Kepler Cheuvreux
Italian Equity Digital Summit
May 19, 2020
Safe Harbor Statement
This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes," "expects," "predicts," "intends," "projects," "plans," "estimates," "aims," "foresees," "anticipates," "targets," and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts reflecting current views with respect to future events and plans, estimates, projections and expectations which are uncertain and subject to risks. Market data used in this Presentation not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified. These statements are based on certain assumptions that, although reasonable at this time, may prove to be erroneous. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. If certain risks and uncertainties materialize, or if certain underlying assumptions prove incorrect, Fincantieri may not be able to achieve its financial targets and strategic objectives. A multitude of factors which are in some cases beyond the Company's control can cause actual events to differ significantly from any anticipated development. Forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. No one undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Market data used in this Presentation not attributed to a specific source are estimates of the Company and have not been independently verified. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this Presentation and are subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties, express or implied, are given as to the achievement or reasonableness of, and no reliance should be placed on, any forward-looking statements, including (but not limited to) any projections, estimates, forecasts or targets contained herein.
Fincantieri does not undertake to provide any additional information or to remedy any omissions in or from this Presentation. Fincantieri does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this Presentation. This presentation does not constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company.
Declaration of the Manager responsible for preparing financial reports
Pursuant to art. 154-BIS, par. 2, of the Unified Financial Act of February 24, 1998, the executive in charge of preparing the corporate accounting documents at Fincantieri, Felice Bonavolontà, declares that the accounting information contained herein correspond to document results, books and accounting records.
2
Q1 2020 Key Messages
Protecting the safety of our people and ensuring backlog resiliency
"I wish to recall that Fincantieri is a spearhead of the Italian manufacturing sector and as such it proudly embraces the
commitment to developing the territories in which it is deeply rooted"
Operations
Production
volumes
Backlog
Strategic
relationships
(Giuseppe Bono, Chief Executive Officer)
- Production halted since March 16th to prevent further spreading of the COVID-19 virus
- Operations gradually resumed since April 20th in all Italian shipyards: safety measures promptly implemented to protect our people, including cutting-edge technology for contactless thermal scanning developed and implemented by a Group company
- Production volumes reduced by 20% compared to potential output, as a consequence of the suspension of operations in all Italian shipyards and production plants
- Production activities in VARD shipyards not suspended
- Ensuring backlog resiliency: (i) avoid cancellation of orders and (ii) negotiation of new delivery schedules with ship owners currently ongoing
- New delivery schedules also subject to recovery plan at full capacity of production activities
- Safeguarding Group's strategic relationships with its subcontractor network:
- Almost 6,000 small & mid-sized companies only in Italy
- New delivery schedules also subject to subcontractors' effective availabilities
3
Q1 2020 Key Messages
Continuous strength despite «rough waters»
Business
update
Operations
Financials
- "FFG(X)" programme awarded to FMM: contract for the concept design and construction of the first-in-class guided missile frigate for the US Navy plus options for 9 units worth ~ $ 5.5 bln
- Completed the steel span of the Genoa bridge in record time: 1 year from the steel cutting ceremony - March 11, 2019
- VARD to design and build one Service Operation Vessel (SOV) for wind-farm maintenance operations within the renewable energy sector
-
Obtained the B-rating within the CDP Climate Change Programme(5) and a score of 65/100 - first in the Mechanical
Components & Equipment sector among global peers - within the Vigeo Eiris ranking for sustainability. - Total backlog at € 31.9 bln - about 5.5x 2019 revenues :
- backlog with 92 units at € 27.7 bln (€ 30.7 bln in Q1 2019),
- soft backlog at € 4.2 bln (€ 3.6 bln in Q1 2019), and order intake at € 0.3 bln
- 8 units(4) delivered including 2 cruise ships ("Seven Seas Splendor" for Regent and "Scarlet Lady" for Virgin), one expedition cruise vessel ("Le Bellot" for Ponant), and one military vessel (LCS 19 for the US Navy)
- Revenues at € 1,307 mln (€ 1,368 mln in Q1 2019) with estimated loss of ~ € 190 mln
- Group EBITDA at € 72 mln (€ 92 mln in Q1 2019) and EBITDA margin at 5.5% (6.7% in Q1 2019): estimated loss of ~15 mln due to lack of progress in Shipbuilding orders
- Covid-19extraordinary costs at € 23 mln due to reduced operating leverage and PPE-related costs
- Net debt(3) at € 444 mln (€ 736 mln in FY 2019)
- Sum of backlog and soft backlog
- Soft backlog which represents the value of existing contract options and letters of intent as well as contracts in advanced negotiation, none of which yet reflected in the order backlog
- Excluding Construction loans
(4) | 1 ultra-luxury cruise ship for Regent; 1 cruise ship for Virgin Voyages; 1 expedition cruise vessel for Ponant; 1 military vessel for the US Navy; 1 fishery for Finnmark Havsfiske; 1 fishery for Nergard Havfiske, 1 ferry for Boreal Sjø | 4 |
(5) | Carbon Disclosure Project is a British organization whose goal is to improve the management of environmental risks. In 2019 fincantieri obtained the B rating on a scale ranging from D (minimum) to A (maximum) |
Q1 2020 main orders
Segment | Vessel | Client | Number of ships | Expected Delivery |
Offshore & | Fishery | Framherij | 1 | 2022 |
Specialized | ||||
Fishery | Nergard Havfiske | 1 | 2022 | |
Vessels | ||||
Q1 2020 main deliveries
Segment | Vessel | Client | Shipyard | |
Cruise ship "Seven Seas Splendor" | Regent Seven Seas Cruises | Ancona | ||
Cruise ship "Scarlet Lady" | Virgin Cruises | Genova | ||
Shipbuilding | Littoral Combat Ship "St. Louis" (LCS 19) | US Navy | Marinette | |
Expedition cruise vessel "Le Bellot" | Ponant | Vard Soviknes | ||
Fishery | Finnmark Havfiske | Vard Soviknes | ||
Offshore & | Fishery | Nergard Havfiske | Vard Brattvaag | |
Specialized | OSCV | Island Offshore XII Ship | Vard Brevik | |
Vessels | Ferry unit | Boreal Sjø | Vard Brevik | |
5
Overview of Q1 2020 main deliveries
Seven Seas Splendor (Regent) | Scarlet Lady (Virgin Voyages) | Le Bellot (Ponant) |
LCS 19 "St. Louis" (US Navy) | Ferry (Boreal Sjø) |
6
Order intake and backlog
Breakdown by segment
Order intake | Total backlog(1) | ||||
€ mln | € mln | 6.3x | 5.6x | 5.5x | |
4.7x | 0.2x | 5.6x | 4.9x | 4.7x |
6.455
39 168
6.31
2
294 | |
157 | |
83116 | |
(64) | (62) |
Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
34.342
32.690 | 31.878 | |
3.600 | ||
1.607 | 4.100 | 4.200 |
920 | 1.736 | 2.008 |
888 | ||
813 |
Backlog | Backlog | |||
28.974 | 30,742 | Backlog | ||
26.828 | 28,590 | 25.857 | 27,678 | |
(759) | (862) | (1.000) | ||
Q1 2019 | FY 2019 | Q1 2020 |
- Total backlog at € 31.8 bln, ~ 5.5 times 2019 revenues
- Order intake for the quarter € 0.3 bln
Shipbuilding Offshore & Specialized Vessels Equipment, Systems & Services Eliminations
Book-to-bill (Order intake/revenues) | Backlog /Revenues | Total backlog / revenues | Soft backlog(2) |
- Sum of backlog and soft backlog
- Soft backlog represents the value of existing contract options and letters of intent as well as contracts in advanced negotiation, none of which yet reflected in the order backlog
7
Backlog deployment
Breakdown by segment and end market
Shipbuilding
# ship deliveries
CruiseNaval(1)Offshore & Specialized Vessels • 8 units delivered in 1Q 2020, 92
# ship deliveries | ships in backlog |
- Cruise: 42 vessels
2020 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
2021 | 9 | 9 |
20221010
2023 6 6
2024 4 4
2020 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
2021 | 8 | 8 |
2022 8 8
2023 5 5
2024 5 5
− Deliveries up to 2027 | ||||
2020 3 | 6 | 9 | − 9 units scheduled after 2024 | |
- Naval: 36 vessels
2021 | 3 | 3 | − Deliveries up to 2027 | |||||
− 5 units scheduled after 2024 | ||||||||
2022 | 2 | 1 | 3 | • | Offshore & Specialized Vessels(2): | |||
14 vessels | ||||||||
− Deliveries up to 2024 | ||||||||
2023 | 1 | 1 | Negotiations | in | progress | with | ||
ship owners to arrange new | ||||||||
2024 | 1 | 1 | delivery schedules. New delivery | |||||
programs also subject to suppliers' | ||||||||
and subcontractors' effective
• Additional 9 units scheduled | • Additional 5 units scheduled | |
after 2024 | after 2024 | |
• 42 vessels in backlog | • 36 vessels in backlog | |
availabilities
• 14 vessels in backlog | Delivered in Q1 2020 | |
New orders in Q1 2020
- Ships with length > 40 m; Articulated Tug Barge (ATB) is an articulated unit consisting of a barge and a tug, thus being counted as two vessels in one unit
- Offshore business generally has shorter production times and, as a consequence, shorter backlog and quicker order turnaround than Cruise and Naval
8
Revenues
Revenues breakdown by segment(1)
€ mln
1.385 | 1.368 | 1.307 | |||
170 | 11.3% | 170 | 11.4% | 205 | 14.0% |
224 | 14.9% | 203 | 13.6% | 126 | 8.6% |
1.113 | 73.9% | 1.118 | 75.0% | 1.133 | 77.4% |
(122) | (124) | (157) | ||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | ||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | (2) | Q1 2020 | ||||||||||||
Reported | Restated | |||||||||||||
Offshore & Specialized Vessels | Eliminations | |||||||||||||
Shipbuilding | Equipment, Systems & Services | |||||||||||||
Cruise | Naval | Other Shipbuilding | % of Total revenues | |||||||||||
- Breakdown calculated on total revenues before eliminations
- Restated following the dismissal of small fishery and aquaculture support vessels business (VARD Aukra) and the aggregation of Vard Electro into the Shipbuilding segment (ex Offshore)
- Revenues down 4.5% YOY at € 1,307
- -20%production volumes YOY with estimated loss of ~ € 190 mln
- Shipbuilding revenues up 1.3% vs Q1 2019 despite suspension of Italian operations
- Offshore & Specialized Vessels revenues down 37.9% YOY due to scarcity of orders in the core market and negative effect of EUR/NOK conversion (~ € 8 mln)
- Equipment, Systems & Services revenues up 20.6% vs Q1 2019, thanks also to the positive contribution of the reconstruction of the bridge over the Polcevera river
9
EBITDA
EBITDA(1) and EBITDA margin
• EBITDA at € 72 mln (€ 92 mln in |
Q1 2019), EBITDA margin at 5.5% |
€ mln
6.5% | 6.7% |
90 | 92 | ||
18 | 10.3% | 18 | 10.3% |
1 | 0.4% | ||
83 | 7.4% | 82 | 7.3% |
(2) | (0.9%) | ||
(9) | |||
(9) | |||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 | ||
Reported | Restated(2) |
5.5%
72
12 6.0%
72 6.3%
-
(0.8%)
(11)
Q1 2020
(6.7% in Q1 2019) | ||||
• Suspension of | activities | led to | ||
estimated shortfall in EBITDA of ~ | ||||
€ 15 mln | ||||
− Shipbuilding | profitability | affected | ||
by the suspension of Italian | ||||
production activities in March | ||||
− Offshore and Specialized Vessels | ||||
margin break-even, following the | ||||
revision of costs at completion for | ||||
several projects in 2019 | ||||
• Reduced margin of the Equipment, | ||||
Systems & Services segment due | ||||
to low-profitability but strategically- | ||||
relevant projects | ||||
• €23 mln Covid-related extraordinary | ||||
costs | ||||
Shipbuilding | Offshore & Specialized Vessels | Equipment, Systems & Services | Eliminations | |||
Other activities(2) | % Revenues | Group EBITDA Margin |
- EBITDA is a Non-GAAP Financial Measure. The Company defines EBITDA as profit/(loss) for the period before (i) income taxes, (ii) share of profit/(loss) from equity investments, (iii) income/expense from investments, (iv) finance costs, (v) finance income, (vi) depreciation and amortization (vii) expenses for corporate restructuring, (viii) accruals to provision and cost of legal services for asbestos claims, (ix) other non recurring items
- Restated following the dismissal of small fishery and aquaculture support vessels business (VARD Aukra) and the aggregation of Vard Electro into the Shipbuilding segment (ex Offshore)
10
Net working capital and net debt(1)
Breakdown by main components
€ mln | FY 2019 | 1Q 2020 |
Inventories and advances to suppliers
828
• Net working capital changes due |
to: |
− Reduction of Work in Progress |
Work in progress net of advances from customers
Trade receivables
Other current assets and liabilities
Construction loans
Trade payables
831 | |
1.415 | 467 |
677 | 978 |
125 | 194 |
(811) | (693) |
(-948 mln vs FY19) related to |
the cash-in of the final |
payment for the cruise ships |
delivered in the quarter |
− Increase of trade receivables |
(+301 mln vs FY 19) related to |
the final installment of a cruise |
ship to be delivered in 2020 |
− Decreased trade payables (-165 |
mln vs FY19) |
Provisions for risks & charges
(2.270)
(89)
(2.105)
(89)
• | Construction loans at € 693 mln |
(€ 811 in FY 2019) | |
• | Net debt levels mirror Net |
Net working capital | (125) | (417) |
Net Debt | 736 | 444 |
- Construction loans are committed working capital financing facilities, treated as part of Net working capital, not in Net financial position, as they are not general purpose loans and can be a source of financing only in connection with ship contracts
Working Capital changes |
11
Cruise Industry Outlook
Consequences of the crisis
Mitigants
Industry recovery…
- 2020: a challenging year for shipowners and shipbuilders
- Cruise operators have withdrawn their guidance as the industry backlash is yet hardly quantifiable
- Cruise operators are trying to weather the crisis and preserve going-concern
- by improving their liquidity positions (applying for debt holiday schemes by ECA agencies)
- by securing additional funding instruments
- Diverging opinions about market recovery but a «measured comeback» starting from Q3 appears to be the base case scenario (also conditional to the easing of Government restrictions)1
«People want to travel. Europe must now gradually open up. Summer holidays are possible responsibly and with clear rules. We will reinvent the holiday in 2020»2
- Cruise operators have offered flexible cancellation policies but vouchers are popular (76% - UBS report3)
«The booked position for 2021 is within historical ranges when compared to same time last year with 2021 prices up mid single digits compared to 2020»4
- Ensuring passengers safety will be key to industry recovery:
«If the cruise lines do a good job, a cruise ship could be among the safest places to be anywhere»5 (F. Del Rio, CEO of Norwegian Cruise Line) | |
…ensuring | • We are working with the main cruise operators to implement onboard cruise ships innovative technological |
passenger safety | solutions, aimed at ensuring continuous sanitation of the vessels against bacteria and viruses |
- Repeat cruisers (~55% of total cruise passengers) are more likely to go back on a cruise ship: the real challenge for cruise operators will be attracting new customers6
- Company analysis based on cruise operators' press releases and recent updates
- TUI Group. Investor Relations. (2020). TUI Group ready to resume travel activities [Press release]. Retrieved from: www.tuigroup.com/en-en/media/press-releases/2020/2020-05-13-h1-20
- Business Insider. (2020) «Cruise ship bookings for 2021 are already on the rise despite multiple COVID-19 outbreak». Retrieved from: ww.businessinsider.com/cruise-ship-bookings-are-increasing-for-2021-despite-coronavirus-2020-4?IR=T
- Royal Caribbean, Investor Relations. (2020). Royal Caribbean provides business update [Press release]. Retrieved from: www.rclinvestor.com/press-releases/release/?id=1470
- Sloan, G. (2020). «Norwegian Cruise Line CEO shares his plan for a cruising comeback - and it isn't what you think». Retrieved from: thepointsguy.com/news/norwegian-cruise-ceo-frank-del-rio-future-of-cruising/
(6) | Company analysis based on cruise operators' press releases and recent updates | 12 |
2020 Company Outlook
COVID-19
Safeguarding backlog
Efforts towards diversification
- Yet too early to assess the full brunt of the effect of the pandemic
- Full-yearresults likely to be impacted by:
- Lower production volumes and related operating inefficiencies (e.g. reduced operating leverage, sub- optimal utilization rate of yards)
- Extra costs related to:
- Ensuring the health and safety of our employees (e.g. PPE, thermo-scanning devices, etc.)
- Managing late deliveries
- Negotiations in progress with ship owners to arrange new delivery schedules.
- New delivery plans will also take into account suppliers' and subcontractors' effective availabilities%
- Increased commitment to ensure new opportunities (e.g. in the electronic & software system), aimed at improving business diversification and market visibility in order to successfully weather sector-specificcyclical lows
Outlook | • FY2020 Guidance suspended |
13
Investor Relations contacts
Giuseppe Dado - Chief Financial Officer
Investor Relations Team
Caterina Venier Romano +39 040 319 2229 caterina.venierromano@fincantieri.it
Valentina Fantigrossi +39 040 319 2243
valentina.fantigrossi@fincantieri.it
Institutional Investors
investor.relations@fincantieri.it
Individual Shareholders
azionisti.individuali@fincantieri.it
www.fincantieri.com
14
Q&A
15
Appendix
16
Financial overview - Shipbuilding
Revenues
€ mln
1 | 1 | 0 |
291 | 291 | 303 |
1,113 | 1,118 | 1,133 |
821 | 826 | 830 |
Other Shipbuilding | ||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 - | Naval |
Q1 2020 | ||
Restated (1) | Cruise |
EBITDA
€ mln
7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
83 | 82 | 72 | |
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 - | Q1 2020 | % of Revenues |
Restated | (1) |
Capex
€ mln
35 | ||||||||
30 | ||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
- Restated following the aggregation of Vard Electro into the Shipbuilding segment (ex Offshore)
- "Scarlet Lady" for Virgin, "Seven Seas Splendor" for Regent
- "Le Bellot" for Ponant
- LCS 19 for the US Navy
- For Finnmark havfiske AS
- Revenues: € 1,133 mln (+1.3% vs Q1 2018)
- In line with Q1 2019 results despite production suspension
- EBITDA: € 72 mln, with margin at 6.3%
- Lower profitability due to diminished percentage of completion
- Capex: € 35 mln
- Orders: € 83 mln (€ 6,312 mln in Q1 2019)
- Backlog: € 25,857 mln (€ 28,974 mln in Q1 2019)
- Deliveries:
- 2 Cruise ships(2)
- 1 Expedition cruise vessel(3)
- 1 Naval vessel(4)
- 1 Fishery(5)
17
Financial overview - Offshore & Specialized Vessels
Revenues
€ mln
224 | 203 | 126 |
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 - | Q1 2020 |
Restated (1) |
EBITDA
€ mln
-0.9% | 0.4% | -0.8% | ||||||||||||||
1 | ||||||||||||||||
-2 | -1 | |||||||||||||||
Q1 | 2019 | Q1 | 2019 - | Q1 | 2020 | % of Revenues | ||||||||||
Restated | (1) | |||||||||||||||
Capex
€ mln
- Revenues: € 126 mln (-37.9% vs Q1 2019)
- Reduced production volumes due to lack of orders in the core market and negative effect of EUR/NOK conversion
- EBITDA: € (1) mln, with margin at -0.8%
- Margin break even thanks to successfully completed revision of costs at completion for several projects in 2019
- Capex: € 0 mln
- Orders: € 116 mln (€ 39 mln in Q1 2019)
- Backlog: € 813 mln (€ 920 mln in Q1 2019)
- Deliveries: 3 ships
- 1 OSCV for Island Offshore XII Ship AS
- 1 fishery for Nergard Havfiske AS
- 1 ferry for Boreal Sjø AS
1 | 0 | |||||||||
Q1 | 2019 | Q1 | 2020 |
(1) Restated following the dismissal of small fishery and aquaculture support vessels business (VARD Aukra) and the aggregation of Vard Electro into the Shipbuilding segment (ex Offshore)
18
Financial overview - Equipment, Systems and Services
Revenues
€ mln
205 | ||||||
170 | 170 | |||||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 - | Q1 2020 | ||||
Restated |
EBITDA
€ mln
10.3% | 10.3% | 6.0% | ||||||
18 | 18 | |||||||
12 | ||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2019 - | Q1 2020 | % of Revenues | |||||
Restated |
Capex
€ mln
- Revenues: € 205 mln, up 20.6% vs Q1 2019
- Thanks to the positive contribution of Fincantieri Infrastructure with the reconstruction of the bridge over the Polcevera river in Genoa
- EBITDA: € 12 mln with margin at 6.0%
- Capex: € 7 mln
- Orders: € 157 mln vs € 168 mln in Q1 2019
- Backlog: € 2,008 mln vs € 1,607 mln in Q1 2019
6 | 7 | |||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
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Disclaimer
Fincantieri S.p.A. published this content on 22 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 22 May 2020 08:26:06 UTC