Gas flows from Russia, Europe's top supplier, are running at reduced levels this year after one route was shut when Moscow sent troops into Ukraine in February, some European countries were cut off for refusing to pay for gas in roubles, and a dispute broke out over repairs to a turbine for the Nord Stream 1 pipeline from Russia to Germany. Gas prices have surged as a result.

Russia's economy ministry forecasts that pipeline gas exports by Gazprom will fall to 170.4 billion cubic meters (bcm) this year, compared to its forecast published in May of 185 bcm and versus 205.6 bcm exported - in 2021.

It anticipates the gas volumes will continue to fall beyond this year but did not give any explanation.

As a result of already tight supplies, Gazprom's average gas price was forecast to be $730 per 1,000 cubic meters (cm) in 2022, more than double the $304.6 per 1,000 cm charged last year, and representing a 40% increase compared to the previous forecast of $523.3 per 1,000 cm.

RISING OIL OUTPUT

Russia has started to gradually increase its oil production after sanctions-related curbs and as Asian buyers have increased purchases, leading Moscow to increase its forecasts for output and exports until the end of 2025, the document showed.

Gazprom has also said gas supplies are increasing to China, but has not provided detail and Europe remains by far the bigger market for Russian gas.

Higher oil export volumes, coupled with rising gas prices, would help Russia to earn $337.5 billion and $255.8 billion from energy exports this year and next, respectively. The economy ministry did not reply to request for a comment.

Last year, Russia earned $244.2 billion from energy exports, the ministry said.

Overall, economy ministry forecasts https://www.reuters.com/article/ukraine-crisis-russia-economy-idUKL1N2ZS1CT seen by Reuters earlier this week suggest Russia's economy is dealing with sanctions better than Moscow initially feared and will contract less than expected.

Below is a table of the updated economy ministry forecasts. May forecasts are shown in brackets.

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Oil 524.0 515.0 475.0 480.0 485.0

output, (475.3) (472.8) (476.1) (480.5)

mln T

Oil 231.0 243.1 235.5 240.0 240.5

export, (228.3) (224.8) (228.1) (229.5)

mln T

Oil 144.1 130.0 113.0 109.9 110.8

product (115.3) (121.9) (122.9) (122.9)

export,

mln T

Average 69.1 82.7 72.8 66.0 61.3

Urals oil

price, $ (80.1) (71.4) (66.0) (61.2)

per barrel

Gas 763.5 710.9 713.0 730.0 735.0

output, (720.9) (720.0) (730.0)

billion (735.0)

cubic

meters

Pipeline 205.6 170.4 168.0 165.0 155.3

gas (185.0) (175.0) (165.0) (155.3)

export,

billion

cubic

meters

LNG 29.1 30.7 30.7 35.7 37.2

export, (30.7) (30.7) (35.7) (37.3)

mln T

Gas price, 304.6 730.0 471.8 383.9 331.6

$ per (523.3) (381.0) (336.7)

billion (431.1)

cubic

meters

Revenue 244.2 337.5 255.8 230.8 212.7

from (237.2) (220.8) (204.7)

energy (270.4)

export, $

bln

(Reporting by Reuters; editing by Barbara Lewis)