Taskforce for Climate-related Financial Disclosures
In this section
Introduction
60
Governance
60
Strategy
61
Risk management
68
Metrics and targets
69
Introduction
Climate change is one of the most pressing threats facing our planet today. It is affecting our environment and poses a growing risk for people and businesses alike. We recognise that what we do at JM has impacts - both positive and negative. Our products and services remove harmful air emissions and recycle scarce metals, and we are designing new technologies so that we can help accelerate the transition to a low-carbon future. But the manufacturing and chemical processes we use have their own environmental impact, creating greenhouse gas emissions, using water, and producing waste.
Our strategy is shaped, therefore, around the opportunities and the risks that our changing climate presents. And we have set ourselves the ambition of achieving net zero by 2040 with a series of challenging intermediate targets for 2030, to ensure we keep driving up the benefits of our products while reducing their environmental impact (see page 35 for a full table of targets).
The requirement to report using the framework of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) is a useful tool in this process. It helps us think holistically about the future impact that climate change and the transition to a low-carbon world could have on us and, during the year, we continued to work with global sustainability consultancy Environmental Resources Management (ERM) to develop our approach. We have organised our report under the headings of the four pillars of TCFD framework because we believe that it's most useful for our stakeholders to include our response to TCFD as a standalone section within our annual report. In doing so, we have reported consistent with the framework, although we are still working on quantifying the climate-related impact of some of our risks.
Governance
Given the nature of our business, and how closely aligned our strategy is to a warming world, climate-related risks and opportunities have been on the board's agenda for many years.
In May 2021, we announced the creation of a new board committee, the Societal Value Committee (SVC), to help the board focus more closely on the governance of sustainability matters including response to climate change. Nonetheless, the SVC is only part of the wider governance arrangements that support the board in discharging these responsibilities, as summarised in the diagram on page 61.
Role of the board and its committees
The board is responsible for setting and overseeing the implementation of the group's strategy, including the annual budget and detailed business plans. In doing so, it considers climate-related issues, including when approving requests for capital expenditure or new initiatives.
The SVC meets at least three times a year. It supports the board by overseeing the delivery of our sustainability strategy, and monitoring and overseeing progress against our sustainability goals and targets, with regular updates from the Chief EHS and Operations Officer. Jane Griffiths, the SVC Chair, reports to the board after each meeting, including bringing forward any recommendations from the committee. Given how fast society's response to climate change is developing, the SVC receives papers on emerging issues at each meeting, such as legislation and stakeholders' expectations. It also invites external experts to get an 'outside-in' view on our sustainability plans, and other emerging topics, which this year included diversity and inclusion, and human rights for more on the SVC's work, see page 98.
During the year, the wider board received an update on climate-related legislation and a training session on the implementation of TCFD recommendations.
Together with the Nomination Committee, the board ensures that, among the directors, it has the necessary sustainability and climate-related expertise. For more details of our non-executive directors' skills and experience, see pages 86-87.
As an initial step, the Audit Committee has this year reviewed the internal assurance in respect of TCFD. It will continue to assess the level of assurance over TCFD and climate-related issues as we continue to develop our reporting in this area. The Audit Committee is also responsible for reviewing the effectiveness of internal control and risk management, which includes climate-related risk.
This year, the Remuneration Committee reviewed the role of sustainability and climate-related targets within the group's remuneration approach. Measures will be included within the Performance Share Plan, reflecting our intent to contribute to an acceleration of the transition to a net zero world. For more details, see page 69.
As a result of our internal board effectiveness review, the responsibilities of the board and its committees in relation to climate-related issues and the broader sustainability agenda have been refined and clarified.
Role of management
The board delegates responsibility for running the business to the Chief Executive; this includes overall responsibility for climate-related issues, which resides with the Chief Executive, assisted by the Group Leadership Team (GLT). The Chief Executive is supported by the Chief EHS and Operations Officer who is responsible for day-to-dayclimate-related matters and provides updates to the GLT on the steps taken to develop or implement our sustainability strategy, including key metrics, risks and opportunities. The Chief EHS and Operations Officer is in turn supported by the Sustainability Council. The Sustainability Council is made up of managers from across our sectors and functions who, together, develop our sustainability vision, goals and targets. To prioritise driving our sustainability agenda and threading all elements into our business, we appointed a new Chief Sustainability Officer with effect from 16th May 2022. The Chief Sustainability Officer will report to the Chief Executive and be a member of the GLT.
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Governance structure for climate-related issues
Board
Chief Executive
Societal Value Committee
Audit Committee
Remuneration Committee
Responsible overall for
Assists the board in overseeing
Reviews the assurance
Reviews climate-related targets for
climate-related issues
the sustainability strategy
process for TCFD
incorporation in incentive plans
Members:
Members:
Members:
Chief EHS and Operations Officer
full board
all independent
all independent
Responsible for day-to-day
Chair:
non-executive directors
non-executive directors
Jane Griffiths
Chair:
Chair:
climate-related issues (from 16th May
Meets at least three times a year
Doug Webb
Chris Mottershead
2022, our new Chief Sustainability
Meets five times a year
Meets five times a year
Officer will assume this responsibility)
Sustainability Council
Develops our sustainability vision,
goals and targets
Members: representatives of all
sectors and functions
REPORT STRATEGIC
Strategy
Our business strategy is based on addressing the world's need to transition to a low-carbon future through enabling the necessary transitions in transport, energy, industry and the circular economy. Climate change offers us many opportunities, while also requiring us to adapt our operations to ensure we are resilient. So that we properly understand and can plan for its potential impacts, this year we developed climate-change scenarios to frame the ambiguities of an increasingly volatile and complex environment. These scenarios, which project the impact of climate change on our operational and commercial performance, are essential in informing our strategic choices, such as how we invest in R&D, or which new products to develop. We also use climate scenarios to consider the resilience to changing weather patterns of our own operations, those of our strategic suppliers and our core supply routes.
Climate scenarios for evaluating transition risks and opportunities
Our climate scenarios are central to our plan to achieve net zero by 2040, and our nearer-termten-year strategic planning. They are used by all our businesses as a common basis for planning, forecasting and stress testing their strategy and assumptions on growth.
To test the resilience of our strategy and portfolio, and our assumptions about growth, we have developed three transition scenarios that represent a wide range of outcomes.
Rapid transition scenario (aligned to 1.5⁰C) - net zero achieved globally by 2050, in line with the goal of the Paris Agreement to limit the world's temperature rise to well below
2⁰C by 2100, and preferably no more than 1.5⁰C. This reflects swift and decisive action with regard to policy interventions and decarbonisation commitments.
Pragmatic evolution scenario (aligned to 2⁰C) - net zero achieved globally by 2080, which reflects a step-up in policy interventions and decarbonisation commitments compared with today, but not as decisive as under the rapid transition scenario.
Slow transition scenario (aligned to 3⁰C) - net zero not achieved by 2100, reflecting a global lack of urgency on climate change with limited policy or legislative interventions.
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We developed our climate scenarios internally with support from an external expert, reflecting the latest available research from internationally recognised sources such as the International Energy Agency (IEA). The IEA research we used included three scenarios: the Net Zero Emissions Scenario, the Sustainable Development Scenario, and the Stated Policies Scenario. Our methodology breaks down the different energy sources (electricity, hydrogen, gas, coal, oil, renewables, biomass and others) and considers forecasts for each source by demand type: transport, buildings, industry, power and heat, and feedstocks for materials. We developed in-house forecasts for specific source / demand combinations close to our areas of expertise in automotive, chemicals, hydrogen and other industries, while ensuring that, at a macro level, we remained within IEA's forecasts. This methodology allowed us to develop an economy-wide view, while also including enough detail about our key markets to inform our specific strategies for different parts of the business.
We update the scenarios at least annually to reflect any changes in external drivers. In these updates, we incorporate the latest from internationally recognised sources alongside our own forecasts, which take into account policy developments, technology evolution and the rate of public and private investment in new plants and infrastructure.
We model scenarios up to 2100 (see chart below), but look at shorter-term horizons, specifically 2030 and 2040, to inform our strategic and operational decisions. The table below details the main qualitative and quantitative assumptions we used for our 2040 scenarios, given that this is our target date to achieve net zero. We use the pragmatic evolution scenario as our base case for our strategic planning.
Market Sector
Metric (2040)
Unit
Rapid transition
Pragmatic evolution
Slow transition
Global
Total primary energy demand
EJ
500-550
550-600
690-740
Renewables supply
% of total energy supply
c.55%
c. 40%
c. 25%
Automotive
Global sales of zero-emissions vehicles
% of total automotive sales
c. 90%
c. 70%
c. 40%
Global sales of fuel cell electric vehicles
% of total automotive sales
c. 20%
c. 15%
c. 10%
Hydrogen
Global hydrogen production
Mt p.a
350-400
200-250
150-200
IEA's NZE and SDS scenarios are used to inform our rapid and pragmatic transition scenarios, respectively. Both rely on policy interventions beyond current pledges to reduce fossil fuel-related emissions. The NZE assumes a wider range of interventions and stronger implementation rates, including in terms of near-term support to early deployment of key innovative technologies and supporting infrastructure. The NZE also assumes substantial energy efficiency gains through stronger standards for appliances and fuel economy, among other levers.
Total anthropogenic emissions (GtCO2/yr)
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
2055
2060
2065
2070
2075
2080
2085
2090
2095
2100
Slow transition
Pragmatic evolution
Rapid transition
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Our transition risks and opportunities
Through our scenario work, we identified four distinct potential climate-related impacts, which represent both risks and opportunities for our business. We have added the first climate impact risk to our principal risks because it is of strategic importance to our business (see page 74).
Climate impact
Description of the transition risk and opportunity
REPORT STRATEGIC
Changing customer and consumer demand for our products
Increasing demand for low-carbon manufacturing and recycling of key materials
Increasing carbon taxation
Increasing stakeholder expectations of corporate climate policy and performance
Increasing awareness of the impacts of a warming climate is changing consumer habits, leading to lower demand for some of our existing products and higher demand for new products. We need to carefully match supply as demand changes, and to identify new markets for our solutions catalysing the net zero transition for our customers to avoid negative financial impacts and realise opportunities for our revenue, cash flow and profitability.
Customers and policy makers are increasingly interested in the carbon footprint of our products, demanding a lower carbon footprint and specifying recycled content for key raw materials.
We need to make the right capital investment decisions to transition our operations to net-zero emissions in line with market demand, and use low-carbon raw materials to increase our competitive advantage and avoid the potential issue of stranded assets.
An increasing number of governments are introducing or considering introducing a carbon tax or trading schemes. This could raise the costs of energy, water and waste both for us and our suppliers, and also the cost of transport and logistics, which may be affected by international border carbon tax mechanisms. If this results in higher prices for our products, our customers may be less willing to buy them.
Market expectations are rising and corporate policy / performance regarding climate-related targets are under increasing scrutiny. If we do not meet our stated net-zero commitments and strategy, or our commitments do not keep pace with societal / market expectations of net zero, we could suffer from a loss of stakeholder and / or shareholder confidence, loss of reputation, shareholder action and climate-related litigation. Conversely, if we outperform our competitors in how we adapt to climate change, we could attract new shareholders and customers.
We have used our climate scenarios to evaluate these risks and opportunities in the short (0-3 years), medium (3-10 years) and long term (10+ years), in line with our usual business planning timescales. We believe the pragmatic evolution climate scenario is most likely to occur, so have used it as the base case for assessing our transition impacts, and the other two scenarios to stress test the sensitivity and resilience of our business plans.
Climate
Primary driver
Opportunities
Risks
Management of impacts
Financial impacts
KPIs to monitor impacts
transition impact
of impact
(with time horizons)
(with time horizons)
(after management)
1. Changing
Regulation
customer
•
Emissions standards for
and consumer
vehicles
•
Emissions standards for
demand
energy production
for products
•
Requirements for use
of bio-based feedstocks
Markets
Shifts in consumer preferences
Uncertainty over which technologies will prevail.
Sustained sales of existing products for internal combustion engine vehicles in the short and medium term, as tighter emissions standards demand state-of-the-art technology for exhaust pipe catalysts.
Opportunities for new products in the medium and long term:
Lower carbon energy sources (blue and green hydrogen).
Hydrogen-poweredvehicles (fuel cells) and sustainable aviation fuels.
Low-carbonsolutions for the chemicals industry.
Without adaptation of our portfolio, there is a long-term risk that we may not have a financially viable future business model and / or capability as society transitions away from fossil fuels.
Reduced demand for existing autocatalyst products for light duty vehicles
(long term).
Uncertainty in the rate of market evolution from existing to new technology options which could affect profitability (medium / long term).
Ability to scale up rapidly to manufacture new products for new markets
(short / medium term).
We focus on managing our existing
Growth
Progress towards our 2030
businesses effectively, while pivoting
Accelerating profit growth, with low
sustainability targets for products
away from fossil fuels-based industries to
double-digit growth rate towards
and services:
ones based on sustainable chemicals,
end of decade1 and
• Sales, R&D and revenues
fuels and clean energy as markets develop.
c. 40% of profit coming from
aligned with SDG7 and SDG13.
• We are closely monitoring the
businesses related to the net zero
• Tonnes of GHGs avoided by
changing market environment,
transition by 2031/32. Clean Air
customers using our products.
updating our climate scenarios at
remain a cash generative business of
Economic activity aligned with EU
least once a year to inform our
scale, with sales2 c. £2bn in base case
strategic decisions.
by end of decade.
taxonomy regulation - climate
delegate act.
• We keep investing in innovation to
Costs
make sure we have products that
Market evolution forecasts
c. £300m of cumulative capital
differentiate us in all our markets.
•
Automotive emissions
expenditures dedicated to businesses
• For our maturing businesses, we
related to the net zero transition over
regulation changes
have a plan to reduce our cost base
• Market forecasts for vehicle
2022/23-2024/25.£100m-£200m
to improve efficiency and cash flow
fixed cost savings from Clean Air
sales by type and region
• For some of our growth businesses,
by 2030/31.
•
Governments' investments in
we plan to invest in production assets
1. At constant 2021/22 average PGM
hydrogen infrastructure
and to make sure our capital projects
prices and FX rates
• Evolution of the use of
are implemented effectively through
2. Sales excluding precious metals
sustainable aviation fuels
our capital expenditure control
programme.
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Climate
Primary driver of impact
Opportunities
Risks
Management of impacts
Financial impacts
KPIs to monitor impacts
transition impact
(with time horizons)
(with time horizons)
(after management)
2. Increased demand for low-carbon manufacturing and recycling
Markets
Shift in consumer preferences towards products with a low-carbon footprint
Regulation
Emerging rules on recycled content of consumer goods and the need for companies to declare the carbon footprint of their products
As the world's largest recycler of secondary PGMs, we could benefit from the increased demand for goods with low-carbon and / or recycled critical raw material content (short / medium term).
Opportunity to expand our knowledge of metal recycling into new markets, particularly lithium, nickel and cobalt, which are required by the electric vehicle industry to meet the EU's directive on battery recycling
(medium / long term).
Commercial advantage if we adapt our manufacturing plants to low carbon operation faster than our competitors.
Medium-term risk that we cannot transition our operations for net zero at the correct pace to meet customer demand of low carbon products.
Loss of customers and failure to attract new customers (medium / long term).
Greater capital required to transition our assets to low-carbon manufacturing (medium / long term).
Inability to access the alternative renewable energy sources needed to decarbonise our operations (medium / long term).
We have set challenging recycling, and net zero targets to decarbonise our manufacturing operations
We have established a cross-functional Sustainability Council to drive progress towards these targets
In 2022, we will introduce an internal carbon price for our capital investment decisions to help us make the right choices for decarbonising our operations for net zero in the long term
We are developing
a roadmap to net zero by 2040, which we plan to publish in 2023
Work is under way to quantify the financial impact of our commitment to net zero manufacturing by 2040.
Progress towards our 2030 sustainability targets for products and services:
% recycled PGM content in our products.
% reduction in Scope 1, 2 and 3 GHG emissions % products with a cradle-to-gate LCA available to our customers
Number of customer requests for low-carbon and recycled content in products.
3. Increasing
Regulation
carbon taxation
• Carbon pricing
mechanisms
Increasing regulations and the introduction of carbon taxes will accelerate growth in our new target markets - sustainable chemicals, sustainable fuels and clean energy
(medium term).
Many jurisdictions are implementing carbon pricing mechanisms with rates increasing over time.
Increased costs to us and our suppliers of goods and logistics due to carbon taxation on raw materials and fossil-fuel derived energy (medium term).
Loss of competitive advantage due to the increasing
price of our products (medium / long term).
Reputational damage if we do not transition fast enough to cleaner energy solutions in our operations (medium / long term).
We are tracking carbon price risks through:
An annual exercise with the help of outside experts to forecast the effect of long-term carbon prices on our portfolio.
Working to embed carbon prices within our three- and ten-year planning cycles going forwards.
In 2022, we will introduce an internal carbon price for our capital investment decisions to help us make the right choices for decarbonising our operations.
Work under way to quantify financial impacts to our portfolio.
Potential exposure to carbon taxation in 2030 by Scope 1, 2 and 3
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