Projected Income Statement: Jarir Marketing Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Jarir Marketing Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 698 210 195 664 759 730 744 693
Change - -69.91% -7.14% 240.51% 14.31% -3.81% 1.92% -6.85%
Announcement Date 3/17/21 1/30/22 3/15/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Jarir Marketing Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 95.9 80.88 56.57 47.27 63.11 112.7 121.4 91.12
Change - -15.66% -30.06% -16.44% 33.52% 78.64% 7.7% -24.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,301 1,347 942 641.5 1,051 979 1,007 1,033
Change - 3.53% -30.05% -31.9% 63.78% -6.82% 2.86% 2.58%
Announcement Date 3/17/21 1/30/22 3/15/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Jarir Marketing Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.52% 13.39% 12.62% 11.59% 11.39% 10.88% 10.81% 10.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.83% 11.68% 10.84% 9.86% 9.72% 9.43% 9.4% 9.48%
EBT Margin (%) 11.31% 11.21% 10.41% 9.46% 9.27% 8.96% 9.19% 9.06%
Net margin (%) 10.78% 10.91% 10.33% 9.18% 8.99% 8.78% 8.7% 8.71%
FCF margin (%) 13.98% 14.82% 10.03% 6.06% 9.7% 8.64% 8.61% 8.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.7% 135.78% 97.14% 65.93% 107.87% 98.42% 98.92% 95.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 25.07% 24.46% 23.17% 23.26% 23.24% 22.81% 23.57% 24%
ROE 59.52% 56.77% 54.32% 54.46% 55.39% 56.64% 58.19% 60.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.55x 0.17x 0.16x 0.54x 0.62x 0.59x 0.59x 0.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.54x 0.16x 0.21x 1.04x 0.72x 0.75x 0.74x 0.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.03% 0.89% 0.6% 0.45% 0.58% 0.99% 1.04% 0.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.62% 6.65% 4.77% 3.85% 5.11% 9.14% 9.6% 6.78%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 7.37% 6.01% 6% 7.37% 6.01% 11.52% 12.06% 8.82%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.164 1.19 0.8322 0.574 0.9282 1.184 1.234 1.307
Change - 2.27% -30.09% -31.02% 61.71% 27.61% 4.23% 5.9%
Dividend per Share 1 0.785 0.79 0.77 0.83 - 0.8233 0.8388 0.893
Change - 0.64% -2.53% 7.79% - - 1.88% 6.46%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.438 1.475 1.501 1.476 1.454 1.501 1.55 1.631
Change - 2.6% 1.78% -1.66% -1.51% 3.23% 3.29% 5.18%
EPS 1 0.836 0.827 0.808 0.81 0.81 0.827 0.855 0.9347
Change - -1.08% -2.3% 0.25% 0% 2.09% 3.39% 9.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000 1,200,000
Announcement Date 3/17/21 1/30/22 3/15/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 16.5x 15.9x
PBR 9.07x 8.78x
EV / Sales 1.51x 1.46x
Yield 6.04% 6.16%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
13.62SAR
Average target price
14.86SAR
Spread / Average Target
+9.13%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Jarir Marketing Company