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MarketScreener Homepage  >  Equities  >  Nyse  >  HollyFrontier Corporation    HFC

HOLLYFRONTIER CORPORATION

(HFC)
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HollyFrontier : HFC Index

10/01/2020 | 04:25pm EST

HollyFrontier Corporation Regional Crack Spread Index

Crude Charge

3Q18

4Q18

1Q19

2Q19

3Q19

4Q19

1Q20

2Q20

3Q20

442,000

406,000

400,000

453,000

476,000

380-390k

425-435k

300-340k

340-370k

*Anticipated crude charge based on guidance given on 8/6/20 earnings call

Refining Index

WTI Based 321

1Q 2020

2Q 2020

3Q 2020

4Q 2020

Crack

Jan

Feb

Mar

1Q20

Apr

May

Jun

2Q20

Jul

Aug

Sep

3Q20

Oct

Nov

Dec

4Q20

MidCon

$10.98

$13.57

$7.43

$10.66

$7.61

$7.59

$8.52

$7.91

$8.56

$7.81

$8.44

$8.27

Rockies

$13.27

$19.00

$19.59

$17.29

$11.92

$18.56

$23.98

$18.15

$21.59

$20.67

$17.62

$19.96

Southwest

$25.37

$26.70

$18.79

$23.62

$13.26

$13.60

$17.12

$14.66

$15.52

$15.67

$17.20

$16.13

WTI Based 321

1Q 2019

2Q 2019

3Q 2019

4Q 2019

Crack

Jan

Feb

Mar

1Q19

Apr

May

Jun

2Q19

Jul

Aug

Sep

3Q19

Oct

Nov

Dec

4Q19

MidCon

$9.32

$14.48

$20.42

$14.74

$20.76

$21.38

$17.83

$19.99

$19.05

$15.75

$17.07

$17.29

$18.35

$14.76

$10.61

$14.57

Rockies

$13.82

$13.16

$19.54

$15.51

$28.01

$36.78

$31.79

$32.19

$25.65

$27.06

$27.84

$26.85

$35.44

$36.20

$13.44

$28.36

Southwest

$15.56

$18.30

$23.59

$19.15

$30.71

$35.35

$27.85

$31.30

$25.94

$28.33

$26.06

$26.78

$29.04

$31.60

$23.07

$27.90

Base Oil Index

VGO Based

1Q 2020

2Q 2020

3Q 2020

4Q 2020

Base Oil Crack

Jan

Feb

Mar

1Q20

Apr

May

Jun

2Q20

Jul

Aug

Sep

3Q20

Oct

Nov

Dec

4Q20

Group I

$8.45

$19.32

$35.44

$21.07

$29.78

$10.13

$5.67

$15.19

$9.28

$13.60

$24.62

$15.83

Group II

$6.47

$17.78

$34.27

$19.51

$27.41

$7.87

$4.41

$13.23

$8.65

$13.23

$23.87

$15.25

Group III

$38.68

$46.59

$66.12

$50.46

$68.94

$53.27

$50.05

$57.42

$50.93

$56.04

$63.32

$56.76

VGO Based

1Q 2019

2Q 2019

3Q 2019

4Q 2019

Base Oil Crack

Jan

Feb

Mar

1Q19

Apr

May

Jun

2Q19

Jul

Aug

Sep

3Q19

Oct

Nov

Dec

4Q19

Group I

$19.95

$13.34

$9.77

$14.35

$8.23

$8.29

$16.96

$11.16

$16.46

$18.95

$16.38

$17.26

$14.91

$8.35

$5.78

$9.68

Group II

$18.13

$10.54

$7.14

$11.94

$5.66

$6.26

$15.51

$9.14

$14.81

$17.85

$16.10

$16.25

$12.77

$5.78

$3.29

$7.28

Group III

$51.03

$47.99

$44.17

$47.73

$40.96

$41.65

$47.36

$43.32

$45.30

$48.37

$46.69

$46.79

$44.30

$41.30

$39.20

$41.60

The preceding data is for informational purposes only and is not reflective or intended to be an indicator of HollyFrontier's past or future financial results. This data is general industry information and does not reflect prices paid or received by HFC. The data was compiled from publicly available information, various industry publications, other published industry sources, including OPIS and Argus, and our own internal data and estimates. Although this data is believed to be reliable, HFC has not had this information verified by independent sources. HFC does not make any representation as to the accuracy of the data and does not undertake any obligation to update, revise or continue to provide the data.

HollyFrontier Corporation Regional Crack Spread Index

Light Product Index Appendix

Product Yield by Region

Feedstocks by Region

Upcoming Turnarounds

Average Product Yield 2019

Average Crude Slate 2019

Refinery

Timing

Length

Units

Index

MidCon

Rockies

Southwest

Index

MidCon

Rockies

Southwest

Mississauga

3Q20

33 days

HTU-1, MEK, HTU-2

Gasoline

67%

51%

53%

52%

Sweet

100%

55%

36%

21%

Distillate

33%

39%

38%

37%

Sour

24%

0%

70%

Asphalt

3%

5%

5%

Heavy

16%

32%

0%

Base Oils

4%

0%

0%

Black Wax

0%

24%

0%

LPG & other

3%

4%

6%

Other

5%

8%

9%

Other products include Fuel Oil and Gas Oil

Other feedstocks include butane, natural gasoline, propane, and olefins

Numbers are rounded and may not sum to 100%

Numbers are rounded and may not sum to 100%

HFC's actual pricing and margins may differ from benchmark indicators due to many factors. For example:

  • Crude Slate differences - HFC runs a wide variety of crude oils across its refining system and crude slate may vary quarter to quarter.
  • Product Yield differences - HFC's product yield differs from indicator and can vary quarter to quarter as a result of changes in economics, crude slate, and operational downtime.
  • Other differences including but not limited to secondary costs such as product and feedstock transportation costs, purchases of environmental credits, quality differences, location of purchase or sale, and hedging gains/losses. Moreover, the presented indicators are generally based on spot sales, which may differ from realized contract prices.
    Market prices are available from a variety of sources, each of which may vary slightly. Please note that this data may differ from other sources due to adjustments made by data providers and due to differing data definitions. Below are indicator definitions used for purposes of this data.

MidCon Indicator:

(100% Group 3: Sub octane and ULSD) - WTI

Rockies Indicator as of July 1, 2016: 50% Cheyenne: ((100% Denver Regular Gasoline; 100% Denver ULSD) - WTI)

50% Woods Cross: ((60% Salt Lake City Regular Gasoline, 40% Las Vegas Regular Gasoline; 80% Salt Lake City ULSD, 20% Las Vegas ULSD) - WTI)

Rockies Indicator 2011- July-2016: 60% Cheyenne: ((100% Denver Regular Gasoline; 100% Denver ULSD) - WTI)

40% Woods Cross: ((60% Salt Lake City Regular Gasoline, 40% Las Vegas Regular Gasoline; 80% Salt Lake City ULSD, 20% Las Vegas ULSD) - WTI)

Southwest Indicator 2013-Current: (50% El Paso Subgrade, 50% Phoenix CBG; 50% El Paso ULSD, 50% Phoenix ULSD) - WTI

Southwest Indicator 2011-2012: (50% El Paso Regular, 50% Phoenix CBG; 50% El Paso ULSD, 50% Phoenix ULSD) - WTI

Lubricants Index Appendix

HFC's actual pricing and margins differ from benchmark indicators due to many factors. For example:

-Retail/Distribution- HFC and PCLI use commodity base oils to produce finished lubricants, specialty products and white oils that are sold into the retail market worldwide and have a wide variety of price ranges.

  • Feedstock differences - HFC runs a variety of vacuum gas oil streams and hydrocracker bottms across its refining system and feedstock slate may vary quarter to quarter.
  • Product Yield differences - HFC's product yield differs from indicator and can vary quarter to quarter as a result of changes in economics and feedstocks.
  • Other differences including, but not limited to secondary costs such as product and feedstock transportation costs, quality differences and location of purchase or sale. Moreover, the presented indicators are generally based on spot commodity base oil sales, which may differ from realized contract prices.

Market prices are available from a variety of sources, each of which may vary slightly. Please note that this data may differ from other sources due to adjustments made by data providers and due to differing data definitions. Below are indicator definitions used for purposes of this data.

Group I Base Oil Indicator

(50% Group I SN150, 50% Group I SN500)-VGO

Group II Base Oil Indicator

(33.3%

Group II N100, 33.3% Group II N220, 33.3% Group II N600)-VGO

Group III Base Oil Indicator

(33.3%

Group III 4cst, 33.3% Group III 6cst, 33.3% Group III 8cst)-VGO

VGO

(US Gulf Coast Low Sulfur Vacuum Gas Oil)

Statements made and information that are not historical facts are "forward looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are inherently uncertain and necessarily involve risks that may affect the business prospects and performance of HFC, and actual results may differ materially from estimates. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to actual crude charge differing from the Company's expectations, the demand for and supply of crude oil and refined products and the spread between market prices for refined products and market prices for crude oil. Additional information on risks and uncertainties that could affect the business prospects and performance of HFC is provided in the most recent reports of HFC filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking statements included herein are expressly qualified in their entirety by the foregoing cautionary statements. HFC undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

This is an excerpt of the original content. To continue reading it, access the original document here.

Disclaimer

HollyFrontier Corporation published this content on 01 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 01 October 2020 20:24:00 UTC


© Publicnow 2020
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Financials (USD)
Sales 2020 10 844 M - -
Net income 2020 -525 M - -
Net Debt 2020 1 893 M - -
P/E ratio 2020 -7,74x
Yield 2020 5,55%
Capitalization 4 063 M 4 063 M -
EV / Sales 2020 0,55x
EV / Sales 2021 0,51x
Nbr of Employees 4 074
Free-Float 62,6%
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Technical analysis trends HOLLYFRONTIER CORPORATION
Short TermMid-TermLong Term
TrendsBullishNeutralBearish
Income Statement Evolution
Consensus
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus HOLD
Number of Analysts 18
Average target price 28,59 $
Last Close Price 25,24 $
Spread / Highest target 62,4%
Spread / Average Target 13,3%
Spread / Lowest Target -24,7%
EPS Revisions
Managers
NameTitle
Michael C. Jennings President, CEO, Director & Executive VP
Franklin Myers Chairman
Timothy Go Chief Operating Officer & Executive Vice President
Richard Lawrence Voliva Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President
Douglas Y. Bech Lead Independent Director
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