Projected Income Statement: Gulf Energy Development

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 120,567 196,380 - 273,437 270,509 275,231 281,338 281,278
Change - 62.88% - - -1.07% 1.75% 2.22% -0.02%
Announcement Date 2/22/21 2/18/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/10/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 11,867 22,109 16,541 18,856 24,206 20,668 28,466 26,099
Change - 86.3% -25.18% 13.99% 28.38% -14.62% 37.73% -8.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,289 -8,094 -5,264 -1,755 -4,391 66,514 34,570 38,557
Change - -528.09% 34.97% 66.66% -150.17% 1,614.92% -48.03% 11.53%
Announcement Date 2/22/21 2/18/22 2/16/23 2/15/24 2/10/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gulf Energy Development

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.91% 33.22% 22.89% 19.55% 20.47% 22.46% 24.28% 26.21%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.46% 22.71% 17.51% 15.88% 16.68% 18.2% 19.52% 20.84%
EBT Margin (%) 19.04% 20.04% 16.41% 18.12% 19.91% 26.51% 27.97% 29.58%
Net margin (%) 13.04% 16.16% 12.13% 13.03% 15.03% 21.74% 23.59% 25.81%
FCF margin (%) -3.93% -17.05% -5.59% -1.54% -3.63% 51.12% 26.21% 28.86%
FCF / Net Income (%) -30.09% -105.52% -46.1% -11.81% -24.16% 235.16% 111.11% 111.84%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.25% 2.52% 2.92% 3.39% 3.8% 3.62% 4.02% 4.21%
ROE 8.36% 9.55% 11.01% 13.07% 15.1% 7.76% 7.92% 8.29%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.51x 12.45x - 12.26x 10.93x 9.42x 8.79x 8.03x
Debt / Free cash flow -93.56x -24.26x - -155.8x -61.61x 4.14x 8.14x 7.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.15% 46.58% 17.57% 16.53% 20.02% 15.88% 21.58% 19.54%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 113.28% 140.19% 76.76% 84.56% 97.83% 70.71% 88.91% 74.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -920.9% -273.15% -314.26% -1,074.38% -551.31% 31.07% 82.34% 67.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - 2.911 3.185 3.526
Change - - - - - - 9.41% 10.72%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - 1.236 1.28 1.377
Change - - - - - - 3.56% 7.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 24.45 25.87 26.24
Change - - - - - - 5.79% 1.42%
EPS 1 - - - - - 1.897 2.068 2.304
Change - - - - - - 9.03% 11.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - - 14,939,838 14,939,838 14,939,838
Announcement Date - - - - - - - -
1THB
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 31.2x 28.7x
PBR 2.42x 2.29x
EV / Sales 8.92x 8.85x
Yield 2.09% 2.16%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
59.25THB
Average target price
62.67THB
Spread / Average Target
+5.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. GULF Stock
  4. Financials Gulf Energy Development