Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 38,682 26,719 22,547
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% -17.33% -30.93% -15.61%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,614 1,687 1,712
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% -0.16% 4.53% 1.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,886 17,672 19,149
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 7.82% 11.25% 8.36%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 27.98% 29.22% 29.33%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 20.22% 21.05% 22.11%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 16.89% 18.03% 19.46%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 14.9% 16.05% 16.19%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 22.31% 23.77% 24.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 149.71% 148.12% 150.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 7.53% 7.92% 8.28%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 33.11% 30.31% 28.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 1.94x 1.23x 0.98x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 2.44x 1.51x 1.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.27% 2.27% 2.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 8.11% 7.77% 7.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.16% 9.55% 8.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 17.74 19.27 24.07
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 27.59% 8.62% 24.91%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 - 6.754 6.802 6.84
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% - - 0.71% 0.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 - 40.75 47.37 55.05
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% - - 16.26% 16.2%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 10.86 12.09 13.51
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -2.81% 11.39% 11.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 938,409 938,409 938,409
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.7x 20.4x
PBR 6.04x 5.2x
EV / Sales 3.79x 3.47x
Yield 2.74% 2.76%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
246.28USD
Average target price
318.34USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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