Company Valuation: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 454,844 720,048 406,230 417,808 378,481 462,142 - -
Change - 58.31% -43.58% 2.85% -9.41% 22.1% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 442,530 705,518 403,660 424,361 381,939 465,832 464,974 462,216
Change - 59.43% -42.79% 5.13% -10% 21.97% -0.18% -0.59%
P/E ratio -546x 1,087x 61.1x 55.2x -15.3x 137x 104x 61.4x
PBR 4.67x 7x 4.11x 4.02x 4.77x 5.89x 5.75x 5.42x
PEG - -6x 0x 3.6x 0x -1x 3.3x 0.9x
Capitalization / Revenue 12.1x 19.4x 7.12x 5.84x 6.78x 8.45x 7.06x 6.18x
EV / Revenue 11.8x 19.1x 7.07x 5.93x 6.85x 8.52x 7.1x 6.18x
EV / EBITDA 58.7x 96.2x 23.8x 21.4x 36.4x 57.2x 31.8x 25.6x
EV / EBIT 6,605x 815x 46.2x 41.5x 3,080x -1,827x 78.2x 45.6x
EV / FCF 145x 92.8x 78.5x 211x 56.3x 84.6x 104x 73.2x
FCF Yield 0.69% 1.08% 1.27% 0.47% 1.77% 1.18% 0.96% 1.37%
Dividend per Share 2 20 20 21 28 20 20 20.75 30.38
Rate of return 0.42% 0.27% 0.5% 0.64% 0.5% 0.41% 0.43% 0.62%
EPS 2 -8.65 6.88 69.02 79.67 -261 35.45 46.56 79.21
Distribution rate -231% 291% 30.4% 35.1% -7.66% 56.4% 44.6% 38.3%
Net sales 1 37,487 37,034 57,087 71,527 55,796 54,687 65,465 74,766
EBITDA 1 7,535 7,330 16,994 19,800 10,487 8,142 14,630 18,022
EBIT 1 67 865.9 8,739 10,224 124 -255 5,943 10,141
Net income 1 -832 662.5 6,643 7,595 -24,806 3,247 4,461 7,506
Net Debt 1 -12,314 -14,530 -2,570 6,553 3,458 3,691 2,833 74.62
Reference price 2 4,725.00 7,480.00 4,220.00 4,395.00 3,985.00 4,865.00 4,865.00 4,865.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 96,263 96,263 96,263 95,064 94,976 94,993 - -
Announcement Date 5/15/20 5/14/21 5/13/22 5/12/23 5/13/24 - - -
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Yield (Y) Capi.($)
137.24x8.52x57.21x0.41% 3.04B
26.78x3x14.33x1.74% 8.87B
19.39x2.1x9.25x-.--% 5.72B
17.41x1.6x10.05x2.22% 4.96B
370.28x12.31x168.36x0.04% 4.32B
17.81x1.28x7.86x1.64% 4.26B
341.05x70.23x229.52x0.18% 3.86B
56.85x5.1x25.5x0.7% 3.71B
111.56x - - - 3.59B
Average 122.04x 13.02x 65.26x percentage-no-prefix 4.7B
Weighted average by Cap. 105.21x 10.87x 55.35x percentage-no-prefix
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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