to the value of the rights to receive future cash flows from the business in force at the acquisition date. VODA is an intangible asset that represents the value of an existing distribution network. Internally developed software and trade name intangible assets are amortized on a straight-line basis over their deemed useful lives while VODA is amortized using the sum of years digits method. DAC, DSI, and VOBA are subject to loss recognition testing on a quarterly basis or when an event occurs that may warrant loss recognition. For annuity and IUL products, DAC, DSI and VOBA are generally being amortized in proportion to estimated gross profits from net investment spread margins, surrender charges and other product fees, policy benefits, maintenance expenses, mortality net of reinsurance ceded and expense margins, and recognized gains and losses on investments. Current and future period gross profits for FIA contracts also include the impact of amounts recorded for the change in fair value of derivatives and the change in fair value of embedded derivatives. At each valuation date, the most recent quarter's estimated gross profits are updated with actual gross profits and the assumptions underlying future estimated gross profits are evaluated for continued reasonableness. If the update of assumptions causes estimated gross profits to increase, DAC, DSI and VOBA amortization will decrease, resulting in lower amortization expense in the period. The opposite result occurs when the assumption update causes estimated gross profits to decrease. Current period amortization is adjusted retrospectively through an unlocking process when estimates of current or future gross profits (including the impact of recognized investment gains and losses) to be realized from a group of products are revised. Our estimates of future gross profits are based on actuarial assumptions related to the underlying policies' terms, lives of the policies, duration of contract, yield on investments supporting the liabilities, cost to fund policy obligations, and level of expenses necessary to maintain the polices over their entire lives. Changes in assumptions can have a significant impact on DAC, DSI and VOBA, amortization rates and results of operations. Assumptions are management's best estimate of future outcomes, and require considerable judgment. We periodically review assumptions against actual experience, and update our assumptions based on historical results and our best estimates of future experience when additional information becomes available. Estimated future gross profits are sensitive to changes in interest rates, which are the most significant component of gross profits. Assumptions related to interest rate spreads and credit losses also impact estimated gross profits for products with credited rates. These assumptions are based on the current investment portfolio yields and credit quality, estimated future crediting rates, capital markets, and estimates of future interest rates and defaults. Significant assumptions also include policyholder behavior assumptions, such as surrender, lapse, 65 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- and annuitization rates. We use a combination of actual and industry experience when setting and updating our policyholder behavior assumptions. We perform sensitivity analyses to assess the impact that certain assumptions have on DAC, DSI and VOBA. Lower assumed interest rates or higher assumed annuity surrender rates tend to decrease the balances of DAC, DSI and VOBA, thus decreasing income before income taxes. Higher assumed interest rates or lower assumed annuity surrender rates tend to increase the balances of DAC, DSI and VOBA, thus increasing income before income taxes. Reserves for Future Policy Benefits and Product Guarantees The determination of future policy benefit reserves is dependent on actuarial assumptions. The principal assumptions used to establish liabilities for future policy benefits are based on our experience. These assumptions are established at issue of the contract and include mortality, morbidity, contract full and partial surrenders, investment returns, annuitization rates and expenses. The assumptions used require considerable judgment. We review overall policyholder experience at least annually and update these assumptions when deemed necessary based on additional information that becomes available. For traditional life and immediate annuity products, assumptions used in the reserve calculation can only be changed if the reserve is deemed to be insufficient. For all other insurance products, changes in assumptions will be used to calculate reserves. These changes in assumptions will also incorporate changes in risk free rates and option market values. Changes in, or deviations from, the assumptions previously used can significantly affect our reserve levels and related results of operations. Mortality is the incidence of death amongst policyholders triggering the payment of underlying insurance coverage by the insurer. In addition, mortality also refers to the ceasing of payments on life-contingent annuities due to the death of the annuitant. We utilize a combination of actual and industry experience when setting our mortality assumptions. A surrender rate is the percentage of account value surrendered by the policyholder. A lapse rate is the percentage of account value canceled by us due to nonpayment of premiums. We make estimates of expected full and partial surrenders of our fixed annuity products. Our surrender rate experience in the period endedSeptember 30, 2020 on the fixed annuity products averaged 4%, which is within our assumed ranges. Management's best estimate of surrender behavior incorporates actual experience over the entire period, as we believe that, over the duration of the policies, we will experience the full range of policyholder behavior and market conditions. If actual surrender rates are significantly different from those assumed, such differences could have a significant effect on our reserve levels and related results of operations. The assumptions used to establish the liabilities for our product guarantees require considerable judgment and are established as management's best estimate of future outcomes. We periodically review these assumptions and, if necessary, update them based on additional information that becomes available. Changes in or deviations from the assumptions used can significantly affect our reserve levels and related results of operations. At issue, and at each subsequent valuation, we determine the present value of the cost of the GMWB rider benefits and certain GMDB riders in excess of benefits that are funded by the account value. We also calculate the present value of total expected policy assessments, including investment margins, if applicable. We accumulate a reserve equal to the portion of these assessments that would be required to fund the future benefits less benefits paid to date. In making these projections, a number of assumptions are made and we update these assumptions as experience emerges, and determined necessary. We have minimal experience to date on policyholder behavior for our GMWB products which we began issuing in 2008. As a result, future experience could lead to significant changes in our assumptions. If emerging experience deviates from our assumptions on GMWB utilizations, such deviations could have a significant effect on our reserve levels and related results of operations. 66 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Our aggregate reserves for contractholder funds, future policy benefits and
product guarantees on a direct and net basis as of
(Dollars in millions) Direct Reinsurance Recoverable Net Fixed indexed annuities$ 19,456 $ -$ 19,456 Fixed rate annuities 4,818 (860) 3,958 Immediate annuities 3,593 (156) 3,437 Universal life 1,694 (982) 712 Traditional life 1,975 (1,154) 821 Total$ 31,536 $ (3,152)$ 28,384 Certain FIA products contain an embedded derivative; a feature that permits the holder to elect an interest rate return or an equity-index linked component, where interest credited to the contract is linked to the performance of various equity indices. The FIA embedded derivative is valued at fair value and included in the liability for contractholder funds in our Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets with changes in fair value included as a component of Benefits and other changes in policy reserves in our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings. Deferred Income Tax Valuation Allowance Accounting Standards Codification section 740, Income Taxes (ASC 740), provides that deferred income tax assets are recognized for deductible temporary differences and operating loss and tax credit carry-forwards. A valuation allowance is recorded if, based on available information, it is more likely than not that deferred income tax assets will not be realized. Assessing the need for, and the amount of, a valuation allowance for deferred income tax assets requires significant judgment. Future realization of deferred tax assets ultimately depends on the existence of sufficient taxable income of the appropriate character (i.e., ordinary income or capital gain) in either the carryback or carry-forward period under tax law. The four sources of taxable income that may be considered in determining whether a valuation allowance is required are: •Future reversals of existing taxable temporary differences (i.e., offset of gross deferred tax assets against gross deferred tax liabilities); •Taxable income in prior carryback years, if carryback is permitted under tax law; •Tax planning strategies; and •Future taxable income exclusive of reversing temporary differences and carry-forwards. At each reporting date, management considers evidence that could impact the future realization of deferred tax assets. As ofSeptember 30, 2020 , management gathered the following evidence concerning the future realization of deferred tax assets: Positive Evidence: •As ofSeptember 30, 2020 , we were in a cumulative income position based on pre-tax income over the prior 12 quarters; •We are projecting pre-tax GAAP income from continuing operations; •We have a history of utilizing all significant tax attributes before they expire; •ForU.S. Life Companies, under new tax laws, net operating losses generated afterDecember 31, 2017 can be carried forward indefinitely; and •We have net unrealized capital gains as ofSeptember 30, 2020 . Negative Evidence: • §382 limited carry-forwards reduce our ability to utilize tax attributes in future years; and • Brief carryback/carry-forward period for capital losses. Based on management's evaluation of the above positive and negative evidence, management concluded that a valuation allowance continues to be necessary for the deferred tax assets of the non-life insurance companies and FSRC deferred tax assets atSeptember 30, 2020 . For the three and four month periods endedSeptember 30, 2020 , the valuation allowance release recorded to the income statement related to the items above was$8 million and$9 million respectively. 67
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