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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3,990.00 JPY | +1.27% |
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+7.40% | +5.56% |
Company Valuation: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 720,048 | 406,230 | 417,808 | 378,481 | 300,061 | 377,720 | - | - |
| Change | - | -43.58% | 2.85% | -9.41% | -20.72% | 25.88% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 705,518 | 403,660 | 424,361 | 381,939 | 295,848 | 372,291 | 373,527 | 373,625 |
| Change | - | -42.79% | 5.13% | -10% | -22.54% | 25.84% | 0.33% | 0.03% |
| P/E ratio | 1,087x | 61.1x | 55.2x | -15.3x | 86.4x | 238x | 72.6x | 45.5x |
| PBR | 7x | 4.11x | 4.02x | 4.77x | 3.8x | 4.9x | 4.73x | 4.44x |
| PEG | - | 0x | 3.6x | 0x | -1x | -4.4x | 0x | 0.8x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 19.4x | 7.12x | 5.84x | 6.78x | 5.39x | 6.46x | 5.47x | 4.77x |
| EV / Revenue | 19.1x | 7.07x | 5.93x | 6.85x | 5.32x | 6.37x | 5.41x | 4.71x |
| EV / EBITDA | 96.2x | 23.8x | 21.4x | 36.4x | 36.8x | 38.3x | 26.2x | 20.1x |
| EV / EBIT | 815x | 46.2x | 41.5x | 3,080x | 42,306x | 178x | 53x | 33.9x |
| EV / FCF | 92.8x | 78.5x | 211x | 56.3x | 78.9x | 128x | 64.1x | 50.8x |
| FCF Yield | 1.08% | 1.27% | 0.47% | 1.77% | 1.27% | 0.78% | 1.56% | 1.97% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21.75 | 29.44 |
| Rate of return | 0.27% | 0.5% | 0.64% | 0.5% | 0.63% | 0.5% | 0.55% | 0.74% |
| EPS 2 | 6.88 | 69.02 | 79.67 | -261 | 36.57 | 16.77 | 54.99 | 87.74 |
| Distribution rate | 291% | 30.4% | 35.1% | -7.66% | 54.7% | 119% | 39.6% | 33.6% |
| Net sales 1 | 37,034 | 57,087 | 71,527 | 55,796 | 55,646 | 58,427 | 69,039 | 79,242 |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,330 | 16,994 | 19,800 | 10,487 | 8,030 | 9,725 | 14,249 | 18,623 |
| EBIT 1 | 865.9 | 8,739 | 10,224 | 124 | 6.993 | 2,087 | 7,050 | 11,013 |
| Net income 1 | 662.5 | 6,643 | 7,595 | -24,806 | 3,474 | 1,588 | 5,210 | 8,105 |
| Net Debt 1 | -14,530 | -2,570 | 6,553 | 3,458 | -4,213 | -5,429 | -4,193 | -4,096 |
| Reference price 2 | 7,480.00 | 4,220.00 | 4,395.00 | 3,985.00 | 3,160.00 | 3,990.00 | 3,990.00 | 3,990.00 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 96,263 | 96,263 | 95,064 | 94,976 | 94,956 | 94,667 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/21 | 5/13/22 | 5/12/23 | 5/13/24 | 5/14/25 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 237.98x | 6.37x | 38.28x | 0.5% | 2.37B | ||
| 17.9x | - | - | - | 13.4B | ||
| 21.48x | 2.62x | 11.3x | 2.25% | 9.12B | ||
| 23.37x | 2.14x | 9.46x | -.--% | 6.47B | ||
| 122.31x | 38.6x | 92.25x | - | 6.01B | ||
| 18.81x | 1.59x | 9.64x | 2.25% | 6.03B | ||
| 305.18x | 65.04x | 222.08x | 0.11% | 5.63B | ||
| 38.89x | - | - | - | 2.84B | ||
| 36.19x | 3.2x | 16.24x | 0.98% | 2.7B | ||
| Average | 91.35x | 17.08x | 57.03x | 1.01% | 6.06B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 71.95x | 17.46x | 56.39x | 1.19% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
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