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Real-time Euronext Paris  -  11:35 2022-08-17 am EDT
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We need to talk about Gucci: Kering sets plan to boost brand in China

06/07/2022 | 09:15am EDT
Staff members wearing face masks are seen inside a store of an Italian luxury brand Gucci at a shopping mall, as the country is hit by an outbreak of the novel coronavirus, in Beijing

PARIS/SHANGHAI (Reuters) - Kering will outline plans to reinvigorate sales at its star label Gucci this week, throwing the spotlight on its approach in China - a key growth driver for leading luxury houses that has been hit by its new COVID lockdowns.

Investors are closely watching the Chinese market, set to become the biggest for the luxury sector by 2025, to gauge how much the strict pandemic containment measures since March have impacted demand for high end fashion and accessories.

Kering has recruited former Tiffany executive Laurent Cathala to run Chinese operations for Gucci, which provides more than half the group's total's revenue.

Cathala is expected to bolster local teams, giving them control of marketing and advertising activities, analysts said, an unusual move in an industry where strategy is normally dictated by Europe-based executives in Paris or Milan.

Empowering local teams is key at a time when knowing your customer and understanding their culture is becoming increasingly important, according to Leaf Greener, a luxury brand consultant based in Shanghai.

"The brands haven't paid enough attention to how to build up this cultural bridge. The sooner they start, the better," Greener said. "It's not just about using celebrities to sell a lot of product anymore."

Kering, which makes its investor presentation on Wednesday and Thursday, declined to comment.

China's sputtering economy has a lot riding on its consumers, who are just now emerging from lockdowns in Shanghai and other big cities. Analysts say government stimulus measures may not be enough to drive a recovery in consumer spending. []

Gucci suffered more than rivals like LVMH-owned Louis Vuitton or Hermes in the first quarter of the year due to the restrictions.

Kering shares have fallen 26% since the beginning of the year compared to a 16% decline for spirits-to-jewellery conglomerate LVMH, which is seen as more resilient to economic downturns as its business is more diversified.


Chief Financial Officer Jean-Marc Duplaix said Gucci's underperformance was partly because the brand is more exposed to mainland China than some competitors. Barclays estimates the label generates around 35% of annual sales in China, compared to 27% for LVMH's fashion and leather goods division and 26% for Hermes.

With restrictions easing this month, investors will be keen to hear how Kering will seek to regain lost ground.

"Beyond current trading, we think investors also need reassurance on the brand's fundamentals", Barclays analysts said in a note.

Under CEO Marco Bizzarri and creative director Alessandro Michele, Gucci's profits increased nearly four-fold and its revenue almost trebled in 2015-19. Much of the brand's success up until recently relied on well-heeled, young Chinese shoppers traveling to Europe's fashion capitals and snapping up Michele's quirky, flamboyant designs.

But growth slowed as international travel froze during the pandemic, fuelling questions over what Kering might do to boost sales and reduce its dependence on the label - including potentially through M&A deals. Gucci has branched out into make-up and homeware to widen its appeal and also launched a collaboration with Adidas.

Analysts at Jefferies are not expecting a quick return to growth rates in China seen in the second half of last year, citing muted footfall in cities like Shenzhen and Shenyang earlier in the year after lockdown measures eased.

They expect luxury sales to drop 15% in the country over the first half, followed by growth of around 11% in the second half.

Kering will also speak about its Yves Saint Laurent brand and its jewelry and glasses businesses at its 'Capital Markets Day'.

(Additional reporting by Silvia Aloisi; Editing by Matt Scuffham and Emelia Sithole-Matarise)

By Mimosa Spencer and Casey Hall

© Reuters 2022
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
ADIDAS AG -2.46% 169.1 Delayed Quote.-31.53%
BARCLAYS PLC -1.07% 168.68 Delayed Quote.-8.82%
CHRISTIAN DIOR SE 0.00% 678.5 Real-time Quote.-7.05%
HERMÈS INTERNATIONAL 0.29% 1393.5 Real-time Quote.-9.54%
KERING -0.11% 563.5 Real-time Quote.-20.20%
LVMH MOËT HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE 0.21% 700.4 Real-time Quote.-3.87%
08/16Richemont investor Bluebell rejects luxury group's arguments against board candidate
08/03EBay's luxury focus drives earnings beat as consumer spending slows
08/01HERMES : Deutsche Bank remains Neutral
08/01HERMES : Goldman Sachs maintains a Sell rating
07/29European Bourses Close Higher Friday as Eurozone Q2 GDP Growth Tops Estimates
07/29HERMES : JP Morgan reiterates its Neutral rating
07/29Hermes snubs luxury resale market
07/29WEI LI : luxury companies thrive
07/29Hermes Shares Fly High After 1st Half Profit Soared Despite China Drag
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Sales 2022 10 810 M 11 000 M 11 000 M
Net income 2022 2 866 M 2 916 M 2 916 M
Net cash 2022 7 952 M 8 092 M 8 092 M
P/E ratio 2022 50,6x
Yield 2022 0,67%
Capitalization 145 B 148 B 148 B
EV / Sales 2022 12,7x
EV / Sales 2023 11,4x
Nbr of Employees 18 428
Free-Float 32,1%
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Technical analysis trends HERMÈS INTERNATIONAL
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Income Statement Evolution
Mean consensus OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts 20
Last Close Price 1 389,50 €
Average target price 1 310,81 €
Spread / Average Target -5,66%
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Managers and Directors
Axel Dumas Co-Executive Chairman-Management Board
Henri-Louis Bauer Co-Executive Chairman-Management Board
Éric Marie Joseph du Halgouët Executive Vice President-Finance
Éric de Seynes Chairman-Supervisory Board
Nicolas Faure Operations Director
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