The following discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations should be read together with our condensed consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, which appear elsewhere herein.





Explanatory Note


As of the date of filing of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (this "Report"), there continue to be uncertainties regarding the Novel Coronavirus ("COVID-19") pandemic ("the pandemic"), including the scope of health issues, the duration of the pandemic, and the continuing local and worldwide social, and economic disruption. To date, the pandemic has had far-reaching impacts on many aspects of the operations of JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (the "Company," "we," "our" or "us"), including on consumer behavior, customer store traffic, production capabilities, timing of product availability, our employees' personal and business lives, and the market generally. The scope and nature of these impacts continue to evolve each day. The pandemic has resulted in, and may continue to result in, regional and local quarantines, labor stoppages and shortages, changes in consumer purchasing patterns, mandatory or elective shut-downs of retail locations, disruptions to supply chains, including the inability of our suppliers and service providers to deliver materials and services on a timely basis, or at all, severe market volatility, liquidity disruptions, and overall economic instability, which, in many cases, have had, and we expect will continue to have, adverse impacts on our business, financial condition and results of operations. This situation is changing rapidly, and additional impacts may arise that we are not aware of currently.

We expect to continue to assess the evolving impact of the pandemic on our customers, consumers, employees, supply chain, and operations, and intend to make adjustments to our responses accordingly. However, the extent to which the pandemic and our precautionary measures in response thereto may impact our business, financial condition, and results of operations will depend on how the pandemic and its impact continues to develop in the United States and elsewhere in the world, which remains highly uncertain and cannot be predicted at this time.

The pandemic continues to have a lasting impact on household consumption and wealth. Changes in personal behavior brought on by the pandemic in combination with government spending and stimulus have created an inflationary environment in many countries around the world, the United States included. The war in Ukraine has also been disruptive to the economies of Europe in particular. Global supply chains designed for optimized efficiency with minimal slack have been challenged to react in surges and rapid declines in demand, while also accounting for spikes in factor cost inputs like labor and fuel.

In light of these uncertainties, for purposes of this report, except where otherwise indicated, the descriptions of our business, our strategies, our risk factors, and any other forward-looking statements, including regarding us, our business and the market generally, do not reflect the potential impact of the pandemic and the follow-on market volatility. In addition, the disclosures contained in this report are made only as of the date hereof, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as otherwise required by law. For further information, see "Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors."

Disclosure Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This Report includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. For example, statements included in this Report regarding our financial position, business strategy and other plans and objectives for future operations, and assumptions and predictions about future product demand, supply, manufacturing, costs, marketing and pricing factors are all forward-looking statements. When we use words like "intend," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "plan" or "expect," or other words of a similar import, we are making forward-looking statements. We believe that the assumptions and expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, based upon information available to us on the date hereof (but excluding the impact of COVID-19, as described above in "Explanatory Note"), but we cannot assure you that these assumptions and expectations will prove to have been correct or that we will take any action that we may presently be planning. We have disclosed certain important factors (e.g., see "Explanatory Note" and "Risk Factors") that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations elsewhere in this Report. You should understand that forward-looking statements made in this Report are necessarily qualified by these factors. We are not undertaking to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement if we obtain new information or upon the occurrence of future events or otherwise.





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Critical Accounting Policies & Estimates

Our critical accounting policies and estimates are included in the 2021 Annual Report on Form 10-K and did not materially change during the first nine months of 2022.

New Accounting Pronouncements.

See Note 1 to the condensed consolidated financial statements.





Results of Operations


The following unaudited table sets forth, for the periods indicated, certain statement of income data as a percentage of net sales:





                                              Three Months Ended            Nine Months Ended
                                                 September 30,                September 30,
                                                  (Unaudited)                  (Unaudited)
                                              2022           2021           2022          2021
Net sales                                       100.0  %       100.0 %        100.0 %       100.0  %
Cost of sales:
Cost of goods                                    54.0           53.2           55.4          53.4
Royalty expense                                  16.3           13.6           16.0          14.3
Amortization of tools and molds                   1.2            1.6            1.1           1.6
Cost of sales                                    71.5           68.4           72.5          69.3
Gross profit                                     28.5           31.6           27.5          30.7
Direct selling expenses                           2.6            4.5            3.0           5.5
General and administrative expenses               9.1           11.3           12.7          16.5
Depreciation and amortization                     0.1            0.3            0.2           0.4
Selling, general and administrative
expenses                                         11.8           16.1           15.9          22.4
Intangibles impairment                              -              -              -             -
Income from operations                           16.7           15.5           11.6           8.3
Other income (expense), net                       0.1              -              -             -
Change in fair value of preferred stock
derivative liability                             (2.3 )            -           (0.3 )        (2.1 )
Change in fair value of convertible
senior notes                                        -           (1.5 )            -          (3.8 )
Gain on loan forgiveness                            -            2.6              -           1.4
Loss on debt extinguishment                         -              -              -          (1.7 )
Interest income                                     -              -              -             -
Interest expense                                 (1.4 )         (1.1 )         (1.3 )        (2.7 )
Income (loss) before provision for
income taxes                                     13.1           15.5           10.0          (0.6 )
Provision for income taxes                        3.6            0.1            2.0           0.1
Net income (loss)                                 9.5           15.4            8.0          (0.7 )
Net income (loss) attributable to
non-controlling interests                           -              -              -             -
Net income (loss) attributable to JAKKS
Pacific, Inc.                                     9.5  %        15.4 %          8.0 %        (0.7 )%




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The following unaudited table summarizes, for the periods indicated, certain statements of operations data by segment (in thousands):





                           Three Months Ended           Nine Months Ended
                              September 30,               September 30,
                               (Unaudited)                 (Unaudited)
                           2022          2021          2022          2021

Net Sales Toys/Consumer Products $ 269,607 $ 172,952 $ 529,590 $ 334,365 Costumes

                    53,391        64,005       134,711        98,787
                           322,998       236,957       664,301       433,152

Cost of Sales Toys/Consumer Products 186,309 115,107 375,015 225,276 Costumes

                    44,778        46,926       106,568        74,961
                           231,087       162,033       481,583       300,237
Gross Profit
Toys/Consumer Products      83,298        57,845       154,575       109,089
Costumes                     8,613        17,079        28,143        23,826
                         $  91,911     $  74,924     $ 182,718     $ 132,915

Comparison of the Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 and 2021

Net Sales

Toys/Consumer Products. Net sales of our Toys/Consumer Products segment were $269.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $173.0 million for the prior year period, representing an increase of $96.6 million, or 55.8%. The Doll/Dress-Up/Nurturing Play and Action Play and Collectibles division sales increased, led by Disney Encanto™ and Sonic the Hedgehog®.

Costumes. Net sales of our Costumes segment were $53.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $64.0 million for the prior year period, representing a decrease of $10.6 million, or 16.6%. The decrease in sales was related to earlier customer shipments in the second quarter to mitigate possible supply chain issues experienced a year ago.





Cost of Sales


Toys/Consumer Products. Cost of sales of our Toys/Consumer Products segment was $186.3 million, or 69.1% of related net sales for the three months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $115.1 million, or 66.5% of related net sales for the prior year period, representing an increase of $71.2 million, or 61.9%. The increase in dollars is related to higher overall sales. The increase as a percentage of net sales, year over year, is due to a higher average royalty rate and higher freight costs, slightly offset by lower product costs.

Costumes. Cost of sales of our Costumes segment was $44.8 million, or 83.9% of related net sales for the three months ended September 30, 2022, compared to $46.9 million, or 73.3% of related net sales for the prior year period, representing a decrease in dollars of $2.1 million, or 4.5%. The decrease in dollars is related to lower overall sales. The increase as a percentage of net sales was driven by higher product cost and a higher average royalty rate.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Selling, general and administrative expenses were $38.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $38.2 million for the prior year period constituting 11.8% and 16.1% of net sales, respectively. Selling, general and administrative expenses were flat versus prior year due to lower selling costs offset by higher general and administrative costs.





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Interest Expense


Interest expense was $4.4 million for the three months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $2.7 million in the prior year period. During the three months ended September 30, 2022, we incurred interest expense of $3.4 million related to our 2021 BSP Term Loan, $0.2 million related to our revolving credit facility and $0.8 million related to other borrowing costs. During the three months ended September 30, 2021, we incurred interest expense of $2.4 million related to our 2021 BSP Term Loan, $0.2 million related to our revolving credit facility and $0.1 million related to our convertible senior notes due in 2023.

Provision For Income Taxes

Our income tax expense, which includes federal, state and foreign income taxes and discrete items, was $11.6 million, or an effective tax rate of 27.4%, for the three months ended September 30, 2022. During the comparable period in 2021, our income tax expense was $0.3 million, or an effective tax rate of 0.8%.

Comparison of the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 and 2021

Net Sales

Toys/Consumer Products. Net sales of our Toys/Consumer Products segment were $529.6 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $334.4 million for the prior year period, representing an increase of $195.2 million, or 58.4%. The Doll/Dress-Up/Nurturing Play and Action Play and Collectibles division sales increased, led by Disney Encanto™ and Sonic the Hedgehog®.

Costumes. Net sales of our Costumes segment were $134.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $98.8 million for the prior year period, representing an increase of $35.9 million, or 36.3%. The increase in sales was related to increased points of distribution in both the North America and International markets.





Cost of Sales


Toys/Consumer Products. Cost of sales of our Toys/Consumer Products segment was $375.0 million, or 70.8% of related net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $225.3 million, or 67.4% of related net sales for the prior year period, representing an increase of $149.7 million, or 66.4%. The increase in dollars is related to higher overall sales. The increase as a percentage of net sales, year over year, is due to higher freight costs and a higher average royalty rate.

Costumes. Cost of sales of our Costumes segment was $106.6 million, or 79.1% of related net sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, compared to $75.0 million, or 75.9% of related net sales for the prior year period, representing an increase in dollars of $31.6 million, or 42.1%. The increase in dollars is related to higher overall sales. The increase as a percentage of net sales was driven by higher product cost and a higher average royalty rate.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

Selling, general and administrative expenses were $105.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to $97.1 million for the prior year period constituting 15.9% and 22.4% of net sales, respectively. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased as a result of higher payroll costs.





Interest Expense


Interest expense was $8.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $11.9 million in the prior year period. During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, we incurred interest expense of $7.4 million related to our 2021 BSP Term Loan, $0.5 million related to our revolving credit facility and $1.0 million related to other borrowing costs. During the nine months ended September 30, 2021, we incurred interest expense of $7.3 million related to our 2019 Recap Term Loan, $3.3 million related to our 2021 BSP Term Loan, $0.7 million related to our convertible senior notes due in 2023 and $0.6 million related to our revolving credit facility.





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Provision For (Benefit From) Income Taxes

Our income tax expense, which includes federal, state and foreign income taxes and discrete items, was $13.3 million, or an effective tax rate of 20.1%, for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. During the comparable period in 2021, our income tax expense was $0.3 million, or an effective tax rate of (11.7%).





Seasonality and Backlog


The retail toy industry is inherently seasonal. Generally, our sales have been highest during the third and fourth quarters, and collections for those sales have been highest during the succeeding fourth and first quarters. Our working capital needs have been highest during the second and third quarters as we make royalty advance payments for some of our licenses and buy and sell inventory subject to customer payment terms. The pandemic has somewhat disrupted historical industry seasonality. Consumer demand for certain product categories has surged during this time. Surges in consumer demand have also strained the supply-chain, lengthening the amount of time it takes to move products from factory to warehouse to customers. Customers have also had increased challenges in managing their inventory levels, resulting in either out-of-stock or over-supply scenarios, depending on the product category and product line.

While we have taken steps to level sales over the entire year, sales are expected to remain heavily influenced by the seasonality of our toy and costume products. The result of these seasonal patterns is that operating results and the demand for working capital may vary significantly by quarter. Orders placed with us are generally cancelable until the date of shipment. The combination of seasonal demand and the potential for order cancellation makes accurate forecasting of future sales difficult and causes us to believe that backlog may not be an accurate indicator of our future sales. Similarly, financial results for a particular quarter may not be indicative of results for the entire year.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

As of September 30, 2022, we had working capital (inclusive of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash) of $135.8 million, compared to $114.5 million as of December 31, 2021, representing an increase in working capital of $21.3 million during the nine-month period ended September 30, 2022.

Operating activities provided net cash of $75.3 million during the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to net cash used of $26.9 million in the prior year period. The increase in net cash provided by operating activities year-over-year is primarily due to a higher net income and lower working capital usage, partially offset by lower non-cash charges related to valuation adjustments for our convertible senior notes and preferred stock derivative liability. Other than open purchase orders issued in the normal course of business related to shipped product, we have no obligations to purchase inventory from our manufacturers. However, we may incur costs or other losses as a result of not placing orders consistent with our forecasts for product manufactured by our suppliers or manufacturers for a variety of reasons including customer order cancellations or a decline in demand. As part of our strategy to develop and market new products, we have entered into various character and product licenses with royalties/obligations generally ranging from 1% to 22% payable on net sales of such products. As of September 30, 2022, these agreements required future aggregate minimum royalty guarantees of $71.4 million exclusive of $1.1 million in advances already paid. Of this $71.4 million future minimum royalty guarantee, $25.4 million is due over the next twelve months.

Investing activities used net cash of $8.1 million and $6.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively, and consisted primarily of cash paid for the purchase of molds and tooling used in the manufacture of our products.

Financing activities used net cash of $30.3 million and $32.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The cash used in financing activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2022, primarily consists of the repayment of our 2021 BSP Term Loan of $29.0 million, and the repurchase of common stock for employee tax withholding of $1.3 million. The cash used in financing activities during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 of $32.5 million consists of the repayment of our 2019 Recap Term Loan of $125.8 million, as well as, debt issuance costs of $2.6 million incurred in connection with the refinancing of our debt (see Note 5 - Debt), partially offset by the net proceeds from the issuance of our 2021 BSP Term Loan of $96.3 million.

As of September 30, 2022, we have $69.5 million of outstanding indebtedness under our first-lien secured term loan (the "2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement") and we have no outstanding indebtedness under our senior secured revolving credit facility (the "JPMorgan ABL Facility"), aside from utilizing $17.2 million in letters of credit.





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The First Lien Term Loan Facility Credit Agreement (the "2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement") and the Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as agent and lender (the "JPMorgan ABL Credit Agreement") each contain negative covenants that, subject to certain exceptions, limit our ability and our subsidiaries ability to, among other things, incur additional indebtedness, make restricted payments, pledge our assets as security, make investments, loans, advances, guarantees and acquisitions, undergo fundamental changes and enter into transactions with affiliates. The terms of the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement also require us to maintain a Net Leverage Ratio of 4:00x, with step-downs occurring each fiscal year starting with the quarter ending March 31, 2022 through the quarter ending September 30, 2024 in which we are required to maintain a Net Leverage Ratio of 3:00x. On April 26, 2022, we entered into a First Amendment to the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement, to provide, among other things, that we must maintain Qualified Cash of at least: (a) at all times after the Closing Date and prior to the First Amendment Effective Date, $20.0 million; (b) at all times during the period commencing on the First Amendment Effective Date through and including June 30, 2022, $15.0 million; and (c) at all times on and after July 1, 2022, through September 30, 2022, $17.5 million; provided, however, that if the Total Net Leverage Ratio exceeded 1.75:1.00 as of the last day of the most recently ended month for which financial statements were required to have been delivered, then the amount set forth in this clause shall be increased to $20.0 million. Notwithstanding the foregoing, the Applicable Minimum Cash Amount shall be reduced by $1.0 million for every $5.0 million principal prepayment or repayment of the Term Loans following the First Amendment Effective Date; provided however, that, the Applicable Minimum Cash Amount shall in no event be reduced below $15.0 million.

On June 27, 2022, as permitted by the terms within the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement, we made a voluntary fee-free $10.0 million prepayment towards the outstanding principal amount of the 2021 BSP Term Loan.

On September 28, 2022, as permitted by the terms within the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement, we made a voluntary $17.5 million prepayment towards the outstanding principal amount of the 2021 BSP Term Loan and incurred a $0.5 million prepayment penalty.

The 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement and the JPMorgan ABL Agreement contain events of default that are customary for a facility of this nature, including (subject in certain cases to grace periods and thresholds) nonpayment of principal, nonpayment of interest, fees or other amounts, material inaccuracy of representations and warranties, violation of covenants, cross-default to certain other existing indebtedness, bankruptcy or insolvency events, certain judgment defaults and a change of control as specified in each Agreement. If an event of default occurs under either Agreement, the maturity of the amounts owed under the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement and the JPMorgan ABL Agreement may be accelerated.

We were in compliance with the financial covenants under the 2021 BSP Term Loan Agreement and the JPMorgan ABL Agreement as of September 30, 2022.

See Note 5 - Debt and Note 6 - Credit Facilities for additional information pertaining to our Debt and Credit Facilities.

As of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, we held cash and cash equivalents, including restricted cash, of $76.6 million and $45.3 million, respectively. Cash, and cash equivalents, including restricted cash held outside of the United States in various foreign subsidiaries totaled $72.3 million and $30.7 million as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively. The cash and cash equivalents, including restricted cash balances in our foreign subsidiaries have either been fully taxed in the U.S. or tax has been accounted for in connection with the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, or may be eligible for a full foreign dividends received deduction under such Act, and thus would not be subject to additional U.S. tax should such amounts be repatriated in the form of dividends or deemed distributions. Any such repatriation may result in foreign withholding taxes, which we expect would not be significant as of September 30, 2022.

Our primary sources of working capital are cash flows from operations and borrowings under our JPMorgan ABL Facility (see Note 6 - Credit Facilities).





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Typically, cash flows from operations are impacted by the effect on sales of (1) the appeal of our products, (2) the success of our licensed brands in motivating consumer purchase of related merchandise, (3) the highly competitive conditions existing in the toy industry and in securing commercially-attractive licenses, (4) dependency on a limited set of large customers, and (5) general economic conditions. A downturn in any single factor or a combination of factors could have a material adverse impact upon our ability to generate sufficient cash flows to operate the business. In addition, our business and liquidity are dependent to a significant degree on our vendors and their financial health, as well as the ability to accurately forecast the demand for products. The loss of a key vendor, or material changes in support by them, or a significant variance in actual demand compared to the forecast, can have a material adverse impact on our cash flows and business. Given the conditions in the toy industry environment in general, vendors, including licensors, may seek further assurances or take actions to protect against non-payment of amounts due to them. Changes in this area could have a material adverse impact on our liquidity.

As of September 30, 2022 off-balance sheet arrangements include letters of credit issued by JPMorgan of $17.2 million.





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