Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 47,263 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 38,944 28,716 22,129
Change - -6.59% -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% -3.05% -26.26% -22.94%
Announcement Date 1/21/21 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,042 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,581 1,668 1,723
Change - -21.73% -21.88% -20% -24.26% 40.33% 5.46% 3.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,805 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 13,508 14,503 15,448
Change - -39.77% 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 5.96% 7.36% 6.52%
Announcement Date 1/21/21 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.89% - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 26.25% 27.12% 27.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.8% - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 18.87% 19.25% 19.14%
EBT Margin (%) 6.3% 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.01% 15.78% 16.02%
Net margin (%) 7.59% 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 13.14% 13.84% 14.38%
FCF margin (%) 14.68% 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 20.38% 20.96% 21.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 193.29% 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 155.11% 151.43% 148.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.05% 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 6.42% 6.64% 6.82%
ROE 37.52% 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 34.28% 30.75% 28.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.07x - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.24x 1.53x 1.13x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.37x 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 2.88x 1.98x 1.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.13% 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.41% 2.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 19.78% - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 9.09% 8.89% 8.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.15% 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 11.71% 11.5% 11.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.3 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 16.63 16.48 17.05
Change - -30.3% -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% 15.93% -0.92% 3.48%
Dividend per Share 1 6.51 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 6.743 6.843 6.885
Change - 0.61% -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% 1.09% 1.48% 0.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.13 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.14 33.64 38.8 44.52
Change - -8.82% 15.24% 1.3% 18.32% 15.44% 15.36% 14.73%
EPS 1 6.23 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 9.086 9.868 10.39
Change - 1.93% -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 41.31% 8.61% 5.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 891,057 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 909,397 909,397 909,397
Announcement Date 1/21/21 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 31.2x 28.7x
PBR 8.43x 7.31x
EV / Sales 4.53x 4.19x
Yield 2.38% 2.41%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
283.59USD
Average target price
264.42USD
Spread / Average Target
-6.76%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise