Projected Income Statement: Intrum AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Intrum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 49,105 46,951 48,264 - 56,712 46,410 41,949 38,336
Change - -4.39% 2.8% - - -18.17% -9.61% -8.61%
Announcement Date 2/4/20 1/28/21 1/22/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Intrum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 8,311 5,807 7,302 5,464 3,427 2,280 2,295
Change - -30.13% 25.74% - -37.28% -33.47% 0.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,919 2,909 2,740 -153 10,557 5,388 5,842
Change - -251.59% -5.81% - -7,000% -48.96% 8.41%
Announcement Date 2/4/20 1/28/21 1/22/22 1/25/24 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Intrum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 71.59% 68.89% 69.2% 38.55% 65% 32.67% 39.01% 39.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 38.84% 34.06% 39.43% 34.2% 28.93% 25.66% 26.14% 27.52%
EBT Margin (%) 0.87% 15.63% 24.18% -16.68% 4.2% 10.13% 8.57% 10.15%
Net margin (%) -2.26% 11.16% 17.58% -22.96% -0.94% -1.75% 7.58% 4.79%
FCF margin (%) -12.01% 17.27% 15.4% - -0.77% 56.47% 28.43% 30.13%
FCF / Net Income (%) 530.11% 154.65% 87.62% - 81.38% -3,230.19% 374.95% 629.53%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.67% 3.24% 3.69% - - 0.5% - 0.87%
ROE 16.58% 13.15% 15.15% - -1.07% 2.75% 6.81% 7.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.29x 4.05x 3.92x - 4.36x 7.6x 5.67x 5.03x
Debt / Free cash flow -25.59x 16.14x 17.61x - -370.67x 4.4x 7.78x 6.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 51.99% 34.47% 41.05% - 27.32% 18.33% 12.03% 11.84%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 72.62% 50.03% 59.32% - 42.03% 56.11% 30.84% 30.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -433.09% 199.62% 266.5% - -3,571.24% 32.46% 42.31% 39.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 70.35 82.99 - - - - -
Change - - 17.97% - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 11 12 13.5 - - - - -
Change - 9.09% 12.5% - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 168 154.3 183.3 - 139 117.5 126.2 134
Change - -8.15% 18.83% - - -15.43% 7.41% 6.17%
EPS 1 -2.76 15.18 25.88 -37.07 -1.56 -9.002 8.343 9.503
Change - -650% 70.49% -243.24% -95.79% 477.08% -192.68% 13.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 130,941 120,871 120,797 120,537 120,537 120,602 120,602 120,602
Announcement Date 2/4/20 1/28/21 1/22/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio -5.63x 6.08x
PBR 0.43x 0.4x
EV / Sales 2.81x 2.54x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
50.70SEK
Average target price
43.67SEK
Spread / Average Target
-13.87%
Consensus
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