Fitch Ratings has affirmed Kuwait Finance House (K.S.C.P.)'s (KFH) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'A' with a Stable Outlook.

Fitch has also affirmed the bank's Viability Rating (VR) at 'bb+'.

Key Rating Drivers

KFH's IDRs reflect potential support from the Kuwaiti authorities, if needed. This considers Kuwait's strong capacity to support the banking system and its record of supporting domestic banks. The Stable Outlook on KFH's Long-Term IDR reflects that on the Kuwaiti sovereign rating,

The 'F1' Short-Term IDR is the lower of two options mapping to an 'A' Long-Term IDR because a significant part of KFH's funding is related to the government and a stress scenario for KFH would likely come at a time when the sovereign itself is experiencing some form of stress.

The VR reflects KFH's high-risk appetite, with significant operations in more challenging markets than Kuwait, particularly in Turkey and Bahrain, which puts pressure on the bank's asset quality. The bank's capitalisation is only adequate in light of these risks and high concentrations. The VR also reflects the bank's leading Islamic franchise in Kuwait, strong management team, consistent strategy, good risk management framework, recovering profitability and strong funding and liquidity.

Key Rating Driver 1

Government Support: The Kuwaiti authorities have strong ability and willingness to provide support to domestic banks irrespective of the banks' size, franchise, funding and level of government ownership. This view considers the authorities' record of support for the domestic banking system. High contagion risk among domestic banks is an added incentive for the state to provide support to any Kuwaiti bank if needed, to maintain market confidence and stability.

Key Rating Driver 2

Leading Islamic Franchise: KFH is the largest Islamic bank in Kuwait and the second-largest bank overall, with a market share of about 22% by local assets at end-2021.

Key Rating Driver 3

High Risk Appetite: KFH's single-obligor concentration is high, albeit it is lower than peers. The bank has significant operations in weaker and more volatile markets than Kuwait (notably Turkey and Bahrain), which increase its credit and market risks.

Key Rating Driver 4

Asset-Quality Pressures Contained: KFH's impaired financing ratio decreased to 1.7% at end-2021 from 2.3% at end-2020, but the Stage 3 financing ratio (as per CBK IFRS 9 norms) is higher at 3.2% at end-2021 due to curing restrictions imposed by the Central Bank of Kuwait. The Stage 2 financing ratio was relatively high at 14.5% at end-2021 but the potential problem financing ratio was minimal in 2021. Reserve coverage of impaired financing is high.

Key Rating Driver 5

Recovering Profitability: KFH's net profit improved by 68% in 2021 owing mostly to lower impairment charges, stable funding and operating costs, and exceeded pre-pandemic levels. Fitch expects KFH's profitability to improve in 2022 in the context of expected growth, higher profit rates and stable impairment charges and operating expenses.

Key Rating Driver 6

Only Adequate but Stable Capitalisation: KFH's common equity Tier 1 ratio (15.2% at end-2021) and tangible leverage (9.5%) were slightly down in 2021 mostly due to losses from foreign-exchange revaluation reserves and financing growth. The USD750 million perpetual Tier 1 sukuk issuance in 2021 supported KFH's regulatory capital ratios. Capitalisation is considered only adequate given financing concentration risks and exposures to volatile markets.

Key Rating Driver 7

Strong Funding and Liquidity: KFH's strong funding profile is supported by large retail deposits (73% of customer deposits at end-2021; much larger than peers) and current and saving accounts (52%), which are contractually short-term, but behaviorally stable.

Rating Sensitivities

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:

A downgrade of KFH's Long-Term IDR would require a downward revision of the bank's Government Support Rating (GSR). The latter would likely stem from a weaker ability to support, reflected in a Kuwaiti sovereign downgrade, which is not our base case considering the Stable Outlook on the sovereign rating.

A weaker propensity from the Kuwaiti authorities to support KFH would also lead to a negative rating action, but this is unlikely in Fitch's view, given the strong record of supporting domestic banks.

Aggressive growth or considerable weakening in the risk profile of foreign markets where KFH operates that place significant pressure on asset quality and capital could lead to a downgrade of the VR.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:

An upgrade of KFH's Long-Term IDR could come from an upward revision of its GSR. The latter would likely stem from a stronger ability to support, reflected in a Kuwaiti sovereign upgrade. However, this is unlikely in the near term given the already high level of the GSR and the recent downgrade of the sovereign.

Lower credit risk exposures to volatile markets, including Turkey and Bahrain, could support an upgrade of the bank's VR. However, this is unlikely as Turkey and Bahrain are both strategic markets to the group. Improvement in the bank's asset quality and risk appetite, in line with the bank's restructuring and divestment strategy, could also trigger a VR upgrade.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS

The trust certificate issuance programme's senior unsecured long- and short-term ratings are in line with and driven solely by KFH's IDRs of 'A' and 'F1'. This reflects Fitch's view that default of these senior unsecured obligations would reflect a default of KFH in accordance with Fitch's rating definitions. The trust certificate issuance programme is housed under KFH Sukuk Company SPC Limited, a special purpose vehicle incorporated in the Cayman Islands solely to issue certificates (sukuk) under the programme.

OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action/downgrade:

The programme's ratings are sensitive to a downgrade of KFH's IDRs. The ratings may also be sensitive to changes to the roles and obligations of KFH under the sukuk's structure and documents.

Factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action/upgrade:

The programme's ratings are sensitive to an upgrade of KFH's IDRs.

VR ADJUSTMENTS

The Operating Environment score of 'bb+' has been assigned below the 'bbb' category implied score due to the following adjustment reason: International Operations (negative).

The Business Profile score of 'bbb-' has been assigned above the 'bb' category implied score due to the following adjustment reason: Market Position (positive).

The Funding and Liquidity score of 'bbb+' has been assigned above the 'bb' category implied score due to the following adjustment reason: Deposit Structure (positive).

Best/Worst Case Rating Scenario

International scale credit ratings of Financial Institutions and Covered Bond issuers have a best-case rating upgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a positive direction) of three notches over a three-year rating horizon; and a worst-case rating downgrade scenario (defined as the 99th percentile of rating transitions, measured in a negative direction) of four notches over three years. The complete span of best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings for all rating categories ranges from 'AAA' to 'D'. Best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings are based on historical performance. For more information about the methodology used to determine sector-specific best- and worst-case scenario credit ratings, visit https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10111579

REFERENCES FOR SUBSTANTIALLY MATERIAL SOURCE CITED AS KEY DRIVER OF RATING

The principal sources of information used in the analysis are described in the Applicable Criteria.

Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings

KFH's IDRs are driven by an extremely high probability of support from the Kuwaiti sovereign.

ESG Considerations

Islamic banks need to ensure compliance of their entire operations and activities with sharia principles and rules. This entails additional costs, processes, disclosures, regulations, reporting and sharia audit. This results in a Governance Structure relevance score of '4' for KFH (in contrast to a typical ESG relevance score of '3' for comparable conventional banks), which has a negative impact on the banks' credit profiles in combination with other factors.

In addition, Islamic banks have an Exposure to Social Impacts score of '3' (in contrast to a typical ESG relevance score of '2' for comparable conventional banks), which reflects that Islamic banks have certain sharia limitations imbedded in their operations and obligations, although this only has a minimal credit impact on the entities.

Except for the matters discussed above, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the entity. For more information on Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores, visit www.fitchratings.com/esg

RATING ACTIONS

Entity / Debt

Rating

Prior

KFH Sukuk Company SPC Limited

senior unsecured

LT

A

Affirmed

A

senior unsecured

ST

F1

Affirmed

F1

Kuwait Finance House (K.S.C.P.)

LT IDR

A

Affirmed

A

ST IDR

F1

Affirmed

F1

Viability

bb+

Affirmed

bb+

Government Support

a

Affirmed

a

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VIEW ADDITIONAL RATING DETAILS

Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com

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