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    KEL   CA4882951060

KELT EXPLORATION LTD.

(KEL)
  Report
Delayed Toronto Stock Exchange  -  04:00 2022-12-06 pm EST
5.200 CAD   -1.89%
11/22Canada Stocks Running With Energy
MT
11/10National Bank Says Kelt Exploration Q3 In Line, Trims Target Price
MT
11/10Kelt Exploration Ltd. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022
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Explainer-Why western Canada has some of the cheapest natural gas in the world

09/14/2022 | 02:37pm EST
FILE PHOTO: Flames from a gas burner on a cooker are pictured in a private home in Bad Honnef

(Reuters) - Despite soaring global demand for natural gas, Canadian producers are struggling with volatile prices and deep discounts at Alberta's AECO hub, one of the largest storage facilities in North America and where the benchmark price for Canadian gas is set.

In August the spot AECO price briefly turned negative, and this week producers Tourmaline Oil and Kelt Exploration Ltd said they temporarily cut production due to weak prices.

WHY ARE AECO PRICES LOW?

Canadian producers have been struggling with volatile pricing for years because of tight capacity on pipelines shipping gas from Alberta and British Columbia to North American markets. The problem tends to worsen every summer when pipeline maintenance work reduces capacity.

The main system gathering and transporting gas out of western Canada is TC Energy's Nova Gas Transmission Line (NGTL), which delivered 12.5 billion cubic feet a day (bcf/d) in 2021, accounting for around 75% of Canada's overall production.

Rising production, NGTL maintenance and some gas processing facilities' outages this summer left gas molecules bottlenecked in Alberta, driving down the spot price for interruptible pipeline service. Customers with firm service contracts were unaffected.

Since late August, the price has recovered to trade at $3.50 per million British thermal units. But the discount to U.S. benchmark Henry Hub prices, which analysts say should be around $1 to reflect the transportation cost, is still more than $5.

HOW DOES THIS IMPACT PRODUCERS?

Many Canadian producers have entered into forward contracts to hedge their risks or sell directly into other markets such as Ontario's Dawn hub.

In a recent National Bank research note titled "AECO is Lame", analysts estimated on average only 15% of producer revenues are exposed to western Canadian prices.

Still, low prices result in lost royalty revenues for the Alberta government and deter capital investment, producers said.

DOES ANYONE BENEFIT?

Gas and electricity consumers in western Canada and large industrial consumers like oil sands companies and Alberta's petrochemical sector have cheaper bills due to low prices.

COULD THE REGULATOR STEP IN?

The CER is monitoring the situation, its chief economist Jean-Denis Charlebois told Reuters, but will not intervene without being asked by parties involved.

In 2019, when AECO prices endured a longer-lasting slump, the regulator enacted a protocol that allowed shippers to put more gas into storage and avoid selling it at very low prices. That protocol expired at the end of 2020.

The CER is open to helping improve the situation, whether that be through hearing revised tariff proposals to conducting workshops to help communication between parties, he said.

WHAT DOES TC ENERGY SAY?

TC Energy attributed the deep AECO discount to abundant western Canadian supply and limited pipeline space, and said the solution is to build extra capacity for firm service contracts.

TC is working to add 1.3 billion cubic feet a day (bcf/d) of capacity in 2022 and another 2.2 bcf/d between 2023 and 2026, but has been delayed by weather, labour shortages, increasing environmental requirements and regulatory and government delays, a spokesperson added.

(Reporting by Nia Williams; Editing by Lisa Shumaker)

By Nia Williams


ę Reuters 2022
Stocks mentioned in the article
ChangeLast1st jan.
BRENT OIL -0.53% 79.22 Delayed Quote.6.41%
KELT EXPLORATION LTD. -1.89% 5.2 Delayed Quote.9.96%
PEYTO EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT CORP. -3.91% 13.52 Delayed Quote.48.89%
S&P GSCI NATURAL GAS INDEX 0.57% 257.5335 Real-time Quote.68.39%
TC ENERGY CORPORATION 0.61% 58.09 Delayed Quote.-1.85%
TOURMALINE OIL CORP. -4.36% 74.43 Delayed Quote.90.55%
WTI -0.49% 74.039 Delayed Quote.7.66%
All news about KELT EXPLORATION LTD.
11/22Canada Stocks Running With Energy
MT
11/10National Bank Says Kelt Exploration Q3 In Line, Trims Target Price
MT
11/10Kelt Exploration Ltd. Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months En..
CI
09/14Explainer-Why western Canada has some of the cheapest natural gas in the world
RE
09/13Kelt provides an update on the impact of current western canada natural gas prices
AQ
09/12Kelt Exploration Ltd. Revises Production Guidance for the Year 2022
CI
08/04Kelt Exploration Ltd. Reports Earnings Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months En..
CI
07/11Kelt Exploration Buy Rating Maintained by Stifel GMP Following Production Update
MT
07/07Kelt Exploration Keeps Outperform Rating at BMO Capital Following Capital Budget Hike
MT
07/07National Bank Says Kelt Exploration Update Highlights Continued Momentum; Stock Gains O..
MT
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Analyst Recommendations on KELT EXPLORATION LTD.
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Financials
Sales 2022 606 M 444 M 444 M
Net income 2022 148 M 109 M 109 M
Net cash 2022 3,22 M 2,36 M 2,36 M
P/E ratio 2022 6,80x
Yield 2022 -
Capitalization 998 M 732 M 732 M
EV / Sales 2022 1,64x
EV / Sales 2023 1,41x
Nbr of Employees 72
Free-Float 84,1%
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Mean consensus BUY
Number of Analysts 12
Last Close Price 5,20 CAD
Average target price 9,48 CAD
Spread / Average Target 82,3%
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Managers and Directors
David John Wilson President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Sadiq H. Lalani Chief Financial Officer & Vice President
William Charles Guinan Chairman
Douglas O. MacArthur Vice President-Operations
Neil G. Sinclair Independent Director
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