Projected Income Statement: JD.com, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -130,871 -171,577 -177,577 -143,146 -169,939 -112,157 -115,721 -138,157
Change - -31.1% -3.5% 19.39% -18.72% 34% -3.18% -19.39%
Announcement Date 3/11/21 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,670 18,566 17,667 18,378 14,223 18,192 17,700 18,804
Change - 142.06% -4.84% 4.02% -22.61% 27.9% -2.7% 6.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 34,922 26,228 40,152 41,143 43,872 39,796 41,941 54,919
Change - -24.9% 53.09% 2.47% 6.63% -9.29% 5.39% 30.94%
Announcement Date 3/11/21 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.77% 1.97% 3.21% 3.91% 4.48% 1.54% 2.22% 3.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.65% 0.44% 1.89% 2.4% 3.34% 0.43% 1.53% 2.46%
EBT Margin (%) 6.81% -0.27% 1.33% 2.92% 4.45% 2.06% 2.49% 3.37%
Net margin (%) 6.62% -0.37% 0.99% 2.23% 3.57% 1.71% 2.01% 2.65%
FCF margin (%) 4.68% 2.76% 3.84% 3.79% 3.79% 3.03% 3.03% 3.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 70.69% -736.82% 386.82% 170.24% 106.08% 177.1% 150.94% 141.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.93% 3.75% 5.17% 3.95% 6.23% 3.2% 3.84% 4.99%
ROE 12.49% 8.68% 13.37% 10.86% 17.55% 9.19% 11.04% 14.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.03% 1.95% 1.69% 1.69% 1.23% 1.39% 1.28% 1.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.09% 99.22% 52.58% 43.29% 27.39% 89.86% 57.67% 36.26%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.96% 70.79% 44% 44.67% 32.42% 45.71% 42.2% 34.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.16 27.23 36.35 37.49 37.74 30.25 37.65 45.4
Change - -3.31% 33.53% 3.12% 0.67% -19.85% 24.48% 20.58%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 4.261 5.469 7.251 6.604 6.405 7.231
Change - - - 28.36% 32.57% -8.91% -3.01% 12.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 120.9 134.3 136.1 147.8 164.9 166.1 179.3 197.4
Change - 11.13% 1.31% 8.6% 11.59% 0.71% 7.98% 10.07%
EPS 1 31.68 -2.29 6.42 15.23 26.86 14.77 18.92 28.6
Change - -107.23% 380.35% 137.23% 76.36% -45% 28.06% 51.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,549,877 1,536,133 1,565,500 1,573,500 1,449,500 1,419,000 1,419,000 1,419,000
Announcement Date 3/11/21 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/6/24 3/6/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.6x 10.6x
PBR 1.21x 1.12x
EV / Sales 0.13x 0.12x
Yield 3.28% 3.18%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
38
Last Close Price
201.38CNY
Average target price
286.67CNY
Spread / Average Target
+42.35%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. JD Stock
  4. Financials JD.com, Inc.